Oscars 2022 Predictions: Crafts Categories (Part 1)

[Jacob "Oscar Boy" Boe Joined: Apr 20th, 2019 Topics: 4 Posts: 1241 View Predictions]

#1204517699

crabbie wrote:

The Power of the Dog is similar in editing to Nomadland, which did in fact get in editing. Both are slowburns that go by quick due to the naturalistic quick paced editing. The editing ties into the film as cohesive story that reaches a clear final act as opposed to Roma and Once Upon a Time in Hollywood which were criticized for meandering and “nothing happens”.

about Once Upon a Time in Hollywood? That makes no sense at all. Its editing was flashy as hell, cutting between Leo and Brad, not to mention that dream fight sequence or whatever, and all of the movie scenes. And it definitely had a clear finale.

Anyway, I digress. The biggest difference between the two is that the location was always changing in Nomadland. In TPotD, they stay on the ranch and in the town. They’re not traveling across America.

Once there was only Dark. If you ask me, the Light's winning.

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[crabbie Joined: Feb 26th, 2021 Topics: 1 Posts: 4729 View Predictions]

#1204517720

Jacob "Oscar Boy" Boe wrote:

about Once Upon a Time in Hollywood? That makes no sense at all. Its editing was flashy as hell, cutting between Leo and Brad, not to mention that dream fight sequence or whatever, and all of the movie scenes. And it definitely had a clear finale.

No I remember much of the criticism from the film came from “nothing happens” until the last 15 minutes of the film regardless of the flashy editing or not. It’s a 2 hour and 51 minute film so people’s boredom with the film is directly tied to the editing choices that affect the film’s pacing. People’s issues with the pacing lead to Once Upon a Time losing at ACE to Jojo Rabbit then getting snubbed at the Oscars.

Michelle (Yeoh, Williams) Oscar campaign manager.

FYC:
Best Picture: Banshees of Inisherin, Everything Everywhere All At Once, Decision to Leave
Best Director: Park Chan-Wook Todd Field
Best Original Screenplay: Banshees of Inisherin, Everything Everywhere All At Once
Best Actor: Colin Farrell
Best Actress: Michelle Yeoh, Cate Blanchett, Tang Wei
Best Supporting Actor: Brendan Gleeson, Ke Huy Quan
Best Supporting Actress: Kerry Condon, Nina Hoss

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[Elsa Korr Joined: Oct 16th, 2020 Topics: 4 Posts: 1859 View Predictions]

#1204517805

Call me hopedicting but I think editing branch is a sucker for Edgar Wright’s movie. Baby Driver got into editing (I know its far more critically acclaimed than Soho, which was Polarizing) and if Machliss’ editing is as good, if not better, than Baby Driver, I can see it happening here.

FYC:
Best Director: Edgar Wright, Guillermo Del Toro, Jane Campion
Best Picture: Nightmare Alley, The Power of the Dog
Best Actress: Kristen Stewart, Thomasin McKenzie, Rooney Mara, Tessa Thompson
Best Actor: Benedict Cumberbatch, Bradley Cooper
Best S. Actress: Cate Blanchett, Diana Rigg, Anya Taylor Joy
Best S. Actor: Kodi Smit McPhee, Willem Dafoe, Richard Jenkins

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[Jacob "Oscar Boy" Boe Joined: Apr 20th, 2019 Topics: 4 Posts: 1241 View Predictions]

#1204517843

crabbie wrote:

No I remember much of the criticism from the film came from “nothing happens” until the last 15 minutes of the film regardless of the flashy editing or not. It’s a 2 hour and 51 minute film so people’s boredom with the film is directly tied to the editing choices that affect the film’s pacing. People’s issues with the pacing lead to Once Upon a Time losing at ACE to Jojo Rabbit then getting snubbed at the Oscars.

Pacing is also affected by the directing and writing tho so I feel like its editing cant be the only thing faulted.

But back to TPotD, it just seems like the contender that gets screwed over. The one everybody puts too much confidence in and then it misses some key nominations. Like how ASIB missed editing and director. How 1917 and OUATIH missed editing. How The Favourite missed ensemble. That’s why I think TPotD is missing editing and ensemble. It seems like it should get in logically, but empirically it makes a lot of sense if it missed.

Once there was only Dark. If you ask me, the Light's winning.

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[MKnight98 Joined: Aug 14th, 2017 Topics: 0 Posts: 26 View Predictions]

#1204517904

Pretty odd that Godzilla vs Kong isn’t in the prediction center for VFX yet. Well if it isn’t added it’ll definitely be in the shortlist and I think it’s got a good chance at a nod.

