January 27, 2022 at 3:28 pm #1204755297
TPOTD got set decorators & CAS which Belfast missed
Didn’t mention WSS as it missed SAG ensemble, only got 1 SAG nod & missed ACS & Eddie. It’s dead.
Set decorator guild is irrelevant lol. Belfast missed CAS but got into the Effects/Foley category with the Sound Editors guild, which is the one that really matters there (POTD did not get in).
It can be said both underperformed at SAG, but I would put the Ensemble category above anything else there. So, still a slight advantage to Belfast overall.
West Side Story is not dead at all. The ACE miss is very strange but it might have been a screener issue, and even if it wasn’t, for some completely bizarre reason, we already saw Spotlight winning BP without ACE. Winning the Editing Oscar without an ACE nomination is a harder thing to achieve, but it happened multiple times in the 60’s.
Here’s a curious stat for you – the 1961 West Side Story also missed with ACE…but went on to win the Editing Oscar.January 27, 2022 at 3:33 pm #1204755304
The only potential director spoilers I see are Hamaguchi, Coen, McKay, and (very far off) Gyllenhaal. Let’s see what BAFTA does. It isn’t great that DMC didn’t get into Best Film, but Hamaguchi’s chances are still good.January 27, 2022 at 4:03 pm #1204755338
Stop with the screener issue excuses for WSS.January 27, 2022 at 4:05 pm #1204755342
Imagine if the Oscars do one thing right and give Dune best picture this year.January 27, 2022 at 4:10 pm #1204755345
Main obstacle is that it’s part 1.
I also think it’s a tad confusing & lacks an emotional core.
I imagine part 2 will win BP though.January 27, 2022 at 4:11 pm #1204755348
Honestly, I have seen all these movies and I would vote for Westside Story or Drive My Car. I just found these two movies 🎥 perfect. I wouldn’t vote for The Power of Dog, I think it is good, but overhyped. Belfast is ok, but nothing ground-breaking. Dune is passable, Don’t Look Up is basic, King Richard is forgettable, Being The Ricardos and Tick Tick Boom are ok, definitely not win worthy. Licorice Pizza so and so, The Tragedy of MacBeth is great but I guess not for all people.January 27, 2022 at 4:18 pm #1204755360
Stop with the screener issue excuses for WSS.
It’s not an excuse, it’s factually something that happens during award season, and has been an especially prevalent problem at SAG over the years. We know Disney bungled the screeners there this year; it stands to reason they also have in other places.January 27, 2022 at 4:21 pm #1204755369
Stop with the screeners excusesJanuary 27, 2022 at 4:28 pm #1204755378
I finally watched Licorice Pizza and now I’m actually scared of Don’t Look Up winning Screenplay.
Because Pizza it’s not the type of movie that wins Screenplay: it doesn’t have a story, it doesn’t have a conflict or an “important topic”. Maybe they’ll just namecheck PTA, but now I’m really worried about it.
Anyway, I loved Licorice Pizza. I totally got lost in the world, the characters, the performances, the vibes. Also it was funny as hell. And I was actually moved with the scene of Alana and the gay couple.
Yes, the love story is controversial, but I think it was totally meant to be that way. Most PTA films are about finding love/family in unusual and unrequited places.
It’s my personal pick for Best Picture, for now. (I haven’t seen Drive My Car yet)January 27, 2022 at 4:34 pm #1204755390
I loved Dune but still it is half a movie.January 27, 2022 at 4:35 pm #1204755394This post was found to be inappropriate by the moderators and has been removed.January 27, 2022 at 4:38 pm #1204755397
Main obstacle is that it’s part 1. I also think it’s a tad confusing & lacks an emotional core. I imagine part 2 will win BP though.
It’ll be the first time since the Godfather that a first and second installment win Best Picture.
Everything Everywhere All At Once in every eligible category
Hold My Hand - Lady Gaga for Best Original SongJanuary 27, 2022 at 4:47 pm #1204755413
It was understandable for the SAG underperformance, not so much for missing very important guilds later on.
It’s understandable anywhere. If you don’t have screeners you’re probably not getting nominated. That’s simply how the game works. Especially in this age of covid when people are staying home more.January 27, 2022 at 4:53 pm #1204755419
Imagine if the Oscars do one thing right and give Dune best picture this year.
It’s my personal favorite of the lineup but there’s too many hurdles
It’s the Mad Max of the year
Best Actress - Pénélope Cruz, Olivia Colman
Best Actor - Denzel Washington
Best Supporting Actress - Aunjanue Ellis, Kathryn HunterNot now
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