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Oscars 2022 predictions

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    fefface
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    #1203709895

    If Gucci comes out I can see Driver contending for a double noms. He seems like someone liked enough to do that tbh.

    He doesn’t even need Gucci to come out. I’m very much not sure how The Last Duel will do but if it’s good he could get in for that.

    He could even be more likely to get nominated for TLD than for Annette – Sparks are raving about his performance in it already and I think in terms of the amount of work he apparently does in it (all sung, very physical) the Academy loves to reward that stuff but if the film is too weird voters won’t see it.

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    tsc
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    #1203709975

    what are the chances of The Last Duel being nominated?

    In an “me too” era, is it okay to make room for a story about two men fighting over a girl who was raped by one of them? I know this is a real story and it was written by academy darlings Affleck and Damon, but it is so controversial….

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    fefface
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    #1203709990

    what are the chances of The Last Duel being nominated? In an “me too” era, is it okay to make room for a story about two men fighting over a girl who was raped by one of them? I know this is a real story and it was written by academy darlings Affleck and Damon, but it is so controversial….

    It’s also being written by Nicole Holofcener, who is really great and who is writing the Jodie Comer character’s POV. I trust Comer not to get involved with a project that explores this issue in a damaging way and I trust Holofcener not to write one.

    I think it’s destined to be controversial whether it’s good or not, but it’s hard to tell. GoT has multiple similar storylines and was hugely popular.

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    Mickmack
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    #1203710438

    PICTURE Amsterdam Annette (Amazon) Blonde (Netflix) Don’t Look Up (Netflix) Elvis (Warner Bros.) Gucci (MGM) The Last Duel (20th Century) Nightmare Alley (Searchlight) Soggy Bottom (MGM) The Tragedy of Macbeth (A24) DIRECTOR Paul Thomas Anderson – Soggy Bottom (MGM) Joel Coen – The Tragedy of Macbeth (A24) Guillermo Del Toro – Nightmare Alley (Searchlight) Adam McKay – Don’t Look Up (Netflix) David O. Russell – Amsterdam ACTOR Christian Bale – Amsterdam Bradley Cooper – Nightmare Alley (Searchlight) Adam Driver – Annette (Amazon) Will Smith – King Richard (Warner Bros.) Denzel Washington – The Tragedy of Macbeth (A24) ACTRESS Sandra Bullock (Unforgiven) Ana De Armas – Blonde (Netflix) Lady Gaga – Gucci (MGM) Jennifer Lawrence – Don’t Look Up (Netflix) Margot Robbie – Amsterdam SUPPORTING ACTOR Bradley Cooper – Soggy Bottom (MGM) Tom Hanks – Elvis (Warner Bros.) Richard Jenkins – Nightmare Alley (Searchlight) Micheal B. Jordan – Amsterdam Leonardo DiCaprio – Don’t Look Up (Netflix) SUPPORTING ACTRESS Cate Blanchett – Nightmare Alley (Searchlight) Toni Collette – Nightmare Alley (Searchlight) Viola Davis – Unforgiven (Netflix) Maggie Gyllenhaal – Elvis (Warner Bros.) Frances McDormand – The Tragedy of Macbeth (A24)

    You really just picked out the most famous people in a movie next year? 90% of these aren’t happening!

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    Heptapod
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    #1203710821

    I’m now thinking The Eyes of Tammy Faye will end up here. I was originally thinking that Searchlight could just push McDormand and Chastain at the same time, but now that it’s looking like McDormand could realistically be a winner, I think they’ll put all their support behind her (and Nomadland as a whole) and give Chastain her shot next year, because I do think Chastain could win for this.

    Emmys FYC: Maya Erskine in PEN15, Paapa Essiedu in I May Destroy You, Keeley Hawes in It's a Sin, Carl Lumbly in TFATWS, Cristin Milioti in Made for Love, Elizabeth Olsen in WandaVision, Billie Piper in I Hate Suzie, Hailee Steinfeld in Dickinson, William Zabka in Cobra Kai

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    Mickmack
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    #1203710852

    I’m now thinking The Eyes of Tammy Faye will end up here. I was originally thinking that Searchlight could just push McDormand and Chastain at the same time, but now that it’s looking like McDormand could realistically be a winner, I think they’ll put all their support behind her (and Nomadland as a whole) and give Chastain her shot next year, because I do think Chastain could win for this.

    Chastain will win a Razzie

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    fefface
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    #1203710863

    Tammy Faye could really be either great or terrible – those low resolution photos that got leaked looked awful, but unofficial shots always do. Personally I just have a gut feeling that it’s one of those movies that looks baity on paper but turns out terrible.

