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Oscars 2022 Predictions: Best Actress (Part 64)

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    Anthagiox
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    #1204745591

    The thing about this year’s Oscars race is that there is no one performance that is universally (or near-universally) acclaimed and/or in a movie that’s a major BP competitor. This is not to say that it’s a “weak” year–far from it, there are some excellent performances this year–but that there isn’t a lot of consensus. If Little Women came out this year Saoirse would win in a walk.

    This is why I feel like if any of the front runners’ movies make it into BP, their chances to win will skyrocket. And maybe I’m biased here, but I feel Gucci is the only one that could possibly make it in (for populist reasons). It won’t be a strong contender for winning BP, but making it in will show support for Gaga.

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    Aaron Kalloo
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    #1204745624

    If Stewart gets the BAFTA nomination, it will be obvious that the consensus 5 (Kidman, Gaga, Colman, Chastain, Stewart) will likely be the Oscar top 5. And it will make things even harder for someone else to sneak in.

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    Drake Cross
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    #1204745637

    If Stewart gets the BAFTA nomination, it will be obvious that the consensus 5 (Kidman, Gaga, Colman, Chastain, Stewart) will likely be the Oscar top 5. And it will make things even harder for someone else to sneak in.

    Couldn’t agree more! Sometimes people just overthink stuff and try to call a surprise that’ll never happen. Im just gonna go with the Globes Drama 5.

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    UnionCityMood
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    #1204745672

    Lol I know most people don’t take Critics Choice award seriously (myself too, they’re indeed the least relevant of the four major precursors). But I believe they have good track record of predicting Oscar nominations.

    2021: 5/5

    2020: 5/5

    2019: 5/5

    2018: 5/5

    2017: 4/5 (Meryl Streep surprise)

    2016: 5/5

    2015: 5/5

    2014: 4/5 (Amy Adams surprise) 

    2013: 5/5

    2012: 3/5 (Glenn Close & Rooney Mara surprises)

    2011: 5/5

    That being said, out of the past 55 Oscar Best Actress nominees, 51 received Critics Choice nominations. In the past 11 years, only 4 actors managed to get an Oscar nom without a CC nomination.

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    borisy
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    #1204745676

    Lol I know most people don’t take Critics Choice award seriously (myself too, they’re indeed the least relevant of the four major precursors). But I believe they have good track record of predicting Oscar nominations. 2021: 5/5 2020: 5/5 2019: 5/5 2018: 5/5 2017: 4/5 (Meryl Streep surprise) 2016: 5/5 2015: 5/5 2014: 4/5 (Amy Adams surprise) 2013: 5/5 2012: 3/5 (Glenn Close & Rooney Mara surprises) 2011: 5/5 That being said, out of the past 55 Oscar Best Actress nominees, 51 received Critics Choice nominations. In the past 11 years, only 4 actors managed to get an Oscar nom without a CC nomination.

    Its easy when you nominate almost everyone

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    Lil Tony
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    #1204745678

    Stay pressed, real talent always wins 💪

    Always wins twitter awards

    Anticipate "Hold My hand".

    Lady Gaga is a genius

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    Lil Tony
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    #1204745686

    Lol I know most people don’t take Critics Choice award seriously (myself too, they’re indeed the least relevant of the four major precursors). But I believe they have good track record of predicting Oscar nominations. 2021: 5/5 2020: 5/5 2019: 5/5 2018: 5/5 2017: 4/5 (Meryl Streep surprise) 2016: 5/5 2015: 5/5 2014: 4/5 (Amy Adams surprise) 2013: 5/5 2012: 3/5 (Glenn Close & Rooney Mara surprises) 2011: 5/5 That being said, out of the past 55 Oscar Best Actress nominees, 51 received Critics Choice nominations. In the past 11 years, only 4 actors managed to get an Oscar nom without a CC nomination.

    51? How old is the Critics Choice?

    Anticipate "Hold My hand".

    Lady Gaga is a genius

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    UnionCityMood
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    #1204745688

    Its easy when you nominate almost everyone

    Yes they nominate 6-8 people per year, same as the Globe which nominate 10 (drama + musical). But if a contender can’t even get in CC where they nominate almost “everyone”, it’s a bad sign for nomination.

