Home Forums Movies Oscars 2022 Predictions: Best Actress (Part 71)

Oscars 2022 Predictions: Best Actress (Part 71)

CREATE A NEW TOPIC
CREATE A NEW POLL
Viewing 15 posts - 16 through 30 (of 503 total)
Created
12 months ago
Last Reply
12 months ago
502
( +4 hidden )
replies
37878
views
97
users
TomJerry
39
P(oweR) Valley
23
Babylonian
17

  • James Gibson
    Joined:
    Jul 8th, 2012
    Topics:
    Posts:
    #1204775623


    Bonehead
    Joined:
    Jan 20th, 2021
    Topics:
    Posts:
    #1204775627

    Possible snub: Gaga 

    While there are certainly some within the Academy who might feel that House of Gucci is a shameless 2.5 hour commercial for the Gucci brand and the Gaga brand, after she picked up BAFTA, there’s virtually no chance she misses.

    She got BFCA, HFPA, SAG, AACTA, and BAFTA.

    IIRC, The only actress in recent memory that lost a nomination after nabbing all those was Marion Cotillard for Rust and Bone.
    A Gaga snub wouldn’t be unprecedented, but it’s still an extremely unlikely possibility at this point.


    jjjmoss
    Joined:
    Jun 2nd, 2016
    Topics:
    Posts:
    #1204775631

    imdb for sag nominees:

    lady gaga 6.8, 57k votes

    olivia colman 6.7, 36k votes

    jessica chastain 6.7, 11k votes

    nicole kidman 6.6, 25k votes

    jennifer hudson 6.6, 10k votes

    I do think Alana will knock out one of them. Possibly sag will go 3/5.

     

    Sag+Oscar last year: Carey 7.5, Frances 7.3, Vanessa 7.1. Viola 6.9 (Andra 6.3).


    James Gibson
    Joined:
    Jul 8th, 2012
    Topics:
    Posts:
    #1204775636

    While there are certainly some within the Academy who might feel that House of Gucci is a shameless 2.5 hour commercial for the Gucci brand and the Gaga brand, after she picked up BAFTA, there’s virtually no chance she misses.

    She got BFCA, HFPA, SAG, AACTA, and BAFTA.

    IIRC, The only actress in recent memory that lost a nomination after nabbing all those was Marion Cotillard for Rust and Bone. A Gaga snub wouldn’t be unprecedented, but still extremely unlikely.

    What is so bizarre on this “we have precedents of going all precursos and missing the Oscars” argument is that those snubs were from people #4-5 in predictions, in weak vehicles or not individual passion for their performance to get enough #1 votes (Amy Adams in Arrival).

    Gaga was always considered the strongest part of her film, getting love regardless of attention for HoG. And she wasn’t like a filler nod at BAFTA, she was top 2 (if not #1), so enough individual love .

    Pundits still considering her a possible snub on nomination morning can be nothing else but hopedicting at this point cause it’s not applicable to previous cases at all.


    Joined:
    Jan 1st, 1970
    Topics:
    Posts:
    #1204775644
    This post was found to be inappropriate by the moderators and has been removed.

    Anthagiox
    Joined:
    Sep 28th, 2021
    Topics:
    Posts:
    #1204775648

    What I just realized is that a lot of these predictors and media sites that declared Gaga the frontrunner before Gucci even came out are backing off of her now that she has the strongest record of support among the industry. None of it makes any sense.


    FilmRoyalty
    Joined:
    Oct 5th, 2011
    Topics:
    Posts:
    #1204775662

    Tuesday is about to be a mess. I’m ready.


    P(oweR) Valley
    Joined:
    Sep 27th, 2011
    Topics:
    Posts:
    #1204775676

    If Gaga misses after all the stuff going for her, it would be unprecedented. But stranger things have happened. I still say she’s in by a mile, but a Gaga snub would cause this site to shut down.


    Cinema2050
    Joined:
    Jan 21st, 2017
    Topics:
    Posts:
    #1204775679

    Tuesday is about to be a mess. I’m ready.

    It’s the opposite, Oscar nominations will reposition things back to order after the BAFTA Grammy-like nominations.

    When the legend is out, the best actress category is a mess and the most boring category of Oscar night.


    Babylonian
    Joined:
    Aug 16th, 2021
    Topics:
    Posts:
    #1204775685

    If Gaga misses after all the stuff going for her, it would be unprecedented. But stranger things have happened. I still say she’s in by a mile, but a Gaga snub would cause this site to shut down.

    I think a KStew snub would cause bigger meltdowns.

    FYC:

    Everything Everywhere All At Once in every eligible category

    Hold My Hand - Lady Gaga for Best Original Song


    Joined:
    Jan 1st, 1970
    Topics:
    Posts:
    #1204775687
    This post was found to be inappropriate by the moderators and has been removed.

    Joined:
    Jan 1st, 1970
    Topics:
    Posts:
    #1204775691
    This post was found to be inappropriate by the moderators and has been removed.

    Eve Harrington
    Joined:
    Nov 11th, 2021
    Topics:
    Posts:
    #1204775697

    A Gaga Snub can happen, Hello Amy Adams in Arrival! It would be the biggest shockery snub since Adams right?

    Probably. That snub still hurts.


    UnionCityMood
    Joined:
    Jan 8th, 2022
    Topics:
    Posts:
    #1204775699

    Amy Adams in Arrival

    That was a very interesting case though. She carried an NBR into the season, hit all 4 major precursors plus AACTA, then missed. The film got BP and 8 nominations in total. The more striking thing is that the nomination date actually works well for her. Voting went from Jan.5 to Jan. 13. CC was held in Dec., GG was on Jan.8, and SAG & Bafta announced noms on Jan. 10. So during Oscar voting they already saw her hitting all 4 precursors.

    I’ve heard an explanation being like “they saw she got all 4 so she’s safe. There is no need to vote for her”. Then there is the fact that Portman won CC in late Dec., Stone and Hupert won GG before voting started, so that placed her to the 4th slot.


    FilmRoyalty
    Joined:
    Oct 5th, 2011
    Topics:
    Posts:
    #1204775704

    It’s the opposite, Oscar nominations will reposition things back to order after the BAFTA Grammy-like nominations.

    BAFTA nominations were beautiful.

    Why are you reporting this post? (optional):
    Not now
Viewing 15 posts - 16 through 30 (of 503 total)

The topic ‘Oscars 2022 Predictions: Best Actress (Part 71)’ is closed to new replies.

Similar Topics
Nameizmann - Feb 2, 2023
Movies
Matthew... - Feb 1, 2023
Movies
Screami... - Jan 31, 2023
Movies