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Oscars 2022 Predictions: Best Picture and Director (Part 2)

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    fefface
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    #1204365295

    HOUSE OF GUCCI isn’t doing Festivals?. In theory, HOUSE OF GUCCI doesn’t need it with that star power and hype but

    People are assuming so because Venice said it isn’t finished. It could still show up either at the end of Toronto or somewhere like NYFF/AFI.

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    fefface
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    #1204365301

    The Power of the Dog will be the centerpiece at the New York Film Fest. The Playlist reported it a while ago and I read it; Dennis Lim was super effusive. For some reason the link is broken right now, but regardless, this is…really cool news! Netflix is really pushing TPOTD. It’ll probably go to Telluride too because the article reported “New York premiere”.

    The link is broken because it hasn’t been announced and they weren’t supposed to publish.

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    winslets
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    #1204365328

    Alberto Barbera comments on the lack of Nightmare Ally in Venice:

    Guillermo wanted to return to Venice after “The Shape of Water” [which won the 2017 Golden Lion] and having been president of the jury the following year. He was literally racing against the clock to finish the film in time. Up until a week ago, he hoped to still make it, though Searchlight had already realized it was impossible, because they still have to record some of the music and do other post production work. https://variety.com/2021/film/news/venice-alberto-barbera-women-directors-netflix-1235027448/

     

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    Crackleking
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    #1204365332

    With the Power of the Dog looking to be a big player I wonder how strong of a best picture nominee it will be. Considering it won’t be a crowdpleaser or be deemed important I doubt it can win but I think it may end up being the There Will Be Blood or the Manchester of the Sea of the year, winning acting and/or screenplay. At this point I’m still not confident of anything so far having winning potential.

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    Stank83
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    #1204365465

    About DiCaprio: he plays it safe. He said that he only works with The Greatest: Scorsese 6 times, Ridley Scott, Clint Eastwood, Spielberg, etc…. DiCaprio said that he turned down Boogie Nights because at that time Paul Thomas Anderson was an unknown

    I won’t reply to the bullshit I heard about him giving the same performances over and over, I have to acknowledge and respect a personal opinion (seriously, imagine thinking that What’s Eating Gilbert Grape, The Basketball Diaries, Titanic, Catch Me If You Can, The Aviator, The Departed, Revolutionary Road, Shutter Island, Inception, Django Unchained, The Great Gatsby, The Wolf of Wall Street, The Revenant, and Once Upon A Time In Hollywood are the same performances and characters, just to name a few), but he turned down Boogie Nights only because he had to do Titanic at the same time, otherwise he would have done it.

    Anyway I think The Power of The Dog can do a Nomadland type of run. For me it seems the most likely to win Picture right now.

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    George Ehret
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    #1204365510

    HOUSE OF GUCCI isn’t doing Festivals?. In theory, HOUSE OF GUCCI doesn’t need it with that star power and hype but

    I have confirmed that it will not be doing festivals. If they squeeze any of them in, it would be a super late one like Rome (Silence teas). But as far as I know Gucci will be getting a December release with no festival run

    FYC
    Best Picture: The Worst Person in the World
    Best Director: Jane Campion
    Best Actor: Benedict Cumberbatch
    Best Actress: Renate Reinsve
    Best Supporting Actor: Benedict Wong
    Best Supporting Actress: Kirsten Dunst
    Best Adapted Screenplay: The Power of the Dog
    Best Original Screenplay: The Worst Person in the World

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    gorman
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    Dec 24th, 2017
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    #1204365526

    With the Power of the Dog looking to be a big player I wonder how strong of a best picture nominee it will be. Considering it won’t be a crowdpleaser or be deemed important I doubt it can win but I think it may end up being the There Will Be Blood or the Manchester of the Sea of the year, winning acting and/or screenplay. At this point I’m still not confident of anything so far having winning potential.

    TPOTD is so far the one I’m most confident of in terms of ‘winning potential’. For a while it’s seemed to have the right mix of a strong cast and crew with one of the strongest distributors in the game. There is the stumbling block that Netflix still hasn’t been able to get a BP win, but that will probably happen eventually. That solid mix has been enhanced by it being positioned for a great festival run, and there was a decent bit of buzz around that first image they released. Campion is a very intelligent writer and director so I wouldn’t be surprised if it ended up being more thematically relevant and resonant than we’re giving it credit for – there’s lots of scope in the source material and the description Netflix released.

