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Oscars 2022 Predictions: Best Picture and Director (Part 26)

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    Heptapod
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    #1204740434

    We’re seriously discussing the possibility of a Power of the Dog snub?

    Kirsten Dunst Laughing

    Has the season really already gotten THAT boring?

    FYC: Pamela Adlon (Better Things) Rose Byrne (Physical) Danielle Deadwyler (Station Eleven) Elle Fanning (The Great) Luke Kirby (The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel) Hamish Linklater (Midnight Mass) Margaret Qualley (Maid) Renee Rapp (The Sex Lives of College Girls) Sophie Thatcher (Yellowjackets) Heléne Yorke (The Other Two)

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    #1204740444
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    Timmyy
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    #1204740465

    We’re seriously discussing the possibility of a Power of the Dog snub? Kirsten Dunst Laughing Has the season really already gotten THAT boring?

    The person who brought it up is drunker than Rose in the movie.

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    OscarWatcher1971
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    #1204740485

    DLU is getting into Picture but the win is between TPOTD & Belfast, with WSS the only possible spoiler, with the major GG screenplay stat against it.

    No other film can win at this stage of the race. Every year, we get a “what about movie X” that can’t win.

    like it or not, by this stage the races are always fairly predictable either either a clear frontrunner or top 2

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    Grunge
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    #1204740522

    You cannot feel so confident that another film can’t spoil Dog, Belfast, or WSS. You cannot just go off the GG and critic noms/wins for your reasoning/stats. Those stats are what make those 3 likely, but not at all guaranteed. Stats are always meant to be broken. No one was predicting Green Book to win BP, look what happened.

    Imagine if House Of Gucci wins. I kinda want it to win at this point because the meltdowns here will be iconic.

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    starklinson
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    #1204740528

    i think Dune is better positioned than DLU as far as those 4th–5th spots go

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    federico rubachin
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    #1204740530

    DLU is getting into Picture but the win is between TPOTD & Belfast, with WSS the only possible spoiler, with the major GG screenplay stat against it. No other film can win at this stage of the race. Every year, we get a “what about movie X” that can’t win. like it or not, by this stage the races are always fairly predictable either either a clear frontrunner or top 2

    why you think CODA can’t win at this stage of the race?

    a) can get a DGA nom like lion or jojo and has the SAG/DGA two noms in common stat in his favor in that

    b) can get a out of nowhere  director nom like room in 2015 ( altought is true this seems very dificult but not seems imposible). Bah and it’s not going to be so ” out of nowhere” if it get a DGA nom prior to oscar noms, if forgot that detail

    c) is the fronrunner of SAG ensamble in golderby experts odds

    d) is likely to win WGA adapted and can win adapted screenplay in oscar ( dificult the latter but it can)

    e) can get a BAFTA best film nom ( in golderby odds for example is in spot 7 in BAFTA, not that far for a possible nom)

    f) sasha stone says she thinks the fifth spot in ACE drama is between CODA and no time to die

     

    so why you think the movie can’t win at this point? can be eliminated of the race next week if it doesn’t get a DGA nom but right now i don’t understand why you think can’t win

     

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    jamon__serrano
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    #1204740561

    I’m with you. Like no joke. Spider-Man and even Shang Chi are better movies (and definitely way more entertaining and watchable) than most BP contenders. No cap

    Right? We need something FUN.

    I’m 100% on board with Spidey getting that nomination. Sadly, it won’t happen.

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    Izabela Marciniak
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    #1204740563

    “CODA” could win Best Picture, but goldderby doesn’t belive in this movie. It was similiar with “Parasite” two years ago. “CODA” must win SAG and WGA to be in top 3. Possible? Yes

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    Cosmia
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    #1204740574

    Fury Road was fun, too, but it also was a strong, personal, supremely difficult vision executed perfectly. Marvel movies are fun, I’m not denying it, but they’re an assembly line production. They’ve already swallowed the entire film industry whole, why reward them even further?

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    film123
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    #1204740592

    “CODA” could win Best Picture, but goldderby doesn’t belive in this movie. It was similiar with “Parasite” two years ago. “CODA” must win SAG and WGA to be in top 3. Possible? Yes

    Comparing CODA to Parasite is a reach. The passion and critical acclaim for Parasite is not tantamount to CODA. And unlike Parasite, CODA has no international appeal— Parasite won at AACTA while CODA is not even nominated. Bong Joon-Ho showed up everywhere in director while Sian Heder is not getting nominated.

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    Timmyy
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    #1204740604

    Did we just compare CODA to Parasite?? Lord, I’ve seen it all now.

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