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February 8, 2022 at 3:43 pm #1204790221
Hi! So the day has finally come and we have our nominees. While we have our individual threads to talk about who we think it’s going to win a respective category, I thought it fit to have one to predict every winner and also compare our predictions now with the actual winners after the Oscars happen. Everyone is encouraged to give their reasoning and elaboration for their predictions!
I’ll start; Pre-SAG/BAFTA predictions in the top 8 categories + International Feature:
Best Picture: The Power of the Dog (spoiler: Belfast)
Best Director: Jane Campion, The Power of the Dog (spoiler: Paul Thomas Anderson, Licorice Pizza)
Best Actor: Benedict Cumberbatch, The Power of the Dog (spoiler: Will Smith, King Richard)
Best Actress: Olivia Colman, The Lost Daughter (spoiler: Nicole Kidman, Being the Ricardos)
Best Supporting Actor: Kodi Smit-McPhee, The Power of the Dog
(Troy Kotsur, CODA)Best Supporting Actress: Ariana DeBose, West Side Story (spoiler: Kirsten Dunst, The Power of the Dog
Best Original Screenplay: Paul Thomas Anderson, Licorice Pizza (spoiler: Kenneth Branagh, Belfast)
Best Adapted Screenplay: Jane Campion, The Power of the Dog (spoiler: Ryusuke Hamaguchi and Takamasa Oe, Drive My Car)
Best Int’l Feature: Drive My Car – Japan (spoiler: The Worst Person in the World – Norway)
ReplyFebruary 8, 2022 at 4:02 pm #1204790260My predictions are similar to yours:
Best Picture: The Power of the Dog (spoiler: Belfast)
Best Director: Jane Campion, The Power of the Dog (spoiler: Paul Thomas Anderson, Licorice Pizza)
Best Actor: Benedict Cumberbatch, The Power of the Dog (spoiler: Will Smith, King Richard)
Best Actress: Nicole Kidman, Being the Ricardos (spoiler: Kristen Stewart, Spencer)
Best Supporting Actor: Kodi Smit-McPhee, The Power of the Dog
(Troy Kotsur, CODA)Best Supporting Actress: Ariana DeBose, West Side Story (spoiler: Kirsten Dunst, The Power of the Dog)
Best Original Screenplay: Paul Thomas Anderson, Licorice Pizza (spoiler: Kenneth Branagh, Belfast)
Best Adapted Screenplay: Jane Campion, The Power of the Dog (spoiler: Ryusuke Hamaguchi and Takamasa Oe, Drive My Car)
Best Int’l Feature: Drive My Car – Japan (spoiler: The Worst Person in the World – Norway)
ReplyCopy URLFebruary 8, 2022 at 4:07 pm #1204790274Best Picture to Belfast, which is going to do a Spotlight preferential ballot win and surprise everyone. (Spoiler: West Side Story)
Best Director to Jane Campion, but Kenneth Branagh could be the surprise winner or Steven Spielberg.
Best Actor to Will Smith if he wins SAG, and to Benedict Cumberbatch if he wins SAG or BAFTA. This one needs clarifying precursors before the Oscars.
Best Actress to Olivia Colman – never underestimate her! or Nicole Kidman.
Best Supporting Actor to Ciaran Hinds if he wins BAFTA; otherwise Kodi will win it.
Best Supporting Actress to Ariana DeBose.
Original Screenplay will go to Belfast.
Adapted Screenplay will go to doggy Dog.
