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Oscars 2022 Predictions: Best Supporting Actor (Part 2)

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    Stefania
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    #1204548173

    Also, as of now, my gut tells me 4 men from Belfast and TPOTD are all getting in. Dune, Spencer, King Richard, Nightmare Alley, WSS, DLU—none of these films seem to offer strong enough contenders. Hinds Dornan Plemons Smit-McPhee The two films are strong enough, charisma is there, campaign is there, respect + breakout + veteran + reputation + charisma, in an unsettled category. But whoever that 5th person is—that’s probably who’ll win, and it will likely be an all-white lineup. Maybe, probably that person is Jenkins, I just have this feeling that 5th unsettled person who emerges from critics groups etc will take it and go all the way.

    That’s my lineup right now: Jenkins, Smit-McPhee, Plemons, Hinds and Dornan.

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    crabbie
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    Feb 26th, 2021
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    #1204548699

    I don’t think The Humans will go anywhere. Pacino looks like he has a substantial role in Gucci and his acting cachet should allow him to prevail over Leto. I’m not very confident in Cooper making it in, but since I’m predicting Licorice Pizza for Best Picture I might as well predict the most likely acting nomination from the film.

    1. Smit-McPhee

    2. Hinds

    3. Pacino

    4. Simmons

    5. Cooper

    Michelle Williams Oscar campaign manager.

    FYC:
    Picture: Drive My Car, The Power of the Dog, Licorice Pizza, Spencer, C'mon C'mon
    Director: Jane Campion, Ryusuke Hamaguchi, Pablo Larraín, Paul Thomas Anderson,
    Actor: Benedict Cumberbatch, Joaquin Phoenix. Hidetoshi Nishijima
    Actress: Kristen Stewart, Alana Haim
    Supporting Actress: Kirsten Dunst, Ruth Negga, Cate Blanchett, Ariana DeBose
    Supporting Actor: Kodi Smit-McPhee
    Best Original Screenplay: Licorice Pizza, C'mon C'mon,

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    AmnistY21
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    Jan 1st, 2018
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    #1204548703

    People still clinging to Jenkins huh

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    MD
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    Dec 25th, 2017
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    #1204548723

    Kodi might get lucky and capitalize on this category being a mess. If you think he’s too young remember Anna Paquin? If someone can do it then it’s Jane Campion. Anyway, prayer circle.

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    FreemanGriffin
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    #1204548974

    Current predictions (as of October 30, 2021):

    Jamie Dornan, Belfast
    Ciarin Hinds, Belfast
    Jason Isaacs, Mass
    Jared Leto, House of Gucci
    Kodi Smit-McPhee, The Power of the Dog

    Still not sold on Richard Jenkins making it in for The Humans, and I definitely don’t believe that Bradley Cooper will get nominated for Licorice Pizza. Jesse Plemons is in 6th place for me. I have to see Corey Hawkins in The Tragedy of Macbeth as I am surprised by how high he is in the predictions. I am curious about the other actors who are in House of Gucci and am looking forward to seeing the movie on Thanksgiving day.

    I am predicting Jamie Dornan will win.

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    Orestes
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    #1204549277

    It is rather odd to me how Jenkins has stayed in 1st place in the odds while Houdyshell has plummeted to 87/1 or something thereabouts, when judging by TIFF reviews alone hers was the more warmly received performance. Name recognition and the apparent thinness of competition has kept Jenkins afloat, but I seriously wonder if this is one of those pundit-only things that will eventually run its course.

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    We keep the news light!
    Joined:
    Sep 22nd, 2011
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    #1204549290

    Last October predix:

    Jamie Dornan
    Jon Bernthal
    Timothy Spall
    Kodi Smit-McPhee
    Jason Isaacs

    FYC
    Best Picture: Nightmare Alley
    Best Director: Jane Campion
    Best Actress: Renate Reinsve
    Best Actor: Benedict Cumberbatch
    Best Supporting Actress: Cate Blanchett
    Best Supporting Actor: Jon Bernthal
    Bes Original Screenplay: The Worst Person in The World

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    kbc
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    Sep 16th, 2021
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    #1204549292

    It is rather odd to me how Jenkins has stayed in 1st place in the odds while Houdyshell has plummeted to 87/1 or something thereabouts, when judging by TIFF reviews alone hers was the more warmly received performance. Name recognition and the apparent thinness of competition has kept Jenkins afloat, but I seriously wonder if this is one of those pundit-only things that will eventually run its course.

