PGA Awards: Will it preview Oscar Best Picture winner?

[Paul SheehanKeymaster Joined: May 14th, 2011 Topics: 223 Posts: 151 View Predictions]

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The guild and the academy have agreed on 21 of the most recent 30 Best Picture champs, including last year’s double dipper “Green Book.”

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[FreemanGriffinParticipant Joined: Feb 19th, 2012 Topics: 452 Posts: 6985 View Predictions]

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I have a bad feeling that Hollywood is going to win ): I so would prefer for 1917 or Parasite to win. I hope they have the good sense to give their award to one of those two films! Hollywood is uneven, with some well-directed and well-written scenes but also some truly awful scenes too. But 1917 and Parasite are both foreign films (U.K. and So. Korea), and that might matter…

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[RealLyre852Participant Joined: Aug 31st, 2019 Topics: 0 Posts: 151 View Predictions]

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picturing a scenario where Parasite wins the PGA but still fails to get best picture because voters will be reluctant to award it 2 best picture awards in the same year (cus it will already win foreign)

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[Matthew anzaloneParticipant Joined: Jul 13th, 2018 Topics: 16 Posts: 1284 View Predictions]

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Its either 1917, Parasite, or Hollywood winning here. I could see joker as a potential upset but I doubt it.

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[ArtIsntEasyParticipant Joined: Dec 17th, 2011 Topics: 2 Posts: 882 View Predictions]

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I still just have this feeling (and it could just be that I am biased due to my love of the film) that PARASITE could still pull this off.

SPOTLIGHT was able to pull off a surprise despite not winning either the PGA or DGA….granted it won WGA and the SAG ensemble award and wasn’t a foreign film.

PARASITE just seems like the kind of film that is perfect for the preferential ballot because very few people seem to dislike it…and it won’t have that negative onus of Netflix for those who didn’t want to give ROMA its due last year.

And I guess MOONLIGHT also managed to win without PGA and DGA wins too…I think its going to be interesting. Frankly, even though I am predicting HOLLYWOOD to win, I just feel a little surprised that it would have enough top vote support.

“The art of making art is putting it together...”

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[James BreheneyParticipant Joined: Feb 15th, 2017 Topics: 9 Posts: 432 View Predictions]

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The only two times the PGA winner has not won the Oscar recently there was a concerted backlash against the winners: The Big Short and La La Land. In such a shortened season I can’t see this happening so yes the PGA winner this year will almost certainly also win the Oscar.

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[Thatcher, Prime Minister of GoldDerbyParticipant Joined: Jan 3rd, 2018 Topics: 7 Posts: 2273 View Predictions]

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Darlings, what happens here will happen at the Oscars. Thatcher always tells the truth.

As a famous singer said, "ain't nobody gonna Thatcher, Thatcher, Thatcher!"

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[JackOParticipant Joined: Jun 2nd, 2011 Topics: 12 Posts: 4868 View Predictions]

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Yes, most likely. Especially if it agrees with SAG.

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[FreemanGriffinParticipant Joined: Feb 19th, 2012 Topics: 452 Posts: 6985 View Predictions]

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What time are the awards going to be announced? I think it’s sometime tomorrow (Saturday)? 1917 or Parasite please!!!!!

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[NevadaRParticipant Joined: Jan 13th, 2018 Topics: 0 Posts: 125 View Predictions]

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FreemanGriffin wrote:

What time are the awards going to be announced? I think it’s sometime tomorrow (Saturday)? 1917 or Parasite please!!!!!

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[RealLyre852Participant Joined: Aug 31st, 2019 Topics: 0 Posts: 151 View Predictions]

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JackO wrote:

Yes, most likely. Especially if it agrees with SAG.

SAG ensemble hasn’t really agreed with PGA since Birdman..

 

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[JackOParticipant Joined: Jun 2nd, 2011 Topics: 12 Posts: 4868 View Predictions]

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RealLyre852 wrote:

SAG ensemble hasn’t really agreed with PGA since Birdman..

and Birdman won BP…

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[KethParticipant Joined: Dec 2nd, 2011 Topics: 0 Posts: 517 View Predictions]

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For me, it’s hard to determine. PGA is voted on by producers, SAG ensemble is voted on by only actors and Oscar has the preferential ballot. You would think the chances of a different best picture would be high. Therefore, I’m predicting “Once Upon a Time.. in Hollywood” for SAG, “Parasite” for PGA and “1917” for Oscar. “Parasite” is winning best international film and I can’t see it winning best Oscar pic, too.

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[James BreheneyParticipant Joined: Feb 15th, 2017 Topics: 9 Posts: 432 View Predictions]

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Interesting fact: Neither of Clint Eastwood’s Best Picture winning films won PGA. But he won DGA both times. Making them the only two films to win DGA only and win Best Picture.

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[John BerchmansParticipant Joined: Jan 22nd, 2018 Topics: 3 Posts: 1667 View Predictions]

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This is the last chance for a film other than Once Upon a Time in Holkywood to win Best Picture this year. If any film upsets I think it will be The Irishman or Joker, since those films have all of the key nominations for a Best Picture win (but who knows, they might be too dIvIsIvE!): they just need to get some precursor momentum. 1917 winning this would be a surprise, but even if it wins this it won’t win Picture with no editing or acting nominations. Parasite winning this is such a stupid pipe dream, but I hope it happens.

Academy-Award winners:

Parasite: Best Picture, Best Director, and Best Original Screenplay

Joker: Best Actor - Joaquin Phoenix

Jojo Rabbit: Best Adapted Screenplay

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