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Oscars 2022 Predictions: Best Picture and Director

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    kingfan011
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    #1204339166

    I just got completely confused by this thread. What book is being compared to Hillbilly Elegy because Power of The Dog makes no sense.

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    kaziz
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    #1204339333

    Yeah, I think Jane Campion gives me hope. Let us see..I see it being either critically acclaimed bp contender or a huge flop critically, no in between.

    I don’t see “huge flop critically.” Even Bright Star was very critically acclaimed and if anyone dares use In the Cut as an example…don’t. That film is Jane Campion’s Nymphomaniac, it was basically designed to provoke and be hated by critics. It’s adapted from very badly-reviewed erotica, and is infamous for a fellatio scene and very long closeups of Mark Ruffalo’s dick. It’s hard for me to believe Campion had awards aspirations for that.

    TPOTD doesn’t have any sexual content, it’s a drama, but the violent undertones are very strongly implied throughout. I don’t think know if I consider it as particularly risky compared even to The Piano which had a lot of sex in it, except maybe in that might teeter towards psychological thriller. Is that risky in 2021? I don’t think so, especially considering it’s Campion’s comeback after 12 years.

    FYC:
    Picture: Passing, The Power of the Dog, The Lost Daughter, Drive My Car
    Director: Jane Campion, Rebecca Hall
    Actor: Benedict Cumberbatch, Hidetoshi Nishijima
    Actress: Tessa Thompson, Olivia Colman, Kristen Stewart
    Supporting Actress: Kirsten Dunst, Ruth Negga, Dakota Johnson, Jessie Buckley, Martha Plimpton
    Supporting Actor: Troy Kotsur, Kodi Smit-McPhee, Jesse Plemons

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    Calvin
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    Dec 27th, 2017
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    #1204339555

    Campion’s films just aren’t ‘awards bait’ films in general, and personally I think that’s great. Whether or not Power of the Dog is an awards player or not remains to be seen but I’m very certain it will have its own distinct Campion vision no matter what.

    Glad someone brought In the Cut up above, now that’s a great example of a film that just does its own thing without really caring about how it’ll be received or any awards aspirations. Just daring visceral cinema. Pretty much what I love about directors like Campion and Ramsey. Not the most prolific, but you can tell every film of their carries their own distinct voice without compromise.

    Still celebrating Supporting Actress - Youn Yuh-jung (Minari)

    FYC Emmys: The Underground Railroad

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    crabbie
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    Feb 26th, 2021
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    #1204339577

    Jane Campion continues to being underestimated. Can’t wait for POTD to win major awards at TIFF and Venice.

    Michelle Williams Oscar campaign manager.

    FYC:
    Picture: Drive My Car, The Power of the Dog, Licorice Pizza, Spencer, C'mon C'mon
    Director: Jane Campion, Ryusuke Hamaguchi, Pablo Larraín, Paul Thomas Anderson,
    Actor: Benedict Cumberbatch, Joaquin Phoenix. Hidetoshi Nishijima
    Actress: Kristen Stewart, Alana Haim
    Supporting Actress: Kirsten Dunst, Ruth Negga, Cate Blanchett, Ariana DeBose
    Supporting Actor: Kodi Smit-McPhee
    Best Original Screenplay: Licorice Pizza, C'mon C'mon,

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    HaimOnRye
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    Jan 16th, 2021
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    #1204340074

    This has nothing to do with 2022 race but I laughed:

    Anna Kendrick will star in ALICE, DARLING, alongside Wunmi Mosaku, Charlie Carrick & Kaniehtiio Horn. The psychological thriller follows a woman keeping secrets about her boyfriend from her friends but all secrets are uncovered when a local girl disappears. (Source: Deadline)

    Is this a joke? Because Olivia Wilde would like a word…

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    Arman Saxena
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    #1204340192

    The French Dispatch is at an 85 right now on Metacritic and this is an excerpt of Steve Pond of The Wrap’s review that I wanted to highlight as it might epitomize the general reception to the film

    “The result is hugely impressive and awfully scattershot, a wry piece of art that is always entertaining but also so excruciatingly detailed that you wonder if it will connect the way the more emotional, more fully drawn stories of “Grand Budapest,” “Moonrise Kingdom” or “The Royal Tenenbaums” did.”

    So while I think Anderson’s film can still get a BP nomination, I don’t think it will have the emotional resonance needed for a win.

