Oscars 2022 Predictions: Best Picture and Director (Part 26)

[federico rubachin Joined: Jan 22nd, 2019 Topics: 0 Posts: 390 View Predictions]

#1204731056

i saw that in the coments section of awards daily the users who often coment in that site thought too that lion and jojo rabbit are very good precedents for a DGA nom for CODA

[The Oscarguy Joined: Jan 11th, 2021 Topics: 4 Posts: 361 View Predictions]

#1204731067

federico rubachin wrote:

i saw that in the coments section of awards daily the users who often coment in that site thought too that lion and jojo rabbit are very good precedents for a DGA nom for CODA

Both Lion and Jojo were more flashy though. I like CODA, but it is not visually interesting or showily directed at all.

[Foolio Joined: Jan 24th, 2017 Topics: 0 Posts: 541 View Predictions]

#1204731223

PICTURE

Frontrunners

The Power of the Dog
Belfast
West Side Story

Next in line

Licorice Pizza
Dune
King Richard

On the brink

Coda
Don’t Look Up
Tick, Tick… Boom!
House of Gucci
The Lost Daughter

Strong possibilities

Being the Ricardos
Drive My Car

Possibilities

Nightmare Alley
Spider-Man: No Way Home
The Tragedy of Macbeth

Longer shots

Madres paralelas
Passing
Spencer
The French Dispatch

Theoretical possibilities

Cyrano
Summer of Soul
The Green Knight
C’mon C’mon
Mass
Flee
Red Rocket
The Worst Person in the World

[Foolio Joined: Jan 24th, 2017 Topics: 0 Posts: 541 View Predictions]

#1204731236

DIRECTOR

Frontrunners

Jane Campion, The Power of the Dog
Steven Spielberg, West Side Story
Kenneth Branagh, Belfast

Next in line

Paul Thomas Anderson, Licorice Pizza
Denis Villeneuve, Dune

On the brink

Maggie Gyllenhaal, The Lost Daughter
Ryusuke Hamaguchi, Drive My Car

Strong possibilities

Pedro Almodovar, Madres paralelas
Adam McKay, Don’t Look Up
Wes Anderson, The French Dispatch

Possibilities

Ridley Scott, House of Gucci
Guillermo Del Toro, Nightmare Alley
Reinaldo Marcus Green, King Richard
Lin-Manuel Miranda, Tick, Tick… Boom!
Joel Coen, The Tragedy of Macbeth

Longer shots

Pablo Larrain, Spencer
Sean Baker, Red Rocket

Theoretical possibilities

Rebecca Hall, Passing
Sian Heder, Coda
David Lowery, The Green Knight
Paolo Sorrentino, The Hand of God
Asghar Farhadi, A Hero
Joe Wright, Cyrano
Julia Ducournau, Titane
Fran Kranz, Mass
Joachim Trier, The Worst Person in the World

[FreemanGriffin Joined: Feb 19th, 2012 Topics: 48 Posts: 4099 View Predictions]

#1204731342

Frontrunners for BP:

Belfast
The Power of the Dog
West Side Story

Next in Line:

CODA
Don’t Look Up
Dune
King Richard

Strong Possibilities:

Drive My Car
House of Gucci
Licorice Pizza

Longer shots:

Being the Ricardos
The Lost Daughter
tick, tick…BOOM!
The Tragedy of Macbeth

Theoretically possible:

Encanto
Flee
Mass
Nightmare Alley

[FreemanGriffin Joined: Feb 19th, 2012 Topics: 48 Posts: 4099 View Predictions]

#1204731350

Frontrunners for BD:

Jane Campion, The Power of the Dog
Steven Spielberg, West Side Story

Next in Line:

Kenneth Branagh, Belfast
Ryusuke Hamagushi, Drive My Car
Adam McKay, Don’t Look Up

Strong possibilities:

Paul Thomas Anderson, Licorice Pizza
Maggie Gyllenhaal, The Lost Daughter
Denis Villeneuve, Dune

Longer shots:

Pedro Almodovar, Parallel Mothers
Joel Coen, The Tragedy of Macbeth
Reinaldo Marcus Green, King Richard
Sian Heder, CODA
Lin-Manuel Miranda, tick, tick…BOOM!