    Early stages, so I won’t be staking anything on it and I think there’s a chance it may prove too dark to win enough passionate support (and I could see some being put off by it and ranking it low) but it hasn’t moved from the top of my predictions yet. I have Cumberbatch behind Denzel and Smith for now, but that character is very meaty so I’m excited about his chances. Campion has a good shot at Director and Screenplay. Dunst, wherever she is placed, has a great shot too I think. I’m relatively confident in predicting it for Score and Cinematography, and I guess Editing too by default given where it is in my current Picture predictions.

    It’s difficult to determine what’s next in terms of ‘winning potential’ for me. Probably Don’t Look Up or Nightmare Alley, which have really strong teams behind them, might be more broadly crowd-pleasing and will almost certainly find bigger audiences. Decent chance something rises from relative obscurity though because nothing right now screams out-and-out frontrunner to me.

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    LA26
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    #1204365531

    I have confirmed that it will not be doing festivals. If they squeeze any of them in, it would be a super late one like Rome (Silence teas). But as far as I know Gucci will be getting a December release with no festival run

    House of Gucci will be released in November (Nov. 26). How do you know for sure it won’t screen at any festivals?

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    George Ehret
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    #1204365535

    House of Gucci will be released in November (Nov. 26). How do you know for sure it won’t screen at any festivals?

    Oops I got the release date wrong, thank you for correcting me.

    And I know it won’t screen at festivals because that’s what my connections have said, and I have no reason not to trust them.

    FYC
    Best Picture: The Worst Person in the World
    Best Director: Jane Campion
    Best Actor: Benedict Cumberbatch
    Best Actress: Renate Reinsve
    Best Supporting Actor: Benedict Wong
    Best Supporting Actress: Kirsten Dunst
    Best Adapted Screenplay: The Power of the Dog
    Best Original Screenplay: The Worst Person in the World

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    loudtoilet
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    Feb 19th, 2020
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    #1204365540

    LOL this thread. Only on GD, Leo has bad taste in movies. Never mind that everyone would kill to have Leo’s career. I’m curious, who has good taste in movies according to GD?

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    Elsa Korr
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    #1204365544

    LOL this thread. Only on GD, Leo has bad taste in movies. Never mind that everyone would kill to have Leo’s career. I’m curious, who has good taste in movies according to GD?

    The Ridley Scott stan is the only one who has the audacity to say that

    FYC-Nightmare Alley in All Categories (Best Picture, Guillermo Del Toro for Best Director, Bradley Cooper for Best Actor, Cate Blanchett for Best Actress, Rooney Mara for Best Supporting Actress, Richard Jenkins for Best Supporting Actor)

    FYC-Last Night in Soho (Edgar Wright for Best Director, Thomasin McKenzie for Best Actress, Anya Taylor Joy for Best Supporting Actress, Edgar Wright and Krysty Wilson Cairns for Best Original Screenplay)

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    loudtoilet
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    #1204365550

    The Ridley Scott stan is the only one who has the audacity to say that

    What about Ridley Scott’s bad taste in movies he makes? 🙂

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    Elsa Korr
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    #1204365556

    .

    What about Ridley Scott’s bad taste in movies he makes? 🙂

    What a strike back lol!!

    In general, GD is really, really weird and definetly not on the same board with Filmtwitter.

    GD loves to circlejerk the likes of Emma Stone and other it girls/boys who are filmtwitter darlings and always got pissed off when it girls won over what so called “Seasoned performers” and calling all action movie “sucks”, pretend that The Dark Knight, Inception, Casino Royale, Skyfall and the last two Mission Impossible never exists.

    FYC-Nightmare Alley in All Categories (Best Picture, Guillermo Del Toro for Best Director, Bradley Cooper for Best Actor, Cate Blanchett for Best Actress, Rooney Mara for Best Supporting Actress, Richard Jenkins for Best Supporting Actor)

    FYC-Last Night in Soho (Edgar Wright for Best Director, Thomasin McKenzie for Best Actress, Anya Taylor Joy for Best Supporting Actress, Edgar Wright and Krysty Wilson Cairns for Best Original Screenplay)

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    fefface
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    #1204365590

    I have confirmed that it will not be doing festivals. If they squeeze any of them in, it would be a super late one like Rome (Silence teas). But as far as I know Gucci will be getting a December release with no festival run

    It’s coming out on 24 November so…

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    Connor from Canada
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    #1204365595

    Rumors of Tragedy of Macbeth being rejected at Venice is quite alarming and I don’t know if I believe it but this is the type of the auteur film that requires a strong festival run to win Best Picture so I am no longer considering the film viable to win Best Picture.

    TIFF rejected Birdman

    If you have Letterboxd, follow my Letterboxd at https://boxd.it/13SqN

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