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Oscars 2022 Predictions: Best Picture and Director (Part 35)

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    Stefania
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    #1204878472

    <p style=”text-align: left;”> I still think DMC takes International Film but I suspect it will be quite close; TWPITW is beloved and peaking right now.</p>

    Clayton is predicting TWPITW for the win. I’m not making fun of him anymore, since he predicted CODA winning PGA!

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    gorman
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    #1204878480

    Clayton is predicting TWPITW for the win. I’m not making fun of him anymore, since he predicted CODA winning PGA!

    I think this is a fair prediction if you’re looking to go for a surprise. It was barely visible until very recently and it’s more accessible and crowd-pleasing. It also has the Screenplay nod so there’s clearly support there. Sort of like Cruz, I wouldn’t be at all surprised if it happened but I won’t predict it.

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    samy.chrr
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    Dec 26th, 2020
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    #1204878482

    Clayton is predicting TWPITW for the win. I’m not making fun of him anymore, since he predicted CODA winning PGA!

    He also predicted Frances McDormand last year

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    Novic
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    #1204878484

    I still see Clayton predicting Drive My Car. Where did he predict TWPITW?

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    abelfenty
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    #1204878486

    Today’s the day #CODASWEEP

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    Stefania
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    #1204878495

    I still see Clayton predicting Drive My Car. Where did he predict TWPITW?

    https://variety.com/lists/2022-oscars-predictions-the-collective-top-contenders/best-documentary-feature-2022/

     

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    Novic
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    #1204878497

    https://variety.com/lists/2022-oscars-predictions-the-collective-top-contenders/best-documentary-feature-2022/

    I think that’s a mistake. The picture for the winner is Drive My Car. And on the separate page for the category he marked off Drive My Car as his projected winner.

    https://variety.com/feature/2022-oscars-best-international-feature-predictions-1235072006/

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    Stefania
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    #1204878502

    I think that’s a mistake. The picture for the winner is Drive My Car. And on the separate page for the category he marked off Drive My Car as his projected winner. https://variety.com/feature/2022-oscars-best-international-feature-predictions-1235072006/

    LOL, he’s predicting both in different places. He’s covering his ass! 😂

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    Keth
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    #1204878541

    Today’s the day #CODASWEEP

    It’s possible, but I’m picking The Power of the Dog for Best Picture and The Lost Daughter for Best Adapted Screenplay (I had to roll the dice somewhere and I adore Maggie Gyllenhaal whose name I always have to look up to make sure I spell it right). CODA will almost certain get Best Supporting Actor. Good luck, though. I did really enjoy CODA!

    Life is a thin thread.
    We hang on tightly knowing
    it will snap one day.

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    FreemanGriffin
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    #1204878594

    For the first time since I was 12 years old I won’t be watching the Oscars – too many terrible winners are predicted to happen and I won’t waste my time watching them win undeserved Oscars.

    I am sticking with The Power of the Dog winning BP and 3 other awards: Director, Adapted Screenplay, and Cinematography ): Not happy about it but I just don’t think CODA with only 3 nominations will wind up winning – but maybe this will just be an unprecedented year for BP?

    I would vastly prefer Kodi Smit-McPhee to Troy Kotsur but I have given up – all the momentum is in Kotsur’s direction ): The fact that Mike Faist and David Alvarez aren’t nominated makes for a travesty of a category.

    Ariana DeBose is the only probable winner in any of the major categories that I am happy about.

    If Licorice Pizza wins instead of Belfast in Original Screenplay I will know that academy members have completely lost their minds.

    Sigh. A great year for movies and their nominees/winners are so poor overall. Unless… there are upsets? One can always hope!

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    Will, from Cal
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    #1204878601

    It’s just completely boggling my mind that y’all are all lining up to predict that a movie with 3 nominations will beat a movie with 12, which has in and of itself never even come close to happening.

    No director nom. No crafts noms AT ALL, not even Song (for a movie about music). Only one acting nom, which isn’t even for the breakout lead OR the prior winning legend.

    A movie that was not nominated for BAFTA OR AACTA. An indie movie that didn’t even play many notable festivals or even get nominated for the freaking Indie Spirits.

    Yeah, it won PGA+WGA+SAG. PGA has been wrong 3 of the last 6 years
    SAG has been wrong FIVE of the last 6 years. 3 of the last 6 WGA winners weren’t even nominated for best picture. And the movie with 12 nominations wasn’t competing at SAG (tiny cast) or WGA (ineligible).

    3 vs. 12. Hey, I could be wrong. But 3 vs. 12???

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    TheLordMan
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    Feb 8th, 2022
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    #1204878615

    It makes no sense for CODA to win BP if it didn’t get an Editing nom nor a Directing nom.

    Only 9 BP winners (Birdman, Ordinary People, Annie Hall, Godfather 2, Man for All Seasons, Tom Jones, Marty, Hamlet, and It Happened One Night ) didn’t receive an editing nom but they at least had a directing nom, most of them even winning in that category. Removing the directing nom, that’s a 10% chance at winning when you factor the entire history of the category versus those 9 winners (9 films/87 years) but it lowers it down to 0% when you factor in the lack of a directing nom. It would literally be the first time it happened if it wins somehow. Power of the Dog has the Editing nom, is on track to win Director. Its chances are far better than Coda, guilds be damned.

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    Setia Yasmine Khalil
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    #1204878623

    It’s just completely boggling my mind that y’all are all lining up to predict that a movie with 3 nominations will beat a movie with 12, which has in and of itself never even come close to happening. No director nom. No crafts noms AT ALL, not even Song (for a movie about music). Only one acting nom, which isn’t even for the breakout lead OR the prior winning legend. A movie that was not nominated for BAFTA OR AACTA. An indie movie that didn’t even play many notable festivals or even get nominated for the freaking Indie Spirits. Yeah, it won PGA+WGA+SAG. PGA has been wrong 3 of the last 6 years SAG has been wrong FIVE of the last 6 years. 3 of the last 6 WGA winners weren’t even nominated for best picture. And the movie with 12 nominations wasn’t competing at SAG (tiny cast) or WGA (ineligible). 3 vs. 12. Hey, I could be wrong. But 3 vs. 12???

    Green book got 5 noms beats up Roma with 10 noms but at least with green book it had editing , BAFTA film and festival run and at least won globes

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    Nameizmann
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    #1204878647

    No movies with 3 moms, or without an editing nom, had won PGA but CODA did. So I’m predicting CODA win BP factoring that in,

    I’d be happy to be wrong though.

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    Setia Yasmine Khalil
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    #1204878657

    No movies with 3 moms, or without an editing nom, had won PGA but CODA did. So I’m predicting CODA win BP factoring that in, I’d be happy to be wrong though.

    Actually little miss sunshine won PGA with no editing nom

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