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SAG Awards 2021 Film Predictions (Make Your Picks Today)

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    Manuelcolon
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    #1204018613

    Is insane to keep predicting Da 5 Bloods for Ensemble? Should I change it for Mank? Is there any hope for Minari?

    I came here to ask the same thing, if you guys felt more safe predicting Da 5 Bloods or Mank.

    After today i’m not sold on D5B, but it’s Netflix, has a strong cast, Spike Lee film, socially important, and SAG loves POC casts, so I don’t know.

    Also, are you guys 100% sure on Judas not getting anything because of the late release? I know SAG always avoids them.

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    wolfali
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    #1204018618

    Final nomination predictions:

    Ensemble

    – Mank (Netflix): Tom Burke, Lily Collins, Charles Dance, Arliss Howard, Ferdinand Kingsley, Gary Oldman, Tuppence Middleton, Tom Pelphrey, Amanda Seyfried, Sam Troughton

    – Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom (Netflix): Chadwick Boseman, Dusan Brown, Jonny Coyne, Viola Davis, Colman Domingo, Glynn Turman, Taylor Paige, Michael Potts, Jeremy Shamos

    – One Night in Miami (Amazon): Kingsley Ben-Adir, Eli Goree, Aldis Hodge, Leslie Odom-Jr.

    – Promising Young Woman (Focus Features): Alison Brie, Clancy Brown, Connie Britton, Adam Brody, Bo Burnham, Jennifer Coolidge, Laverne Cox, Max Greenfield, Chris Lowell, Christopher Mintz-Plasse, Carey Mulligan, Molly Shannon

    – The Trial of the Chicago 7 (Netflix): Yahya Abdul-Mateen II, Sacha Baron Cohen, John Carroll Lynch, Caitlin Fitzgerald, Daniel Flaherty, Joseph Gordon-Levitt, Kelvin Harrison Jr., Michael Keaton, Frank Langella, Eddie Redmayne, Noah Robbins, Mark Rylance, Alex Sharp, Jeremy Strong

    Actor

    – Riz Ahmed, Sound of Metal
    – Kingsley Ben-Adir, One Night in Miami
    – Chadwick Boseman, Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
    – Anthony Hopkins, The Father
    – Delroy Lindo, Da 5 Bloods

    Actress

    – Viola Davis, Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
    – Vanessa Kirby, Pieces of a Woman
    – Frances McDormand, Nomadland
    – Elisabeth Moss, The Invisible Man
    – Carey Mulligan, Promising Young Woman

    S. Actor

    – Sacha Baron Cohen, The Trial of the Chicago 7
    – Chadwick Boseman, Da 5 Bloods
    – Daniel Kaluuya, Judas and the Black Messiah
    – Leslie Odom-Jr., One Night in Miami
    – Glynn Turman, Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom

    S. Actress

    – Ellen Burstyn, Pieces of a Woman
    – Glenn Close, Hillbilly Elegy
    – Jodie Foster, The Mauritanian
    – Nicole Kidman, The Prom
    – Amanda Seyfried, Mank

    Oscars FYC:
    "THE POWER OF THE DOG" – IN ALL CATEGORIES
    "SPENCER" – In all categories especially Director (Pablo Larrain) and Actress (Kristen Stewart)
    "SHIVA BABY" – in all categories especially Picture, Adapted Screenplay, Score
    "TOGETHER" – Actress (Sharon Horgan), Actor (James McAvoy), Original Screenplay
    "FLEE" – IN ALL CATEGORIES
    "LAST NIGHT IN SOHO" – Director (Edgar Wright), S. Actress (Anya Taylor-Joy/Diana Rigg), Cinematography, Costume Design and Production Design

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    John Berchmans
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    #1204018621

    Remember that SAG were the only ones who nominated Just Mercy despite it’s incredibly late release date. At least for Supporting Actor I don’t think the release date really matters. For ensemble and Actor it probably does though.