Theoretically possible:

Guillermo del Toro, Nightmare Alley
Rebecca Hall, Passing
Fran Kranz, Mass
Jonas Poher Rasmussen, Flee
Aaron Sorkin, Being the Ricardos
Ridley Scott, House of Gucci

[brenolimsta Joined: Nov 14th, 2020 Topics: 0 Posts: 294 View Predictions]

#1204731657

Michael Windfeldt wrote:

My count for the BP nominees: The power of the dog: (9) Picture, director, actor, sup. actor, sup. actress, adapted screenplay, editing, cinematography and score. Licorice pizza: (6) Picture, director, actress, sup. actor, original screenplay and editing. Belfast: (9) Picture, sup. actress, sup. actor, original screenplay, cinematography, editing, production design, song and sound. West Side Story: (9) picture, director, sup. Actress, adapted screenplay, cinematography, editing, costume, production design and sound. Dune: (10) Picture, director, cinematography, editing, costume, makeup, production design, score, sound and visuel effects. CODA: (3) Picture, Sup.Actor and adapted screenplay. King Richard: (4) Picture, actor, original screenplay and song. Dont look up: (2) Picture and song. The tragedy of macbeth: (3) Picture, actor and cinematography. House of Gucci: (5) Picture, actress, Sup.Actor, costume and Makeup.

DLU is probably getting a screenplay nom, and maybe editing and score too

 

[kingfan011 Joined: Mar 11th, 2017 Topics: 0 Posts: 101 View Predictions]

#1204731971

There is no way Pizza gets in for director and certainly not actress.

[JV Joined: Dec 31st, 2019 Topics: 9 Posts: 4240 View Predictions]

#1204731987

Jordan Ruimy (I know, I know…) wrote this on his website:

I spoke to a prominent indie producer earlier in the week who told me Washington’s performance went over like gangbusters at a recent PGA screening. Washington has already won two Oscars, a third one for ‘Macbeth’ would not be that inconceivable, call him this category’s “dark horse.”

If this is true, could be the late Macbeth surge we’ve been anticipating, although I don’t see much momentum for Denzel to win, but stranger things have happened.

[The Queen Joined: Jan 12th, 2021 Topics: 0 Posts: 322 View Predictions]

#1204731995

Denzel is not coming close to a win, but it seems like the film’s BP nomination chances are very much alive.

[rue Joined: Oct 31st, 2019 Topics: 5 Posts: 4396 View Predictions]

#1204731999

wrote:

Honey, this film deserves to be in the top 1

FYC:
That's Where I Am by Maggie Rogers - Song of the Year, Record of the Year, Best Pop Solo Performance, Best Music Video, Best Country Song, Best Melodic Rap Performance, Best Traditional R&B Performance, Best Country Solo Performance, Best Rap Solo Performance, Best Metal Performance, Best Rock Song, Best American Roots Performance

[Joined: Jan 1st, 1970 Topics: 0 Posts: 44 View Predictions]

#1204732003

This post was found to be inappropriate by the moderators and has been removed.

[wolfali Joined: Sep 4th, 2018 Topics: 215 Posts: 32948 View Predictions]

#1204732007

Picture

1. The Power of the Dog
2. West Side Story
3. Licorice Pizza
4. Belfast
5. Don’t Look Up
6. Dune
7. The Tragedy of Macbeth
8. CODA
9. House of Gucci
10. King Richard

Next in Line: The Lost Daughter, Being the Ricardos, No Time to Die, The French Dispatch

Director

1. Jane Campion, The Power of the Dog
2. Steven Spielberg, West Side Story
3. Paul Thomas Anderson, Licorice Pizza
4. Ryusuke Hamaguchi, Drive My Car
5. Denis Villeneuve, Dune

6. Kenneth Branagh, Belfast
7. Joel Coen, The Tragedy of Macbeth
8. Adam McKay, Don’t Look Up
9. Maggie Gyllenhaal, The Lost Daughter
10. Joachim Trier, The Worst Person in the World

FYC:

"The Good Fight", "The Other Two" and "Station Eleven" in all categories, Sarah Lancashire ("Julia"), William Jackson Harper ("Love Life") and Luke Kirby ("The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel")

[annveal Joined: Dec 27th, 2021 Topics: 0 Posts: 40 View Predictions]

#1204732064

Not sure if anyone has pointed this out but I find it interesting that Blade Runner’s critic and audience scores were higher than Dune’s, same with Arrival:

https://www.metacritic.com/movie/blade-runner-2049

Villeneuve’s is still really strong I think but the narrative that it’s his best work doesn’t hold water

[TomJerry Joined: Oct 4th, 2020 Topics: 10 Posts: 1882 View Predictions]

#1204732090

annveal wrote:

Not sure if anyone has pointed this out but I find it interesting that Blade Runner’s critic and audience scores were higher than Dune’s, same with Arrival: https://www.metacritic.com/movie/blade-runner-2049 Villeneuve’s is still really strong I think but the narrative that it’s his best work doesn’t hold water

Don’t overthink it too much. It’s beloved and it has hit all the right precursors. It’s the boc office film of the year awards wise. Villenueve is happening.