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More like Power of the Dog = Spotlight or Nomadland depending on if it can snag a below the line still
When is the last time a film has only won picture and director at the Oscars? Seems weird to me. I think TPOTD will win three but which one: cinematography or screenplay?
I still suspect it’s taking both for a total of 4.
“TPOTD losing a ton of awards it was predicted for actually demonstrates how strong it is” is a really bizarre take.
It lost a ton of awards and still won Picture. It’s undeniable there.
Michelle (Yeoh, Williams) Oscar campaign manager.
2 major awards at the Sags & the Baftas:
3 Billboards = 2 major Oscars
Traffic = 3 major Oscars
Old Men, King’s Speech, American Beauty, Shakespeare in Love = 4 major Oscars
There’s still a degree of uncertainty, but at this point there’s little to suggest a compelling alternative to TPOTD. If Dune ends up sweeping the technical categories (and I still expect Dog to sneak at least one in), Dog can still win with a Director-Picture combo, like how Spotlight won with Screenplay-Picture. CODA (the only realistic alternative) would have to pull off something truly unprecedented. It’s possible, but mOmEnTuM can’t be the only argument.
BAFTA confirmed that Dune has a very sizable guild support. CODA can’t upset without that.
This post was found to be inappropriate by the moderators and has been removed.“I knew I could count on your kindness.” 🌹
Thank you @BAFTA Awards for recognizing Jane Campion's #ThePowerOfTheDog for the Best Film and Best Director! pic.twitter.com/OQ0FERPALS
— The Power Of The Dog (@TPOTD) March 13, 2022
Let’s see what PGA says, cause the CODA surge is undeniably real… but I’m still going with POTD for now.
Roma won at BAFTA and lost the Oscar. You sure it’s undeniable?
Roma was a foreign language film with a completely unknown cast from a streaming service, Dog is more of a Nomadland kind of film.
Roma won at BAFTA and lost the Oscar. You sure it’s undeniable?
The winner that year also won at the Golden Globes and the PGA Awards. TPotD already has the first of those; if it wins both AND the BAFTA, what compelling alternative path is there?
picture bafta winners in the previous 7 years:
Boyhood – lost pic/dir
Revenant – lost pic
La La Land – lost pic
Billboards – lost pic/dir
Roma – lost pic
1917 – lost pic/dir
Nomadland – won
2001-2007, they only matched Return of the King.
Right, but the direction they missed (with the exception of Roma/Green Book) was that they usually picked something more accessible and conventional than the Oscar winner.
This post was found to be inappropriate by the moderators and has been removed.picture bafta winners in the previous 7 years: Boyhood – lost pic/dir Revenant – lost pic La La Land – lost pic Billboards – lost pic/dir Roma – lost pic 1917 – lost pic/dir Nomadland – won 2001-2007, they only matched Return of the King.
Yep, I need to see POTD win on a preferential ballot before I predict it.
FYC:
Everything Everywhere All At Once in every eligible category
Hold My Hand - Lady Gaga for Best Original Song
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