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Oscars 2022 Predictions: Best Actress (Part 71)

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  • Anthagiox
    Joined:
    Sep 28th, 2021
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    #1204777051

    She already won 2 capri awards with her supposed “fake italian accent” including italian actress of the year so its clear that people from there don’t got a problem with her accent, she was nominated at AACTA and also she was the only of the possible top 5 that got nom for a important french award and now Bafta top 2, so really, there is no logic in your point. If anything Gaga has proved that her biggest strength is international

    I forgot about all of this. So Gaga has received support from Britain, Australia, France, and Italy. And she’s the only one to receive support from all of those factions.


    TomJerry
    Joined:
    Oct 4th, 2020
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    #1204777053

    Final predictions:
    1. Kirsten Stewart (WINNER)
    2. Jennifer Hudson
    3. Renata Reinsve
    4. Emili Jones
    5. Rachelle Zegler

    Who could be nominated: Olivia Coleman, Jessy Chastain

    Longshots: Nichole Kidman, Lady GaGa

    Bold predictions!


    Joined:
    Jan 1st, 1970
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    #1204777055
    This post was found to be inappropriate by the moderators and has been removed.

    ReginaIsKing
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    Jul 3rd, 2020
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    #1204777072

    There are too many trolls on this website.


    laslo
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    Oct 19th, 2021
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    #1204777077

    Apparently Million Dollar Baby wasn’t released in time (or a screener issue, not sure) in the UK; which I supposed makes sense – the movie got zero nominations ar BAFTA

    Million Dollar Baby was released in time but had a screener issue, Independent UK made a whole article about it back then, saying:

    “British voters have snubbed what some are calling Eastwood’s masterpiece… There are 6,240 members of Bafta, all entitled to vote. Every year distributors send them “screeners” – DVDs of the hundreds of films in the running. There are also special showings of the films. Publicists wage a military-style campaign to ensure that their titles are seen by as many voters as possible. But there is one major hitch. The studios remain terrified of piracy. Some, therefore, refuse to send out screeners. It turns out that the real reason Million Dollar Baby (released in the UK today) has been snubbed is that hardly any voters had seen the film. No screeners were sent out, and the first showing of the film was held disastrously late, it’s a fair bet that around 90 per cent of the voters had not seen the movie.”.

    And that makes Hilary Swank the only precedent (this century) to a possible Oscar win without a BAFTA nomination. Not that suitable tho, since Being the Ricardos was nominated for 2 BAFTAs.


    Chocoesq
    Joined:
    May 1st, 2021
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    #1204777080

    https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js

    Not that this is super relevant, but there are still clips of Gaga from HoG that get millions of views on tik tok this past week alone. The “can I ask you a question scene”, the “papers!?” scene, and “unnecessary detail” scene have amassed 4 million views in the past 4 days on one account alone. The only other performance which has any sort of current relevant impact is maybe Stewart and Haim. In a year where the votes are so up in the air, visibility is important.


    Faux architect
    Joined:
    Mar 29th, 2017
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    #1204777097

    Million Dollar Baby was released in time but had a screener issue, Independent UK made a whole article about it back then, saying: “British voters have snubbed what some are calling Eastwood’s masterpiece… There are 6,240 members of Bafta, all entitled to vote. Every year distributors send them “screeners” – DVDs of the hundreds of films in the running. There are also special showings of the films. Publicists wage a military-style campaign to ensure that their titles are seen by as many voters as possible. But there is one major hitch. The studios remain terrified of piracy. Some, therefore, refuse to send out screeners. It turns out that the real reason Million Dollar Baby (released in the UK today) has been snubbed is that hardly any voters had seen the film. No screeners were sent out, and the first showing of the film was held disastrously late, it’s a fair bet that around 90 per cent of the voters had not seen the movie.”. And that makes Hilary Swank the only precedent (this century) to a possible Oscar win without a BAFTA nomination. Not that suitable tho, since Being the Ricardos was nominated for 2 BAFTAs.

    Comparing stats before and after the process change is a bit hard though. The winner and the first stage top 2 matter since they’re chosen by popular vote. That’s why the BAFTA and Oscar winner are so correlated in the last few years. But in the future, there might be years when the popular vote of the acting branch could eliminate someone that would do well in a general popular vote. I don’t really believe that’s the case this year though. It would be very interesting to see BAFTA and Oscars numbers that show the standings after the nomination voting (acting branch only).

    Pantheon of acting: Uta / Elizabeth / Richard / Sandy (Virginia Woolf), Bibi / Liv (Persona), Sandrine (La Ceremonie), Brie (Short Term 12), Jodie (Silence of the Lambs), Jodie (Killing Eve), Nicole (The Others), Eva (Penny Dreadful), Timothée (CMBYN), Lupita (Us)


    Plumpshell
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    Sep 26th, 2021
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    #1204777105

    Not Plumpshell switching up on Stewart girl 😭

    I’m not switching up. I’m asking a question. The chances of her getting in are a lot less than a month ago! I would love her to get in but I’m also realistic.

    Besides, i have stomped for both Gaga and Kristen so as long as one of them gets in I’m good. It doesn’t make me believe that Kristen deserves to be nominated any less. Its just not her year.


    Plumpshell
    Joined:
    Sep 26th, 2021
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    #1204777113

    I will lose my mind if Kristen and Gaga are nominated though. This whole Oscar thing has been a roller-coaster. I haven’t been here in weeks. I am never doing it again.


    The Northman
    Joined:
    Nov 10th, 2021
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    #1204777115


    Nominations chances calculate by Hollywood Reporter, since it is discussed. Don’t know what formulas he is using.

    https://www.hollywoodreporter.com/movies/movie-news/oscar-nominations-2022-math-predictions-1235087690/


    Jose Anes
    Joined:
    Nov 25th, 2021
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    #1204777119

    Final predictions:
    1. Kirsten Stewart (WINNER)
    2. Jenny Hudson
    3. Renata Reinsve
    4. Emili Jones
    5. Rachelle Zegler
    Fighting for the 5th slot: JLAW

    Who could be nominated: Olivia Coleman, Jessy Chastain

    Longshots: Nichole Kidman, Lady GaGa

    And then you wake up


    xohours
    Joined:
    Aug 13th, 2020
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    #1204777124

    Clayton Davis room on twitter and he said that Feinberg told him, Gaga might not have been TOP2 at BAFTA, he is leaning Jones and Reinsve as a top2 at BAFTA….. i-


    Rachel615
    Joined:
    Sep 20th, 2018
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    #1204777128

    Not that this is super relevant, but there are still clips of Gaga from HoG that get millions of views on tik tok this past week alone. The “can I ask you a question scene”, the “papers!?” scene, and “unnecessary detail” scene have amassed 4 million views in the past 4 days on one account alone. The only other performance which has any sort of current relevant impact is maybe Stewart and Haim. In a year where the votes are so up in the air, visibility is important.

    “Current relevant impact” on whom? I just find it hard to believe that many (any?) AMPAS voters are spending much time this week watching clips of Oscar contending movies on tik tok


    NikoRuscio
    Joined:
    Jan 15th, 2022
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    #1204777132

    Gaga is obviously Top 2.

     

    No way the jury saved her. She is white, starred in an american movie and on top of that the movie had a mid-big budget.


    Opium
    Joined:
    Aug 4th, 2021
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    #1204777135

    Clayton Davis room on twitter and he said that Feinberg told him, Gaga might not have been TOP2 at BAFTA, he is leaning Jones and Reinsve as a top2 at BAFTA….. i-

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