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Oscars 2022 Predictions: Best Picture and Director (Part 30)

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  • pedrohf2001
    Joined:
    Jan 27th, 2021
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    #1204834619

    Reviews just came in but… Turning Red opened with a 90 on Metacritic, with 11 reviews. Huge contender for Best Animation next year


    Manav
    Joined:
    Dec 21st, 2019
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    #1204834626

    Okay so three questions:

    How many of y’all are predicting Benedict to win BAFTA?

    If you are predicting Benedict to win BAFTA, how do you know this won’t be a Rami Malek/Christian Bale situation where Malek won over Bale?

    If Benedict wins BAFTA, what then?

    And lastly, will I be disappointed if I predict Benedict for BAFTA? Other than Hopkins, most SAG/BAFTA splits had the Globe. Benedict doesn’t have that.

    (A) I’m predicting Benedict Cumberbatch to win the BAFTA and for me,it isn’t even a question.

    (B) I assume you mean Cumberbatch will be Malek and Bale would be like Smith. You have a solid point but Malek won SAG and GG as well other than BAFTA. Also, he was playing Freddie Mercury in a crowdpleasing movie. So, there’s that.

    (C) Even if Benedict wins BAFTA, I firmly think it’s Smith’s Oscar because King Richard is strong, Smith is overdue and because imo GG+CC+SAG>>>BAFTA alone.

    (D) You won’t be disappointed (I guess) because I think BAFTA is more likely to go to Cumberbatch. I suggest you choose what you have the gut feel about.


    Mankishta
    Joined:
    Feb 12th, 2022
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    #1204834633

    (A) I’m predicting Benedict Cumberbatch to win the BAFTA and for me,it isn’t even a question. (B) I assume you mean Cumberbatch will be Malek and Bale would be like Smith. You have a solid point but Malek won SAG and GG as well other than BAFTA. Also, he was playing Freddie Mercury in a crowdpleasing movie. So, there’s that. (C) Even if Benedict wins BAFTA, I firmly think it’s Smith’s Oscar because King Richard is strong, Smith is overdue and because imo GG+CC+SAG>>>BAFTA alone. (D) You won’t be disappointed (I guess) because I think BAFTA is more likely to go to Cumberbatch. I suggest you choose what you have the gut feel about.

    I actually mean that Smith is Malek. Bale is Cumberbatch, the high profile British nominee who’s consistently been second in the race and even then he actually won GG and CCA. Malek was American and won following the SAG win aka Smith. My point is that Smith can win BAFTA over Cumberbatch the way Malek won over Bale.


    H_H_
    Joined:
    Dec 11th, 2017
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    #1204834663

    I actually mean that Smith is Malek. Bale is Cumberbatch, the high profile British nominee who’s consistently been second in the race and even then he actually won GG and CCA. Malek was American and won following the SAG win aka Smith. My point is that Smith can win BAFTA over Cumberbatch the way Malek won over Bale.

    Yeah but Malek was playing icon Mercury and Cumberbatch is in a much stronger movie than Bale and with a more acclaimed performance. If my memory is correct Bale didn’t even win at the London critics which should have been a red flag. Nevertheless, I think Smith can ride the wave to a win but he’s in a more disadvantaged position than Malek whose movie also did better nomination wise.

    Tired of biopics and ham


    Mankishta
    Joined:
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    #1204834673

    Yeah but Malek was playing icon Mercury and Cumberbatch is in a much stronger movie than Bale and with a more acclaimed performance. If my memory is correct Bale didn’t even win at the London critics which should have been a red flag. Nevertheless, I think Smith can ride the wave to a win but he’s in a more disadvantaged position than Malek whose movie also did better nomination wise.

    Btw I’m curious, but is London Critics a decent indicator for BAFTA or something? I know that’s it’s a very prestigious critics group, up there with the trifecta but I’ve never focused on it for BAFTA noms or whatever. Cumberbatch won it this year and Smith missed a nomination.

    Thank you for the answer! It makes sense.


    babypook
    Joined:
    Nov 4th, 2010
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    #1204834794

    Um..”Will” Smith wins the Oscar regardless. Now who will BAFTA choose for Lead Actress?….

    The Sunne in Splendour.
    I prefer my roses white


    federico rubachin
    Joined:
    Jan 22nd, 2019
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    #1204834959

    No film since best editing was introduced in 1935 has won BP missing BOTH editing and Director noms, has it? Doubt CODA will be the 1st. Good things about the “CODA for BP” push: 1. It takes focus off the other challengers to TPOTD 2. It makes Netflix re-double/ ramp up the campaign 3. It limits backlash from the “certain winner” status 4. It eliminates “streaming” as a factor in voting.

    what you saying is true BUT since editing nom exist only 3 films had won best picture without best director nom. It’s not like a lot of movies won best picture without director nom while no movie won with no director and editing nom.  So we don’t know if little miss sunshine could have won the departed with a preferential ballot


    crabbie
    Joined:
    Feb 26th, 2021
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    #1204834996

    Pundits are being real disingenuous with TPOTD right now trying to compare it with Mank which blanked at the Globes, didn’t get nominated at BAFTA, and missed Original Screenplay at the Oscars. When will TPOTD underestimation end?