ReplyCopy URLFebruary 8, 2022 at 4:07 pm #1204790276This might change after SAG, CC and BAFTA. But right now:
Best Picture
Will Win: The Power of The Dog
What out for: King Richard
My vote: Licorice PizzaBest Director
Will Win: Jane Campion
What out for: Ryusuke Hamaguchi
My vote: Paul Thomas AndersonBest Actor
Will Win: Will Smith
What out for: Benedict Cumberbatch
My vote: Andrew GarfieldBest Actress
Will Win: Olivia Colman
What out for: Nicole Kidman and Penélope Cruz
My vote: Olivia ColmanBest S. Actor
Will Win: Kodi Smit-McPhee
What out for: Troy Kotsur
My vote: Kodi Smit-McPheeBest S. Actress
Will Win: Ariana DeBose
What out for: Kirsten Dunst and Judi Dench
My vote: Jessie BuckleyBest Original Screenplay
Will Win: Licorice Pizza
What out for: Belfast
My vote: Licorice PizzaBest Adapted Screenplay
Will Win: The Power of the Dog
What out for: Drive My Car
My vote: The Lost DaughterBest Animated Film
Will Win: Encanto
What out for: The Mitchells vs. the Machines
My vote: The Mitchells vs. the Machines (I would vote for Flee in International and Documentary)Best International Film
Will Win: Drive My Car
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What out for: The Worst Person in the World
My vote: FleeFebruary 8, 2022 at 4:25 pm #1204790305Cinematography: Dune
Alt: The Tragedy of MacbethProduction Design: Dune
Costume Design: Cruella
Alt: West Side StoryHair/Make Up: Dune
Alt: The Eyes of Tammy FayeOriginal Score: The Power of the Dog
Alt: DuneSound: Dune
Editing: Dune
Visual Effects: Dune
Original Song: No Time to Die
Alt: Dos OruguitasDocumentary: Summer of Soul
Animated Feature: Encanto
International Feature: Drive My Car
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Alt: The Worst Person in the WorldFebruary 8, 2022 at 4:41 pm #1204790326Best Picture: The Power of the Dog (spoiler: Belfast)
Best Director: Jane Campion, The Power of the Dog (spoiler: Paul Thomas Anderson, Licorice Pizza)
Best Actor: Benedict Cumberbatch, The Power of the Dog (spoiler: Will Smith, King Richard)
Best Actress: Nicole Kidman, Being the Ricardos (spoiler: Olivia Colman, The Lost Daughter)
Best Supporting Actor: Kodi Smit-McPhee, The Power of the Dog
(Troy Kotsur, CODA)Best Supporting Actress: Ariana DeBose, West Side Story (spoiler: Kirsten Dunst, The Power of the Dog)
Best Original Screenplay: Paul Thomas Anderson, Licorice Pizza(spoiler: Kenneth Branagh, Belfast)
Best Adapted Screenplay: Jane Campion, The Power of the Dog(spoiler: Ryusuke Hamaguchi and Takamasa Oe, Drive My Car)
Best Int’l Feature: Drive My Car – Japan (spoiler: The Worst Person in the World – Norway)
ReplyCopy URLFYC: Better Call Saul, The English and The Good Fight in all categories including Emily Blunt, Bob Odenkirk, Christine Baranski and Rhea Seehorn.
February 8, 2022 at 5:10 pm #1204790418This post was found to be inappropriate by the moderators and has been removed.February 8, 2022 at 5:15 pm #1204790434Best Picture: The Power of the Dog (spoiler: Belfast)
Best Director: Jane Campion, The Power of the Dog (spoiler: Paul Thomas Anderson, Licorice Pizza)
Best Actor: Will Smith, King Richard (spoiler: Benedict Cumberbatch, The Power of the Dog)
Best Actress: Olivia Colman, The Lost Daughter (spoiler: Nicole Kidman, Being the Ricardos)
Best Supporting Actor: Kodi Smit-McPhee, The Power of the Dog (spoiler: Troy Kotsur, CODA)
Best Supporting Actress: Ariana DeBose, West Side Story (spoiler: Kirsten Dunst, The Power of the Dog)
Best Original Screenplay: Paul Thomas Anderson, Licorice Pizza (spoiler: Kenneth Branagh, Belfast)
Best Adapted Screenplay: Jane Campion, The Power of the Dog (spoiler: Ryusuke Hamaguchi and Takamasa Oe, Drive My Car)
Best International Feature: Drive My Car (spoiler: The Worst Person in the World)
I think Cumberbatch could take it tbh, but I need to see SAG first. If DMC wins adapted I won’t be surprised either.