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[Jacob "Oscar Boy" Boe Joined: Apr 20th, 2019 Topics: 4 Posts: 1241 View Predictions]

#1204517908

MKnight98 wrote:

Pretty odd that Godzilla vs Kong isn’t in the prediction center for VFX yet. Well if it isn’t added it’ll definitely be in the shortlist and I think it’s got a good chance at a nod.

Yeah I think that’s the consensus

Once there was only Dark. If you ask me, the Light's winning.

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[kbc Joined: Sep 16th, 2021 Topics: 0 Posts: 1657 View Predictions]

#1204518037

crabbie wrote:

No I remember much of the criticism from the film came from “nothing happens” until the last 15 minutes of the film regardless of the flashy editing or not. It’s a 2 hour and 51 minute film so people’s boredom with the film is directly tied to the editing choices that affect the film’s pacing. People’s issues with the pacing lead to Once Upon a Time losing at ACE to Jojo Rabbit then getting snubbed at the Oscars.

I recall the same analysis, and also the perception that Fred Raskin suffers in comparison with the late, great Sally Menke. Such an awful loss.

FYC
Best Picture: "Aftersun" (A24); “Bones & All” (MGM/UA)
Best Director: Charlotte Wellls; Luca Guadagnino
Best Actress: Frankie Corio; Taylor Russell
Best Actor: Paul Mescal; Timothee Chalamet
Best Supporting Actress: Chloe Sevigny
Best Supporting Actor: Mark Rylance, Andre Holland, Michael Stuhlbarg
Best Original Screenplay: Charlotte Wells
Best Adapted Screenplay: David Kajganich

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[Vincent Figueroa Joined: Jul 26th, 2021 Topics: 0 Posts: 245 View Predictions]

#1204518449

Animated feature:

 

1- Flee- Neon (Denmark)

2- The Mitchells and the Matchines- Netflix (USA)

3  Raya and the Last Dragon-  Walt Disney (USA)

4 – Belle- Gkids      (Japan)

5  The Witcher: Nightmare of the Wolf – Netflix (USA)

6.  Encanto  –      Walt Disney  (USA)

 

I hope that this year Pixar (Luca)   will definitely be left out of these awards. They have been giving them the award for many years, in many cases unfairly.

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[Magnus Joined: Jan 20th, 2020 Topics: 1 Posts: 520 View Predictions]

#1204518750

Cinematography:
1. Nightmare Alley
2. Dune
3. The Power of the Dog
4. Belfast
5. The Tragedy of Macbeth
6. Spencer
7. West Side Story
8. The French Dispatch
9. The Hand of God
10. The Green Knight

Film Editing:
1. Dune
2. Belfast
3. Don’t Look Up
4. King Richard
5. House of Gucci
6. Nightmare Alley
7. West Side Story
8. Licorice Pizza
9. The Tragedy of Macbeth
10. The Power of the Dog

Production Design:
1. Nightmare Alley
2. Dune
3. The French Dispatch
4. The Tragedy of Macbeth
5. West Side Story
6. Cyrano
7. The Last Duel
8. Spencer
9. Cruella
10. The Power of the Dog

Costume Design:
1. Spencer
2. Dune
3. House of Gucci
4. Cruella
5. Nightmare Alley
6. The French Dispatch
7. West Side Story
8. Cyrano
9. The Last Duel
10. Licorice Pizza

Original Score:
1. Dune
2. Spencer
3. The Power of the Dog
4. Nightmare Alley
5. The French Dispatch
6. Belfast
7. No Time to Die
8. Encanto
9. Luca
10. The Green Knight

Sound:
1. Dune
2. No Time to Die
3. West Side Story
4. The Matrix Resurrections
5. Belfast
6. The Last Duel
7. A Quiet Place Part II
8. Nightmare Alley
9. Finch
10. Godzilla vs. Kong

Visual Effects:
1. Dune
2. The Matrix Resurrections
3. Eternals
4. Godzilla vs. Kong
5. Free Guy
6. Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings
7. The Suicide Squad
8. Finch
9. The Green Knight
10. Jungle Cruise

Makeup and Hairstyling:
1. The Eyes of Tammy Faye
2. House of Gucci
3. Dune
4. Cruella
5. Spencer
6. The Suicide Squad
7. Cyrano
8. The Last Duel
9. Nightmare Alley
10. Meet the Ricardos

Original Song:
1. Be Alive, King Richard
2. No Time to Die, No Time to Die
3. Down to Joy, Belfast
4. Colombia, Mi Encanto, Encanto
5. Don’t Look Up, Don’t Look Up
6. Here I Am (Singing My Way Home), Respect
7. So May We Start, Annette
8. Believe, The Rescue
9. Every Letter, Cyrano
10. Somehow You Do, Four Good Days