    John's Best of 2020

    Best Picture: Soul
    Best Direction: The Midnight Sky
    Best Actor: Chadwick Boseman
    Best Actress: Viola Davis
    Best Supporting Actor: Delroy Lindo
    Best Supporting Actress: Amanda Seyfried
    Best Screenplay: Soul

    John's Best of 2021

    Best Picture: Nomadland
    Best Direction: Nomadland
    Best Actor: Lakeith Stanfield
    Best Actress: Frances McDormand
    Best Supporting Actor: Daniel Kaluuya
    Best Supporting Actress: Youn Yuh-Jung
    Best Screenplay: Judas and the Black Messiah

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    Manuelcolon
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    #1204018625

    Final nomination predictions:

    Ensemble

    – Mank (Netflix): Tom Burke, Lily Collins, Charles Dance, Arliss Howard, Ferdinand Kingsley, Gary Oldman, Tuppence Middleton, Tom Pelphrey, Amanda Seyfried, Sam Troughton

    – Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom (Netflix): Chadwick Boseman, Dusan Brown, Jonny Coyne, Viola Davis, Colman Domingo, Glynn Turman, Taylor Paige, Michael Potts, Jeremy Shamos

    – One Night in Miami (Amazon): Kingsley Ben-Adir, Eli Goree, Aldis Hodge, Leslie Odom-Jr.

    – Promising Young Woman (Focus Features): Alison Brie, Clancy Brown, Connie Britton, Adam Brody, Bo Burnham, Jennifer Coolidge, Laverne Cox, Max Greenfield, Chris Lowell, Christopher Mintz-Plasse, Carey Mulligan, Molly Shannon

    – The Trial of the Chicago 7 (Netflix): Yahya Abdul-Mateen II, Sacha Baron Cohen, John Carroll Lynch, Caitlin Fitzgerald, Daniel Flaherty, Joseph Gordon-Levitt, Kelvin Harrison Jr., Michael Keaton, Frank Langella, Eddie Redmayne, Noah Robbins, Mark Rylance, Alex Sharp, Jeremy Strong

    Actor

    – Riz Ahmed, Sound of Metal
    – Kingsley Ben-Adir, One Night in Miami
    – Chadwick Boseman, Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
    – Anthony Hopkins, The Father
    – Delroy Lindo, Da 5 Bloods

    Actress

    – Viola Davis, Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
    – Vanessa Kirby, Pieces of a Woman
    – Frances McDormand, Nomadland
    – Elisabeth Moss, The Invisible Man
    – Carey Mulligan, Promising Young Woman

    S. Actor

    – Sacha Baron Cohen, The Trial of the Chicago 7
    – Chadwick Boseman, Da 5 Bloods
    – Daniel Kaluuya, Judas and the Black Messiah
    – Leslie Odom-Jr., One Night in Miami
    – Glynn Turman, Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom

    S. Actress

    – Ellen Burstyn, Pieces of a Woman
    – Glenn Close, Hillbilly Elegy
    – Jodie Foster, The Mauritanian
    – Nicole Kidman, The Prom
    – Amanda Seyfried, Mank

    We have the exact same predictions! HAHA. Except in S Actress.

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    estrelas
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    #1204018627

    I would like to remind everyone that usually there’s one or two big snubs in ensemble.

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    John Berchmans
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    #1204018633

    There’s always at least one Ensemble film that gets no other noms at SAG.  No other film fits that criteria this year, so I that’ll be Da Five Bloods this.

    John's Best of 2020

    Best Picture: Soul
    Best Direction: The Midnight Sky
    Best Actor: Chadwick Boseman
    Best Actress: Viola Davis
    Best Supporting Actor: Delroy Lindo
    Best Supporting Actress: Amanda Seyfried
    Best Screenplay: Soul

    John's Best of 2021

    Best Picture: Nomadland
    Best Direction: Nomadland
    Best Actor: Lakeith Stanfield
    Best Actress: Frances McDormand
    Best Supporting Actor: Daniel Kaluuya
    Best Supporting Actress: Youn Yuh-Jung
    Best Screenplay: Judas and the Black Messiah

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    #1204018638
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    #1204018648
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    wolfali
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    #1204018650

    I feel very confident in my SAG predictions but I will say that if one of Oldman or Rahim get in at SAG they are getting in at the Oscars too.

