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Oscars 2022 Predictions: Best Picture and Director (Part 11)

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    federico rubachin
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    #1204484324

    No it won’t. Can You Ever Forgive Me and Mary Poppins Returns would have had the remaining slots. I’m not saying that those were better films than Cold War but they were nominated in the precursors unlike Cold War.

    Phantom Thread was not in the precursors but earn a best picture nomination thanks to the director nomination. In that year the nominations were 9 movies. In recent years, when there is a film nominated for best director without a film nomination, there are only 8 nominated for best picture. With 10 nominees for best picture cold war should have been able to be nominated thanks to the directors branch

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    FreemanGriffin
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    #1204484332

    Every single year there is always one film that over-performs and one that under-performs. We are like detectives during Oscar season trying to figure out which films it will be! Fortunately we have 4 1/2 more months to figure it all out!

    I need to see The Tragedy of Macbeth for myself to see what I think of it. It looks visually interesting for certain but I have reservations about the casting which will require actually seeing the movie to overcome – or not overcome. There is no reason to attack this perfectly acceptable and sensible approach to it.

    I remember a few years ago when Lady Bird wasn’t seen as a serious contender until very late in the Oscar season; we may get a film that surprises us in the same way this year.

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    Oscirus Jones
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    Mar 8th, 2021
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    #1204484347

    Im waiting for armand to release his opinions before I guess macbeths oscar odds :cool

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    pedrohf2001
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    Jan 27th, 2021
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    #1204484488

    Well. Once again, twitter rumours of a movie being bad proved wrong. Just people that use false speculation for clout. Or to create a negative narrative for a movie they want to fail.

    The Tragedy of Macbeth is getting raves. 100% RT with 18 reviews

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    SN
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    Dec 7th, 2014
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    #1204484510

    I wouldn’t rule out West Side Story just yet. I’m not optimistic about it, but it could happen. At worst, it’s getting tech noms like Mary Poppins Returns.

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    Alessandro Leri
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    #1204484559

    List of my frontrunners

    Picture
    1) Belfast
    2) Don’t Look up
    3) The Power of the Dog
    4) Licorice Pizza
    5) The Tragedy Of Macbeth
    6) Dune
    7) Passing
    8) King Richard
    9) West Side Story
    10) È stata la mano di Dio

    Director
    1) Jane Campeon-TPOTD
    2) Paul Thomas Anderson-Licorice Pizza
    3) Kenneth Branagh-Belfast
    4) Adam McKay-DLU
    5) Paolo Sorrentino- È stata la mano di Dio

    Actor
    1) Will Smith
    2) Benedict Cumberbatch
    3) Denzel Washington
    4) Adam Driver
    5) Peter Dinklage

    Actress
    1) Kristen Stewart
    2) Jennifer Hudson
    3) Jessica Chastain
    4) Lady Gaga
    5) Penelope Cruz

     

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    OscarWatcher1971
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    #1204484818

    My new thread got cut, I assume because I’m new. I’m sure it’s been discussed already but really interested by piece on composite Telluride (people & professional ratings) at Michael’s Tellirude Blog Spot.

    For every year since 2012, the winner here has won best picture except 2018 when Green Book didn’t play it.

    This year’s results:

    1) The Power of the Dog (8.95) [2/1]
    2) Belfast (8.42) [3/4]
    3) The Rescue (8.13) [6/2]
    4) Marcel the Shell with Shoes On (8.01) [1/10]
    5) King Richard (7.98) [7/5]
    6) Spencer (7.77) [4/12]
    7) Red Rocket (7.63) [5/15]
    8) C’mon C’mon (7.58) [9/6)
    9) Cyrano (7.08) [11/8]
    10) The Lost Daughter (6.92) [10/14]
    11) The French Dispatch (5.55) [12/17]
    12) Encounter (5.14) [13/18]

    The power of the dog also made the all-time top 10
    1) 12 Years a Slave (9.25) 2013 Tie (Won Best Picture)
    1) Argo (9.25) 2012 Tie (Won Best Picture)
    3) Roma (9.20) 2018 (Won Best Foreign Language Film)
    4) Moonlight (9.19) 2016 (Won Best Picture)
    5) Birdman (9.18) 2014 (Won Best Picture)
    6) Parasite (9.11) 2019 (Won Best Picture)
    7) Stories We Tell (9.10) 2012
    8) Tim’s Vermeer (8.97) 2013
    9) The Power of the Dog (8.95) 2021
    10) The Two Popes (8.93) 2019

    Yes, I know, I know, Netflix bias and all, but with Silver Lion & runner up TIFF audience award, TPOTD is positioned very strongly.