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    gorman
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    #1204340204

    The French Dispatch is at an 85 right now on Metacritic and this is an excerpt of Steve Pond of The Wrap’s review that I wanted to highlight as it might epitomize the general reception to the film “The result is hugely impressive and awfully scattershot, a wry piece of art that is always entertaining but also so excruciatingly detailed that you wonder if it will connect the way the more emotional, more fully drawn stories of “Grand Budapest,” “Moonrise Kingdom” or “The Royal Tenenbaums” did.” So while I think Anderson’s film can still get a BP nomination, I don’t think it will have the emotional resonance needed for a win.

    Based on other reactions I’m seeing I think it will probably drop from 85, given that’s only from 6 reviews, but will be strong enough to get into BP if it can sustain momentum and do well with audiences. Seems like a significant tech player, which I think might carry it to BP, although it will obviously need to resonate above the line too (Director and/ or Screenplay shouldn’t be too difficult a push). I definitely agree on it being too emotionally restrained to prevent the win, though – one key takeaway from recent Oscars is that you don’t stand much of a chance of winning Picture if enough voters are left cold by your film.

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    Donnna
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    #1204340208

    French Dispatch is not happening in best pic. Strictly below the line contender based on reactions.

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    #1204340254
    This post was found to be inappropriate by the moderators and has been removed.
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    JV
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    Dec 31st, 2019
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    #1204340275

    The French Dispatch is at an 85 right now on Metacritic and this is an excerpt of Steve Pond of The Wrap’s review that I wanted to highlight as it might epitomize the general reception to the film

    “The result is hugely impressive and awfully scattershot, a wry piece of art that is always entertaining but also so excruciatingly detailed that you wonder if it will connect the way the more emotional, more fully drawn stories of “Grand Budapest,” “Moonrise Kingdom” or “The Royal Tenenbaums” did.”

    So while I think Anderson’s film can still get a BP nomination, I don’t think it will have the emotional resonance needed for a win.

    This was fairly obvious, to be fair. It’s a very personal Wes Anderson film and a passion project of him. Kinda like Silence was for Scorsese.

    The original release date also didn’t scream “awards season” for TFD

    Campion takes director. PTA takes original screenplay. Poor Wes

    I doubt Soggy Bottom will be an awards player. It will be completely overshadowed by House of Gucci.

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    crabbie
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    Feb 26th, 2021
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    #1204340334

    French Dispatch is still getting in BP with the power of the cast and Searchlight. I’m more interested if Anderson can miss Best Director for such an auteur piece that has left people feeling cold. He would be pulling a Fincher for Mank.

    Michelle Williams Oscar campaign manager.

    FYC:
    Picture: Drive My Car, The Power of the Dog, Licorice Pizza, Spencer, C'mon C'mon
    Director: Jane Campion, Ryusuke Hamaguchi, Pablo Larraín, Paul Thomas Anderson,
    Actor: Benedict Cumberbatch, Joaquin Phoenix. Hidetoshi Nishijima
    Actress: Kristen Stewart, Alana Haim
    Supporting Actress: Kirsten Dunst, Ruth Negga, Cate Blanchett, Ariana DeBose
    Supporting Actor: Kodi Smit-McPhee
    Best Original Screenplay: Licorice Pizza, C'mon C'mon,

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    SN
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    Dec 7th, 2014
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    #1204340352

    TFD just increased from 85 to 88 on Metacritic. Seems like it’ll be successful.

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    wolfali
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    Sep 4th, 2018
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    #1204340359

    The French Dispatch is quite safe for a Picture nomination. It has a director well respected in the industry and a high profile cast. Searchlight are like the HBO of the Oscars. They know how to campaign.

    I think at worst it ends up being Mank 2.0 (although maybe it ends up being the other way around and it misses director instead of original screenplay).

    FYC:

    "The Good Fight" and "The Other Two" in all categories.

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    francemc
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    Mar 25th, 2021
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    #1204340367

    The French Dispatch is quite safe for a Picture nomination. It has a director well respected in the industry and a high profile cast. Searchlight are like the HBO of the Oscars. They know how to campaign. I think at worst it ends up being Mank 2.0 (although maybe it ends up being the other way around and it misses director instead of original screenplay).

    breaking news

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    diego
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    Dec 10th, 2019
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    #1204340373

    I think at worst it ends up being Mank 2.0 (although maybe it ends up being the other way around and it misses director instead of original screenplay).

    That sounds possible but I haven’t seen that much acclaim for the writing. Then again, the film is writer’s bait.

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