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Oscars 2022 Predictions: Best Picture and Director (Part 19)

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    Cosmia
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    #1204628249

    Comedies have trouble getting super high scores, not (just) because of genre bias but because of the nature of comedy itself. It’s easy to admire the craft of a drama that’s not your cup of tea if it’s well-made, but for comedy, you either find it funny or you don’t. So there’s a lot less room for error.

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    Richie Rich
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    #1204628387

    Don’t Look Up can still win without an 80 something on metacritic. Didn’t Green Book win with a 60 something?

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    Richie Rich
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    #1204628399

    And Steven Spielberg is a lock. Love it or hate it. WSS along with The Power of the Dog are the top 2 cinematography contenders. And usually the top 2 cinematography contenders are usually nominated for director like Nomadland and Mank last year. I still believe that Power will win director and most likely cinematography but West Side Story or the best original screenplay winner will win Best Picture regardless. And although I love Belfast to pieces, I recognize it’s shortcomings from all the endless posts on this forum that elaborate on it and I’m not predicting it to win either original screenplay or picture and I’m still on the fence about it’s director nomination chances.

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    Richie Rich
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    #1204628408

    Belfast is looking more like the Jojo Rabbit of the year minus the sharp satirical script (aka screenplay win).

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    SN
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    #1204628461

    Belfast is performing quite well with the critics so far. That’s a bit surprising given its good but not great critical reception.

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    #1204628478
    This post was found to be inappropriate by the moderators and has been removed.
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    Lucas
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    #1204628529

    The Power of the Dog audience score currently at 66%… It’s still early to settle, buy I warned you guys that this wasn’t’ a “unanimous love” type of film

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    Philip
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    #1204628583

    The Power of the Dog audience score currently at 66%… It’s still early to settle, buy I warned you guys that this wasn’t’ a “unanimous love” type of film

    Because it isn’t a good film.

    #12 for 2021 SAG Film Award Winners.

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    Atleastimtrying
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    #1204628687

    The power of the dog was great. I dont understand whats not to like.

    I see it mainly winning “best director”, it doesnt seem like a “best picture” kind of movie. Too unsettling, or maybe too slow or even kinda anticlimatic at times. But i thought it was wonderful, Campion work in this was phenomenal, the details, the story choice and how it was filmed! A directors film in a way

    The actors were also terrific

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    snowball
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    #1204628689

    The Power of the Dog might be my favorite movie this year so far. It has so many layers and everything from acting to script to directing to cinematography to score is outstanding and breathtaking. Just wow.

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    kaziz
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    #1204628799

    The Power of the Dog audience score currently at 66%… It’s still early to settle, buy I warned you guys that this wasn’t’ a “unanimous love” type of film

    PETA has been review bombing on RT specifically. It’s only gone up on IMDb.

    FYC:
    Picture: Passing, The Power of the Dog, The Lost Daughter, Drive My Car
    Director: Jane Campion, Rebecca Hall
    Actor: Benedict Cumberbatch, Hidetoshi Nishijima
    Actress: Tessa Thompson, Olivia Colman, Kristen Stewart
    Supporting Actress: Kirsten Dunst, Ruth Negga, Dakota Johnson, Jessie Buckley, Martha Plimpton
    Supporting Actor: Troy Kotsur, Kodi Smit-McPhee, Jesse Plemons

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    Marcus.H
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    #1204628820

    TPOTD is at 7.0 on IMDb, which is also pretty low for an adult drama.

    Stop saying this has to do with its themes as we have plenty of darker/slower/edgier drama films every year. As someone who has read the novel, I still think the screenplay is its biggest weakness.

    I believe this will win BD home. Idk about BP.

    Coen-Lynch-Fellini

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    OscarWatcher1971
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    #1204628866

    It’s fascinating to see that Belfast having missed nominations for picture, director and screenplay at BIFA, winning 0 from 11 doesn’t matter at all. And if you question this, you’re a Dog Stan.

    It underperformed guys, you’re alllowed to say it, it doesn’t mean it won’t win BP but it does show weakness as a front runner

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    SN
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    #1204628874

    The problem with Belfast is that I can’t see it winning anything besides Original Screenplay. Supporting Actress? Cinematography? I don’t think so.

    It could do a Spotlight, but it doesn’t have the passion that film had.

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    kaziz
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    #1204628894

    TPOTD is at 7.0 on IMDb, which is also pretty low for an adult drama.

    Stop saying this has to do with its themes as we have plenty of darker/slower/edgier drama films every year. As someone who has read the novel, I still think the screenplay is its biggest weakness.

    I believe this will win BD home. Idk about BP.

    I mean, yes, sure. It’s visibility on Netflix is pretty immense: their movies get SO MANY reviews just because they’re very out there for all audiences as opposed to just in indie theaters. Like The Green Knight which did….pretty well for an an indie film is at 6.6, The French Dispatch did really well too and is at 7.5. It’s so weird that TPOTD had a bajillion reviews even before the leak but regardless I do feel like the worst thing that most people say about it is that it’s boring. I know you said to not bring that up, but it’s also…a fairly normal complaint. Eh a lot of people don’t like slow films. Nomadland, Moonlight are both 7.4 with many more reviews obviously. (I remember Nomadland was pretty low during the season, I’m not sure it……really matters either way?) Or it does but I feel like “slow & boring” is just not enough of a ding on it. I can ding the screenplay for different reasons than you though (being a book reader). Then again, any film I’d prefer there will also be “slow & boring” (Passing, The Lost Daughter).

    Feels like TPOTD is getting the response an A24 film would get if they had as big an audience Netflix has?

    FYC:
    Picture: Passing, The Power of the Dog, The Lost Daughter, Drive My Car
    Director: Jane Campion, Rebecca Hall
    Actor: Benedict Cumberbatch, Hidetoshi Nishijima
    Actress: Tessa Thompson, Olivia Colman, Kristen Stewart
    Supporting Actress: Kirsten Dunst, Ruth Negga, Dakota Johnson, Jessie Buckley, Martha Plimpton
    Supporting Actor: Troy Kotsur, Kodi Smit-McPhee, Jesse Plemons

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