Oscars 2022 Predictions: Best Actress

[lolo's Joined: Aug 3rd, 2013 Topics: 0 Posts: 285 View Predictions]

#1204327446

crabbie wrote:

Comer gets framed in supporting and wins there.

She looks quite strong to join the company of Claire Foy and Zendaya as our recent young and acclaimed Lead Drama Actress winners to fail to get the Oscar nom (despite being predicted at early stages)

[wolfali Joined: Sep 4th, 2018 Topics: 245 Posts: 37573 View Predictions]

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lolo's wrote:

She looks quite strong to join the company of Claire Foy and Zendaya as our recent young and acclaimed Lead Drama Actress winners to fail to get the Oscar nom (despite being predicted at early stages)

Lol what is this. Foy’s film still got four Oscar nominations and she got two televised precursor nominations so she probably wasn’t far off. Zendaya’s film was divisive and got zero Oscar noms.

Context is key here.

FYC: Better Call Saul, The English and The Good Fight in all categories including Emily Blunt, Bob Odenkirk, Christine Baranski and Rhea Seehorn.

[lolo's Joined: Aug 3rd, 2013 Topics: 0 Posts: 285 View Predictions]

#1204327467

wolfali wrote:

Lol what is this. Foy’s film still got four Oscar nominations and she got two televised precursor nominations so she probably wasn’t far off. Zendaya’s film was divisive and got zero Oscar noms.

Context is key here.

Of course, I didn’t say otherwise. I like First Man a lot and think is a great film (I wouldn’t nominate Claire for it though).

I was just pointing out that I feel that Jodie is more likely to go that route (because she shares more similarity with those actresses) than with others like Viola or Regina as the previous user was implying

[wolfali Joined: Sep 4th, 2018 Topics: 245 Posts: 37573 View Predictions]

#1204327503

lolo's wrote:

Of course, I didn’t say otherwise. I like First Man a lot and think is a great film (I wouldn’t nominate Claire for it though).

I was just pointing out that I feel that Jodie is more likely to go that route (because she shares more similarity with those actresses) than with others like Viola or Regina as the previous user was implying

The thing is though that the hype for Comer and predictions of her isn’t based on the fact that she won an Emmy two years ago but more on the pedigree of The Last Duel, the baitiness of the role and the film’s awards release date. Perhaps it wasn’t so much of a case with Foy (because most of First Man’s pre-hype was around it being Damien Chazelle’s first post La La Land feature) but people largely predicted Zendaya at first purely because she had leftover buzz from her historic Emmy win.

FYC: Better Call Saul, The English and The Good Fight in all categories including Emily Blunt, Bob Odenkirk, Christine Baranski and Rhea Seehorn.

[lolo's Joined: Aug 3rd, 2013 Topics: 0 Posts: 285 View Predictions]

#1204327535

wolfali wrote:

The thing is though that the hype for Comer and predictions of her isn’t based on the fact that she won an Emmy two years ago but more on the pedigree of The Last Duel, the baitiness of the role and the film’s awards release date. Perhaps it wasn’t so much of a case with Foy (because most of First Man’s pre-hype was around it being Damien Chazelle’s first post La La Land feature) but people largely predicted Zendaya at first purely because she had leftover buzz from her historic Emmy win.

All fair points. I just tried to say that I feel that Jodie is more likely to go to the group of actresses that do not get the nomination than to the ‘Emmy Lead Actress to Oscar pipeline’ (which is obviously a prediction since we do not know much). I don’t trust Scott to make a movie that is not bland nowadays and I don’t feel like the current Academy will gravitate towards this

Separately, I disagree with saying that Zendaya was only predicted because of the Emmy: there was a lot of buzz about the role, the fact that Netflix wanted to make eligibility, initial reactions were very good… People added also the Emmy point, but like it was done with Foy, Regina or Taylor-Joy this year.

[Manav Joined: Dec 21st, 2019 Topics: 61 Posts: 6703 View Predictions]

#1204327552

wolfali wrote:

When she wins in 2023 for Women Talking…

Over Margot Robbie in the Barbie film,Kate Winslet in Lee (or Fake!), Glenn Close in Sunset Boulevard,Viola Davis in The Woman King and Carey Mulligan in Fingernails?

