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Oscars 2022 Predictions: Best Supporting Actress (Part 11)

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    Hawk
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    Aug 16th, 2019
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    #1204770967

    A Ruth Negga upset is unlikely, but would be monumental!

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    Zuranthium
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    Dec 9th, 2014
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    #1204771002

    Dunst isn’t missing

    She just did. Hello? You were wrong, so don’t try to turn it around.

    It’s possible with “normal” BAFTA membership voting she might have been name check ballot filled into a nomination, but we’ll never know, and that still wouldn’t mean she’d be secure for the Oscars. It’s quite likely that both Ellis and Negga have more passionate supporters.

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    Jordan_Pack
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    Oct 10th, 2011
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    #1204771021

    Watch the fight for the 5th spot be between Dunst, Blanchett & something wild from the Academy like McDormand or Streep in supporting.

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    DrewN92
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    Jan 4th, 2018
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    #1204771041

    Yeah, I think it’s between Balfe and Negga at the BAFTAs.

    Really hoping for Negga. Passing performed well with BAFTA, fingers crossed it helps give them momentum. Balfe was the standout from Belfast, but Negga is much more deserving in my opinion.

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    K Olivia
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    Nov 28th, 2021
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    #1204771064

    Oscar Predictions:
    Caitríona Balfe, Belfast
    Ariana DeBose, West Side Story
    Kirsten Dunst, The Power of the Dog
    Aunjanue Ellis, King Richard
    Ruth Negga, Passing

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    estrelas
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    Jul 25th, 2018
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    #1204771081

    She just did. Hello? You were wrong, so don’t try to turn it around. It’s possible with “normal” BAFTA membership voting she might have been name check ballot filled into a nomination, but we’ll never know, and that still wouldn’t mean she’d be secure for the Oscars. It’s quite likely that both Ellis and Negga have more passionate supporters.

    And? Congrats 👏🏼 you must be really happy. Dunst must have killed your dog or someone you know for this amount of hatred. Lord. She missed the top2, the other 4 spots were literally chosen by a jury. She’s not missing the Oscar nom when she’s in the BP frontrunner. Also, Ellis already missed SAG and AACTA where her movie got nominations. She happened at the BAFTAs because of the jury, we don’t even know if she would’ve been nominated under full membership.

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    wolfali
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    Sep 4th, 2018
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    #1204771092

    Honestly I won’t mind whomever wins here. Dunst or Negga would be my personal choice but I loved West Side Story, loved Ellis, loved Mass and Dowd’s performance in it (and Plimpton’s of course but no need to state the obvious) and really liked Balfe in Belfast even though I didn’t think much of the film itself.

    As long as the AMPAS don’t suddenly nominate the cast of Don’t Look Up in these supporting categories I’ll be happy.

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    almanzarlamarcarlile
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    Jul 27th, 2020
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    #1204771094

    I still don’t see how Passing making 4 juried categories means Negga is above DeBose.

    Using West Side Story’s underperformance as a reason to predict Balfe makes sense. Belfast is after all a strong contender. Using West Side Story’s underperformance to predict Negga does not make sense. Passing is a very weak film.

    Quinta Brunson 1st and 2nd emmy campaign manager
    Bill Hader 4th, 5th and 6th emmy campaign manager
    Jeremy Strong 2nd emmy campaign manager
    Zendaya 2nd and 3rd emmy campaign manager

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    24fanatic
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    #1204771115

    Oscar Predictions:
    Caitríona Balfe, Belfast
    Ariana DeBose, West Side Story
    Kirsten Dunst, The Power of the Dog
    Aunjanue Ellis, King Richard
    Ruth Negga, Passing

    This is the frontrunner line-up. I’m still hoping for a surprise nom here.

    I would take a Marlee Matlin, Rita Moreno or Jessie Buckley nomination over Balfe or Ellis personally.

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    Zuranthium
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    Dec 9th, 2014
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    #1204771279

    And?

    And it’s a predictions site, why do you keep trying to change the subject? Most people here were wrong about Dunst and haven’t been reading the Oscar viability of this performance correctly, because they are fans who wanted to see her win, or at the very least be a lock for a nomination.

    I don’t hate Dunst at all, but these constant attempts to twist things around because someone isn’t groveling in line to stan a certain actor like a lemming is so annoying. I’m here to analyze the Oscar races and I have an excellent radar for what they go for; Dunst’s performance never stood out as a possible winner to me and I’ve not heard much passion from voters about it. The point of the site should be to discuss those things. It’s also a straight-up fact that there has been a massive PR-fabricated campaign for her this season, so it’s annoying when people act like this is coming naturally, or like the industry is dying to award her.

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    tom92
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    Dec 1st, 2011
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    #1204771293

    How many people have won for the same character?

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    m_butterfly
    Joined:
    Feb 3rd, 2021
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    #1204771303

    How many people have won for the same character?

    Marlon Brando and Robert DeNiro in The Godfather, and Heath Ledger and Joaquin Phoenix as the Joker.

    Arguably not the same thing as Ariana DeBose’s case but it’s the closest.

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    estrelas
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    Jul 25th, 2018
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    #1204771353

    And it’s a predictions site, why do you keep trying to change the subject? Most people here were wrong about Dunst and haven’t been reading the Oscar viability of this performance correctly, because they are fans who wanted to see her win, or at the very least be a lock for a nomination.

    I don’t hate Dunst at all, but these constant attempts to twist things around because someone isn’t groveling in line to stan a certain actor like a lemming is so annoying. I’m here to analyze the Oscar races and I have an excellent radar for what they go for; Dunst’s performance never stood out as a possible winner to me and I’ve not heard much passion from voters about it. The point of the site should be to discuss those things. It’s also a straight-up fact that there has been a massive PR-fabricated campaign for her this season, so it’s annoying when people act like this is coming naturally, or like the industry is dying to award her.

    I’m not changing the subject lmao. Most narratives and campaigns are literally fabricated to give actors a boost to their visibility and awards chances. You’re acting as if this a crime or something. And even if you don’t hear much passion for her performance from people within the Industry doesn’t mean everyone feels that way. You don’t know every Academy voter or Industry member. People tried it with her missing SAG and she got in over someone people actually thought could’ve won there. I never said she was winning, I said she had a shot. Obviously, she’s not winning but she’s also not missing because she didn’t make top2 at the BAFTAs and a jury didn’t pick her. I also remember months ago when you said Mike Faist was locked for the win. How’s that turning out for you?

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    estrelas
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    Jul 25th, 2018
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    #1204771379

    Because Passing got into British Film. And bec. Rebecca Hall got into debut Director.

    Girl, you do realise both categories are juried right? Passing was clearly a jury save for British Film (it wasn’t top5 in that category) and Debut is chosen by a jury.

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    tom92
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    Dec 1st, 2011
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    #1204771436

    Marlon Brando and Robert DeNiro in The Godfather, and Heath Ledger and Joaquin Phoenix as the Joker.

    Arguably not the same thing as Ariana DeBose’s case but it’s the closest.

    Thanks! Why not the same?

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