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Oscars 2022 Predictions: Best Picture and Director (Part 9)

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    Stank83
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    #1204463192

    Lool, at this point I could even see The Power of The Dog winning the People Choice’s Award at TIFF instead of Belfast.

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    loudtoilet
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    #1204463199

    Festival crowd =/= average audience. Festivals overhype a lot of movies that don’t fly at the cinema. Widows was a flop yet festival types expected it to be a hit lol. Waves didn’t make any waves despite festival hype. Many such examples.

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    lorelei lor
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    #1204463203

    12) Spencer-tie- (3.50)

    đź’€

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    lorelei lor
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    #1204463207

    Lool, at this point I could even see The Power of The Dog winning the People Choice’s Award at TIFF instead of Belfast.

    I think it’s gonna be Top 3 for sure.

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    loudtoilet
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    #1204463210

    đź’€

    I can’t ignore signs that Spencer may not be a shoo-in outside of critic cricle. Reports of unimpressed industry are worrisome.

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    crabbie
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    Surprised no one posted it so here it is: Telluride People’s poll 1) The Power of the Dog (4.63) 2) The Rescue (4.20) 3) Julia (4.18) 4) Belfast (4.12) 5) King Richard (4.06) 6) C’mon C’mon (3.93) 7) The Hand of God (3.83) 8) Cyrano (3,62) 9) A Hero (3.60) 10) Marcel the Shell (3.57) 11) The Duke (3.53) 12) Spencer-tie- (3.50) 12) The Electrical Life of Louis Wain-tie- (3.50) 14) The Lost Daughter (3.44) 15) Red Rocket (3.41) 16) Petite Maman (3.25) 17) The French Dispatch (2.50) 18) Encounter (2.43)

    The Power of the Dog is really social distancing from the other films.

    Michelle (Yeoh, Williams) Oscar campaign manager.

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    loudtoilet
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    #1204463286

    The Power of the Dog is really social distancing from the other films.

    It’s also social distancing telecast viewers. Excatly the winner that sagging ratings need to put the final nail in the coffin.

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    Stefania
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    #1204463289

    Way to go TPOTD!!!

    This is an over simplification, but I’m seeing this trend:

    The Lost Daughter – really good with critics kinda bad with audience

    Spencer – good with critics so so with audience

    The Hand of God – so so with critics good with audience

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    Marcus.H
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    #1204463306

    Surprised no one posted it so here it is: Telluride People’s poll 1) The Power of the Dog (4.63) 2) The Rescue (4.20) 3) Julia (4.18) 4) Belfast (4.12) 5) King Richard (4.06) 6) C’mon C’mon (3.93) 7) The Hand of God (3.83) 8) Cyrano (3,62) 9) A Hero (3.60) 10) Marcel the Shell (3.57) 11) The Duke (3.53) 12) Spencer-tie- (3.50) 12) The Electrical Life of Louis Wain-tie- (3.50) 14) The Lost Daughter (3.44) 15) Red Rocket (3.41) 16) Petite Maman (3.25) 17) The French Dispatch (2.50) 18) Encounter (2.43)

    Surprised how bad TFD may be and that TLD is getting lower ratings than what I expected from its critic raves. Btw, The French Dispatch was my most anticipated film as of this summer, but wow it really went downhill from its Cannes premiere…

    Coen-Lynch-Fellini

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    crabbie
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    #1204463315

    It’s also social distancing telecast viewers. Excatly the winner that sagging ratings need to put the final nail in the coffin.

    Nobody cares about viewers. Let the telecast tank for all I care.

    Michelle (Yeoh, Williams) Oscar campaign manager.

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    loudtoilet
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    #1204463324

    I absolutely want all telecasts to tank – Emmys, Oscars, Grammys, etc.

     

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    wolfali
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    #1204463472

    Could The Lost Daughter be the <i>Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom</i> of this year (sans the screenplay snub)? Critically raved film with strong performances from performers on the actors branch’s radar but at the end of the day audiences are like meh.

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    Vincent Figueroa
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    #1204463621

    Telluride People’s poll 1) The Power of the Dog (4.63) 

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    kaziz
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    #1204463630

    Could The Lost Daughter be the <i>Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom</i> of this year (sans the screenplay snub)? Critically raved film with strong performances from performers on the actors branch’s radar but at the end of the day audiences are like meh.

    Maybe! It’s not exactly Ma Rainey though, in that I don’t get the sense theres a sense it is mediocre, just that those who dislike it REALLY dislike for a specific reason. But if you have enough people who like it (and that MC score bodes well), you don’t need THAT much of AMPAS to get in.

    I think if it fails to get in, it’s likely to be bc of competition, but on the other hand films I thought would get in over it, like The Humans, aren’t doing as well as I’d thought :/

    Critics groups will be the bellwether. It doesn’t need as much as Sound of Metal got but it needs a consistency of support to carry it thru the season.

    Justice for Passing, Tessa Thompson & Ruth Negga.

    The Power of the Dog / Jane Campion / Benedict Cumberbatch / Kristen Stewart / Kirsten Dunst / Troy Kotsur

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    kaziz
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    #1204463642

    It’s also social distancing telecast viewers. Excatly the winner that sagging ratings need to put the final nail in the coffin.

    This makes NO SENSE to me. The winning film isn’t PLAYED at the ceremony. The Oscars can be plenty fun and jazzy and comedic and still give it to a dark film (that….fyi….is nowhere near as polarizing as people said, I think “polarizing” is probably The Lost Daughter above all). By the time the BP winner is announced LOL the show is OVER…

    The Oscars don’t need to give WINS to popular films to get ratings (noms maybe but not wins). They just need their charismatic performers and presenters and maybe a funny host.

    Justice for Passing, Tessa Thompson & Ruth Negga.

    The Power of the Dog / Jane Campion / Benedict Cumberbatch / Kristen Stewart / Kirsten Dunst / Troy Kotsur

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