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    Lil Tony
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    #1204745700

    Lol I know most people don’t take Critics Choice award seriously (myself too, they’re indeed the least relevant of the four major precursors). But I believe they have good track record of predicting Oscar nominations. 2021: 5/5 2020: 5/5 2019: 5/5 2018: 5/5 2017: 4/5 (Meryl Streep surprise) 2016: 5/5 2015: 5/5 2014: 4/5 (Amy Adams surprise) 2013: 5/5 2012: 3/5 (Glenn Close & Rooney Mara surprises) 2011: 5/5 That being said, out of the past 55 Oscar Best Actress nominees, 51 received Critics Choice nominations. In the past 11 years, only 4 actors managed to get an Oscar nom without a CC nomination.

    They predict it so well because they usually nominate everyone in the top seven. I believe they skipped Meryl Streep (Florence Foster Jenkins) because they didn’t think she would be an Oscar nominee since she wasn’t a clear contender until she hit SAG and got a surprise showing at BAFTA. But a sole CC nom does wonders for newcomers and passion picks……Wallis, Rampling, Aparicio and Cotillard will always thank them

    Anticipate "Hold My hand".

    Lady Gaga is a genius

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    Lil Tony
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    #1204745702

    Yes they nominate 6-8 people per year, same as the Globe which nominate 10 (drama + musical). But if a contender can’t even get in CC where they nominate almost “everyone”, it’s a bad sign for nomination.

    Exactly why Cruz and Thompson are totally out. Even BAFTA can’t save Thompson. She really needed that CC nom

    Anticipate "Hold My hand".

    Lady Gaga is a genius

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    LA26
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    Apr 3rd, 2021
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    #1204745739

    I’m not a Zegler fan, but this Daily Beast article calling her the new Anne Hathaway…the author should have called out Ansel Elgort instead: https://www.thedailybeast.com/how-rachel-zegler-is-becoming-the-new-anne-hathaway-the-theater-kid-actress-people-love-to-hate?source=articles&via=twitter_page

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    Axel
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    #1204745743

    Always wins twitter awards

    The jealousy 🤣 🤣 🤣 Your clownery not even funny at this point. Kristen won many respected critics and in some of them runner-up, so stay mad. Remind me what Gaga won besides NYFCC and Iowa? Oh and dat recent non-essential vhs something 😭”twitter awards” narrative dat gaga stans pushing so hard is boring and full of $hit.

    Remains unbothered.

     

    Oscar 2022 favs:

    Best Picture: Drive my Car 🚗
    Best Actor: Andrew Garfield / Will Smith
    Best Acress: Kristen Stewart / Penelope Cruz
    Best Director: Ryusuke Hamaguchi
    Best Sup Actor: Kodi Smit-Mcphee
    Best Sup Actress: Kristen Dunst / Ariana DeBose

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    UnionCityMood
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    #1204745770

    Remains unbothered.

    Literally you randomly trashed Lady Gaga a few pages ago calling her the most desperate when no one is talking about her, and when the thread finally had some peace. Now you’re trying to stir up another fight when people actually go back to discuss best actress race lol.

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    Axel
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    Jan 26th, 2019
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    #1204745796

    Literally you randomly trashed Lady Gaga a few pages ago calling her the most desperate when no one is talking about her, and when the thread finally had some peace. Now you’re trying to stir up another fight when people actually go back to discuss best actress race lol.

    Lol what. I discussed every potential Oscar winner, there was other names too. If you didn’t like my particular remark about G than just ignore it. I have my own opinion and I’m not gonna playing it G stans way. Your buddies trashing other actresses 24/7 here, so first see yourself in a mirror than judge smn else.

    Oscar 2022 favs:

    Best Picture: Drive my Car 🚗
    Best Actor: Andrew Garfield / Will Smith
    Best Acress: Kristen Stewart / Penelope Cruz
    Best Director: Ryusuke Hamaguchi
    Best Sup Actor: Kodi Smit-Mcphee
    Best Sup Actress: Kristen Dunst / Ariana DeBose

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    jamon__serrano
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    Sep 7th, 2021
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    #1204745823

    Just stfu already. Jesus.

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