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Oscars 2022 Predictions: Best Picture and Director (Part 17)

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  • Profile picture
    estrelas
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    Jul 25th, 2018
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    #1204609254

    I’m bored, so I looked up the number of people who have logged the following movies on LB. Of course, they have different release dates and I don’t count movies that have yet to come out like TPOTD or “The Lost Daughter”:

    Mass 4.9k

    The “Belfast” numbers are equally embarrassing for what is supposed to be a frontrunner, but “Mass” is abysmal.

    Mass was released in October and has yet to cross the 1K votes on IMDb. An abysmal amount of 978 people have voted so far. Add that to its disastrous BO performance (145k), and you have one of the biggest tanks of the year. I honestly don’t know how Bleecker Street hasn’t decided to release it on VOD until now. Literally NO ONE has seen this movie. It’s a shame cause I honestly LOVE this cast but this is just an absolute disaster.

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    Stefania
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    #1204609264

    I honestly don’t know how Bleecker Street hasn’t decided to release it on VOD until now.

    Exactly!

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    AjayLopez25
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    Oct 24th, 2019
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    #1204609279

    my Oscars 2022 Best Picture

    top 10

    Belfast – Focus Features

    Mass – Bleecker Street

    Dune – Warner Bros.

    The Power Of The Dog – Netflix

    King Richard – Warner Bros.

    Spencer – Neon

    The Tragedy Of Macbeth – A24 / Apple TV+

    House Of Gucci – MGM

    Nightmare Alley – Searchlight Pictures

    Tick, Tick Boom – Netflix

    next-in-line

    Pig – Neon

    Licorice Pizza – MGM

    CODA – Apple TV+

    Passing – Netflix

    The French Dispatch – Searchlight Pictures

    In The Heights – Warner Bros.

    Annette – Amazon Studios

    Being The Ricardos – Amazon Studios

    West Side Story – 20th Century Studios

    The Green Knight – A24

    followed by

    The Eyes Of Tammy Faye – Searchlight Pictures

    Swan Song – Apple TV+

    Don’t Look Up – Netflix

    The Worst Person In The World – Neon

    Cyrano – MGM

    Titane – Neon

    The Hand Of God – Netflix

    A Hero – Amazon Studios

    Encanto – Walt Disney

    Bruised – Netflix

    other contenders

    C’mon C’mon – A24

    Benedetta – IFC Films

    Luca – Walt Disney

    Respect – MGM

    Last Night In Soho – Focus Features

    Flee – Neon

    The Lost Daughter – Netflix

    Red Rocket – A24

    The Last Duel – 20th Century Studios

    Cruella – Disney+

    Shang-Chi And The Legend Of The Ten Rings – Walt Disney

    Dear Evan Hansen – Universal Pictures

    The Tender Bar – Amazon Studios

    Belle – GKIDS

    Jockey – Sony Pictures Classics

    The Harder They Fall – Netflix

    Parallel Mothers – Sony Pictures Classics

    Zola – A24

    Lamb – A24

    The Humans – A24 / Showtime

    The Duke – Sony Pictures Classics

    Everybody’s Talking About Jamie – Amazon Studios

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    James Gibson
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    #1204609287

    Mass was released in October and has yet to cross the 1K votes on IMDb. An abysmal amount of 978 people have voted so far. Add that to its disastrous BO performance (140k), and you have one of the biggest tanks of the year. I honestly don’t know how Bleecker Street hasn’t decided to release it on VOD until now. Literally NO ONE has seen this movie. It’s a shame cause I honestly LOVE this cast but this is just an absolute disaster.

    Spill, I wanna watch it so bad yet Bleecker wants to hide it from humanity. It’s ridiculous not to release digitally at this point.

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    Stefania
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    #1204609289

    . IMDB is the best, except for movies that star women and POC. That’s why I have settled with Rotten Tomatoes.

    I checked the numbers on IMDB. The numbers are lower, but “The Last Duel” and “CODA” would move up a few positions and “Respect” as well. The rest is the same.

    Dune 352k
    The Green Knight 64k
    Last Night in Soho 43k
    The French Dispatch 30k
    CODA 25k
    The Last Duel 24k
    Titane 18k
    Tick tick Boom 16k
    Annette 12k
    Spencer 12k
    King Richard 12k
    Respect 8.1k
    House of Gucci 6.3k
    Passing 5.8 k
    The Eyes of Tammy Faye 4.3k
    Belfast 2.9k
    Mass 1k

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    Marcus.H
    Joined:
    Oct 21st, 2017
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    #1204609325

    I checked the numbers on IMDB. The numbers are lower, but “The Last Duel” and “CODA” would move up a few positions and “Respect” as well. The rest is the same. Dune 352k The Green Knight 64k Last Night in Soho 43k The French Dispatch 30k CODA 25k The Last Duel 24k Titane 18k Tick tick Boom 16k Annette 12k Spencer 12k King Richard 12k Respect 8.1k House of Gucci 6.3k Passing 5.8 k The Eyes of Tammy Faye 4.3k Belfast 2.9k Mass 1k

    I love The Green Knight so much. Hope it win Gotham awards.