    Michelle (Yeoh, Williams) Oscar campaign manager.

    FYC:
    Best Picture: Banshees of Inisherin, Everything Everywhere All At Once, TÁR
    Best Director: Todd Field
    Best Original Screenplay: Banshees of Inisherin, Everything Everywhere All At Once, TÁR
    Best Actor: Colin Farrell
    Best Actress: Michelle Yeoh, Cate Blanchett
    Best Supporting Actor: Brendan Gleeson, Ke Huy Quan
    Best Supporting Actress: Kerry Condon, Nina Hoss


    Anna Delvey
    Joined:
    Jan 12th, 2021
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    #1204835013

    Sam is not a pundit. Stop. He’s just a random Twitter user who’s cumming all over CODA right now.


    Setia Yasmine Khalil
    Joined:
    Jan 14th, 2022
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    Setia Yasmine Khalil
    Joined:
    Jan 14th, 2022
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    #1204835053

    Could it be another king speech/Tom hooper situation ?? lol i am kinda worried lol especially at dga what if it breaks the editing trend


    Setia Yasmine Khalil
    Joined:
    Jan 14th, 2022
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    #1204835059

    Sam is not a pundit. Stop. He’s just a random Twitter user who’s cumming all over CODA right now.

    he is still over belfast lol


    alittle03
    Joined:
    Sep 16th, 2020
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    #1204835065

    Pundits are being real disingenuous with TPOTD right now trying to compare it with Mank which blanked at the Globes, didn’t get nominated at BAFTA, and missed Original Screenplay at the Oscars. When will TPOTD underestimation end?

    https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js

    Coffey has been against TPOTD all season and he’s been struggling to cope with the fact that TPOTD is still the frontrunner because he thinks it’s boring. First he said Belfast was the frontrunner and now he’s latching onto CODA.  The disingenuous and overreaching comparisons people’ll make to argue that TPOTD isn’t winning BP when it’s arguably one of the most locked races of the night. People keep saying it’s inaccessible and divisive, and yet it overperformed with 12 nominations, so the Academy must have liked something about it.

    • FYC: Everything Everywhere All at Once in any and every single category, especially Best Picture, Michelle Yeoh in Actress, Stephanie Hsu in Supporting Actress, The Daniels in Director/Screenplay, Paul Rogers in Editing, and Son Lux in Score.


    OscarWatcher1971
    Joined:
    Sep 24th, 2021
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    #1204835068

    TPOTD wins 4 NBP community awards: Picture, Director, Adapted Screenplay & Supporting Actor- KODI!!!

    Almost 1500 voters

    BEST PICTURE
    CODA
    Dune (RUNNER-UP)
    Drive My Car
    Licorice Pizza
    Mass
    The Power Of The Dog (WINNER)
    Spencer
    Tick, Tick…Boom!
    West Side Story
    The Worst Person In The World

    BEST DIRECTOR
    Jane Campion – The Power Of The Dog (WINNER)
    Julia Ducournau – Titane
    Ryusuke Hamaguchi – Drive My Car
    Steven Spielberg – West Side Story
    Denis Villeneuve – Dune (RUNNER-UP)

    BEST ENSEMBLE
    CODA
    Dune
    Mass (WINNER)
    The Power Of The Dog (RUNNER-UP)
    West Side Story

    BEST ACTRESS
    Olivia Colman – The Lost Daughter
    Alana Haim – Licorice Pizza
    Renate Reinsve – The Worst Person In The World (RUNNER-UP)
    Kristen Stewart – Spencer (WINNER)
    Tessa Thompson – Passing

    BEST ACTOR
    Nicolas Cage – Pig
    Benedict Cumberbatch – The Power Of The Dog (RUNNER-UP)
    Andrew Garfield – Tick, Tick…Boom! (WINNER)
    Hidetoshi Nishijima – Drive My Car
    Denzel Washington – The Tragedy Of Macbeth

    BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
    Ariana DeBose – West Side Story (WINNER)
    Ann Dowd – Mass
    Kirsten Dunst – The Power Of The Dog (RUNNER-UP TIE)
    Ruth Negga – Passing (RUNNER-UP TIE)
    Martha Plimpton – Mass

    BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
    Mike Faist – West Side Story
    Jason Isaacs – Mass
    Troy Kotsur – CODA (RUNNER-UP)
    Anders Danielsen Lie – The Worst Person In The World
    Vincent Lindon – Titane
    Kodi-Smit McPhee – The Power Of The Dog (WINNER)

