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Oscars 2022 Predictions: Best Supporting Actress (Part 8)

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    DrewN92
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    #1204636943

    In terms of nomination likelihood:

    1. Kirsten Dunst
    2. Aunjanue Ellis
    3. Ariana Debose
    4. Caitriona Balfe
    5. Rita Moreno

    6. Cate Blanchett
    7. Ruth Negga

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    Babylonian
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    Aug 16th, 2021
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    #1204636975

    In terms of nomination likelihood: 1. Kirsten Dunst 2. Aunjanue Ellis 3. Ariana Debose 4. Caitriona Balfe 5. Rita Moreno – 6. Cate Blanchett 7. Ruth Negga

    Why don’t you think Blanchett could make it in?

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    Joe Langer
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    Dec 5th, 2021
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    #1204636986

    Why don’t you think Blanchett could make it in?

    No. The film is too much of a bore and Cate comes too late. Meryl and Ruth Negga are more likely than her from what I’ve heard.

    Member of the Screen Actors Guild. Inducted in 1999.
    Now retired.

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    Keth
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    Dec 2nd, 2011
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    #1204637139

    In terms of nomination likelihood:

    1. Kirsten Dunst
    2. Aunjanue Ellis
    3. Ariana Debose
    4. Caitriona Balfe
    5. Rita Moreno

    6. Cate Blanchett
    7. Ruth Negga

    I do hope Ruth Negga somehow makes it into the top 5 – not sure who she would replace as I’ve only seen Dunst and Ellis and I would vote for Negga over either of those two fine performances that should stay top 5 and garner nominations.

    I just keep thinking of the scene when Claire’s husband arrives at the hotel and calls her Nig, a nickname he gave her. The interaction between Claire and Rene in this scene was brilliantly acted by both Negga and Thompson. You could sense the fear and discomfort Claire was feeling just through her eyes. Hell, I was uncomfortable. Beautiful portrayal – awkward and annoying and intense and still touching. If that even makes sense – it does to me.

    My best, so far:

    Film - The Power of the Dog
    Actor - Benedict Cumberbatch
    Actress - Tessa Thompson
    Supporting Actor - Kodi Smit-McPhee
    Supporting Actress - Ruth Negga

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    Actormogul
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    Nov 6th, 2011
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    #1204637183

    Agree with Joe, I’m also a member of SAG and there isn’t a lot of passion behind Blanchett. While WSS is garnering so much favor and I think Moreno and DeBose are sure things!

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    Villeneuve
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    Apr 8th, 2020
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    #1204637215

    Yep, It’s Ellis and Debose to lose, Negga seems DOA sadly and Dunst will be happy to he nominated

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    Actormogul
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    #1204637230

    As awful as it is to say, and remember I do See Smith winning I think this is the only other acting category I can see going to a person of color. Not that I feel That, that is going to come into play with voting, but I do think Supporting Actor and Actress are looking very white!

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    kaziz
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    Nov 10th, 2011
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    #1204637232

    Yep, It’s Ellis and Debose to lose, Negga seems DOA sadly and Dunst will be happy to he nominated

    This is ridiculous and wildly premature.

    Anyway, moving on: Indiewire’s 27 Best Film & TV performances listed more supporting actress than lead actress performances in contention. Dunst, DeBose, Ellis, Negga (and in a sign of the Dowd/Plimpton indecision, they chose the whole cast of Mass because they found it impossible to single out any one)

    Just a sign of how strong this category is this year! Only Cruz & Stewart for lead.

    FYC:
    Picture: Passing, The Power of the Dog, The Lost Daughter, Drive My Car
    Director: Jane Campion, Rebecca Hall
    Actor: Benedict Cumberbatch, Hidetoshi Nishijima
    Actress: Tessa Thompson, Olivia Colman, Kristen Stewart
    Supporting Actress: Kirsten Dunst, Ruth Negga, Dakota Johnson, Jessie Buckley, Martha Plimpton
    Supporting Actor: Troy Kotsur, Kodi Smit-McPhee, Jesse Plemons

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    vinny
    Joined:
    May 20th, 2011
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    #1204637237

    No. The film is too much of a bore and Cate comes too late. Meryl and Ruth Negga are more likely than her from what I’ve heard.

    little lesson ive learned: do not underestimate Cate.

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    George Papakostas
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    Oct 30th, 2013
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    #1204637301

    I can´t believe only 2/24 experts predict Cate Blanchett. According to literally EVERYONE who has seen the film, her presence is the best thing happening in Guillermo Del Toro´s attempt in the Noir world.

    I can see Dunst, Ellis, DeBose – we´re on the same page there- but can you really underestimate Cate ? How many of those groups have seen Nightmare Alley anyway? I think it´s coming out on December 17, right? Then I WANT TO SEE how many of you you´ll start changing your TOP 5s. Just wait and see.

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    Marcus.H
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    Oct 21st, 2017
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    #1204637379

    I just watched “King Richard” and all I want to say is sorry to Kirsten Dunst because that Aunjanue Ellis performance is too strong for you to beat. I’ve now seen TPOTD, Belfast, and KR. It’s Ellis >>> Balfe = Dunst for me. To me, she even shines more than Will Smith in KR though her screen time is limited.

    Coen-Lynch-Fellini

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    kaziz
    Joined:
    Nov 10th, 2011
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    #1204637390

    To me, she even shines more than Will Smith in KR though her screen time is limited.

    I find this pretty obvious lol. You can run 1000 simulations of different characters and Aunjanue Ellis will always shine more than Will Smith. 😂 Don’t mean to be mean to Smith so much as… well, it’s Ellis.

    FYC:
    Picture: Passing, The Power of the Dog, The Lost Daughter, Drive My Car
    Director: Jane Campion, Rebecca Hall
    Actor: Benedict Cumberbatch, Hidetoshi Nishijima
    Actress: Tessa Thompson, Olivia Colman, Kristen Stewart
    Supporting Actress: Kirsten Dunst, Ruth Negga, Dakota Johnson, Jessie Buckley, Martha Plimpton
    Supporting Actor: Troy Kotsur, Kodi Smit-McPhee, Jesse Plemons

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    Jojo1
    Joined:
    Nov 27th, 2020
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    #1204637404

    Guys I just saw WSS and DeBose is coming. 😭

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    MariahC_WW
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    Mar 11th, 2021
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    #1204637662

    My predictions as of now are

    Tier 1(Locks)

    1. Ariana Debose for West Side Story

    2. Caitriona Balfe for Belfast

    3. Aunjanue Ellis for King Richard

    Tier 2(Likely)

    4. Kirsten Dunst for The Power of the Dog

    5. Marlee Matlin for CODA

    Tier 3(On the outside looking in)

    6. Ann Dowd for Mass

    7. Ruth Negga for Passing

    8. Cate Blanchett for Nightmare Alley

    9. Rita Moreno for West Side Story

    10. Gaby Hoffman for C’Mon C’Mon

    Tier 4(Unlikely but could still happen)

    11. Meryl Streep for Don’t Look Up

    12. Jessie Buckley for The Lost Daughter

    13. Martha Plimpton for Mass

    14. Judi Dench for Belfast

    15. Rebecca Ferguson for Dune

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    Saulo Correa Ferreira
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    Jan 9th, 2013
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    #1204637715

    I have seen the film, and no, Cate is not nomination worthy

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