    Coen-Lynch-Fellini

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    Luca Giliberti
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    Jun 23rd, 2017
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    #1204609331

    Mass was released in October and has yet to cross the 1K votes on IMDb. An abysmal amount of 978 people have voted so far. Add that to its disastrous BO performance (145k), and you have one of the biggest tanks of the year. I honestly don’t know how Bleecker Street hasn’t decided to release it on VOD until now. Literally NO ONE has seen this movie. It’s a shame cause I honestly LOVE this cast but this is just an absolute disaster.

    Yeah, not to complain about first-world problems, but I hate that I cannot see this until, what, January? Is that when it comes out on VOD? An absolute mess.

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    estrelas
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    Jul 25th, 2018
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    #1204609375

    Yeah, not to complain about first-world problems, but I hate that I cannot see this until, what, January? Is that when it comes out on VOD? An absolute mess.

    I- 💀💀💀

    Bleecker Street jail pls. I can’t.

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    M
    Joined:
    Sep 27th, 2017
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    #1204609384

    I don’t take imdb ratings seriously, but why is Passing 6.6/10? I heard AwardsWatch panelists complain that the actresses are not “really white passing”, is that really a common complaint about the movie? I didn’t know that’s what people were focusing on (instead of the substance of the movie).

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    JV
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    Dec 31st, 2019
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    #1204609387

    I don’t take imdb ratings seriously, but why is Passing 6.6/10? I heard AwardsWatch panelists complain that the actresses are not “really white passing”, is that really a common complaint about the movie? I didn’t know that’s what people were focusing on (instead of the substance of the movie).

    Trolls will review bomb any movie starring women and POC

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    JV
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    #1204609392

    And any person complaining about Ruth Negga not being “white passing” is straight up DUMB, STUPID.

    That’s the whole fucking point of the movie, and the point of the cinematography.

     

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    FreemanGriffin
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    Feb 19th, 2012
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    #1204609400

    Just saw Mike Mills’s C’mon, C’mon – there are a few “dead spots” where the movie is too slow but overall it’s an excellent movie. The boy is fantastic (and is a lead) and Joaquin Phoenix is exceptionally good, along with Gaby Hoffman and the actor who plays Paul, the bipolar dad-husband (he does great work with pretty much no heard dialogue). The black and white camera work is gorgeous, particularly the establishing shots of each of the cities – this film has tons of different locations outdoors and indoors. The interviews with the children are all fascinating. While the movie isn’t perfect it’s certainly very close to perfect. Phoenix could get a nomination, he is certainly better than you know who, and this could get Mills another Original Screenplay nomination too. Grade: A-

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    Colin Powis
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    #1204609422

    More and more I’m convinced Nightmare Alley could take Picture/Director/Screenplay. There’s not enough passion for Belfast or King Richard, and The Power of the Dog and Licorice Pizza both seem like they might leave audiences cold (albeit not as cold as some would tell you). That leaves a perfect opportunity for Nightmare Alley to come in and sweep, assuming it’s upper-tier del Toro and not another Crimson Peak.

    If Nightmare Alley isn’t received that warmly I don’t know what will happen. Maybe Don’t Look Up could win Picture & Screenplay while Campion or PTA wins Director? Maybe The Power of the Dog or Licorice Pizza could prove their detractors wrong and win despite their divisive nature? Maybe the pundits are right and Belfast actually is winning after all? I don’t know. Anyone who says there’s an obvious frontrunner right now is fooling themselves, I think. But maybe Nightmare Alley could be it? We’ll just have to wait and see.

    I agree, Del Toro won BP with ”Shape of Water” and it was handicapped by the Sci-Fi genre … I bet he wins about 4-5 oscars including BP

    The voters like movies about ”Showbiz” even if its the dark and sleazy underbelly ; they also like retro movies set in the 1930-40s ..moreover, a Film Noir seems to fit the gloomy, pessimistic zeitgeist !

    It’s also true that there’s no outstanding movie out there so NA could win by default

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    M
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    #1204609437

    And any person complaining about Ruth Negga not being “white passing” is straight up DUMB, STUPID.

    That’s the whole fucking point of the movie, and the point of the cinematography.

    Exactly, I couldn’t believe my ears when I heard Sasha Stone and others on the podcast raise that complaint. She said that the director “Rebecca Hall” would’ve been a better fit for someone who’s white passing…. I mean I’d expect it from like some 50 year old redneck or something… But not from cinephiles/critics who should know better.

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    James Gibson
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    #1204609444

    Exactly, I couldn’t believe my ears when I heard Sasha Stone and others on the podcast raise that complaint. She said that the director “Rebecca Hall” would’ve been a better fit for someone who’s white passing…. I mean I’d expect it from like some 50 year old redneck or something… But not from cinephiles/critics who should know better.

    Sasha Stone fits more this description than the latter

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