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Oscars 2022 Predictions: Best Actress

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  • Profile picture
    lolo's
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    #1204327446

    Comer gets framed in supporting and wins there.

    She looks quite strong to join the company of Claire Foy and Zendaya as our recent young and acclaimed Lead Drama Actress winners to fail to get the Oscar nom (despite being predicted at early stages)

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    wolfali
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    #1204327457

    She looks quite strong to join the company of Claire Foy and Zendaya as our recent young and acclaimed Lead Drama Actress winners to fail to get the Oscar nom (despite being predicted at early stages)

    Lol what is this. Foy’s film still got four Oscar nominations and she got two televised precursor nominations so she probably wasn’t far off. Zendaya’s film was divisive and got zero Oscar noms.

    Context is key here.

    Oscars FYC:
    "THE POWER OF THE DOG" – IN ALL CATEGORIES
    "SPENCER" – In all categories especially Director (Pablo Larrain) and Actress (Kristen Stewart)
    "SHIVA BABY" – in all categories especially Picture, Adapted Screenplay, Score
    "TOGETHER" – Actress (Sharon Horgan), Actor (James McAvoy), Original Screenplay
    "LAST NIGHT IN SOHO" – Director (Edgar Wright), S. Actress (Anya Taylor-Joy/Diana Rigg), Cinematography, Costume Design and Production Design
    "CODA" – in all categories

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    lolo's
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    #1204327467

    Lol what is this. Foy’s film still got four Oscar nominations and she got two televised precursor nominations so she probably wasn’t far off. Zendaya’s film was divisive and got zero Oscar noms.

    Context is key here.

    Of course, I didn’t say otherwise. I like First Man a lot and think is a great film (I wouldn’t nominate Claire for it though).

    I was just pointing out that I feel that Jodie is more likely to go that route (because she shares more similarity with those actresses) than with others like Viola or Regina as the previous user was implying

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    wolfali
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    #1204327503

    Of course, I didn’t say otherwise. I like First Man a lot and think is a great film (I wouldn’t nominate Claire for it though).

    I was just pointing out that I feel that Jodie is more likely to go that route (because she shares more similarity with those actresses) than with others like Viola or Regina as the previous user was implying

    The thing is though that the hype for Comer and predictions of her isn’t based on the fact that she won an Emmy two years ago but more on the pedigree of The Last Duel, the baitiness of the role and the film’s awards release date. Perhaps it wasn’t so much of a case with Foy (because most of First Man’s pre-hype was around it being Damien Chazelle’s first post La La Land feature) but people largely predicted Zendaya at first purely because she had leftover buzz from her historic Emmy win.

    Oscars FYC:
    "THE POWER OF THE DOG" – IN ALL CATEGORIES
    "SPENCER" – In all categories especially Director (Pablo Larrain) and Actress (Kristen Stewart)
    "SHIVA BABY" – in all categories especially Picture, Adapted Screenplay, Score
    "TOGETHER" – Actress (Sharon Horgan), Actor (James McAvoy), Original Screenplay
    "LAST NIGHT IN SOHO" – Director (Edgar Wright), S. Actress (Anya Taylor-Joy/Diana Rigg), Cinematography, Costume Design and Production Design
    "CODA" – in all categories

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    lolo's
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    #1204327535

    The thing is though that the hype for Comer and predictions of her isn’t based on the fact that she won an Emmy two years ago but more on the pedigree of The Last Duel, the baitiness of the role and the film’s awards release date. Perhaps it wasn’t so much of a case with Foy (because most of First Man’s pre-hype was around it being Damien Chazelle’s first post La La Land feature) but people largely predicted Zendaya at first purely because she had leftover buzz from her historic Emmy win.

    All fair points. I just tried to say that I feel that Jodie is more likely to go to the group of actresses that do not get the nomination than to the ‘Emmy Lead Actress to Oscar pipeline’ (which is obviously a prediction since we do not know much). I don’t trust Scott to make a movie that is not bland nowadays and I don’t feel like the current Academy will gravitate towards this

    Separately, I disagree with saying that Zendaya was only predicted because of the Emmy: there was a lot of buzz about the role, the fact that Netflix wanted to make eligibility, initial reactions were very good… People added also the Emmy point, but like it was done with Foy, Regina or Taylor-Joy this year.

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    Manav
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    #1204327552

    When she wins in 2023 for Women Talking…

    Over Margot Robbie in the Barbie film,Kate Winslet in Lee (or Fake!), Glenn Close in Sunset Boulevard,Viola Davis in The Woman King and Carey Mulligan in Fingernails?

    I’m not saying she can’t win but her competition will most likely be very stiff.

    FYC

    **Winter Awards TV:**

    Limited:Kate Winslet, Julianne Nicholson,Evan Peters, Jean Smart, Jessica Chastain, Oscar Isaac, Margaret Qualley,Murray Bartlett, Jennifer Coolidge.

