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Oscars 2022 Predictions: Best Picture and Director (Part 25)

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    Manav
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    #1204730336

    This won’t work in every case, but one theory I’ve heard before to explain Davis/Waititi showing up at DGA and Abrahamson at the Oscars is that Directors are often really impressed when their peers are able to get a strong leading performance from child actors.

    I guess this year that would help Reinaldo Marcus Green? Not convinced it has to be a thing every time though, my sight unseen spoilers for the Oscar lineup are Hamaguchi/Coen like most people.

    If this is so, the film that benefits the most is Belfast and then King Richard.

    ~Not much active now due to a higher studies course
    ~still love watching films and television shows
    ~Everything Everywhere All At Once in all categories.
    ~Currently watching Abbott Elementary

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    federico rubachin
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    #1204730341

    My counts for the BP nominees: WEST SIDE STORY (12): Picture, Supporting Actor (Faist), Supporting Actress (DeBose), Director, Adapted Screenplay, Cinematography, Film Editing, Production Design, Sound, Makeup & Hairstyling, Costume Design BELFAST (10): Picture, Supporting Actor (Dornan), Supporting Actor (Hinds), Supporting Actress (Balfe), Director, Original Screenplay, Cinematography, Film Editing, Sound, Original Song DUNE (9): Picture, Cinematography, Production Design, Film Editing, Sound, Makeup & Hairstyling, Costume Design, Sound, Visual Effects THE POWER OF THE DOG (9): Picture, Actor (Cumberbatch), Supporting Actor (Smit-McPhee), Supporting Actress (Dunst), Director, Adapted Screenplay, Cinematography, Film Editing, Original Score DON’T LOOK UP (6): Picture, Actor (DiCaprio), Director, Original Screenplay, Film Editing, Original Song DRIVE MY CAR (4): Picture, Director, Adapted Screenplay, International Film HOUSE OF GUCCI (4): Picture, Actress (Gaga), Costume Design, Makeup & Hairstyling KING RICHARD (4): Picture, Actor (Smith), Supporting Actress (Ellis), Original Screenplay CODA (3): Picture, Supporting Actor (Kotsur), Adapted Screenplay THE LOST DAUGHTER (3): Picture, Actress (Colman), Adapted Screenplay LICORICE PIZZA (2): Picture, Original Screenplay

    11 best picture nominees?

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    FreemanGriffin
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    #1204730348

    11 best picture nominees?

    Miscounted! Forgot I took out The Lost Daughter a few days ago – I think those Hollywood screenings and SAG nomination are telling us that House of Gucci is making it in to the BP lineup whether we like it or not…

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    wilfredpickles
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    #1204730360

    If this is so, the film that benefits the most is Belfast and then King Richard.

    I haven’t seen Belfast yet so it slipped my mind but yeah for the record I also think Branagh is pretty likely at both DGA and Oscars. Not feeling him being the ‘snub’.

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    OscarWatcher1971
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    #1204730371

    I hope Branagh gets both, last thing we need is a sympathy push for Belfast for BP.

    A major thing missing from the post-GG discussion, where the majority predicted Belfast for BP was the widespread belief that this would be a split year. It is not necessarily the case: TPOTD CAN win picture. Not saying it will, just saying that those that are writing it off STILL are silly.

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    crabbie
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    #1204730378

    Branagh has the critics nominations, but I just don’t think the director’s branch will go for Belfast.

    Michelle (Yeoh, Williams) Oscar campaign manager.

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    SN
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    #1204730386

    Branagh Directing snub seems inevitable, but at same time, unlike the recent actor/writter turned directors snubs, he’s a long time director and a previous nominee. I’m currently predicting a Branagh snub, but I’m not confident about that.

    I don’t think PTA will be snubbed. Phantom Thread unexpected surge is a sign that the Academy really likes him.

    Villeneuve could miss a la Nolan for Inception, but he doesn’t have the same bias the Academy has against Nolan. They even nominated Villeneuve before they nominated Nolan lol.

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