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  • FreemanGriffin
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    #1202739628

    I have the feeling this is a year in which statistics will be proven wrong; I am predicting Roma.

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    Anthony 🐜
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    #1202739632

    Green Book.

    BlackKklansman as the alternative.

    ROMA has no chance in hell at PGA tonight. The Netflix table can relax, and enjoy their meal and drinks.

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    Lord Freddy Blackfyre
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    #1202739647

    My head says Roma, my guts say Bohemian Rhapsody

    The Oscar needs to get rid of the preferential ballot so it can name a deserving movie as Best Picture again.

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    seberko
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    #1202739659

    So a few stats….

    1.) A PGA winner has never not be nominated for DGA (Gbook; Blackkklansman; Vice; ASIB; Roma)

    2.) A PGA winner has never not been nominated for an individual, Ensemble (or both) SAG Award. (Gbook, Blackkklansman, Vice, ASIB)

    3.) Since ’07, every PGA winner has been nominated for a GGlobes Screenplay. (GBook; Roma)

    So, wildly, I think tonight is “Green Book”, not “Roma” with zero SAG individual or Ensemble nominations. Just too many current/former actors are in the PGA.

    Vice was also nominated for Globes Screenplay, so based on your stats, it’s between Green Book, Roma and Vice.

    But I don’t think those facts will matter. Major stats have been broken recently. The PGA stay broke when Spotlight beat The Big Short at the Oscars and the SAG stay broke when Shape of Water won without a SAG Ensemble nom. With the changing demographics of the Academy, stats and trends are shifting too.

    If your stats do prove true, I agree that Green Book takes it. But I’m predicting Black Panther, with ASIB as a spoiler

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    Anonymous
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    #1202739678
    This post was found to be inappropriate by the moderators and has been removed.
    chem_x
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    #1202739686

    1. Bohemian Rhapsody
    2. Green Book

    i hate it but that’s how i feel

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    Anonymous
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    #1202739699
    This post was found to be inappropriate by the moderators and has been removed.
    FreemanGriffin
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    #1202739705

    1. Roma
    2. A Star Is Born
    3. BlacKkKlansman
    4. Green Book
    5. Bohemian Rhapsody
    6. The Favourite
    7. Crazy Rich Asians
    8. Black Panther
    9. Vice
    10. A Quiet Place

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    Jazzy
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    #1202739715

    I’m going out on a limb and predicting BlacKKKlansman. It’s been performing well everywhere, and doesn’t seem too small for PGA. It doesn’t have much for it, but it doesn’t have a ton against it either, less than the other contenders. So I think it’s lack of baggage will carry it to a win. 1) BlacKKKlansman 2) A Star is Born 3) Roma 4) Green Book 5) Black Panther 6) Bohemian Rhapsody 7) The Favourite 8) Vice 9) Crazy Rich Asians 10) A Quiet Place

    I hope BlacKKKlansman doesn’t win it. It’s a good film but not a great film. To think that Roma could get passed up because of all the absurd criteria that the PGA has for picking its winners. Ugh!

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    Honey
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    #1202739719

    I just want Roma to lose so we have a BP battle

    And of course Gunk Book to not win

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    Darren
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    #1202739724

    The Favourite (I wish), Roma, or A Star Is Born for the win!

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    The One And Only of Gold Derby.
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    Mar 21st, 2017
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    #1202739727

    I don’t care: JUST NOT BOHEMIAN RHAPSODY

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    Lord Freddy Blackfyre
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    #1202739757

    Blackkklansman has been nominated everywhere and has lost everything. That’s the definition of a filler nomination and that’s why it has not chance of winning Best Picture or Best Director.

    The Oscar needs to get rid of the preferential ballot so it can name a deserving movie as Best Picture again.

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    Pulp
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    Feb 13th, 2017
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    #1202739768

    I’m thinking Roma takes it. I would love for The Favourite to win but it’s not gonna happen

    #FreeTheBannedFour

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    Darren
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    #1202739778

    Blackkklansman has been nominated everywhere and has lost everything. That’s the definition of a filler nomination and that’s why it has not chance of winning Best Picture or Best Director.

    Wouldn’t being nominated everywhere give it a decent chance of winning preferential ballot awards like this or Best Picture?

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