FYC
Picture: Dune
Director: Jane Campion
Actress: Kristen Stewart
Actor: Benedict Cumberbatch
Sup. Actress: Kirsten Dunst
Sup. Actor: Kodi Smit-McPhee
Original: The Worst Person in the World
Adapted: The Power of the Dog
Cinematography/Editing/Score/Production Design/Sound: Dune
Costumes: Cruella
Animated/Doc: Flee
International Feature: The Worst Person in the World

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[MKnight98 Joined: Aug 14th, 2017 Topics: 0 Posts: 26 View Predictions]

#1204519586

My first attempt at predicting some of the below-the-line categories:

VFX
1. Dune
2. Eternals
3. The Matrix Resurrections
4. Godzilla vs Kong
5. Spider-Man: No Way Home
–
6. Finch
7. Free Guy
8. Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings
9. Jungle Cruise
10. No Time to Die

SOUND
1. Dune
2. No Time to Die
3. West Side Story
4. Nightmare Alley
5. Tick, tick… Boom!
–
6. A Quiet Place Part II
7. Belfast
8. The Matrix Resurrections
9. The Last Duel
10. Eternals

FILM EDITING
1. Dune
2. Belfast
3. Don’t Look Up
4. Nightmare Alley
5. West Side Story
–
6. Licorice Pizza
7. The Power of the Dog
8. House of Gucci
9. Tick, tick… Boom!
10. King Richard

COSTUME DESIGN
1. Spencer
2. Dune
3. House of Gucci
4. Cruella
5. Nightmare Alley
–
6. The French Dispatch
7. West Side Story
8. Cyrano
9. The Last Duel
10. Licorice Pizza

PRODUCTION DESIGN
1. Dune
2. Nightmare Alley
3. West Side Story
4. The French Dispatch
5. The Tragedy of Macbeth
–
6. Cyrano
7. The Power of the Dog
8. Belfast
9. Spencer
10. Licorice Pizza

CINEMATOGRAPHY
1. The Tragedy of Macbeth
2. Belfast
3. Dune
4. The Power of the Dog
5. Nightmare Alley
–
6. Spencer
7. West Side Story
8. The French Dispatch
9. No Time to Die
10. The Hand of God

ORIGINAL SCORE
1. Dune
2. The Power of the Dog
3. Spencer
4. Nightmare Alley
5. The French Dispatch
–
6. The Tragedy of Macbeth
7. Belfast
8. No Time to Die
9. Luca
10. Don’t Look Up

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[Jacob "Oscar Boy" Boe Joined: Apr 20th, 2019 Topics: 4 Posts: 1241 View Predictions]

#1204519608

If you’re predicting Dune to get sound, which everyone is, then you better be predicting it to get film editing too. It’s happened almost every time in the last decade…

Once there was only Dark. If you ask me, the Light's winning.

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[MKnight98 Joined: Aug 14th, 2017 Topics: 0 Posts: 26 View Predictions]

#1204519631

Jacob "Oscar Boy" Boe wrote:

If you’re predicting Dune to get sound, which everyone is, then you better be predicting it to get film editing too. It’s happened almost every time in the last decade…

Good point, actually. The last time that Editing did not match up with at least one Sound category was 2013.

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[Butz Joined: Oct 15th, 2020 Topics: 0 Posts: 1537 View Predictions]

#1204519787

Jacob "Oscar Boy" Boe wrote:

If you’re predicting Dune to get sound, which everyone is, then you better be predicting it to get film editing too. It’s happened almost every time in the last decade…

I never believed in this stat but after Sound of Metal took Editing over Chicago 7 no one can deny it’s a thing anymore. So Dune for Editing it is.

For Your Consideration:
The Banshees of Inisherin in ALL categories, including:
- Best Picture
- Best Director
- Best Actor (Colin Farrell)
- Best Supporting Actor (Brendan Gleeson)
- Best Supporting Actor (Barry Keoghan)
- Best Supporting Actress (Kerry Condon)
- Best Supporting Actress (Sheila Flitton)
- Best Original Screenplay

Letterboxd: Ray_In_Bruges

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[The Oscarguy Joined: Jan 11th, 2021 Topics: 5 Posts: 431 View Predictions]

#1204519828

It’s looking like Cinematography, Sound and Costume Design are the most crowded categories here. There are so many contenders here that feel like shoo-ins, it’s insane.

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[Stefania Joined: Feb 22nd, 2021 Topics: 1 Posts: 1381 View Predictions]

#1204519854

Jacob "Oscar Boy" Boe wrote:

If you’re predicting Dune to get sound, which everyone is, then you better be predicting it to get film editing too. It’s happened almost every time in the last decade…

So whoever wins sound usually also wins editing, that’s it? I wonder if someone who knows the craft departments could explain what’s the connection, if there is one.

Dune for sure is getting sound, VFX and editing, plus it has a good shot at score, cinematography and production design.

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