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Predict the Snubs

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  • Tyler [Last Name]
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    #1202432606

    Timothee WILL be snubbed due to his age. If he was in supporting then he would have a much bigger chance.

    FYC: Ready Player One. Sound Editing, Sound Mixing, Visual Effects, Original Score, Production Design, Director and BEST PICTURE (make it happen Oscars!!)

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    Tammyswift
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    QUOTE

    Why would a front runner be snubbed? Thats insane.

    You never know. Margots my personal favourite but i worry that in comparison to the other actresses, shes still a bit new. Shes only been in a handful of movies so far and there may be some who dont want to reward her so early on.

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    Tyler [Last Name]
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    QUOTE

    Why would a front runner be snubbed? Thats insane.

    Need I remind you of Ben Affleck and Argo?

    FYC: Ready Player One. Sound Editing, Sound Mixing, Visual Effects, Original Score, Production Design, Director and BEST PICTURE (make it happen Oscars!!)

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    Miles
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    #1202432743

    Michael Stuhlbarg will be snubbed. There isn’t room in the supporting category for both him and Hammer. They’ll probably both be nominated at multiple precursors but the Oscars has an obvious aversion to recognizing multiple performers in this category. Hammer is co lead and is playing the field in a way that Stuhlbarg isn’t. He’s charismatic and more established.

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    Sam Keys
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    He’s charismatic and more established.

    I would argue that Stuhlbarg is more established within the industry. Hammer may be more well known with a general audience, but Hammer is more of a “worked with everybody” type of actor that helped JK Simmons and Mahershala Ali

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    #1202432780

    I noticed this last year with Mahershala Ali.  I feel like people conflate “character actor”, “long working” and “worked with everybody” too often.  Ali has been working in television since 2001 and film since 2008, amassing 42 acting credits on IMDb.  Michael Stuhlbarg has been working continuously in television since 2006 and film since 2008, amassing 46 acting credits on IMDb.

    I feel like especially Stuhlbarg ascended fairly quickly actually.  He began his film career less than a decade ago and he received a leading Golden Globe nomination his second year.  Armie Hammer has been on screen just as long, having debuted on television in 2005 and film in 2006, with 37 credits.  And whereas Stuhlbarg could not even get nominated at the Emmys for supporting actor in a limited series that has gotten dozens of other nominations, Hammer has demonstrated his industry clout with that SAG nomination for a film that ultimately got no Oscar nominations.

    When I think of long-working character actors who have worked with everybody, I think of people like Ann Dowd (1990 television and film, 94 credits), Margo Martindale (1987 television, 1990 film, 106 credits), Laurie Metcalf (1985 television and film, 79 credits), Michael Shannon (1992 television, 1993 film, 82 credits) and J.K. Simmons (1994 television and film, 183 credits), so it rubs me the wrong way when we group them with newer up-and-coming character actors.

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    Eddy Q
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    I have a post on here that is awaiting approval from moderators. Can’t think why?

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    eduardo685
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    #1202433094

    Chalamet because young actors seldom get nodded in leading category

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    Foolio
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    T-Chal’s turn is the most uniformly and widely praised male performance of the year and he’s charming the hell out of everyone in the awards circuit. There’s no way he will not be nominated, and he will rank second in the final results at the worst; with any luck he will be the youngest ever Best Actor winner.

    I do have a feeling M-Stu might end up snubbed. He hasn’t been nominated in that many precursors so far, while A-Ham has not only systematically gathered nods but has had a very visible presence in the circuit. He has been able to build a “promising newcomer from ten years ago who didn’t become as big as he should have but is now finally getting his due” narrative that will likely lead to an easy nomination.

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    Andrew Carden
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    I can still totally fathom Stuhlbarg and not Hammer making the Oscar cut.

    For the finest in film reviews and awards analysis, please visit me at The Awards Connection!

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    AnDres Gtz
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    #1202433218

    I can see Get Out getting snubbed in pretty much everything except Original Screenplay, which still would be a nice recognition since the director is also the writer.

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    Cinephile
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    #1202433478

    I can see Jordan Peele getting snubbed for best director. The category is filled with big names like Spielberg, Nolan, Del Toro. Then you’ve got  Guadagnino with the international flavour. Which leaves us with one spot left. Gerwig and Peele; actor-director-breakthroughs. Gerwig has the female narrative so I’m going with her making the cut. Peele will be rewarded elsewhere.

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    Napstablook
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    #1202433479

    War for the Planet of the Apes will most likely get snubbed in the Best Picture, Best Actor, and other “above-the-line” races (aside from Best Original Score), however deserving the film may or may not be.

    But I do think there’s a slight chance the film could be snubbed from the Best Original Score category, which would really suck, but I also think it stands a way better chance to get nominated here than the aforementioned categories.

    I also predict that Blade Runner 2049 will get snubbed from both the Best Picture and Best Director categories, and will rack up technical nominations instead.

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    AnDres Gtz
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    War for the Planet of the Apes will most likely get snubbed in the Best Picture, Best Actor, and other “above-the-line” races (aside from Best Original Score), however deserving the film may or may not be.

    But I do think there’s a slight chance the film could be snubbed from the Best Original Score category, which would really suck, but I also think it stands a way better chance to get nominated here than the aforementioned categories.

    I also predict that Blade Runner 2049 will get snubbed from both the Best Picture and Best Director categories, and will rack up technical nominations instead.

    None of this are snubs lol.

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    Sam Keys
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    #1202433518

    I would argue that Stuhlbarg is more established within the industry. Hammer may be more well known with a general audience, but Hammer is more of a “worked with everybody” type of actor that helped JK Simmons and Mahershala Ali

    Oops meant to put that Stuhlbarg is the more “worked with everybody” actor, not Hammer

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