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Oscars 2022 Predictions: Best Picture and Director (Part 9)

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    kbc
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    Feb 25th, 2016
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    #1204462748

    ‘Dune’, ‘Last Night In Soho’ & ‘Spencer’ Among Those Movies Not Eligible To Compete For TIFF’s Top Prize, The People’s Choice Award

    Voting closes about midnight Friday night Eastern Time. The awards are set to be announced in the morning of Saturday, Sept. 18.

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    Elsa Korr
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    #1204462765

    My point stands still that TPOTD and Belfast are the only locks at this point for Picture.

    Only Campion locked for Nomination on Best Director. Larrain has very strong chances, though.

    FYC:
    Best Director: Edgar Wright, Guillermo Del Toro, Jane Campion
    Best Picture: Nightmare Alley, The Power of the Dog
    Best Actress: Kristen Stewart, Thomasin McKenzie, Rooney Mara, Tessa Thompson
    Best Actor: Benedict Cumberbatch, Bradley Cooper
    Best S. Actress: Cate Blanchett, Diana Rigg, Anya Taylor Joy
    Best S. Actor: Kodi Smit McPhee, Willem Dafoe, Richard Jenkins

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    The Oscarguy
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    #1204462774

    And here’s King Richard, further looking to lock several major nominations (and a potential BP win alongside Will Smith‘s potential best actor triumph? Possibly). Plus Smith is a credited producer on the film (“labor of love”), and I’m not sleeping on the potential for Reinaldo Marcus Green to score a BD nom at DGA and the Oscars. No one should be, tbh. Will Smith’s ‘King Richard’ to Close AFI Film Festival

    DGA maybe. The Oscars? Absolutely NOT.

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    Butz
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    Oct 15th, 2020
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    #1204462809

    So Dune is good! Definitely getting nominated for Picture, Director might come along if it gets all the techies. The world building is certainly more interesting than the story itself but it wouldn’t be the first time a movie like that got into Best Picture.

    Letterboxd: Ray_In_Bruges

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    Viridiana
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    Dec 27th, 2019
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    #1204462814

    I think Reinaldo Marcus Green would be ineligible at DGA like all the day-and-date releases unless they change the rules again.

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    NevadaR
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    Jan 13th, 2018
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    #1204462833

    And here’s King Richard, further looking to lock several major nominations (and a potential BP win alongside Will Smith‘s potential best actor triumph? Possibly). Plus Smith is a credited producer on the film (“labor of love”), and I’m not sleeping on the potential for Reinaldo Marcus Green to score a BD nom at DGA and the Oscars. No one should be, tbh. Will Smith’s ‘King Richard’ to Close AFI Film Festival

    Yeah not buying the BP win and the Director nom.  I think only Smith could win but even so I have doubts considering BAFTA might go for Cumberbatch.

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    kbc
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    #1204462848

    Yeah not buying the BP win and the Director nom. I think only Smith could win but even so I have doubts considering BAFTA might go for Cumberbatch.

    My thinking: It appears quite possible that Smith would defeat a BAFTA-winning Cumberbatch the way Jeff Bridges beat a BAFTA-winning Colin Firth. And I expect King Richard to rack up more Oscar nominations than Crazy Heart did.

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    kbc
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    #1204462875

    Bleecker Street kicks off FYC season with its page for Mass, confirming the supporting-category campaign for all four main performers.

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    Richie Rich
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    Aug 6th, 2021
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    #1204462906

    Bleecker Street kicks off FYC season with its page for Mass, confirming the supporting-category campaign for all four main performers.

    Am I the only one who thinks Mass is so not happening? Like I know it will be a great film with great performances, but I just don’t think anyone will care. And it has a terrible distributor. Remember how last year everyone thought Stanley Tucci was going to get in for Best Supporting Actor until he didn’t. Yeah exactly. Highest it will land some critics choice nominations in my opinion.

     

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    wolfali
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    #1204462974

    My thinking: It appears quite possible that Smith would defeat a BAFTA-winning Cumberbatch the way Jeff Bridges beat a BAFTA-winning Colin Firth. And I expect King Richard to rack up more Oscar nominations than Crazy Heart did.

    Colin Firth wasn’t in a British movie and Best Picture contender.

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    kbc
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    #1204462982

    Colin Firth wasn’t in a British movie and Best Picture contender.

    And Jeff Bridges was in an American movie that wasn’t a Best Picture contender.

    And Will Smith is in an American movie that will be a Best Picture contender.

    British AMPAS voting members may have a lot of influence, but American AMPAS voting members have a lot more influence.

    Advantage (still): Smith

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    wolfali
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    #1204463105

    And Jeff Bridges was in an American movie that wasn’t a Best Picture contender. And Will Smith is in an American movie that will be a Best Picture contender. British AMPAS voting members may have a lot of influence, but American AMPAS voting members have a lot more influence. Advantage (still): Smith

    I was responding to the comparison of Will Smith and Benedict Cumberbatch and Jeff Bridges and Colin Firth at the BAFTAs that year but I misread your post and thought you were referring to the BAFTA race and not thee Oscar one.

    My bad!

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    nevkm
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    #1204463156

    Surprised no one posted it so here it is:

    Telluride People’s poll

    1) The Power of the Dog (4.63)
    2) The Rescue (4.20)
    3) Julia (4.18)
    4) Belfast (4.12)
    5) King Richard (4.06)
    6) C’mon C’mon (3.93)
    7) The Hand of God (3.83)
    8) Cyrano (3,62)
    9) A Hero (3.60)
    10) Marcel the Shell (3.57)
    11) The Duke (3.53)
    12) Spencer-tie- (3.50)
    12) The Electrical Life of Louis Wain-tie- (3.50)
    14) The Lost Daughter (3.44)
    15) Red Rocket (3.41)
    16) Petite Maman (3.25)
    17) The French Dispatch (2.50)
    18) Encounter (2.43)

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    wolfali
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    #1204463161

    Surprised no one posted it so here it is: Telluride People’s poll 1) The Power of the Dog (4.63) 2) The Rescue (4.20) 3) Julia (4.18) 4) Belfast (4.12) 5) King Richard (4.06) 6) C’mon C’mon (3.93) 7) The Hand of God (3.83) 8) Cyrano (3,62) 9) A Hero (3.60) 10) Marcel the Shell (3.57) 11) The Duke (3.53) 12) Spencer-tie- (3.50) 12) The Electrical Life of Louis Wain-tie- (3.50) 14) The Lost Daughter (3.44) 15) Red Rocket (3.41) 16) Petite Maman (3.25) 17) The French Dispatch (2.50) 18) Encounter (2.43)

    So much for The Power of the Dog being inaccessible.

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    AmnistY21
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    Jan 1st, 2018
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    #1204463168

    1) The Power of the Dog (4.63)

     

    Not the ‘inaccessible’ and ‘slow’ one dominating Telluride

     

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