ReplyCopy URLFebruary 8, 2022 at 5:47 pm #1204790514- Best Picture: The Power of the Dog (Belfast)
- Best Director: Jane Campion, The Power of the Dog (Steven Spielberg, West Side Story)
- Best Actress: Nicole Kidman, Being the Ricardos (Kristen Stewart, Spencer)
- Best Actor: Will Smith, King Richard (Benedict Cumberbatch, The Power of the Dog
- Best Supporting Actress: Ariana DeBose, West Side Story (Kirsten Dunst, The Power of the Dog
- Best Supporting Actor: Kodi Smit-McPhee, The Power of the Dog (Troy Kotsur, CODA)
- Best Original Screenplay: Licorice Pizza (Belfast)
- Best Adapted Screenplay: The Power of the Dog (Drive My Car)
- Best Cinematography: Dune (The Power of the Dog)
- Best Production Design: Nightmare Alley (Dune)
- Best Costume Design: Cruella (West Side Story)
- Best Makeup & Hairstyling: Dune (The Eyes of Tammy Faye)
- Best Film Editing: Dune (The Power of the Dog)
- Best Original Score: Dune (The Power of the Dog)
- Best Original Song: No Time To Die (Encanto)
- Best Visual Effects: Dune (Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings)
- Best Animated Feature: Encanto (Flee)
- Best International Feature: Drive My Car (The Worst Person in the World)
- Best Documentary Feature: Summer of Soul (Flee)
ReplyCopy URLLetterboxd: Brayfers
!EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE!
- SEVEN OSCARS
- BEST PICTURE
- Michelle Yeoh, Best Actress
- Ke Huy Quan, Best Supporting Actor
- Jamie Lee Curtis, Best Supporting Actress
- Daniel Kwan & Daniel Scheinert, Best Director & Best Original Screenplay
- Paul Rogers, Best Film EditingFYC (TV):
- Abbott Elementary
- House of the Dragon
- The White Lotus
- The Last of UsFebruary 8, 2022 at 5:48 pm #1204790518Dog Power
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Campion Power
Will Smith career Oscar
Nicole Kidman sympathy Oscar
Troy Kotsur deaf
Ariana DeBose triple threat
Branagh career Oscar
Dog Adapted Power
Dune x5
Encanto x3
Nightmare Alley amazing, stunning, never-before-seen Production Design
Cruella campy costumes
Black Woodstock
Drive My Meh
3 short films that we pretend to care aboutFebruary 8, 2022 at 5:57 pm #1204790547Best Picture
Will Win: The Power of the Dog
Could Win: Belfast
Should Win: Drive My Car
Shoulda been there: The Tragedy of MacbethBest Director
Will Win: Jane Campion
Could Win: Paul Thomas Anderson
Should Win: Ryusuke Hamaguchi
Shoulda been there: Denis VilleneuveBest Actor
Will Win: Will Smith
Could Win: Benedict Cumberbatch
Should Win: Denzel Washington
Shoulda been there: Hidetoshi NishijimaBest Actress
Will Win: Jessica Chastain
Could Win: Nicole Kidman
Should Win: Kristen Stewart
Shoulda been there: Renate ReinsveBest S. Actor
Will Win: Kodi Smit-McPhee
Could Win: Troy Kotsur
Should Win: Kodi Smit-McPhee
Shoulda been there: Anders Danielsen LieBest S. Actress
Will Win: Ariana DeBose
Could Win: Judi Dench
Should Win: Ariana DeBose
Shoulda been there: Ruth NeggaBest Original Screenplay
Will Win: Belfast
Could Win: Licorice Pizza
Should Win: Don’t Look Up
Shoulda been there: The French DispatchBest Adapted Screenplay
Will Win: The Power of the Dog
Could Win: Dune
Should Win: Drive My Car
Shoulda been there: The Tragedy of MacbethBest Animated Film
Will Win: Encanto
Could Win: The Mitchells vs the Machines
Should Win: The Mitchells vs the Machines
Shoulda been there: BelleBest International Film
Will Win: Drive My Car
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Could Win: The Worst Person in the World
Should Win: Drive My Car
Shoulda been there: A HeroFebruary 8, 2022 at 6:16 pm #1204790599Best Picture to Belfast, which is going to do a Spotlight preferential ballot win and surprise everyone. (Spoiler: West Side Story)…
I would love for that to happen, but Spotlight did have that crucial Editing nomination. In fact, if I’m not mistaken, every Best Picture winner in the past 20+ years (except for Birdman, which was a unique film) was also nominated for Best Editing. Not a great statistic for Belfast…
