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January 23, 2022 at 2:41 pm #1204745591
The thing about this year’s Oscars race is that there is no one performance that is universally (or near-universally) acclaimed and/or in a movie that’s a major BP competitor. This is not to say that it’s a “weak” year–far from it, there are some excellent performances this year–but that there isn’t a lot of consensus. If Little Women came out this year Saoirse would win in a walk.
This is why I feel like if any of the front runners’ movies make it into BP, their chances to win will skyrocket. And maybe I’m biased here, but I feel Gucci is the only one that could possibly make it in (for populist reasons). It won’t be a strong contender for winning BP, but making it in will show support for Gaga.
January 23, 2022 at 2:59 pm #1204745624If Stewart gets the BAFTA nomination, it will be obvious that the consensus 5 (Kidman, Gaga, Colman, Chastain, Stewart) will likely be the Oscar top 5. And it will make things even harder for someone else to sneak in.
January 23, 2022 at 3:06 pm #1204745637If Stewart gets the BAFTA nomination, it will be obvious that the consensus 5 (Kidman, Gaga, Colman, Chastain, Stewart) will likely be the Oscar top 5. And it will make things even harder for someone else to sneak in.
Couldn’t agree more! Sometimes people just overthink stuff and try to call a surprise that’ll never happen. Im just gonna go with the Globes Drama 5.
January 23, 2022 at 3:45 pm #1204745672Lol I know most people don’t take Critics Choice award seriously (myself too, they’re indeed the least relevant of the four major precursors). But I believe they have good track record of predicting Oscar nominations.
2021: 5/5
2020: 5/5
2019: 5/5
2018: 5/5
2017: 4/5 (Meryl Streep surprise)
2016: 5/5
2015: 5/5
2014: 4/5 (Amy Adams surprise)
2013: 5/5
2012: 3/5 (Glenn Close & Rooney Mara surprises)
2011: 5/5
That being said, out of the past 55 Oscar Best Actress nominees, 51 received Critics Choice nominations. In the past 11 years, only 4 actors managed to get an Oscar nom without a CC nomination.
January 23, 2022 at 3:48 pm #1204745676Lol I know most people don’t take Critics Choice award seriously (myself too, they’re indeed the least relevant of the four major precursors). But I believe they have good track record of predicting Oscar nominations. 2021: 5/5 2020: 5/5 2019: 5/5 2018: 5/5 2017: 4/5 (Meryl Streep surprise) 2016: 5/5 2015: 5/5 2014: 4/5 (Amy Adams surprise) 2013: 5/5 2012: 3/5 (Glenn Close & Rooney Mara surprises) 2011: 5/5 That being said, out of the past 55 Oscar Best Actress nominees, 51 received Critics Choice nominations. In the past 11 years, only 4 actors managed to get an Oscar nom without a CC nomination.
Its easy when you nominate almost everyone
January 23, 2022 at 3:48 pm #1204745678Stay pressed, real talent always wins
Always wins twitter awards
Anticipate "Hold My hand".
Lady Gaga is a genius
January 23, 2022 at 3:50 pm #1204745686Lol I know most people don’t take Critics Choice award seriously (myself too, they’re indeed the least relevant of the four major precursors). But I believe they have good track record of predicting Oscar nominations. 2021: 5/5 2020: 5/5 2019: 5/5 2018: 5/5 2017: 4/5 (Meryl Streep surprise) 2016: 5/5 2015: 5/5 2014: 4/5 (Amy Adams surprise) 2013: 5/5 2012: 3/5 (Glenn Close & Rooney Mara surprises) 2011: 5/5 That being said, out of the past 55 Oscar Best Actress nominees, 51 received Critics Choice nominations. In the past 11 years, only 4 actors managed to get an Oscar nom without a CC nomination.
51? How old is the Critics Choice?
Anticipate "Hold My hand".
Lady Gaga is a genius
January 23, 2022 at 3:51 pm #1204745688Its easy when you nominate almost everyone
Yes they nominate 6-8 people per year, same as the Globe which nominate 10 (drama + musical). But if a contender can’t even get in CC where they nominate almost “everyone”, it’s a bad sign for nomination.
