Home Forums Movies Oscars 2022 Predictions: Best Picture and Director (Part 17)

Oscars 2022 Predictions: Best Picture and Director (Part 17)

CREATE A NEW TOPIC
CREATE A NEW POLL
Viewing 15 posts - 481 through 495 (of 500 total)
Created
2 months ago
Last Reply
2 months ago
499
replies
41250
views
95
users
kbc
42
kaziz
37
pedrohf2001
35
  • Profile picture
    ejaru1810
    Joined:
    Sep 10th, 2021
    Topics:
    Posts:
    #1204614751

    How is she more locked than Spielberg if this is one of his best movies, as reactions are indicating.

    Because, unlike WSS, the Power of the Dog is a top 3 contender for Best Picture, Jane’s been the frontrunner for Director since Venice and the film has a huge chance of winning Adapted Screenplay too, also the film is getting easily 3 actors nominated, so TPOTD is a stronger film.

    Profile picture
    crabbie
    Joined:
    Feb 26th, 2021
    Topics:
    Posts:
    #1204614758

    How is she more locked than Spielberg if this is one of his best movies, as reactions are indicating.

    Because Campion is the film festival darling director whose movie went to Venice, Telluride, TIFF, NYFF, LFF, and AFI to critical acclaim. It’s really not that difficult to understand.

    Michelle Williams Oscar campaign manager.

    FYC:
    Picture: Drive My Car, The Power of the Dog, Licorice Pizza, Spencer, C'mon C'mon
    Director: Jane Campion, Ryusuke Hamaguchi, Pablo Larraín, Paul Thomas Anderson,
    Actor: Benedict Cumberbatch, Joaquin Phoenix. Hidetoshi Nishijima
    Actress: Kristen Stewart, Alana Haim
    Supporting Actress: Kirsten Dunst, Ruth Negga, Cate Blanchett, Ariana DeBose
    Supporting Actor: Kodi Smit-McPhee
    Best Original Screenplay: Licorice Pizza, C'mon C'mon,

    Profile picture
    SaulAtreides
    Joined:
    Jul 27th, 2021
    Topics:
    Posts:
    #1204614764

    Because, unlike WSS, the Power of the Dog is a top 3 contender for Best Picture

    We don’t know where WSS stands right now, but the reactions are very positive, Spielberg is a bigger name, the movie is a theatrical exclusive, and it has more buzz. TPOTD has…the Silver Lion from Venice, I guess, after failing to beat Happening for the Golden Lion.

    Because Campion is the film festival darling director whose movie went to Venice, Telluride, TIFF, NYFF, LFF, and AFI to critical acclaim. It’s really not that difficult to understand.

    It’s a niche film people are not particularly interested in, so of course it went the festivals route, WSS doesn’t need to.

    Profile picture
    kbc
    Joined:
    Sep 16th, 2021
    Topics:
    Posts:
    #1204614766

    And to all those people calling Belfast a flop. You all clearly don’t study the box office like I do. To know that there is a thing called box office pattern. And similar movies perform the about same at the box office.

    The perfect comp for Belfast is the 1987 movie Hope and Glory another British coming of age film about a young boy growing up during the turbulent times of the second world war. It grossed only $10 million worldwide but was still nominated for Best Picture, Director and Screenplay.

    All Oscar talk aside, Hope and Glory wasn’t considered a box office success in 1987, just fyi. So one could, with reason, call both H&G and Belfast box office disappointments rn. And by the comp of another 1987 coming of age film about a young British boy growing up during times of war, Empire of the Sun, with box office north of $60 million, both of the other two films look like they really didn’t take off – this even accounting for EOTS’s “Spielberg premium,” which helped offset the lack of star power on screen. Presumably you opted for H&G b/c it was better received by Ampas, but of course it could have done a lot better financially looking at the bar set by EOTS, and perhaps H&G lost some audience to people who saw EOTS and had had their fill of that specific take on the genre then.

    FYC
    Best Picture: Jockey
    Director: Clint Bentley
    Actor: Clifton Collins Jr.
    Supporting Actress: Molly Parker
    Supporting Actor: Moises Arias
    Original Screenplay: Clint Bentley, Greg Kwedar
    Cinematography: Adolpho Veloso
    Film Editing: Parker Laramie
    Music Score: Aaron & Bryce Dessner

    Profile picture
    pedrohf2001
    Joined:
    Jan 27th, 2021
    Topics:
    Posts:
    #1204614769

    Because, unlike WSS, the Power of the Dog is a top 3 contender for Best Picture, Jane’s been the frontrunner for Director since Venice and the film has a huge chance of winning Adapted Screenplay too, also the film is getting easily 3 actors nominated, so TPOTD is a stronger film.

    You don’t know what top contender WSS will be. You’re also assuming the Academy will still be on board with TPOTD once WSS, Don’t Look Up, Nightmare Alley and Licorice Pizza release which may be or not true.

    I mean, TPOTD is being discarded over goddamn Belfast Lol.

    Profile picture
    crabbie
    Joined:
    Feb 26th, 2021
    Topics:
    Posts:
    #1204614772

    It’s a niche film people are not particularly interested in, so of course it went the festivals route, WSS doesn’t need to.

    You are insisting Spielberg is threatening to take Campion’s spot when Campion is locked in the top 2 director spots so this comparison is moot.

    Michelle Williams Oscar campaign manager.

