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Oscars 2022 Predictions: Best Picture and Director (Part 17)

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    kbc
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    Sep 16th, 2021
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    #1204610100

    Just saw The Oscar Expert new predictions video, lol. Pundits still think Belfast is going to sweep? LOL. 🤣

    “Pundits” like that one are awful at pivoting as the landscape changes -Focus smartly planted the bug in the Oscar Twitter instapundit crowd.

    The film’s TIFF audience prize of course means many will be immovable on this point.

    And that ex-Ampas boss Sid Ganis “quote” from Telluride sealed the deal for so so many of them – they’re in deep and won’t back out partly thanks to that:

    FYC
    Best Picture: Jockey
    Director: Clint Bentley
    Actor: Clifton Collins Jr.
    Supporting Actress: Molly Parker
    Supporting Actor: Moises Arias
    Original Screenplay: Clint Bentley, Greg Kwedar
    Cinematography: Adolpho Veloso
    Film Editing: Parker Laramie
    Music Score: Aaron & Bryce Dessner

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    kbc
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    #1204610108

    FYC
    Best Picture: Jockey
    Director: Clint Bentley
    Actor: Clifton Collins Jr.
    Supporting Actress: Molly Parker
    Supporting Actor: Moises Arias
    Original Screenplay: Clint Bentley, Greg Kwedar
    Cinematography: Adolpho Veloso
    Film Editing: Parker Laramie
    Music Score: Aaron & Bryce Dessner

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    M
    Joined:
    Sep 27th, 2017
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    #1204610140

    Every week, “Film has a 6.6/10 in IMDB it won’t get nominated (despite this year being the year of IMDB review bombing literally most films.)”

    I don’t think anyone said that about Passing by the way. We were just talking about the frivolous complaints about the movie.

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    LA26
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    Apr 3rd, 2021
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    #1204610215

    To those who saw Titane: would you recommend it? The impression I’ve gotten from reviews is that it’s not for the faint of heart.

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    PrincessConsuelo
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    Nov 26th, 2021
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    #1204610264

    To those who saw Titane: would you recommend it? The impression I’ve gotten from reviews is that it’s not for the faint of heart.

    It’s bonkers and I absolutely loved it, but it’s not for everyone. If you’re not into horror/surrealism/just overall batshit crazy & graphic stuff, I don’t recommend it.

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    AjayLopez25
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    Oct 24th, 2019
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    #1204610270

    my Oscars 2022 Best Director

    top 5

    Denis Villenueve, ‘Dune

    Kenneth Branagh, ‘Belfast’

    Joel Coen, ‘The Tragedy Of Macbeth’

    Jane Campion, ‘The Power Of The Dog’

    Pablo Larraín, ‘Spencer’

    next-in-line

    Fran Kranz, ‘Mass’

    Lin-Manuel Miranda, ‘Tick, Tick Boom’

    Rebecca Hall, ‘Passing’

    Guillermo Del Toro, ‘Nightmare Alley’

    Aaron Sorkin, ‘Being The Ricardos’

    followed by

    Reinaldo Marcus Green, ‘King Richard’

    Julia Ducournau, ‘Titane’

    Paul Thomas Anderson, ‘Licorice Pizza’

    Destin Daniel Cretton, ‘Shang-Chi And The Legend Of The Ten Rings’

    Steven Speilberg, ‘West Side Story’

    other contenders

    Maggie Gyllenhaal, ‘The Lost Daughter’

    David Lowery, ‘The Green Knight’

    Michael Sarnoski, ‘Pig’

    Ridley Scott, ‘House Of Gucci’

    Joachim Trier, ‘The Worst Person In The World’

    Asghar Farhadi, ‘A Hero’

    Jeymes Samuel, ‘The Harder They Fall’

    Michael Showalter, ‘The Eyes Of Tammy Faye’

    Wes Anderson, ‘The French Dispatch’

    Chloé Zhao, ‘Eternals’

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    braydenfitzsimmons
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    May 3rd, 2015
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    #1204610283

    Oscars FYC:

    "Lamb" – International Feature and all categories

    "Summer of Soul" – Picture, Film Editing and Documentary Feature

    “The Green Knight” – in all categories

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    pedrohf2001
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    M
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    #1204610302

    French Dispatch did 25k per theatre in the preview and peaked at 2.6M in the third week. So maybe LP can do 3-4M? We’ll see.

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    Jan 1st, 1970
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    #1204610359
    This post was found to be inappropriate by the moderators and has been removed.
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    Stefania
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    Feb 22nd, 2021
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    #1204610373

    Matt Neglia updated his list of favorite movies of 2021 on LB and “Belfast” is n.61, so he’s pushing hard for a movie that he didn’t even like that much? 🙃

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    kbc
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    Sep 16th, 2021
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    #1204610386

    Matt Neglia updated his list of favorite movies of 2021 on LB and “Belfast” is n.61, so he’s pushing hard for a movie that he didn’t even like that much? 🙃

    NBP is on hard ignore for so many reasons

    FYC
    Best Picture: Jockey
    Director: Clint Bentley
    Actor: Clifton Collins Jr.
    Supporting Actress: Molly Parker
    Supporting Actor: Moises Arias
    Original Screenplay: Clint Bentley, Greg Kwedar
    Cinematography: Adolpho Veloso
    Film Editing: Parker Laramie
    Music Score: Aaron & Bryce Dessner

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    SaulAtreides
    Joined:
    Jul 27th, 2021
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    #1204610427

    Matt Neglia updated his list of favorite movies of 2021 on LB and “Belfast” is n.61, so he’s pushing hard for a movie that he didn’t even like that much? 🙃

    I don’t think they particularly like it, but they have like a list of checkmarks and Belfast gets closest to the idea of what they expect a BP winner to look like.

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    Grand Sprites
    Joined:
    Sep 16th, 2018
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    #1204610429

    I don’t think they particularly like it, but they have like a list of checkmarks and Belfast gets closest to the idea of what they expect a BP winner to look like.

    Same reason so many of them thought Trial of the Chicago 7 was winning, even though not very many people thought it was that great. Sometimes a film is less than the sum of its parts.

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    lorelei lor
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    Dec 20th, 2017
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    #1204610442

    I have a feeling Licorice Pizza might ultimately win Best Picture.

    I loved Licorice Pizza but I don’t see this winning. Are the really giving it to this cute and funny coming of age story with no discernible plot? I feel like many voters won’t consider it important enough for the big prize. If I’m wrong then I’m wrong and I could see a path if PTA is sweeping critics but that won’t happen with Campion right there. I do hope it wins Screenplay over Belfast though. Alana is a star and deserves a nom.

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