Performances that Were Only Nominated at BAFTA and the Oscars

[Anonymous Joined: Jan 1st, 1970 Topics: 55 Posts: 2986 View Predictions]

#1202462910

I’m a bit curious about performances in the past that missed SAG and the Globes (and Critics Choice I guess, but they aren’t relevant), but got nominated at BAFTA and the Oscars. I am not including critic circles and smaller organizations.

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[TeridaxParticipant Joined: Dec 12th, 2014 Topics: 90 Posts: 12169 View Predictions]

#1202462912

@thedemonhog Riley Chow, our resident awards encyclopedia, you have been summoned!

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[Anonymous Joined: Jan 1st, 1970 Topics: 55 Posts: 2986 View Predictions]

#1202462926

I am curious because I want to know how seriously we should take some of the BAFTA nominees such as Benning and Scott-Thomas.

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[AviChristiaansParticipant Joined: Jul 26th, 2013 Topics: 45 Posts: 2264 View Predictions]

#1202462931

Only 3 individuals have received BAFTA nominations only and went on to receive an Oscar nomination.

Alan Alda – The Aviator (2004)

Javier Bardem – Biutiful (2010)

Gary Oldman – Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy (2011)

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[AviChristiaansParticipant Joined: Jul 26th, 2013 Topics: 45 Posts: 2264 View Predictions]

#1202462952

Keep in mind, for the last 6 consecutive years we have had an individual get an Oscar nomination without being nominated for SAG/Golden Globe/BAFTA.

Who will it be this year?

My money is on:

– Vicky Krieps (Phantom Thread)
– Michael Shannon (The Shape of Water)
– Sebastian Stan (I, Tonya)
– Idris Elba (Molly’s Game)
– Brooklynn Prince (The Florida Project)

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[RileyParticipant Joined: Oct 11th, 2010 Topics: 114 Posts: 13803 View Predictions]

#1202462961

Wikipedia is my awards encyclopedia (and IMDb).

Mark Ruffalo, Spotlight (got Critics’ Choice)
Emmanuelle Riva, Amour (got Critics’ Choice)
Gary Oldman, Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy
Javier Bardem, Biutiful

I am thinking that Kristin Scott Thomas is no more of a contender than Julie Walters in Brooklyn, i.e. in the top ten, but only in the top five when British bias is a thing. The material is just not there in this case.

"I don't even believe in god, but I'm going to thank her tonight."

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[MaccaParticipant Joined: Dec 22nd, 2015 Topics: 8 Posts: 5233 View Predictions]

#1202462966

AviChristiaans wrote:

Keep in mind, for the last 6 consecutive years we have had an individual get an Oscar nomination without being nominated for SAG/Golden Globe/BAFTA.

Who will it be this year?

My money is on:

– Vicky Krieps (Phantom Thread)
– Michael Shannon (The Shape of Water)
– Sebastian Stan (I, Tonya)
– Idris Elba (Molly’s Game)
– Brooklynn Prince (The Florida Project)

Haddish and/or Stuhlbarg.

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[TeridaxParticipant Joined: Dec 12th, 2014 Topics: 90 Posts: 12169 View Predictions]

#1202462968

AviChristiaans wrote:

Keep in mind, for the last 6 consecutive years we have had an individual get an Oscar nomination without being nominated for SAG/Golden Globe/BAFTA.

Who will it be this year?

My money is on:

– Vicky Krieps (Phantom Thread)
– Michael Shannon (The Shape of Water)
– Sebastian Stan (I, Tonya)
– Idris Elba (Molly’s Game)
– Brooklynn Prince (The Florida Project)

I would LOVE THIS to happen so bad. I can totally see Sebastian Stan replacing Harrelson or even Jenkins.

TSOW has been wildly unpredictable as to what supporting players get nommed and snubbed, with Jenkins but not Spencer hitting SAG and Spencer but not Jenkins hitting Bafta. Shannon’s character has been criticized by some people as being too simplistically creepy and evil.

As for Idris Elba, they owe him one so bad for Beasts of No Nation it isn’t even funny.

Sebastian Stan gets in only if I, Tonya over-performs like crazy, getting into Directing, Costume Design, maybe even Sound Mixing. He would be a more deserving Oscar nominee than Allison Janney, but both were still great.