I’m not saying she can’t win but her competition will most likely be very stiff.

[braydenfitzsimmons Joined: May 3rd, 2015 Topics: 97 Posts: 8652 View Predictions]

#1204327567

LA26 wrote:

Give how unpredictable the Academy is, anyone think actresses being highly predicted now might not end up getting nominated in the end (e.g Lady Gaga).

Margot Robbie

[Joined: Jan 1st, 1970 Topics: 0 Posts: 265 View Predictions]

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This post was found to be inappropriate by the moderators and has been removed.

[Barbra Please Joined: Oct 21st, 2018 Topics: 47 Posts: 2284 View Predictions]

#1204327594

Is there any foreign-language performances that are in the contention right now? It feels like the same actresses from past years competing all the time. It’s time to recognize more international talents to break the hollywood.

[Sir Shaw Joined: Aug 1st, 2019 Topics: 7 Posts: 1388 View Predictions]

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Barbra Please wrote:

Is there any foreign-language performances that are in the contention right now? It feels like the same actresses from past years competing all the time. It’s time to recognize more international talents to break the hollywood.

If it’s out this year, Tang Wei for Decision to Leave.

Sounds just poppy enough in it’s sensibilities for it to break out big.

[Joined: Jan 1st, 1970 Topics: 1 Posts: 320 View Predictions]

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This post was found to be inappropriate by the moderators and has been removed.

[Foolio Joined: Jan 24th, 2017 Topics: 1 Posts: 644 View Predictions]

#1204327711

Presuming Kidman’s movie is released next year and Comer goes Supporting:

Frontrunners

Ana de Armas, Blonde
Margot Robbie, Canterbury Glass
Halle Berry, Bruised

Next in line

Frances McDormand, The Tragedy of Macbeth
Jessica Chastain, The Eyes of Tammy Faye
Jennifer Hudson, Respect
Kirsten Dunst, The Power of the Dog

On the brink

Marion Cotillard, Annette
Amanda Seyfried, A Mouthful of Air
Lady Gaga, House of Gucci

Strong possibilities

Kristen Stewart, Spencer
Cate Blanchett, Nightmare Alley
Olivia Colman, The Lost Daughter
Jennifer Lawrence, Don’t Look Up
Thomasin McKenzie, Last Night in Soho
Rachel Zegler, West Side Story

Possibilities

Emilia Jones, Coda
Tessa Thompson, Passing
Martha Plimpton, Mass
Claire Foy, Louis Wain
Caitriona Balfe, Belfast

Longer shots

Sandra Bullock, Unforgiven
Naomi Harris, Swan Song

[Elsa Korr Joined: Oct 16th, 2020 Topics: 4 Posts: 1859 View Predictions]

#1204327717

Manav wrote:

Over Margot Robbie in Babylon, Emma Stone in Poor Things, Olivia Colman in Empire of Light,Viola Davis in The Woman King and Carey Mulligan in She Said.  I’m not saying she can’t win but her competition will most likely be very stiff.

FTFY

FYC:
Best Director: Edgar Wright, Guillermo Del Toro, Jane Campion
Best Picture: Nightmare Alley, The Power of the Dog
Best Actress: Kristen Stewart, Thomasin McKenzie, Rooney Mara, Tessa Thompson
Best Actor: Benedict Cumberbatch, Bradley Cooper
Best S. Actress: Cate Blanchett, Diana Rigg, Anya Taylor Joy
Best S. Actor: Kodi Smit McPhee, Willem Dafoe, Richard Jenkins

[OneAndOnly Joined: Mar 21st, 2017 Topics: 12 Posts: 1169 View Predictions]

#1204327723

When Jessica Chastain steamrolls…

Have a great day if you see this!

FYC:
EEAAO
Andor

[Foolio Joined: Jan 24th, 2017 Topics: 1 Posts: 644 View Predictions]

#1204327740

Obviously could be wrong but I think she’s supporting. Or at least was in supporting when the film was in the predictions centre last year (when it was assumed to be a 2020 release).

Thanks for the heads up! We shall see.