Performances that Were Only Nominated at BAFTA and the Oscars

[Joined: Jan 1st, 1970 Topics: 55 Posts: 2964 View Predictions]

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[Joined: Jan 1st, 1970 Topics: 102 Posts: 12646 View Predictions]

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[Joined: Jan 1st, 1970 Topics: 55 Posts: 2964 View Predictions]

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[Anthony 🐜 Joined: Jul 26th, 2013 Topics: 47 Posts: 2617 View Predictions]

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Only 3 individuals have received BAFTA nominations only and went on to receive an Oscar nomination.

Alan Alda – The Aviator (2004)

Javier Bardem – Biutiful (2010)

Gary Oldman – Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy (2011)

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[Anthony 🐜 Joined: Jul 26th, 2013 Topics: 47 Posts: 2617 View Predictions]

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Keep in mind, for the last 6 consecutive years we have had an individual get an Oscar nomination without being nominated for SAG/Golden Globe/BAFTA.

Who will it be this year?

My money is on:

– Vicky Krieps (Phantom Thread)
– Michael Shannon (The Shape of Water)
– Sebastian Stan (I, Tonya)
– Idris Elba (Molly’s Game)
– Brooklynn Prince (The Florida Project)

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[Riley Chow Joined: Oct 11th, 2010 Topics: 156 Posts: 17597 View Predictions]

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Wikipedia is my awards encyclopedia (and IMDb).

Mark Ruffalo, Spotlight (got Critics’ Choice)
Emmanuelle Riva, Amour (got Critics’ Choice)
Gary Oldman, Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy
Javier Bardem, Biutiful

I am thinking that Kristin Scott Thomas is no more of a contender than Julie Walters in Brooklyn, i.e. in the top ten, but only in the top five when British bias is a thing. The material is just not there in this case.

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[Macca Joined: Dec 22nd, 2015 Topics: 10 Posts: 5343 View Predictions]

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Anthony 🐜 wrote:

Keep in mind, for the last 6 consecutive years we have had an individual get an Oscar nomination without being nominated for SAG/Golden Globe/BAFTA.

Who will it be this year?

My money is on:

– Vicky Krieps (Phantom Thread)
– Michael Shannon (The Shape of Water)
– Sebastian Stan (I, Tonya)
– Idris Elba (Molly’s Game)
– Brooklynn Prince (The Florida Project)

Haddish and/or Stuhlbarg.

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[Joined: Jan 1st, 1970 Topics: 102 Posts: 12646 View Predictions]

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[Riley Chow Joined: Oct 11th, 2010 Topics: 156 Posts: 17597 View Predictions]

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I like Sebastian Stan and Idris Elba because I need to fill my fifth supporting actor slot, but no way am I predicting Vicky Krieps, Brooklynn Prince or Annette Bening to bump one of the consensus five or Jessica Chastain from lead actress. Michael Stuhlbarg is the simple choice.

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[TheRedBoy]

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Anthony 🐜 wrote:

Keep in mind, for the last 6 consecutive years we have had an individual get an Oscar nomination without being nominated for SAG/Golden Globe/BAFTA.

Who will it be this year?

My money is on:

– Vicky Krieps (Phantom Thread)
– Michael Shannon (The Shape of Water)
– Sebastian Stan (I, Tonya)
– Idris Elba (Molly’s Game)
– Brooklynn Prince (The Florida Project)

Stuhlbarg seems like the more likely candidate than Stan, Shannon, or Elba.

There’s always an off chance of Haddish giving Blige / Chau the boot as well.

• This reply was modified 3 years, 1 month ago by TheRedBoy.

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[Gain Joined: Feb 8th, 2014 Topics: 2 Posts: 476 View Predictions]

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^I have a feeling that Stuhlberg will get in while Hammer will get snubbed, sort of like the Shannon/Johnson scenario last year.

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[TheCineMike Joined: Jun 5th, 2012 Topics: 13 Posts: 938 View Predictions]

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Gain wrote:

I have a feeling that Stuhlberg will get in while Hammer will get snubbed, sort of like the Shannon/Johnson scenario last year.

I can see this happening as well.

https://thecinemike.wordpress.com/
Twitter: @TheCineMike

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[AwardsConnect Joined: Jan 16th, 2016 Topics: 17 Posts: 3626 View Predictions]

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A stat that perhaps bodes well for Bening – rarely in awards history has a picture garnered both Lead Actor/Actress BAFTA noms and seen both nominees ignored at the Oscars. The last time it happened was nearly 20 years ago, with Caine and Horrocks in Little Voice. Before that, Allen and Keaton in Manhattan.

For the finest in film reviews and awards analysis, please visit me at The Awards Connection!

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[AugB Joined: Oct 28th, 2015 Topics: 0 Posts: 138 View Predictions]

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I think the probability is kinda like:
1. Stuhlbarg (I’m actually predicting him over Harrelson)
2. Gyllenhaal
3. Shannon

p.s.: Alan Alda was nominated at SAG.

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[Irvin Malcolm Contreras]

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Anthony 🐜 wrote:

Keep in mind, for the last 6 consecutive years we have had an individual get an Oscar nomination without being nominated for SAG/Golden Globe/BAFTA.

Who will it be this year?

My money is on:

– Vicky Krieps (Phantom Thread)
– Michael Shannon (The Shape of Water)
– Sebastian Stan (I, Tonya)
– Idris Elba (Molly’s Game)
– Brooklynn Prince (The Florida Project)

If you look at the qualities of Oscar nominees who got in without SAG, Globe or BAFTA nominations, they’re at least two of three things:

1. a veteran who’s been around a long time.
2. a former nominee
3. in a film that is a Best Picture or acting front-runner.

With that in mind, I will probably say the possible suspects are:

Michael Stuhlbarg (Call Me By Your Name)
Tracey Letts or Lucas Hedges (Lady Bird)
Catherine Keener (Get Out)
Michael Shannon (The Shape of Water)
Jake Gyllenhaal (Stronger)

Relative newcomers like Krieps and Prince are unlikely to get in without getting a nomination in at least one of the big precursors. That’s unheard of in the modern day awards cycle.

• This reply was modified 3 years, 1 month ago by Irvin Malcolm Contreras.

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