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Promising Young Woman (Carey Mulligan Stars in Emerald Fennell Comedy-Thriller)

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    wolfali
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    #1203797507

    Thought it would be great to have a thread for people to discuss the film and its awards chances as well as whether they’re excited for it etc.

    New trailer was released last week along with new key art –

    Thoughts? What do you think of the film and Mulligan’s Globe, Oscar, SAG, BAFTA, Spirit etc chances and are you looking forward to watching it?

    FYC OSCARS : VANESSA KIRBY FOR "PIECES OF A WOMAN", AMANDA SEYFRIED FOR "MANK", CHADWICK BOSEMAN FOR "MA RAINEY'S BLACK BOTTOM", PROMISING YOUNG WOMAN (BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY).

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    zizzle
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    #1203797763

    doubt she’ll get nominated..everyone kinda forgot about her and it’s a competitive year

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    Cordelia
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    Think Globe nomination and Spirit nomination for Mulligan could happen if it gets in Comedy. BAFTA no, SAG maybe, Oscar unlikely. Disappointed by how little Laverne Cox was given, dropping her as my long shot.

    For Your Consideration:

    Best Picture: Wolfwalkers

    Best Animated Feature: Wolfwalkers

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    estrelas
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    Think Globe nomination and Spirit nomination for Mulligan could happen if it gets in Comedy. BAFTA no, SAG maybe, Oscar unlikely. Disappointed by how little Laverne Cox was given, dropping her as my long shot.

    How can you say she’s a maybe for SAG but definitely a no for a BAFTA?

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    Cordelia
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    How can you say she’s a maybe for SAG but definitely a no for a BAFTA?

    I’m a dumbass, I meant the other way around.

    For Your Consideration:

    Best Picture: Wolfwalkers

    Best Animated Feature: Wolfwalkers

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    wolfali
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    #1203799210

    Think Globe nomination and Spirit nomination for Mulligan could happen if it gets in Comedy. BAFTA no, SAG maybe, Oscar unlikely. Disappointed by how little Laverne Cox was given, dropping her as my long shot.

    Spirit is locked imo and Globe (if it goes Comedy as I think it will there). I also think that at the very least Mulligan gets in at SAG like Lupita did.

    I’m very interested by how we have two very different views on this film and its chances. I think because of the film being two different films at points (i.e. the Bo Burnham bits vs the dark Cassie bits) that it really depends as to which point voters get up to the film and which point they get turned off (if they do) because I think depending on where they get up to that Mulligan has a very good chance of getting nominated (and depending on how much voters like the film even win in this strange year).

    FYC OSCARS : VANESSA KIRBY FOR "PIECES OF A WOMAN", AMANDA SEYFRIED FOR "MANK", CHADWICK BOSEMAN FOR "MA RAINEY'S BLACK BOTTOM", PROMISING YOUNG WOMAN (BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY).

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    Dan Backslide
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    I’d say the idea of her getting in at least at SAG like Lupita is pretty flawed, as Lupita was likely fifth place in one of the weakest acting lineups of the decade. And Mulligan doesn’t have anywhere near her raves. As for as major awards go, I don’t see her getting past the Globes.

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    wolfali
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    I think yes (in normal times) a comparison between Mulligan and Lupita is flawed but Mulligan (thus far) has one of the most acclaimed performances of any contender this year and Mulligan has an easier path to the Oscar (even if she doesn’t get nominated) so you can argue a comparison between her and Lupita’s chances (raved performances in genre films where the actor plays two different characters with Lupita playing two completely different characters and Mulligan playing two different personas) makes sense in this current context.

    With Mulligan I think she has an easier path because –

    – She’s a lock at the Spirits and at the Globes (unless the HFPA for some weird reason decide to move the film to Drama).

    – She’s British which whilst it won’t guarantee her a nomination at BAFTA the fact she’s a previous BAFTA winner in a project directed and written by a British writer can only help her if BAFTA decide to go topical with what the government is doing with regards to the Arts in the UK at the moment (British success story). Especially considering that if she gets in to the long-list her chances will be helped by the implementation of a jury system when it comes to a BAFTA shortlist.

    – She’s a lock at CC if she stays in the top 10 of the GoldDerby odds as she has done.

    – Her performance has been raved about by critics so I expect her to show appear at different critics awards.

    – With regards to SAG she could easily be this year’s left field choice if her film gets watched on a wide level (which I am anticipating regardless of her awards chances) and she could easily slip in due to having the “populist” factor. We’ve seen this happen not only with Lupita but with other contenders as well.

    – She is the main priority of Focus Features this year and when they have main priorities they often surprise in nominations at the Oscars. Yes her film is a genre one but that didn’t stop Rosamund Pike slipping in (and yes I know those were different studios). If Focus Features can get Ruth Negga and Cynthia Erivo in I’m sure they can get Mulligan in. Especially considering the script is attracting Original Screenplay nom buzz so it’s not as if it is a Mulligan vehicle.

    I’m not disagreeing that moments of the film will be divisive (hence why I said it depends on how much voters can stomach after getting past a certain moment) but I think in this particularly weird year (where leading lady vehicles such as French Exit and Ammonite seem to be underwhelming or flopping with critics and audiences) that she can (and probably will if The Prom ends up underwhelming) win the Globe and that she can very easily get in at the Oscars depending on the reception of other films and performances in contention because I think this film will be widely watched and she has the acclaim and the buzz right now.

    FYC OSCARS : VANESSA KIRBY FOR "PIECES OF A WOMAN", AMANDA SEYFRIED FOR "MANK", CHADWICK BOSEMAN FOR "MA RAINEY'S BLACK BOTTOM", PROMISING YOUNG WOMAN (BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY).

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    zizzle
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    #1203799514

    Lupita is also a very famous former Oscar winner in a box office hit in a much weaker year..

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    Gabarnes43
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    I can see Mulligan getting GG, Bafta and CC noms, but I don’t see Sag going for her

    FYC OSCARS

    AMY ADAMS- Best Actress
    The Boys in the Band- Jim Parsons/Screenplay

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    John Berchmans
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    #1203800008

    I think Promissing Young Woman’s best shot is actually Original Screenplay. They like to nominate off-the-wall indies in that category (First Reformed, The Lobster, Ex Machina, Nightcrawler etc) and there’s been a tradition of films thag were expected to get an acting nomination getting a Screenplay one instead (most of the above plus 20th Century Women). I coukd easily see Promising Young Women there.

    However, Actress is very competitive at the moment and there’s already multiple strong performances (Michele Pfeffer, Amy Adams) outside of the Top 5 that seem more accessible than Mulligan. I don’t think she’ll make it.

    Fuck the Grammys

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    wolfali
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    However, Actress is very competitive at the moment and there’s already multiple strong performances (Michele Pfeffer, Amy Adams) outside of the Top 5 that seem more accessible than Mulligan. I don’t think she’ll make it.

    I think Mulligan is likelier than Pfeiffer. French Exit seems to be incredibly divisive and has 54 on Metacritic (which is on the same level as The Glorias).

    FYC OSCARS : VANESSA KIRBY FOR "PIECES OF A WOMAN", AMANDA SEYFRIED FOR "MANK", CHADWICK BOSEMAN FOR "MA RAINEY'S BLACK BOTTOM", PROMISING YOUNG WOMAN (BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY).

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