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    Stank83
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    #1203710879

    PICTURE

    Amsterdam
    Annette (Amazon)
    Blonde (Netflix)
    Don’t Look Up (Netflix)
    Elvis (Warner Bros.)
    Gucci (MGM)
    The Last Duel (20th Century)
    Nightmare Alley (Searchlight)
    Soggy Bottom (MGM)
    The Tragedy of Macbeth (A24)

    DIRECTOR

    Paul Thomas Anderson – Soggy Bottom (MGM)
    Joel Coen – The Tragedy of Macbeth (A24)
    Guillermo Del Toro – Nightmare Alley (Searchlight)
    Adam McKay – Don’t Look Up (Netflix)
    David O. Russell – Amsterdam

    ACTOR

    Christian Bale – Amsterdam
    Bradley Cooper – Nightmare Alley (Searchlight)
    Adam Driver – Annette (Amazon)
    Will Smith – King Richard (Warner Bros.)
    Denzel Washington – The Tragedy of Macbeth (A24)

    ACTRESS

    Sandra Bullock (Unforgiven)
    Ana De Armas – Blonde (Netflix)
    Lady Gaga – Gucci (MGM)
    Jennifer Lawrence – Don’t Look Up (Netflix)
    Margot Robbie – Amsterdam

    SUPPORTING ACTOR

    Bradley Cooper – Soggy Bottom (MGM)
    Tom Hanks – Elvis (Warner Bros.)
    Richard Jenkins – Nightmare Alley (Searchlight)
    Micheal B. Jordan – Amsterdam
    Leonardo DiCaprio – Don’t Look Up (Netflix)

    SUPPORTING ACTRESS

    Cate Blanchett – Nightmare Alley (Searchlight)
    Toni Collette – Nightmare Alley (Searchlight)
    Viola Davis – Unforgiven (Netflix)
    Maggie Gyllenhaal – Elvis (Warner Bros.)
    Frances McDormand – The Tragedy of Macbeth (A24)

    No way Bradley Cooper gets a double nomination.

    Plus, both Wikipedia and IMBD still have Killers of The Flower Moon as a 2021 release.

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    fefface
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    #1203710962

    PICTURE Amsterdam Annette (Amazon) Blonde (Netflix) Don’t Look Up (Netflix) Elvis (Warner Bros.) Gucci (MGM) The Last Duel (20th Century) Nightmare Alley (Searchlight) Soggy Bottom (MGM) The Tragedy of Macbeth (A24)

    This would put Adam Driver in three BP nominees in a single year, which is surely impossible (I know Laura Dern was in two this last year, and Bradley Cooper is in two of your other picks, but three seems a lot)

    When is Macbeth coming out? Does it have a confirmed release date?

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    Juanald02
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    #1203715504

    This would put Adam Driver in three BP nominees in a single year, which is surely impossible (I know Laura Dern was in two this last year, and Bradley Cooper is in two of your other picks, but three seems a lot) When is Macbeth coming out? Does it have a confirmed release date?

    It’s definitely possible, at the 75th oscars John C. Reilly Was in 3 best picture noms; Chicago, Gangs Of New York and The Hours. That was back when there was only 5 Best Picture nominees so it’s possible to see it happen with a possible 10 nominees.

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    braydenfitzsimmons
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    #1203715520

    This would put Adam Driver in three BP nominees in a single year, which is surely impossible (I know Laura Dern was in two this last year

    Michael Stuhlbarg was in three in 2017 (Call Me By Your Name, The Post & The Shape of Water), so it’s impossible for it to happen again.

    Emmys FYC | Alan Tudyk in “Resident Alien” | Billie Piper in “I Hate Suzie” | Ego Nwodim in “Saturday Night Live” | Kaley Cuoco in “Harley Quinn” | “Dickinson” | “P-Valley” | “Pose” | “Superstore”

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    fefface
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    #1203716460

    Probably more likely for 2023 season as he likes to take his time but Noah Baumbach is writing and directing something new for Netflix, filming in Feb – seemingly before his and Gerwig’s Barbie film.

    https://discussingfilm.net/2020/09/18/noah-baumbach-set-to-write-direct-new-film-for-netflix-exclusive/

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    Stank83
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    #1203716505

    I wonder who will be in the cast, after Marriage Story, I’m eager to see what will be his next one.

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    Hoster1
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    #1203716552

    Can’t wait for Noah Baumbach to get that Best Director nom he deserved for Marriage Story.

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    wolfali
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    #1203716561

    I wonder who will be in the cast, after Marriage Story, I’m eager to see what will be his next one.

    Spoiler alert: Adam Driver

    FYC Emmys: "The Crown" in all categories, "I May Destroy You" in all categories, "It's a Sin" in all categories, "Small Axe" in all categories, Billie Piper ("I Hate Suzie"), Yvonne Strahovski ("Stateless") and Ruth Wilson ("His Dark Materials")

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