PGA Awards: Will it preview Oscar Best Picture winner?

[Paul Sheehan Joined: May 14th, 2011 Topics: 327 Posts: 166 View Predictions]

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The guild and the academy have agreed on 21 of the most recent 30 Best Picture champs, including last year’s double dipper “Green Book.”

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[FreemanGriffin Joined: Feb 19th, 2012 Topics: 475 Posts: 7311 View Predictions]

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I have a bad feeling that Hollywood is going to win ): I so would prefer for 1917 or Parasite to win. I hope they have the good sense to give their award to one of those two films! Hollywood is uneven, with some well-directed and well-written scenes but also some truly awful scenes too. But 1917 and Parasite are both foreign films (U.K. and So. Korea), and that might matter…

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[RealLyre852 Joined: Aug 31st, 2019 Topics: 0 Posts: 164 View Predictions]

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picturing a scenario where Parasite wins the PGA but still fails to get best picture because voters will be reluctant to award it 2 best picture awards in the same year (cus it will already win foreign)

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[Matthew anzalone Joined: Jul 13th, 2018 Topics: 21 Posts: 1315 View Predictions]

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Its either 1917, Parasite, or Hollywood winning here. I could see joker as a potential upset but I doubt it.

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[ArtIsntEasy Joined: Dec 17th, 2011 Topics: 2 Posts: 997 View Predictions]

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I still just have this feeling (and it could just be that I am biased due to my love of the film) that PARASITE could still pull this off.

SPOTLIGHT was able to pull off a surprise despite not winning either the PGA or DGA….granted it won WGA and the SAG ensemble award and wasn’t a foreign film.

PARASITE just seems like the kind of film that is perfect for the preferential ballot because very few people seem to dislike it…and it won’t have that negative onus of Netflix for those who didn’t want to give ROMA its due last year.

And I guess MOONLIGHT also managed to win without PGA and DGA wins too…I think its going to be interesting. Frankly, even though I am predicting HOLLYWOOD to win, I just feel a little surprised that it would have enough top vote support.

“The art of making art is putting it together...”

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[James Breheney Joined: Feb 15th, 2017 Topics: 11 Posts: 446 View Predictions]

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The only two times the PGA winner has not won the Oscar recently there was a concerted backlash against the winners: The Big Short and La La Land. In such a shortened season I can’t see this happening so yes the PGA winner this year will almost certainly also win the Oscar.

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[Thatcher, Prime Minister of GoldDerby Joined: Jan 3rd, 2018 Topics: 8 Posts: 2297 View Predictions]

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Darlings, what happens here will happen at the Oscars. Thatcher always tells the truth.

As a famous singer said, "ain't nobody gonna Thatcher, Thatcher, Thatcher!"

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[JackO Joined: Jun 2nd, 2011 Topics: 12 Posts: 4889 View Predictions]

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Yes, most likely. Especially if it agrees with SAG.

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[FreemanGriffin Joined: Feb 19th, 2012 Topics: 475 Posts: 7311 View Predictions]

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What time are the awards going to be announced? I think it’s sometime tomorrow (Saturday)? 1917 or Parasite please!!!!!

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[NevadaR Joined: Jan 13th, 2018 Topics: 0 Posts: 152 View Predictions]

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FreemanGriffin wrote:

What time are the awards going to be announced? I think it’s sometime tomorrow (Saturday)? 1917 or Parasite please!!!!!

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[RealLyre852 Joined: Aug 31st, 2019 Topics: 0 Posts: 164 View Predictions]

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JackO wrote:

Yes, most likely. Especially if it agrees with SAG.

SAG ensemble hasn’t really agreed with PGA since Birdman..

 

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[JackO Joined: Jun 2nd, 2011 Topics: 12 Posts: 4889 View Predictions]

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RealLyre852 wrote:

SAG ensemble hasn’t really agreed with PGA since Birdman..

and Birdman won BP…

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[Keth Joined: Dec 2nd, 2011 Topics: 0 Posts: 535 View Predictions]

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For me, it’s hard to determine. PGA is voted on by producers, SAG ensemble is voted on by only actors and Oscar has the preferential ballot. You would think the chances of a different best picture would be high. Therefore, I’m predicting “Once Upon a Time.. in Hollywood” for SAG, “Parasite” for PGA and “1917” for Oscar. “Parasite” is winning best international film and I can’t see it winning best Oscar pic, too.

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[James Breheney Joined: Feb 15th, 2017 Topics: 11 Posts: 446 View Predictions]

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Interesting fact: Neither of Clint Eastwood’s Best Picture winning films won PGA. But he won DGA both times. Making them the only two films to win DGA only and win Best Picture.

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[John Berchmans Joined: Jan 22nd, 2018 Topics: 5 Posts: 2127 View Predictions]

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This is the last chance for a film other than Once Upon a Time in Holkywood to win Best Picture this year. If any film upsets I think it will be The Irishman or Joker, since those films have all of the key nominations for a Best Picture win (but who knows, they might be too dIvIsIvE!): they just need to get some precursor momentum. 1917 winning this would be a surprise, but even if it wins this it won’t win Picture with no editing or acting nominations. Parasite winning this is such a stupid pipe dream, but I hope it happens.

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