October 25, 2021 at 3:53 pm #1204538930
Can ‘Being the Ricardos,’ ‘Nightmare Alley’ and Other Late Releases Still Make an Oscar Impact? Excerpts below, though there’s not a lot of interesting detail. It does seem the “Bradley Cooper’s Licorice Pizza role is small” line is one being focused on recently as a way to pre-emptively cut off supporting-actor nomination talk (Vanity Fair’s pundits made a similar observation).
I sure hope they can because this Oscar season is shaping up to be a snore fest.</p>
I get it in 2020. There were very few movies. But cmon. Lotta great non oscar bait stuff this year.
I sure hope for newcomers making major impactOctober 25, 2021 at 4:13 pm #1204538960
Dune is only locked in Production Design, VFX (which it’s definitely winning) and Sound. Editing is unlikely (it has some passing issues) and Cinematography and Score don’t seem guaranteed imo. I doubt it’s getting a Costume Design nom, as the category is not very sci-fi friendly.October 25, 2021 at 4:21 pm #1204538981
Just saw Dune and I don’t think Denis Villeneuve will be nominated for Best Director; he certainly would not deserve a nomination. The film has some good things in it but it also has insipid dialogue, ugly production designs, and plenty of slow dead spots in its running time. On the plus side the score is excellent, and I would expect the film to definitely get nominations for Visual Effects, Score, and Sound, with the possibility of a few other nominations. But Production Design? I hope not. I found it to be incredibly UGLY to look at, nothing special. Would enough voters get it into one of the ten slots for BP? IDK, but I really hope the Director’s Branch says NO to a nomination for Villeneuve’s so-so direction.October 25, 2021 at 4:26 pm #1204538994
I think Dune is definitely getting into Best Picture. Surprised to see it so low in SAG Ensemble, it seems like a sure bet to me there too. If we’re predicting such an impressive under-the-line haul for it, and it’s actually being widely SEEN (something that can’t be said about Villeneuve’s last film), I think it slots into the fifth-to-seventh range easily. Not everyone may be a fan, but its fans are more than passionate enough.
I’m predicting Villeneuve for Director right now, but he does feel like the type of contender that gets nominated all season but is shut out at the last second for someone like Joachim Trier or PTA.
Dickinson – Hailee Steinfeld, Anna Baryshnikov
Kevin Can F**k Himself – Mary Hollis Inboden
Only Murders – James Caverley
The Other Two – Drew Tarver, Heléne Yorke
Physical – Rose Byrne
Schmigadoon! – Ariana DeBose
The White Lotus – Alexandra DaddarioOctober 25, 2021 at 5:09 pm #1204539068
<i>Licorice Pizza</i> had no reason to skip the festival circuit. Licorice Pizza doesn’t have the prestigious pedigree of Phantom Thread which was had Daniel Day-Lewis’ final exit. I would imagine Haim and Cooper Hoffman could have woo’d possible voters at screenings and the press would have heavily pushed PTA’s overdue narrative from interviews and press junkets.
Michelle Williams Oscar campaign manager.
Picture: The Power of the Dog, Spencer
Director: Jane Campion, Pablo Larraín
Actor: Benedict Cumberbatch
Actress: Kristen Stewart
Supporting Actress: Kirsten Dunst, Anya Taylor-Joy, Rebecca Ferguson
Supporting Actor: Kodi Smit-McPhee
Best Original Screenplay: Spencer
Best Adapted Screenplay: The Power of the Dog
Best Cinematography: The Power of the Dog, Spencer, Last Night in SohoOctober 25, 2021 at 5:10 pm #1204539073This post was found to be inappropriate by the moderators and has been removed.October 25, 2021 at 5:14 pm #1204539080
I sure hope they can because this Oscar season is shaping up to be a snore fest.</p> I get it in 2020. There were very few movies. But cmon. Lotta great non oscar bait stuff this year. I sure hope for newcomers making major impact
Omg, I couldn’t agree more. I thought 2021 would be interesting because of all of the delays, but holy damn this potential BP line-up is filled with musicals, black and white and bait films. Damn, we need a shake-up.October 25, 2021 at 5:15 pm #1204539082This post was found to be inappropriate by the moderators and has been removed.October 25, 2021 at 5:29 pm #1204539104
https://mobile.twitter.com/jasonosia/status/1452718333275607046 This guy is so annoying LOL. Using the c-word again. “Major crowdpleaser”, “compared to Lady Bird”, as if we couldn’t get to those conclusions based on the trailer. The problem is that I can’t see this movie getting any acting nominations with those newcomers/non actors leads, and it doesn’t look like a heavy tech movie either and the direction doesn’t scream direction. It will get a BP nomination with only Screenplay and Editing ? I don’t buy.
