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Oscars 2022 Predictions: Best Picture and Director (Part 27)

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    BoBoBonehead
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    Jan 20th, 2021
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    #1204759255

    Universal appeal is hard to f with.

    But…

    Die-hards will be die-hards.

    Keep your blinders on. Dance to the disco music.

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    Anthony 🐜
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    Jul 26th, 2013
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    #1204759260

    Throwing box office numbers and viewing numbers around is absurd, the only viewers that matter are 900 people in the Academy. This isn’t the People’s Choice Awards.

    Exactly why ROMA didn’t stand a chance against GREEN BOOK.

    This is the sequel. And spoiler alert: It ends exactly the same way.

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    OscarWatcher1971
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    Sep 24th, 2021
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    #1204759262

    What fine quality discussion we have today.

    I saw a discussion elsewhere of whether Belfast can picture only ie. win without screenplay and it made me think of the contortions many are going through to see a pathway for it.

    Let’s just say if it’s that weak it can’t win screenplay then it’s not winning picture.

    And is it as widely loved as many keep on telling us, why is it the favourite in only one category, original sceeenplay? Why?

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    BoBoBonehead
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    Jan 20th, 2021
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    #1204759265

    Refusal to accept anything but The Power of the Dog winning best picture is a bold strategy.

    Same goes for Belfast.

    Keep your blinders on. Dance to the disco music.

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    OscarWatcher1971
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    #1204759267

    LOL better not tell Anthony that La La Land’s box office eclipsed Moonlight, or 1917 over Parasite or Avatar over Hurt Locker, plenty of examples

    Again for those that have comprehension issues, I’ve never said TPOTD was the only film that could win best picture. Some people could do with reading classes.

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    TomJerry
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    Oct 4th, 2020
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    #1204759271

    Refusal to accept anything but The Power of the Dog winning best picture is a bold strategy.

    Yeah. This could be the year where a streaming service wins BP.

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    BoBoBonehead
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    #1204759273

    I love that this race is a David vs Goliath but neither side can agree which is which. How… American?

    Belfast vs The Power of the Dog for another two months…

    *sigh*

    Keep your blinders on. Dance to the disco music.

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    Babylonian
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    Aug 16th, 2021
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    #1204759276

    The only thing that gives me pause about TPotD is it’s audience score. Every Best Picture winner in the preferential ballot era, and going back to before until Shakespeare in Love has at least a 7.3 or higher on IMDb, whereas TPotD has a 6.9. Most BP winners score between 7.5-8.5 on IMDb, so the fact that TPotD is so low is concerning. The film may be more respected than liked. The thing it has in its favor is that Belfast and WSS are sliding down further and further. I think this is really between Dune and Dog at this point, the populist epic or the critical daring.

    FYC:

    Everything Everywhere All At Once in every eligible category

    Hold My Hand - Lady Gaga for Best Original Song

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    Manav
    Joined:
    Dec 21st, 2019
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    #1204759278

    Both Belfast and TPOTD have a strong chance to win BP.
    The end

    ~Not much active now due to a higher studies course
    ~still love watching films and television shows
    ~Everything Everywhere All At Once in all categories.
    ~Currently watching Abbott Elementary

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    String Cheese Theory
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    Aug 16th, 2020
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    #1204759283

    LOL better not tell Anthony that La La Land’s box office eclipsed Moonlight, or 1917 over Parasite or Avatar over Hurt Locker, plenty of examples Again for those that have comprehension issues, I’ve never said TPOTD was the only film that could win best picture. Some people could do with reading classes.

    Imagine talking about box office in Twenty Twenty-Two The Year of Your Lord

    Bill Hader and Barry in everything (2 babka)
    The Great - Elle Fanning, Nicholas Hoult and comedy writing and directing

    Severance in drama series, writing, Adam Scott for best actor, Ben Stiller for drama directing, and the whole cast in supporting.

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    OscarWatcher1971
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    Sep 24th, 2021
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    #1204759341

    Yes BO is not relevant to BP we all know and anyways at this point Belfast is still a bomb in the US

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    benbraddock
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    Nov 4th, 2013
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    #1204759490

    Power of the Dog is too decisive. People love it. People hate it. People don’t understand it. Belfast is too personal to win.
    The logical choice for best picture is WSS
    Spielberg triumphs over Campion again
    Netflix struggles to win a best picture Oscar
    2 Female directors back to back…..not happening
    Belfast gets Branagh is screenplay Oscar
    Power of the Dog gets 1 acting plus screenplay for Campion
    WSS gets pic, director and 3 techs. Sound, Cinematography and Art Direction
    Dune wins Editing, Visual Effects, original score.

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    gorman
    Joined:
    Dec 24th, 2017
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    #1204759556

    Power of the Dog is too decisive. People love it. People hate it. People don’t understand it. Belfast is too personal to win.

    I think there’s a threshold at which we have to stop calling TPOTD divisive. It’s on track to get 8+ nominations, it has done well at every guild it was expected to, it’s the most awarded film of the year by critics by far, placed in the Top 3 at TIFF, is the frontrunner in 4 major categories (including Director and Screenplay which is a vital combo) and has a chance of winning others.

    Not really sure why Belfast being personal would stop it from winning Picture anyway. Plus your proposal that WSS is strongest looks fairly baseless after its inexplicable misses at ACE and ASC and its miss at SAG too. Certainly the assertion it’s going to win Cinematography after it missed ASC is way off.

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    Nameizmann
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    Jan 16th, 2020
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    #1204759567

    People don’t think of TPOTD as a slow boring slog. In other words, it’s no Roma. It’s a thriller. It’s not that polarising. It’s easily winning BP.

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    The Way of The Wind
    Joined:
    Sep 22nd, 2011
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    #1204759571

    I would LOVE if Dune won best picture. Is such a massive masterpiece. Almost like watching an opera. Dune is the picture of the year for me. I cant stop thinking about it, though it is months I actually saw it in the cinema.

    The Power of the Dog is so grand in a much smaller scale. Campion has the sharpest vision and she outshines herself here. I would be glad if TPOTD won best picture as well.

    The Last Duel was great and so is The Green Knight. King Richard is good, and Being The Ricardos is…%&$#”&.

    My nominess for today:

    Dune
    The Power of the Dog
    The Last Duel
    The Green Knight
    Passing
    Belfast
    Nightmare Alley
    The Lost Daughter
    Dont Look Up
    West Side Story

    Bubbles: tick tick Boom!, No Time To Die, Spencer, Red Rocket, Being The Ricardos, Licorice Pizza, Drive My Car

    2023 Oscar
    Best Picture: The Way of The Wind
    Best Director: Decision to Leave
    Best Actress: TAR
    Best Actor: The Whale
    Best Supporting Actress: The Whale
    Best Supporting Actor: Poor Things

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