    Comedy: Jason Sudeikis, Juno Temple, Brett Goldstein,Hannah Waddingham,Jean Smart.

    Drama: Squid Game,Elisabeth Moss.

    **Oscars:**

    Movies: Mass, King Richard, The Lost Daughter.

    Actress: Jessica Chastain, Kristen Stewart,Olivia Colman

    Actor: Will Smith, Benedict Cumberbatch

    Supporting Actor: Jason Isaacs

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    braydenfitzsimmons
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    #1204327567

    Give how unpredictable the Academy is, anyone think actresses being highly predicted now might not end up getting nominated in the end (e.g Lady Gaga).

    Margot Robbie

    Oscars FYC:

    "CODA" – in all categories

    "Everybody's Talking About Jamie" – Sup. Actor (Richard E. Grant), Sup. Actress (Sarah Lancashire) and Original Song (“This Was Me”)

    "King Richard" – Original Song (“Be Alive”)

    "Summer of Soul" – Picture, Film Editing and Documentary Feature

    “The Green Knight” – in all categories

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    #1204327587
    This post was found to be inappropriate by the moderators and has been removed.
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    Barbra Please
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    #1204327594

    Is there any foreign-language performances that are in the contention right now? It feels like the same actresses from past years competing all the time. It’s time to recognize more international talents to break the hollywood.

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    Sir Shaw
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    #1204327621

    Is there any foreign-language performances that are in the contention right now? It feels like the same actresses from past years competing all the time. It’s time to recognize more international talents to break the hollywood.

    If it’s out this year, Tang Wei for Decision to Leave.

    Sounds just poppy enough in it’s sensibilities for it to break out big.

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    Calvin
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    #1204327652

    1. Kirsten Dunst, The Power of the Dog

    2. Jennifer Hudson, Respect

    3. Lady Gaga, House

    4. Kirsten Stewart, Spencer

    5. Alicia Vikander, Blue Bayou

    6. Tang Wei, Decision to Leave

    7. Jessica Chastain, The Eyes of Tammy Faye

    8. Rachel Zegler, West Side Story

    9. Halle Berry, Bruised

    10. Marion Cotillard, Annettte

    Still celebrating Supporting Actress - Youn Yuh-jung (Minari)

    FYC Emmys: The Underground Railroad

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    Foolio
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    #1204327711

    Presuming Kidman’s movie is released next year and Comer goes Supporting:

    Frontrunners

    Ana de Armas, Blonde
    Margot Robbie, Canterbury Glass
    Halle Berry, Bruised

    Next in line

    Frances McDormand, The Tragedy of Macbeth
    Jessica Chastain, The Eyes of Tammy Faye
    Jennifer Hudson, Respect
    Kirsten Dunst, The Power of the Dog

    On the brink

    Marion Cotillard, Annette
    Amanda Seyfried, A Mouthful of Air
    Lady Gaga, House of Gucci

    Strong possibilities

    Kristen Stewart, Spencer
    Cate Blanchett, Nightmare Alley
    Olivia Colman, The Lost Daughter
    Jennifer Lawrence, Don’t Look Up
    Thomasin McKenzie, Last Night in Soho
    Rachel Zegler, West Side Story

    Possibilities

    Emilia Jones, Coda
    Tessa Thompson, Passing
    Martha Plimpton, Mass
    Claire Foy, Louis Wain
    Caitriona Balfe, Belfast

    Longer shots

    Sandra Bullock, Unforgiven
    Naomi Harris, Swan Song

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    Elsa Korr
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    Oct 16th, 2020
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    #1204327717

    Over Margot Robbie in Babylon, Emma Stone in Poor Things, Olivia Colman in Empire of Light,Viola Davis in The Woman King and Carey Mulligan in She Said.  I’m not saying she can’t win but her competition will most likely be very stiff.

    FTFY

    FYC-Nightmare Alley in All Categories (Best Picture, Guillermo Del Toro for Best Director, Bradley Cooper for Best Actor, Cate Blanchett for Best Actress, Rooney Mara for Best Supporting Actress, Richard Jenkins for Best Supporting Actor)

    FYC-Last Night in Soho (Edgar Wright for Best Director, Thomasin McKenzie for Best Actress, Anya Taylor Joy for Best Supporting Actress, Edgar Wright and Krysty Wilson Cairns for Best Original Screenplay)

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    OneAndOnly
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    Mar 21st, 2017
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    #1204327723

    When Jessica Chastain steamrolls…

    Have a great day if you see this!

    FYC: Ted Lasso

    Straight/BLM

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    Foolio
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    #1204327740

    Obviously could be wrong but I think she’s supporting. Or at least was in supporting when the film was in the predictions centre last year (when it was assumed to be a 2020 release).

    Thanks for the heads up! We shall see.

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