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Oscars 2022 Predictions: Best Picture and Director (Part 26)

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    JV
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    Dec 31st, 2019
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    #1204751384

    clayton and sasha stone both think that fifth spot in ACE drama is between CODA and no time to die

    Erik Anderson and Will Mavity both said West Side Story is placed as Drama at ACE. The latter is extremely reliable when it comes to these type of below the line stuff.

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    pierremg
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    #1204751415

    In an ideal world, Dune should win BP. But in the world we live, we have Belfast or TPOD winning. I prefer the latter.

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    Babylonian
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    Aug 16th, 2021
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    #1204751482

    In an ideal world, Dune should win BP. But in the world we live, we have Belfast or TPOD winning. I prefer the latter.

    I agree with Dune winning BP. Belflop needs to overperform at BAFTA or win SAG ensemble to still be called a frontrunner at this point.

    FYC:

    Everything Everywhere All At Once in every eligible category

    Hold My Hand - Lady Gaga for Best Original Song

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    Taytay129
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    Oct 12th, 2021
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    #1204751547

    Yeah Dune is a technical masterpiece and we can all agree on that but I think it just doesn’t have that emotional core. What I’m trying to say is that you don’t feel too much for the characters like for instance when half of the main dude’s family gets killed off I did not care or feel anything tbh and none of the characters were easy to get attached to. This might be me just being weird about it but that’s why I think it’s not in the run to win BP.

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    The Northman
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    Nov 10th, 2021
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    #1204751696

    Oscars voting branches membership change since last year

    Actors: 1,336 (-23)
    Casting directors: 150 (+8)
    Cinematographers: 290 (+8)
    Costume designers: 171 (+4)
    Directors: 568 (+4)
    Documentary: 618 (+23)
    Executives: 681 (+18)
    Film editors: 375 (+4)
    Make-up artists and hairdressers: 231 (+7)
    Marketing and PR: 605 (+18)
    Music: 383 (+9)
    Producers: 634 (+20)
    Production Design: 387 (+5)
    Animated shorts and feature films: 844 (+26)
    Sound: 550 (+14)
    Visual effects: 606 (+26)
    Writers: 504 (+5)
    Members at large: 554 (+11)

    Oscar voters grew by 187 over last year, but Academy’s acting branch shrinks

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    federico rubachin
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    Jan 22nd, 2019
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    #1204751709

    Erik Anderson and Will Mavity both said West Side Story is placed as Drama at ACE. The latter is extremely reliable when it comes to these type of below the line stuff.

    mm that’s strange because clayton says today that in the heights and cyrano are placed in ACE as drama but west side story in comedy/musical

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    JV
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    Dec 31st, 2019
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    #1204751752

    mm that’s strange because clayton says today that in the heights and cyrano are placed in ACE as drama but west side story in comedy/musical

    https://mobile.twitter.com/mavericksmovies/status/1486464790339809282

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    M
    Joined:
    Sep 27th, 2017
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    #1204751762

    I wonder if NA will continue overperforming tomorrow or will it end there with PGA?

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    OscarWatcher1971
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    Sep 24th, 2021
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    #1204751770

    POTD got MPSE too

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    M
    Joined:
    Sep 27th, 2017
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    #1204751772

    POTD got MPSE too

    Its from the Oscar Experts yeah

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    OscarWatcher1971
    Joined:
    Sep 24th, 2021
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    #1204751789

    Belfast is not the frontrunner anymore, honestly. It’s lost a lot and even missed some nominations. I think it is still a contender to win. But right now, the frontrunner is The Power of the Dog. Until Belfast wins something of note, it won’t be the frontrunner in my eyes.

    I think it’s a weak front runner as I’ve said all along. It keeps on underperforming eg AACTA the latest, yet many of the big pundits are sticking to it like glue

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    Butz
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    Oct 15th, 2020
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    #1204751836

    Belfast was never the frontrunner. The only reason people were eager to predict it was that they anticipated it to do well once the televised awards started. That Golden Globes loss showed that that wasn’t the case. It can still win but it’s not the frontrunner.

    Letterboxd: Ray_In_Bruges

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    TomJerry
    Joined:
    Oct 4th, 2020
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    #1204751849

    Oscars voting branches membership change since last year

    Actors: 1,336 (-23)
    Casting directors: 150 (+8)
    Cinematographers: 290 (+8)
    Costume designers: 171 (+4)
    Directors: 568 (+4)
    Documentary: 618 (+23)
    Executives: 681 (+18)
    Film editors: 375 (+4)
    Make-up artists and hairdressers: 231 (+7)
    Marketing and PR: 605 (+18)
    Music: 383 (+9)
    Producers: 634 (+20)
    Production Design: 387 (+5)
    Animated shorts and feature films: 844 (+26)
    Sound: 550 (+14)
    Visual effects: 606 (+26)
    Writers: 504 (+5)
    Members at large: 554 (+11)

    https://noooracademy.com/oscar-voters-grew-by-187-over-last-year-but-academys-acting-branch-shrinks/embed/#?secret=0d2ulXZTUL#?secret=wqc4cB0oEo

    Thank God they can actually reduce those voters 💀

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    UnionCityMood
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    Jan 8th, 2022
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    #1204752280

    What time does PGA noms come out? Their website says voting ends today at 5pm. I don’t know how long they need to calculate those votes, it shouldn’t take long.

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    OscarWatcher1971
    Joined:
    Sep 24th, 2021
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    #1204752357

    Belfast was never the frontrunner. The only reason people were eager to predict it was that they anticipated it to do well once the televised awards started. That Golden Globes loss showed that that wasn’t the case. It can still win but it’s not the frontrunner.

    I think it’s a close race. Belfast is being pushed by pundits- some are literally campaigning for it- I think it’s slightly ahead barring any snubs tomorrow, until BAFTA speaks.

    Many have already dismissed GG even after they predicted it there & it lost.

    I think the Netflix bias & the dark nature of TPOTD has led to too much confidence in Belfast.

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