“Direction doesn’t scream direction”? Because you can tell from a 2-minute trailer.
Underestimate PTA at your own risk. He’s one of the most acclaimed directors still working and relevant. Remember when he got Picture and Director nominations for Phantom Thread with almost zero precursors for either? As long as LP is a Best Picture nominee, he’s getting into Director, and that’s probably more of a sure bet than Villeneuve & Branagh are. It’s too early to say, but he could potentially even win. It baffles me to see so many people here acting like he has something to prove before he can get nominated, like he’s some nobody.
Licorice Pizza had no reason to skip the festival circuit. Licorice Pizza doesn’t have the prestigious pedigree of Phantom Thread which was had Daniel Day-Lewis’ final exit. I would imagine Haim and Cooper Hoffman could have woo’d possible voters at screenings and the press would have heavily pushed PTA’s overdue narrative from interviews and press junkets.
Maybe, but unlike Phantom Thread, it’s getting a limited release in November, so it has plenty of time to build momentum.October 25, 2021 at 6:12 pm #1204539173
Kubrick, Hitchcock, Welles, Malick, Sofia Coppola, McDonagh, Eggers… How many Oscars did they win? Can’t remember
Coppola won Original Screenplay
Best Director: Edgar Wright, Guillermo Del Toro, Jane Campion
Best Picture: Nightmare Alley, The Power of the Dog
Best Actress: Kristen Stewart, Thomasin McKenzie, Rooney Mara, Tessa Thompson
Best Actor: Benedict Cumberbatch, Bradley Cooper
Best S. Actress: Cate Blanchett, Diana Rigg, Anya Taylor Joy
Best S. Actor: Kodi Smit McPhee, Willem Dafoe, Richard JenkinsOctober 25, 2021 at 6:24 pm #1204539190This post was found to be inappropriate by the moderators and has been removed.October 25, 2021 at 6:57 pm #1204539250
Not one of the experts predicting Mass to win 3 Oscars and Thomasin McKenzie to get nominated for Last Night in Soho (as a lone nominee for the film) 💀💀💀. I mean spill I’d love to see it but lol that’s not happening.
Picture: Passing/The Power of the Dog/Shiva Baby/Spencer
Director: Jane Campion/Rebecca Hall/Pablo Larrain
Actor: Benedict Cumberbatch/Andrew Garfield/Winston Duke
Actress: Olivia Colman/Kristen Stewart/Tessa Thompson
S. Actor: Richard E. Grant/Troy Kotsur/Kodi Smit-McPhee
S. Actress : Kirsten Dunst/Claire Foy/Jayne Houdyshell/Martha Plimpton/Ruth Negga/Diana Rigg/Anya Taylor-Joy
O. Screenplay: Bergman Island/Mass/Nine Days
A. Screenplay: The Lost Daughter/Passing/The Power of the Dog/Shiva BOctober 25, 2021 at 7:20 pm #1204539319
Eternals reviews are decent but it won’t be another Black Panther. It’s just a regular Marvel movie.Not now
The topic ‘Oscars 2022 Predictions: Best Picture and Director (Part 13)’ is closed to new replies.