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Oscars 2022 Predictions: Best Picture and Director (Part 19)

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    Luca
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    Jun 23rd, 2017
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    #1204629196

    I love how TPOTD cannot win because of the Netflix bias but nobody even mentions it when it comes to DLU.

    Plus, the Netflix bias is gonna wane at one point. It just did at this year’s Emmys, where Netflix won not just its first but first two series prizes.

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    wolfali
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    Sep 4th, 2018
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    #1204629198

    People forget that the last time Netflix was win competitive for this prize (with Roma), Best Picture contenders were grossing millions of dollars at the box office. Films weren’t coming 20 to 45 days after their theatrical release to on demand and Netflix was only one of two major streamers to be competing for Oscars (Amazon being the other). The whole landscape has changed with the pandemic and the introduction of HBO Max and Amazon.

    Plus, the Netflix bias is gonna wane at one point. It just did at this year’s Emmys, where Netflix won not just its first but first two series prizes.

    Not to mention that not only did it win drama series but it completely swept the field which no drama has ever done at the Emmys.

    FYC:

    "The Good Fight" and "The Other Two" in all categories.

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    Richie Rich
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    Aug 6th, 2021
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    #1204629201

    This is true. It’s only 7.0 on IMDb. https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js

    The Crown >>>>>> Spencer

    And as someone who loved Jackie, I honestly found Spencer tedious to watch. I didn’t get the point of the story. At least with Power of the Dog, the opening narration and the ending scene with Kodi Smith-McFee’s character makes it clear what the point of the story was in my opinion and it made two hours of beautifully shot and acted confusion worth it. But in Spencer, the gorgeous visuals and Stewart’s performance were the only things that made me finish it but I kept looking at the time and wanting it to finish. I didn’t get the whole Spencer family house plot and I didn’t understand the ending with the hunting. And as a royal fan, I know that Diana never stopped her boys from hunting, so I didn’t get what that was about . I thought the movie was going to be about Diana getting fed up about her marriage leading her to ask Charles for a divorce. But that was barely the plot and in the end we don’t know if they were going to get divorced or not. I just don’t get it.

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    Rynd_Rawikara
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    Aug 28th, 2021
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    #1204629211

    Can someone like summarize their argument on why BP-BD will OR will not be a split this year? Much appreciated

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    pedrohf2001
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    Jan 27th, 2021
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    #1204629225

    Idk why and it’s just a feeling but I’m putting NA back in BP at the 10th spot.

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    pedrohf2001
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    Jan 27th, 2021
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    #1204629234

    How likely is a King Richard or Belfast BP snub?

    I was kinda hoping but Spencer may not be strong enough to get
    into BP even tho I loved it so much.

    Also. Will The Lost Daughter get in BP? Idk. So many questions. I would love that.

    Also. Are movies like C’mon C’mon or The Tragedy of Macbeth getting in BP? I doubt it but who knows

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    pedrohf2001
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    #1204629245

    Today :

    – Atlanta Film Critics Circle (9AM EST)

    – Detroit Film Critics Society (10:30AM Detroit Time)

    – Washington DC Area Film Critics Association (8AM ET)

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    Rynd_Rawikara
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    #1204629268

    Also. Will The Lost Daughter get in BP? Idk. So many questions. I would love that.

    I don’t think it will. I think Adapted Screenplay and Lead Actress are its best chance. If there are passion picks this year, I think it will be something like CODA, French Dispatch, or something from international feature contender.

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    kbc
    Joined:
    Sep 16th, 2021
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    #1204629285

    I don’t think it will. I think Adapted Screenplay and Lead Actress are its best chance. If there are passion picks this year, I think it will be something like CODA, French Dispatch, or something from international feature contender.

    Yeah and I know kaziz may dissent but I feel the same though I’d love to see both The Lost Daughter and Passing make the BP 10 (but I’d also like to see the same for Jockey – I’m “pie in the sky” that way.) But I sense Netflix may gearing up for a “blockbuster” vs “blockbuster” faceoff between Don’t Look Up and Disney’s West Side Story – setting up a major battle between arguably the nation’s two most powerful entertainment companies.

    But yeah, CODA appears stronger than The French Dispatch atm, though even The Last Duel may find enough “old school filmmaking” fans to nudge into the BP
    10.

    I do not expect to see Drive My Car pop up in BP (its tiny distributor Janus isn’t really equipped to mount that kind of campaign) though there’s still a shot in BD and screenplay owing to those branches’ more adventurous tastes even if the studio can’t wage a robust campaign. But the more heavily promoted Parallel Mothers, A Hero or The Worst Person in the World showing up a “surprise” BP nominee is a distinct possibility – though at least a corresponding BD, writing or acting nom will be a must ofc for whichever one makes it.

    FYC
    Best Picture: Jockey
    Director: Clint Bentley
    Actor: Clifton Collins Jr.
    Supporting Actress: Molly Parker
    Supporting Actor: Moises Arias
    Original Screenplay: Clint Bentley, Greg Kwedar
    Cinematography: Adolpho Veloso
    Film Editing: Parker Laramie
    Music Score: Aaron & Bryce Dessner

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    Marcus.H
    Joined:
    Oct 21st, 2017
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    #1204629312

    I love how TPOTD cannot win because of the Netflix bias but nobody even mentions it when it comes to DLU.

    When is DLU considered to be the frontrunner in BP and BD? Ppl don’t talk about other Netflix films because they are not as winning-competitive as TPOTD apparently.

    I think you’re clearly awared of this.

    Coen-Lynch-Fellini

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    MD
    Joined:
    Dec 25th, 2017
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    #1204629318

    When is DLU considered to be the frontrunner in BP and BD? Ppl don’t talk about other Netflix films because they are not as winning-competitive as TPOTD apparently.

    I think you’re clearly awared of this.

    A lot of people here have been saying DLU can win and the Netflix bias wasn’t even touched upon.

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    Babylonian
    Joined:
    Aug 16th, 2021
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    #1204629320

    1. Dune (Warner Bros)

    2. West Side Story (Fox/Disney)

    3. King Richard (Warner Bros)

    4. The Power of the Dog (Netflix)

    5. Licorice Pizza (MGM)

    6. The Tragedy of Macbeth (A24)

    7. Belfast (Focus Features)

    8. Nightmare Alley (Fox/Disney)

    9. Don’t Look Up (Netflix)

    10. House of Gucci (MGM)

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    Babylonian
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    Aug 16th, 2021
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    #1204629322

    Denis Villeneuve is being underestimated like crazy. The Academy appreciates films with scale in Best Director.

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    pedrohf2001
    Joined:
    Jan 27th, 2021
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    #1204629324

    A lot of people here have been saying DLU can win and the Netflix bias wasn’t even touched upon.

    Netflix bias isn’t a thing anymore. If it ever was. Lol.

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    Rynd_Rawikara
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    #1204629330

    Denis Villeneuve is being underestimated like crazy. The Academy appreciates films with scale in Best Director.

    Are u talking about a nom or a win?

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