ReplyCopy URLMy username is an acronym of “Quiet On Set! Lights, Camera, Action.” 🎥
February 8, 2022 at 6:51 pm #1204790704My predix~
Picture: Belfast
(spoiler: Power of the Dog)Director: Jane Campion, Power of the Dog
(spoiler: Kenneth Branagh, Belfast)Actress: Jessica Chastain, The Eyes of Tammy Faye
(spoiler: Nicole Kidman, Being the Ricardos)Actor: Andrew Garfield, Tick Tick Boom
(spoiler: Will Smith, King Richard)Sup Actress: Ariana DeBose, West Side Story
(spoiler: Aunjanue Ellis, King Richard)Sup Actor: Kodi Smit-McPhee, The Power of the Dog
(spoiler: Troy Kotsur, CODA)Adapted Screenplay: The Power of the Dog
(spoiler~ none)Original Screenplay: Belfast
(spoiler: Licorice Pizza)Editing: Dune
(spoiler: King Richard)Cinematography: Dune
(spoiler: The Power of the Dog)Score: Dune
(spoiler: The Power of the Dog)Song: “Dos Oruguitos”, Encanto
(spoiler: “Be Alive”, King Richard)Costume Design: West Side Story
(spoiler: Cruella)Makeup/Hair: The Eyes of Tammy Faye
(spoiler: Dune)Production Design: Dune
(spoiler: Nightmare Alley)Sound: Dune
(spoiler: none)Visual Effects: Dune
(spoiler: Spiderman~ No Way Home)Animated Film: Encanto
(spoiler: Flee)Documentary: Summer of Soul
(spoiler: Flee)International Film: Drive My Car
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(spoiler: The Worst Person in the World)February 8, 2022 at 9:56 pm #1204790977PICTURE
Will win: The Power of The Dog
Should win: Drive My Car
Shouldn’t be here: King Richard
Should be nominated: Mass, Flee.DIRECTING
Will win: Jane Campion, The Power of The Dog
Should win: Ryusuke Hamaguchi, Drive My Car
Shouldn’t be here: Kenneth Branagh, Belfast
Should be nominated: Fran Kranz, MassACTOR
Will win: Will Smith, King Richard
Should win: Denzel Washington, The Tragedy of Macbeth
Shouldn’t be here: Javier Bardem, Being the Ricardos
Should be nominated: Jason Isaacs, MassACTRESS
Will win: Kristen Stewart, Spencer
Should win: Kristen Stewart, Spencer
Shouldn’t be here: Nicole Kidman, Being the Ricardos
Should be nominated: Arawinda Kirana, Yuni / Lady Gaga, House of GucciSUPPORTING ACTOR
Will win: Kodi Smith-McPhee, The Power of The Dog
Should win: Troy Kotsur, CODA
Shouldn’t be here: J.K Simmons, Being The Ricardos
Should be nominated: Masaki Okada, Drive my Car / Reed Birney, MassSUPPORTING ACTRESS
Will win: Ariana Debose, West Side Story
Should win: Ann Dowd, Mass
Shouldn’t be here: Judi Dench, Belfast
Should be nominated: Ann Dowd, MassINTERNATIONAL FEATURE
Will win: Drive My Car
Should win: Flee
Should be nominated: YuniANIMATED
Will win: Flee
Should win: Flee
Should be nominated: BelleDOCUMENTARY
Will win: Summer of Soul
Should win: Flee
Should be nominated: Where Are You, Charlie Brown?ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Will win: Belfast
Should win: The Worst Person In The World
Should be nominated: MassADAPTED SCREENPLAY
Will win: Drive My Car
Should win: Drive My Car
Should be nominated: The Tragedy of MacbethEDITING
Will win: Tick Tick Boom
Should win: Flee
Should be nominated: Flee / MassCINEMATOGRAPHY
Will win: The Power of The Dog
Should win: The Tragedy of Macbeth
Should be nominated: The Green KnightPRODUCTION DESIGN
Will win: Nightmare Alley
Should win: Nightmare Alley
Should be nominated: The Green KnightSCORE
Will win: Dune
Should win: Don’t Look Up
Should be nominated: SpencerSONG
Will win: No Time To Die, No Time To Die
Should win: Beyond The Shore, CODA
Shouldn’t be here: Be Alive, King Richard
Should be nominated: Beyond The Shore, CODA / Just Look Up, Don’t Look UpSOUND
Will win: Dune
Should win: Dune
Should be nominated: Last Night in SohoCOSTUME
Will win: Cruella
Should win: Last Night in Soho
Should be nominated: Last Night in Soho / SpencerMAKEUP
Will win: House of Gucci
Should win: Cruella
Should be nominated: The Green Knight / Nightmare AlleyVFX
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Will win: Dune
Should win: Dune
Should be nominated: The Green KnightWhy are you reporting this post? (optional):Not now
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