January 23, 2022 at 3:55 pm #1204745700Lol I know most people don’t take Critics Choice award seriously (myself too, they’re indeed the least relevant of the four major precursors). But I believe they have good track record of predicting Oscar nominations. 2021: 5/5 2020: 5/5 2019: 5/5 2018: 5/5 2017: 4/5 (Meryl Streep surprise) 2016: 5/5 2015: 5/5 2014: 4/5 (Amy Adams surprise) 2013: 5/5 2012: 3/5 (Glenn Close & Rooney Mara surprises) 2011: 5/5 That being said, out of the past 55 Oscar Best Actress nominees, 51 received Critics Choice nominations. In the past 11 years, only 4 actors managed to get an Oscar nom without a CC nomination.
They predict it so well because they usually nominate everyone in the top seven. I believe they skipped Meryl Streep (Florence Foster Jenkins) because they didn’t think she would be an Oscar nominee since she wasn’t a clear contender until she hit SAG and got a surprise showing at BAFTA. But a sole CC nom does wonders for newcomers and passion picks……Wallis, Rampling, Aparicio and Cotillard will always thank them
Anticipate "Hold My hand".
Lady Gaga is a genius
January 23, 2022 at 3:56 pm #1204745702Yes they nominate 6-8 people per year, same as the Globe which nominate 10 (drama + musical). But if a contender can’t even get in CC where they nominate almost “everyone”, it’s a bad sign for nomination.
Exactly why Cruz and Thompson are totally out. Even BAFTA can’t save Thompson. She really needed that CC nom
Anticipate "Hold My hand".
Lady Gaga is a genius
January 23, 2022 at 4:20 pm #1204745739I’m not a Zegler fan, but this Daily Beast article calling her the new Anne Hathaway…the author should have called out Ansel Elgort instead: https://www.thedailybeast.com/how-rachel-zegler-is-becoming-the-new-anne-hathaway-the-theater-kid-actress-people-love-to-hate?source=articles&via=twitter_page
January 23, 2022 at 4:25 pm #1204745743Always wins twitter awards
The jealousy 🤣 🤣 🤣 Your clownery not even funny at this point. Kristen won many respected critics and in some of them runner-up, so stay mad. Remind me what Gaga won besides NYFCC and Iowa? Oh and dat recent non-essential vhs something 😭”twitter awards” narrative dat gaga stans pushing so hard is boring and full of $hit.
Remains unbothered.
Oscar 2022 favs:
Best Picture: Drive my Car 🚗
Best Actor: Andrew Garfield / Will Smith
Best Acress: Kristen Stewart / Penelope Cruz
Best Director: Ryusuke Hamaguchi
Best Sup Actor: Kodi Smit-Mcphee
Best Sup Actress: Kristen Dunst / Ariana DeBoseJanuary 23, 2022 at 4:54 pm #1204745770Remains unbothered.
Literally you randomly trashed Lady Gaga a few pages ago calling her the most desperate when no one is talking about her, and when the thread finally had some peace. Now you’re trying to stir up another fight when people actually go back to discuss best actress race lol.
January 23, 2022 at 5:18 pm #1204745796Literally you randomly trashed Lady Gaga a few pages ago calling her the most desperate when no one is talking about her, and when the thread finally had some peace. Now you’re trying to stir up another fight when people actually go back to discuss best actress race lol.
Lol what. I discussed every potential Oscar winner, there was other names too. If you didn’t like my particular remark about G than just ignore it. I have my own opinion and I’m not gonna playing it G stans way. Your buddies trashing other actresses 24/7 here, so first see yourself in a mirror than judge smn else.
Oscar 2022 favs:
Best Picture: Drive my Car 🚗
Best Actor: Andrew Garfield / Will Smith
Best Acress: Kristen Stewart / Penelope Cruz
Best Director: Ryusuke Hamaguchi
Best Sup Actor: Kodi Smit-Mcphee
Best Sup Actress: Kristen Dunst / Ariana DeBoseJanuary 23, 2022 at 5:42 pm #1204745823Just stfu already. Jesus.
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