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[RileyParticipant Joined: Oct 11th, 2010 Topics: 114 Posts: 13803 View Predictions]

#1202462970

I like Sebastian Stan and Idris Elba because I need to fill my fifth supporting actor slot, but no way am I predicting Vicky Krieps, Brooklynn Prince or Annette Bening to bump one of the consensus five or Jessica Chastain from lead actress. Michael Stuhlbarg is the simple choice.

"I don't even believe in god, but I'm going to thank her tonight."

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[TheRedBoyParticipant Joined: Jan 22nd, 2013 Topics: 2 Posts: 448 View Predictions]

#1202462973

AviChristiaans wrote:

Keep in mind, for the last 6 consecutive years we have had an individual get an Oscar nomination without being nominated for SAG/Golden Globe/BAFTA.

Who will it be this year?

My money is on:

– Vicky Krieps (Phantom Thread)
– Michael Shannon (The Shape of Water)
– Sebastian Stan (I, Tonya)
– Idris Elba (Molly’s Game)
– Brooklynn Prince (The Florida Project)

Stuhlbarg seems like the more likely candidate than Stan, Shannon, or Elba.

There’s always an off chance of Haddish giving Blige / Chau the boot as well.

• This reply was modified 8 months, 1 week ago by  TheRedBoy.

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[GainParticipant Joined: Feb 8th, 2014 Topics: 2 Posts: 453 View Predictions]

#1202463044

^I have a feeling that Stuhlberg will get in while Hammer will get snubbed, sort of like the Shannon/Johnson scenario last year.

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[unbb24Participant Joined: Jun 5th, 2012 Topics: 13 Posts: 529 View Predictions]

#1202463124

Gain wrote:

I have a feeling that Stuhlberg will get in while Hammer will get snubbed, sort of like the Shannon/Johnson scenario last year.

I can see this happening as well.

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[Andrew CardenParticipant Joined: Jan 16th, 2016 Topics: 17 Posts: 3468 View Predictions]

#1202463135

A stat that perhaps bodes well for Bening – rarely in awards history has a picture garnered both Lead Actor/Actress BAFTA noms and seen both nominees ignored at the Oscars. The last time it happened was nearly 20 years ago, with Caine and Horrocks in Little Voice. Before that, Allen and Keaton in Manhattan.

For the finest in film reviews and awards analysis, please visit me at The Awards Connection!

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[AugBParticipant Joined: Oct 28th, 2015 Topics: 0 Posts: 139 View Predictions]

#1202463238

I think the probability is kinda like:
1. Stuhlbarg (I’m actually predicting him over Harrelson)
2. Gyllenhaal
3. Shannon

p.s.: Alan Alda was nominated at SAG.

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[Irvin Malcolm ContrerasParticipant Joined: Nov 25th, 2011 Topics: 0 Posts: 34 View Predictions]

#1202463297

AviChristiaans wrote:

Keep in mind, for the last 6 consecutive years we have had an individual get an Oscar nomination without being nominated for SAG/Golden Globe/BAFTA.

Who will it be this year?

My money is on:

– Vicky Krieps (Phantom Thread)
– Michael Shannon (The Shape of Water)
– Sebastian Stan (I, Tonya)
– Idris Elba (Molly’s Game)
– Brooklynn Prince (The Florida Project)

If you look at the qualities of Oscar nominees who got in without SAG, Globe or BAFTA nominations, they’re at least two of three things:

1. a veteran who’s been around a long time.
2. a former nominee
3. in a film that is a Best Picture or acting front-runner.

With that in mind, I will probably say the possible suspects are:

Michael Stuhlbarg (Call Me By Your Name)
Tracey Letts or Lucas Hedges (Lady Bird)
Catherine Keener (Get Out)
Michael Shannon (The Shape of Water)
Jake Gyllenhaal (Stronger)

Relative newcomers like Krieps and Prince are unlikely to get in without getting a nomination in at least one of the big precursors. That’s unheard of in the modern day awards cycle.

• This reply was modified 8 months, 1 week ago by  Irvin Malcolm Contreras.

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