    FYC:
    Picture: Drive My Car, The Power of the Dog, Licorice Pizza, Spencer, C'mon C'mon
    Director: Jane Campion, Ryusuke Hamaguchi, Pablo Larraín, Paul Thomas Anderson,
    Actor: Benedict Cumberbatch, Joaquin Phoenix. Hidetoshi Nishijima
    Actress: Kristen Stewart, Alana Haim
    Supporting Actress: Kirsten Dunst, Ruth Negga, Cate Blanchett, Ariana DeBose
    Supporting Actor: Kodi Smit-McPhee
    Best Original Screenplay: Licorice Pizza, C'mon C'mon,

    Profile picture
    lorelei lor
    Joined:
    Dec 20th, 2017
    Topics:
    Posts:
    #1204614777

    Some people here really shaking a woman might win again lmao

    Profile picture
    SaulAtreides
    Joined:
    Jul 27th, 2021
    Topics:
    Posts:
    #1204614781

    You are insisting Spielberg is threatening to take Campion’s spot when Campion is locked in the top 2 director spots so this comparison is moot.

    I don’t think he’s threatening to take her spot (both are locked to varying degrees), I just don’t understand how people here think Spielberg of all people isn’t as locked as can be, if the early reactions are indicative to the reception of the movie.

    Profile picture
    pedrohf2001
    Joined:
    Jan 27th, 2021
    Topics:
    Posts:
    #1204614785

    Some people here really shaking a woman might win again lmao

    Lol. You’re seriously not making it about gender after last year. Pathetic honestly.

    Profile picture
    ejaru1810
    Joined:
    Sep 10th, 2021
    Topics:
    Posts:
    #1204614788

    We don’t know where WSS stands right now, but the reactions are very positive, Spielberg is a bigger name, the movie is a theatrical exclusive, and it has more buzz. TPOTD has…the Silver Lion from Venice, I guess, after failing to beat Happening for the Golden Lion.

    Even if the movie is good, Spielberg has been ignored plenty of times before, including for films nominated for Best Picture, just because he’s a big name in the industry doesn’t make him a lock for anything, also director is packed this year, Jane and PTA are locks, Branagh is almost a lock, Villeneuve is getting huge acclaimed for his work, and Mckay is a big name in the industry and Don’t Look Up looks to be a bigger contender than WSS too. Spielberg could happen definitely, but it looks he will have a hard time getting in and if he gets it, he’s not a frontrunner.

    Profile picture
    kbc
    Joined:
    Sep 16th, 2021
    Topics:
    Posts:
    #1204614797

    How is she more locked than Spielberg if this is one of his best movies, as reactions are indicating.

    Because it’s rehash, which was a factor in the resistance to ASIB despite the people falling over themselves for that one off the bat, too.

    FYC
    Best Picture: Jockey
    Director: Clint Bentley
    Actor: Clifton Collins Jr.
    Supporting Actress: Molly Parker
    Supporting Actor: Moises Arias
    Original Screenplay: Clint Bentley, Greg Kwedar
    Cinematography: Adolpho Veloso
    Film Editing: Parker Laramie
    Music Score: Aaron & Bryce Dessner

    Profile picture
    Chloe Sevigny stan <3
    Joined:
    Jul 13th, 2019
    Topics:
    Posts:
    #1204614879

    Spencer was beautifully directed so it’s a shame that Larrain seems unlikely for a nomination.

    FYC!!:

    Best Picture: The Power of the Dog
    Lead Actress: Renate Reinsve (The Worst Person in the World)
    Lead Actor: Simon Rex (Red Rocket)
    Supporting Actress: Kirsten Dunst (The Power of the Dog)
    Supporting Actor: Vincent Lindon (Titane)

    Profile picture
    OscarWatcher1971
    Joined:
    Sep 24th, 2021
    Topics:
    Posts:
    #1204614905

    How many times is this “excited Twitter reactions means we have a new big contender” going to play out here?

    LP, HOG, DLU now WSS and soon, no doubt, NA.

    How about we actually let the films land properly first?

    Profile picture
    pedrohf2001
    Joined:
    Jan 27th, 2021
    Topics:
    Posts:
    #1204614930

    How many times is this “excited Twitter reactions means we have a new big contender” going to play out here?

    LP, DLU now WSS and soon, no doubt, NA.

    How about we actually let the films land properly first?

    Because these are big Oscar contenders. We were already predicting them before reactions. The reactions just makes it even more likely

    Profile picture
    kbc
    Joined:
    Sep 16th, 2021
    Topics:
    Posts:
    #1204614947

    How many times is this “excited Twitter reactions means we have a new big contender” going to play out here?

    LP, HOG, DLU now WSS and soon, no doubt, NA.

    How about we actually let the films land properly first?

    #WatchRaveRepeat – we just have tomorrow to get through, and then it’s over for a while! 😉

    FYC
    Best Picture: Jockey
    Director: Clint Bentley
    Actor: Clifton Collins Jr.
    Supporting Actress: Molly Parker
    Supporting Actor: Moises Arias
    Original Screenplay: Clint Bentley, Greg Kwedar
    Cinematography: Adolpho Veloso
    Film Editing: Parker Laramie
    Music Score: Aaron & Bryce Dessner

    Why are you reporting this post? (optional):
    Not now
Viewing 15 posts - 481 through 495 (of 500 total)

The topic ‘Oscars 2022 Predictions: Best Picture and Director (Part 17)’ is closed to new replies.

Similar Topics
LA26 - Jan 27, 2022
Movies
Elsa Korr - Jan 26, 2022
Movies
Freeman... - Jan 26, 2022
Movies