March 13, 2020 at 3:58 am #1203380010
It’ll be interesting if all film fests get cancelled because that means people will base off their picks on movies they actually got to see in theaters. Wonder how that’d look in modern times having an Oscar race without any of the major film festivals. Thoughts?
I just love movies. And awards.March 13, 2020 at 4:13 am #1203380013
Then Tenet and Dune will sweep everything.March 13, 2020 at 4:40 am #1203380027
studios would just generate critical buzz via screeners instead of festivals, voters will then prioritize their screeners based on said buzz and make the same boring choices (not saying those “movies people actually saw” would be better). we might even get a genuinely interesting crop of frontrunners now that critics could assess the films without being influenced by the atmosphere of a festival audience, all the self-quarantine might even get them to finally stop humoring mediocre works just because they have names involvedMarch 13, 2020 at 9:31 am #1203380275
This is possible but don’t forget the virus is expected to have more or less plateaud (not been eradicated but not so much of a threat) by September, when Toronto Film Fest is on. I wouldn’t be surprised if the Oscar frontrunners are those that have premiered at Sundance and at Toronto.
FYC Emmys: "The Crown" in all categories, "I May Destroy You" in all categories, "It's a Sin" in all categories, "Small Axe" in all categories, Billie Piper ("I Hate Suzie"), Yvonne Strahovski ("Stateless") and Ruth Wilson ("His Dark Materials")March 13, 2020 at 9:34 am #1203380281
I was responding to the proposed scenario where all the big festivals got shut downMarch 13, 2020 at 9:44 am #1203380296
Yes and I agree with your response but it is more or less impossible for all the big festivals to be shut down when one has already come and gone (Sundance)
FYC Emmys: "The Crown" in all categories, "I May Destroy You" in all categories, "It's a Sin" in all categories, "Small Axe" in all categories, Billie Piper ("I Hate Suzie"), Yvonne Strahovski ("Stateless") and Ruth Wilson ("His Dark Materials")March 13, 2020 at 10:14 am #1203380332
There’s no way in hell that the big studios are going sit there and take it as the big film festivals are cancelled. If it comes to that, there will certainly be alternative means for their films to be screened in advance for the critics.March 13, 2020 at 10:25 am #1203380336
If Cannes is cancelled it’s entirely possible that the jury will watch screeners and vote based on that. That way films in competition still get that accolade.
I imagine they’ll send screeners to critics on the attendee list too.March 13, 2020 at 10:45 am #1203380346
I don’t trust critics taste at all. More often than not, they overrate and overhype movies not because they are influenced by the audience but because they want to influence the race/boxoffice in favor of their champions. Or try to sink a movie that they want to sink for whatever reasons (political, don’t like the director, etc). Look at Joker. They were so bent on stopping it first at the boxoffice but when that failed with awards. Neither worked. Then they tried to push Lupita’s nom and that didn’t work either (though I think she was deserving of one but their bandwagon awarding was ridiculous and probably more of a turn-off than help).March 13, 2020 at 11:45 am #1203380389
Joker was fantastic to see the haters crying. The critics have failed miserably in everything they have tried. Todd Phillips won, Joker won. Haters cried for more than 6 months and it was beautiful to see.March 13, 2020 at 12:10 pm #1203380415
There’s no way in hell that the big studios are going sit there and take it as the big film festivals are cancelled. If it comes to that, there will certainly be alternative means for their films to be screened in advance for the critics.
If not that, then there’s a riot. Or strike.March 13, 2020 at 12:21 pm #1203380436
Joker was fantastic to see the haters crying. The critics have failed miserably in everything they have tried. Todd Phillips won, Joker won. Haters cried for more than 6 months and it was beautiful to see.
Indeed. Their tears were delicious.March 15, 2020 at 5:16 am #1203381814
Thanks for the input everyone. I guess I just wanted to see a year when the nominees are from films that most of America has already seen. Isn’t that how it was done before the festivals became popular?
I just love movies. And awards.March 15, 2020 at 7:58 am #1203381903
The biggest effect I see happening is that Cannes will 100% be cancelled, which means foreign films and other arthouse fare will have a harder time breaking into this Oscar season (despite Parasite’s groundbreaking success). The other film festivals I think are still on though, which means smaller films overall won’t suffer too much. This will also make Sundance much more important than in recent years, since a lot of the arthouse contenders will come from there.
The other immediate effect is that films that were going to start or finish production late (The Last Duel, Nightmare Alley, Amsterdam) won’t release until 2021. This means there will be less late-season contenders than normal. Films like Tenet and Dune coukd benefit from this, but I still think it’s more likely the Oscars make their same boring choices.
John's Best of 2020
Best Picture: Soul
Best Direction: The Midnight Sky
Best Actor: Chadwick Boseman
Best Actress: Viola Davis
Best Supporting Actor: Delroy Lindo
Best Supporting Actress: Amanda Seyfried
Best Screenplay: Soul
John's Best of 2021
Best Picture: Nomadland
Best Direction: Nomadland
Best Actor: Lakeith Stanfield
Best Actress: Frances McDormand
Best Supporting Actor: Daniel Kaluuya
Best Supporting Actress: Dominique Fishback
Best Screenplay: Judas and the Black Messiah
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