     

     

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    FreemanGriffin
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    #1204484825

    ^I love that Belfast is in second place!!!! I think we are going to have a fierce battle for BP this year (among 4 or 5 films) and there will be no clear frontrunner for quite some time!

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    gorman
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    Dec 24th, 2017
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    #1204484868

    Quite pleased those Macbeth-Venice rumours were proven to be as ridiculous as they sounded at the time. Still somewhat apprehensive for how receptive audiences and the Academy will be towards it, and whilst I don’t necessarily agree I think being an adaptation of such a well known Shakespeare play will hinder its chances in Director and certainly Screenplay. It’s on the bubble for both, but I won’t predict it in either yet unless Coen has done something really undeniable and revelatory with it. As for what I think it will be nominated for – Picture, Actor, Actress (or Supp. Actress – unsure where that stands), Cinematography, maybe Production Design and Sound. By the sounds of it, it could win Cinematography and Denzel and McDormand have strong chances (McDormand primarily if she’s run in Supporting).

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    Richie Rich
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    Aug 6th, 2021
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    #1204485000

    Please no. I love Frances McDormand but she doesn’t need another oscar. She can still be nominated though.

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    WildChalice
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    Apr 22nd, 2017
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    #1204485222

    Picture:

    1.) The Power of the Dog

    2.) Belfast

    3.) Dune

    4.) Nightmare Alley

    5.) House of Gucci

    6.) Licorice Pizza

    7.) The Tragedy of Macbeth

    8.) King Ricard

    9.) West Side Story

    10.) Don’t Look Up

    11.) The French Dispatch

    12.) CODA

    13.) Spencer

    14.) Mass

    15.) tick, tick… Boom!

    Director:

    1.) Jane Campion

    2.) Guillermo del Toro

    3.) Denis Villenueve

    4.) Paul Thomas Anderson

    5.) Joel Coen

    6.) Kenneth Branagh

    7.) Ridley Scott

    8.) Steven Spielberg

    9.) Pedro Almodovar

    10.) Wes Anderson

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    Alessandro Leri
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    #1204485235

    Picture: 1.) The Power of the Dog 2.) Belfast 3.) Dune 4.) Nightmare Alley 5.) House of Gucci 6.) Licorice Pizza 7.) The Tragedy of Macbeth 8.) King Ricard 9.) West Side Story 10.) Don’t Look Up – 11.) The French Dispatch 12.) CODA 13.) Spencer 14.) Mass 15.) tick, tick… Boom! Director: 1.) Jane Campion 2.) Guillermo del Toro 3.) Denis Villenueve 4.) Paul Thomas Anderson 5.) Joel Coen – 6.) Kenneth Branagh 7.) Ridley Scott 8.) Steven Spielberg 9.) Pedro Almodovar 10.) Wes Anderson

    Are you really that confident in nightmare alley? For me it’s not going to be nominated and you forgot the surprise name in directing category. In my opinion it is happening like this :

    Picture
    1) Belfast
    2) Licorice Pizza
    3) The Power of the Dog
    4) Dune
    5) Don’t Look up
    6) The Tragedy of Macbeth
    7) Passing
    8) King Richard
    9) West Side Story
    10) È stata la mano di Dio

    Regista
    1) Jane Campeon-TPOTD
    2) Paul Thomas Anderson-Licorice Pizza
    3) Kenneth Branagh-Belfast
    4) Adam McKay-DLU
    5) Paolo sorrentino-È stata la mano di dio

    Actor
    1) Will Smith
    2) Benedict Cumberbatch
    3) Denzel Washington
    4) Adam Driver
    5) Peter Dinklage

    Actress
    1) Kristen Stewart
    2) Jennifer Hudson
    3) Jessica Chastain
    4) Lady Gaga
    5) Penelope Cruz

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    Stefania
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    Feb 22nd, 2021
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    #1204485324

    Have you seen the new “Don’t Look Up” footage on TUDUM? For me it was 👎🏼 . I would have liked it more if they did more Leo and less of the other characters interrupting him.

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    BetteDavisEyes
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    Apr 23rd, 2021
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    #1204485332

    Don’t Look Up looks mediocre as hell

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    NevadaR
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    Jan 13th, 2018
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    #1204485338

    Don’t Look Up looks mediocre as hell

     

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