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I would’ve taken the wrap’s poll a bit more seriously if it didn’t have TPOTDG missing lmao…
Even if it’s a small sample, 300 feels like something large enough to be at least a little bit representative and TPOTDG missing makes no sense. So I’m sensing something fishy here.
I expect old American AMPAs voters to like WSS more and international AMPAS members to like The Power of the Dog more, Belfast winning would make sense because it has elements that both American and international voters like.
The Wrap conducted a survey with 300 AMPAs and Guild members, King Richard wasn’t strong, surprise, surprise
The Power of the Dog also wasn’t top 10 according to that survey, which is strange because Campion was the highest vote getter in Director.
I expect old American AMPAs voters to like WSS more and international AMPAS members to like The Power of the Dog more, Belfast winning would make sense because it has elements that both American and international voters like.
They don’t even mention it as the movie that missed the top 10 lmao. Anyway, I think they most probably omitted by mistake since the article does look kind of messy. It’s the only thing that makes sense with Campion being number one in Director.
The Power of the Dog also wasn’t top 10 according to that survey, which is strange because Campion was the highest vote getter in Director.
I think it was 3rd, because WSS was second. Just guessing. I mean we know TPOTD is top tier contender anyways.
They don’t even mention it as the movie that missed the top 10 lmao. It’s like it doesn’t exist.
Anyway, I think they most probably omitted by mistake since the article does look kind of messy. It’s the only thing that makes sense.
Yes, I think it’s just an article typo. If not, that’s a huge omittance. I do feel strongly about Belfast winning, though, esp. after reading that article. It seems to be this year’s middle ground film that everyone can agree on…
My username is an acronym of “Quiet On Set! Lights, Camera, Action.” 🎥
I would’ve taken the wrap’s poll a bit more seriously if it didn’t have TPOTDG missing lmao… Even if it’s a small sample, 300 feels like something large enough to be at least a little bit representative and TPOTDG missing makes no sense. So I’m sensing something fishy here.
Yeah not buying this. WSS missing and flopping at all the precursors but it’s second here lol. Even with an American contingent something doesn’t add up. We’ll laugh about it tomorrow.
Awards-daily Final Best Picture Prediction line-up
Lol, trash poll. Based on data it makes no sense. Also trash poll in other categories. Ignore it, things will look much different tomorrow.
I think it was 3rd, because WSS was second. Just guessing. I mean we know TPOTD is top tier contender anyways.
That makes the most sense, they just forgot to list it.
I’ve added House of Gucci to my top 10 predictions. Only because I feel so many people watched it (and enjoyed it) and divisive is a good thing as the people who liked it will vote as it’s memorable. I think BTR is making to 10 too. Be prepared for shock omissions.
Final predictions:
The Power of the Dog
Belfast
Licorice Pizza
West Side Story
Dune
King Richard
CODA
Tick, Tick… BOOM
Being the Ricardos
Drive My Car
Alt: Nightmare Alley or House of Gucci
We know Academy members always had a hard time voting for BP. Although in the previous years they could nominate 10 movies, it was always 8 or 9. That’s why I think the last spot belongs to a movie that is somehow popular and accessible. Drive My Car isn’t that movie.
Vulture: Which movie will be this year’s Oscars’ villain?:
https://www.vulture.com/2022/02/oscars-2022-which-movie-is-this-years-oscar-villain.html1. Being The Ricardos:
“He could not have created a more perfect illustration of the philosophical emptiness of MSNBC liberalism if he tried. This has not been a problem for Guild voters, who have lavished the Amazon project with nominations, and made Nicole Kidman the Best Actress front-runner. If the film sneaks into Best Picture, it will do the impossible—uniting in anger art-house fans, the anti-streaming contingent, and those who want the Oscars to reflect mainstream taste. Everyone getting up in arms about the Academy nominating a mediocre showbiz biopic? Perhaps things are back to normal after all.”2. Don’t Look Up:
“Since reinventing himself as a smarty-pants satirist, Adam McKay tends to get on critics’ nerves, and co-writer David Sirota didn’t do the film any favors when he spent the holidays declaring that anyone who gave Don’t Look Up a negative review was complicit in the destruction of the planet. ”3. Licorice Pizza:
“Yes, it’s a lighthearted romance between a 15-year-old boy and a 20-something woman, but the age-gap hubbub always felt a little obligatory, and anyway it seems to have worn itself out.”4. West Side Story:
“West Side Story’s release was greeted by think pieces calling its source material irredeemably racist and those creative changes “pandering.” Add in the sexual-assault allegations against star Ansel Elgort, a sizable mental hurdle for the enlightened film fan, and you can understand why despite a diverse cast and glowing reviews the musical has had a hard time positioning itself as the progressive choice in the race.”5. Belfast:
“Alternative Ulster? No thank you: Kenneth Branagh’s black-and-white autobiographical drama is the mainstream, accessible, somewhat basic choice in the race. It is both accurate, and a slight roast, to say Belfast is a movie your grandparents will love. Some internet commentators have compared his centering of Northern Irish Protestants to making a Holocaust movie about the hardships of German civilians. None of these quibbles have coalesced into a sustained critique, though — maybe because the film’s audience remains small or maybe because the 90-minute charmer is simply too modest to hate.”Ambitious Gold-Derby users dreaming of hitting 90% accuracy on 23 Oscars nominations prediction, when we all know the documentary and the live-action will mess up our scores. 😭
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