Home Forums Movies Oscars 2022 Predictions: Best Picture and Director (Part 27)

Oscars 2022 Predictions: Best Picture and Director (Part 27)

CREATE A NEW TOPIC
CREATE A NEW POLL
Viewing 15 posts - 181 through 195 (of 519 total)
Created
4 months ago
Last Reply
4 months ago
518
replies
40450
views
119
users
OscarWatcher1..
33
Manav
23
The Northman
21
  • Profile picture
    Marcus.H
    Joined:
    Oct 21st, 2017
    Topics:
    Posts:
    #1204757492

    “Passionate” and “giving high scores on IMDB” are two different things. We’ve seen what’s gotten the most support across the industry and the critics, and right now it’s not CODA.

    Ugh we’re only talking about AUDIENCE lol. Audience and industry are two different things.

    Coen-Lynch-Fellini

    Profile picture
    Cosmia
    Joined:
    Oct 19th, 2021
    Topics:
    Posts:
    #1204757495

    Ugh he is talking about AUDIENCE lol.

    Right, and I’m saying that audience isn’t particularly important this year. With the possible exception of Dune and DLU audience response isn’t going to move the needle—people really don’t care *that* much about it.

    Profile picture
    Marcus.H
    Joined:
    Oct 21st, 2017
    Topics:
    Posts:
    #1204757509

    Right, and I’m saying that audience isn’t particularly important this year. With the possible exception of Dune and DLU audience response isn’t going to move the needle—people really don’t care *that* much about it.

    You’re talking like they matter in other years lol. If so, Trial of Chicago/ La la land/ Three Billboards would have won. Industry voted for what they love and sometimes the result matched with what the audience favored (e.g, Parasite, Green Book). That’s it. It’s just interesting to observe a BP winner is gonna have a IMDb rating below 7.0. That’s rare.

    Coen-Lynch-Fellini

    Profile picture
    Joe Langer
    Joined:
    Dec 5th, 2021
    Topics:
    Posts:
    #1204757522

    The audience reviews for Belfast are too good to be taken lightly.

    Member of the Screen Actors Guild. Inducted in 1999.

    Profile picture
    Zuranthium
    Joined:
    Dec 9th, 2014
    Topics:
    Posts:
    #1204757559

    The highest audience score of any contender this year is West Side Story. It also has the 2nd highest letterboxd score of any contender this year.

    Power of the Dog doesn’t just have an awful audience score and IMDB score, it’s also lower than it should be for a critical favorite on letterboxd, which is supposed to be its stronghold. The warning signs are there.

    Profile picture
    OscarWatcher1971
    Joined:
    Sep 24th, 2021
    Topics:
    Posts:
    #1204757598

    Are we really doing this audience v critics argument again? Seriously?

    AMPAS is NOT a general audience. These are NOT the people’s choice awards.

    In the preferential era, AMPAS has skewed critical with every BP winner above 86.

    It’s the guilds that matter most. It’s hit every guild it needed and has done well with BAFTA longlist & will do well with the noms.

    In any case, TPOTD was runner up at TIFF. It scored highest at Telliride. It’s RT score is 85%. It also reached #1 globally on Netflix. The myth that TPOTD is too unpopular to win is just what the Belfast campaign wants you to believe.

    And just to reinforce how much it dominated the critics phase:

    Profile picture
    belfastan
    Joined:
    Nov 14th, 2021
    Topics:
    Posts:
    #1204757644

    Emerald Fennell, Danny Boyle, Guillermo del Toro will be interviewing Branagh for Belfast.

     

    Profile picture
    Michael Windfeldt
    Joined:
    Nov 22nd, 2013
    Topics:
    Posts:
    #1204757648

    Almost every year I invite people like my parents and grand parents to my local cinema to see some of the Oscar contenders bacause they almost have the same ages as the older Academy voters. By far CODA is the film they prefer the most.
    I am also aware of what Tim Gray once said “what film makes people cry?”
    CODA could be that film or Belfast?

    I am still predicting TPOTD, but the score from movie audiences is a bit alarming.

    FYC:
    Best Picture: Licorice Pizza, West Side Story, Dune.

    Best Director: PTA, Denis Villeneuve

    Best Original Screenplay: Licorice Pizza.

    Best Actress: Alana Haim

    Profile picture
    Zuranthium
    Joined:
    Dec 9th, 2014
    Topics:
    Posts:
    #1204757657

    Did you live through the Brokeback Mountain season? Power of the Dog is basically that movie, but with less hype and no SAG ensemble nomination (and no Michelle Williams breakdown scene; Kirsten Dunst could never). These movies are too cold for wide audiences, including the industry.

    In the preferential era, AMPAS has skewed critical with every BP winner above 86.

    Conveniently forgetting Green Book. King’s Speech and Argo would not get those metacritic scores in this era either.

    Power of the Dog barely has a higher metacritic score than West Side Story anyway, it’s not the sole “loved by critics” contender in the field.

    It’s RT score is 85%.

    No, its RT audience score is in the 60’s and then was artificially inflated later on; the sudden mysterious swap that reeks of tampering was documented. Its metacritic audience score is in that lower range.

    Profile picture
    The Northman
    Joined:
    Nov 10th, 2021
    Topics:
    Posts:
    #1204757662

    If the audience score is gonna damage the power of the dog, WSS or Belfast will win. I think WSS will score both cinematography and editing noms despite missing the Guilds, while TPOTD will miss important tech noms and WSS will be the new favourite on noms day. Most people that have seen WSS say it is better than the original.

    Profile picture
    Joined:
    Jan 1st, 1970
    Topics:
    Posts:
    #1204757675
    This post was found to be inappropriate by the moderators and has been removed.
    Profile picture
    Joined:
    Jan 1st, 1970
    Topics:
    Posts:
    #1204757699
    This post was found to be inappropriate by the moderators and has been removed.
    Profile picture
    Marcus.H
    Joined:
    Oct 21st, 2017
    Topics:
    Posts:
    #1204757701

    Thinking of Nomadland…AMPAS really did a good job by rewarding its best things: leading actress and director. They left screenplay to the more-deserved “The Father” and cinematography to “Mank”,rather than giving everything to Nomadland, which is really a great decision because it means that when they vote, they’re clearly awared of what that category is for, instead of just voting for their fav film in every category.

    That’s why I don’t think TPOTD can’t get all BP, BD, screenplay, Actor, Supporting actor, editing, and cinematography… unless the industry really thought TPOTD is some kind of masterpiece.

    Coen-Lynch-Fellini

    Profile picture
    Marcus.H
    Joined:
    Oct 21st, 2017
    Topics:
    Posts:
    #1204757703

    Belfast seems like it’s winning both Screenplay and Picture.

    It needs to beat Licorice Pizza first. And seriously, screenplay is actually one of the weaker things about Belfast. Even King Richard looks like a stronger contender than it in screenplay category.

    Coen-Lynch-Fellini

    Profile picture
    Joined:
    Jan 1st, 1970
    Topics:
    Posts:
    #1204757709
    This post was found to be inappropriate by the moderators and has been removed.
    Why are you reporting this post? (optional):
    Not now
Viewing 15 posts - 181 through 195 (of 519 total)

The topic ‘Oscars 2022 Predictions: Best Picture and Director (Part 27)’ is closed to new replies.

Similar Topics
tiermak... - May 21, 2022
Movies
Babylonian - May 20, 2022
Movies
Chris B... - May 19, 2022
Movies