    #TeamJenkins and TeamHoudyshell 4 life here, but a while back I dropped the notion of The Humans getting any Oscar noms. A24 is throwing off several signs (festival placement, the Deadline Contenders lineup, the day-and-date release deal with Showtime for The Humans) that C’mon C’mon, Red Rocket and its 50% promo stake in The Tragedy of Macbeth are the studio’s awards-season priorities.

    FYC
    Best Picture: Jockey
    Director: Clint Bentley
    Actor: Clifton Collins Jr.
    Supporting Actress: Molly Parker
    Supporting Actor: Moises Arias
    Original Screenplay: Clint Bentley, Greg Kwedar
    Cinematography: Adolpho Veloso
    Film Editing: Parker Laramie
    Music Score: Aaron & Bryce Dessner

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    JV
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    Dec 31st, 2019
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    #1204549323

    I think people should watch out for Rob Morgan. He has the third biggest role in Don’t Look Up, and if the movies becomes a big player they could go with him. He already should have been nominated for Mudbound (instead of Dafoe in The Florida Project, which I never understood the hype behind that performance)

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    pedrohf2001
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    #1204549612

    As of now

    1 – Richard Jenkins

    2 – Kodi Smit-McPhee

    3 – Jared Leto

    4 – Jason Isaacs

    5 – Jamie Dornan

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    Iamelle
    Joined:
    Dec 18th, 2018
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    #1204549663

    1 – Kodi

    2 – Ciaran

    3 – Al Pacino

    4 – Jared

    5 – Bradley

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    veronikavoss
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    Jul 28th, 2011
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    #1204549760

    For such a weak year, the least Jeffrey Wright deserves is a campaign for his take on James Baldwin in The French Dispatch.

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    Stefania
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    Feb 22nd, 2021
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    #1204549795

    For such a weak year, the least Jeffrey Wright deserves is a campaign for his take on James Baldwin in The French Dispatch.

    I haven’t seen the movie yet, but yes to Jeffrey Wright and yes to James Baldwin.

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    kaziz
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    Nov 10th, 2011
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    #1204549941

    I haven’t seen the movie yet, but yes to Jeffrey Wright and yes to James Baldwin.

    Haven’t seen The French Dispatch yet, but it is truly heartbreaking to me that Jeffrey Wright, who is such an awesome actor, turned out to have some pretty awful politics during the Dem primaries

    (He had multiple meltdowns in the Dem primaries, went after AOC, and just in general went on rips calling Bernie a “fundamentalist” and literally equating him to the far right for months. It was all very Alyssa Milano, but weirdly…worse. If Bernie was pictured in conversation with a Black person at a rally, he’d be like “LOOK IT’S BERNIE’S BLACK PEOPLE PHOTO OP”)

    Ugh this man doesnt deserve to play Baldwin lol, but sadly… he IS a great actor, and I’m sure he’s fantastic. Anyway.

    It’s so weird to me how Hollywood actors play SUPER RADICAL people all the time and learn absolutely nothing. It’s so trendy now in fact 😞 I suppose that’s partly why Kaluuya/Stanfield’s nominations felt so good because they’re both pretty darn left (then again, younger actors do tend to be).

    FYC:
    Picture: Passing, The Power of the Dog, The Lost Daughter, Drive My Car
    Director: Jane Campion, Rebecca Hall
    Actor: Benedict Cumberbatch, Hidetoshi Nishijima
    Actress: Tessa Thompson, Olivia Colman, Kristen Stewart
    Supporting Actress: Kirsten Dunst, Ruth Negga, Dakota Johnson, Jessie Buckley, Martha Plimpton
    Supporting Actor: Troy Kotsur, Kodi Smit-McPhee, Jesse Plemons

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    Cosmia
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    Oct 19th, 2021
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    #1204550018

    Most people aren’t particularly extreme. Wright was annoying but so was everyone else during that miserable primary.

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