    BEST YOUTH PERFORMANCE
    Jude Hill – Belfast
    Cooper Hoffman – Licorice Pizza
    Emilia Jones – CODA (RUNNER-UP)
    Woody Norman – C’mon C’mon (WINNER)
    Rachel Zegler – West Side Story

    BEST VOICE PERFORMANCE
    Stephanie Beatriz – Encanto (WINNER)
    Jack Dylan Grazer – Luca
    Abbi Jacobson – The Mitchells vs. The Machines (RUNNER-UP)
    Kelly Marie Tran – Raya And The Last Dragon
    Jacob Tremblay – Luca

    BEST BREAKOUT PERFORMANCE
    Mike Faist – West Side Story
    Alana Haim – Licorice Pizza (WINNER)
    Renate Reinsve – The Worst Person In The World (RUNNER-UP)
    Agathe Rousselle – Titane
    Rachel Sennott – Shiva Baby

    BEST DEBUT DIRECTOR
    Maggie Gyllenhaal – The Lost Daughter (WINNER)
    Rebecca Hall – Passing (RUNNER-UP)
    Fran Kranz – Mass
    Lin-Manuel Miranda – Tick, Tick…Boom!
    Michael Sarnoski – Pig

    BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
    CODA
    Drive My Car (RUNNER-UP)
    Dune
    The Lost Daughter
    The Power Of The Dog (WINNER)

    BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
    C’mon C’mon
    The French Dispatch
    Licorice Pizza
    Mass (RUNNER-UP)
    The Worst Person In The World (WINNER)

    BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
    Dune
    The Green Knight
    The Power Of The Dog
    Spencer (RUNNER-UP)
    The Tragedy Of Macbeth (WINNER)

    BEST COSTUME DESIGN
    Cruella (WINNER)
    Dune
    Nightmare Alley
    Spencer (RUNNER-UP)
    West Side Story

    BEST FILM EDITING
    Dune (WINNER)
    Licorice Pizza
    The Power Of The Dog
    Tick, Tick…Boom! (RUNNER-UP)
    West Side Story

    BEST MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING
    Dune (RUNNER-UP)
    Cruella
    The Eyes Of Tammy Faye
    The Green Knight (WINNER)
    House Of Gucci
    The Suicide Squad

    BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
    Dune (WINNER)
    The French Dispatch
    The Green Knight
    Parallel Mothers
    The Power Of The Dog
    Spencer (RUNNER-UP)

    BEST ORIGINAL SONG
    “So May We Start” – Annette (RUNNER-UP)
    “We Don’t Talk About Bruno” – Encanto (WINNER)
    “Guns Go Bang” – The Harder They Fall
    “Be Alive” – King Richard
    “No Time To Die” – No Time To Die

    BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN
    Dune (WINNER)
    The French Dispatch
    Nightmare Alley (RUNNER-UP)
    The Tragedy Of Macbeth
    West Side Story

    BEST SOUND
    Dune (WINNER)
    No Time To Die
    A Quiet Place Part II (RUNNER-UP TIE)
    Tick, Tick…Boom!
    West Side Story (RUNNER-UP TIE)

    BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
    Dune (WINNER)
    The Green Knight (RUNNER-UP)
    No Time To Die
    Shang-Chi And The Legend Of The Ten Rings
    Spider-Man: No Way Home

    BEST ANIMATED FILM
    Encanto
    Flee (WINNER)
    Luca
    The Mitchells vs. The Machines (RUNNER-UP)
    Raya And The Last Dragon

    BEST DOCUMENTARY FILM
    Flee (WINNER)
    Procession
    The Rescue
    The Sparks Brothers
    Summer Of Soul (RUNNER-UP)

    BEST INTERNATIONAL FEATURE FILM
    Drive My Car (WINNER)
    Flee
    Parallel Mothers
    Titane
    The Worst Person In The World (RUNNER-UP)

    BEST ACTION FILM
    The Last Duel (RUNNER-UP)
    No Time To Die
    Shang-Chi And The Legend Of The Ten Rings
    Spider-Man: No Way Home (WINNER)
    The Suicide Squad

    BEST COMEDY FILM
    Don’t Look Up (RUNNER-UP)
    The French Dispatch
    Licorice Pizza (WINNER)
    Red Rocket
    Shiva Baby

    BEST SCI-FI/HORROR FILM
    Dune (WINNER)
    Last Night In Soho
    Malignant
    A Quiet Place Part II
    Titane (RUNNER-UP)

    BEST OVERLOOKED FILM
    C’mon C’mon (RUNNER-UP)
    The Green Knight
    Mass (WINNER)
    Nine Days
    Pig

    Dune 6, Belfast 0, CODA 0


    Anna Delvey
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