    Oscars FYC:
    "THE POWER OF THE DOG" – IN ALL CATEGORIES
    "SPENCER" – In all categories especially Director (Pablo Larrain) and Actress (Kristen Stewart)
    "SHIVA BABY" – in all categories especially Picture, Adapted Screenplay, Score
    "TOGETHER" – Actress (Sharon Horgan), Actor (James McAvoy), Original Screenplay
    "FLEE" – IN ALL CATEGORIES
    "LAST NIGHT IN SOHO" – Director (Edgar Wright), S. Actress (Anya Taylor-Joy/Diana Rigg), Cinematography, Costume Design and Production Design

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    wolfali
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    #1204018654

    There have been quite a few years when that hasn’t been the case.

    There is however one year where one film gets three nominations + ensemble (like Bombshell last year). I expect that will be one <i>One Night in Miami </i>or <i>Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom </i>this year.

    Oscars FYC:
    "THE POWER OF THE DOG" – IN ALL CATEGORIES
    "SPENCER" – In all categories especially Director (Pablo Larrain) and Actress (Kristen Stewart)
    "SHIVA BABY" – in all categories especially Picture, Adapted Screenplay, Score
    "TOGETHER" – Actress (Sharon Horgan), Actor (James McAvoy), Original Screenplay
    "FLEE" – IN ALL CATEGORIES
    "LAST NIGHT IN SOHO" – Director (Edgar Wright), S. Actress (Anya Taylor-Joy/Diana Rigg), Cinematography, Costume Design and Production Design

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    John Berchmans
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    #1204018656

    There have been quite a few years when that hasn’t been the case.

    Not recently. 2015, 2017, 2018 and 2019 all had one. 2015 and 2018 actually had two.

    John's Best of 2020

    Best Picture: Soul
    Best Direction: The Midnight Sky
    Best Actor: Chadwick Boseman
    Best Actress: Viola Davis
    Best Supporting Actor: Delroy Lindo
    Best Supporting Actress: Amanda Seyfried
    Best Screenplay: Soul

    John's Best of 2021

    Best Picture: Nomadland
    Best Direction: Nomadland
    Best Actor: Lakeith Stanfield
    Best Actress: Frances McDormand
    Best Supporting Actor: Daniel Kaluuya
    Best Supporting Actress: Youn Yuh-Jung
    Best Screenplay: Judas and the Black Messiah

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    OneAndOnly
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    #1204018699

    Ensemble:

    Mank (Netflix)
    Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom (Netflix)
    One Night in Miami (Amazon)
    Promising Young Woman (Focus)
    The Trial of the Chicago 7 (Netflix)

    alt. Minari (A24)

    Actor:

    Ben Affleck, The Way Back
    Riz Ahmed, Sound of Metal
    Chadwick Boseman, Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
    Anthony Hopkins, The Father
    Gary Oldman, Mank

    alt. Delroy Lindo, Da 5 Bloods

    Actress:

    Amy Adams, Hillbilly Elegy
    Viola Davis, Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
    Vanessa Kirby, Pieces of a Woman
    Frances McDormand, Nomadland
    Carey Mulligan, Promising Young Woman

    alt. Zendaya, Malcolm & Marie

    Supporting Actor:

    Chadwick Boseman, Da 5 Bloods
    Sacha Baron Cohen, The Trial of the Chicago 7
    Daniel Kaluuya, Judas and the Black Messiah
    Bill Murray, On the Rocks
    Leslie Odom Jr., One Night in Miami

    alt. Bo Burnham, Promising Young Woman

    Supporting Actress:

    Maria Bakalova, Borat: Subsequent Moviefilm Ellen Burstyn, Pieces of a Woman
    Glenn Close, Hillbilly Elegy
    Olivia Colman, The Father
    Amanda Seyfried, Mank

    alt. Jodie Foster, The Mauritanian

    Have a great day if you see this!

    FYC: Ted Lasso

    Straight/BLM

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    #1204018705
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    Manuelcolon
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    #1204018711

    SAG doesn’t always love POC casts; for instance, the cast of If Beale Street Could Talk missed out (along with Regina King) because it wasn’t an especially popular movie with the industry. Da 5 Bloods in some ways seems more divisive, although I’m holding on to Delroy Lindo in Best Actor.

    IBSCT was also very late if i remember correctly, if it had been more seen Regina would have been 100% nominated.

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    John Berchmans
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    #1204018716

    2017 had none (if you’re thinking of The Big Sick, Holly Hunter was nominated there)

    That was what I was thinking of.

    John's Best of 2020

    Best Picture: Soul
    Best Direction: The Midnight Sky
    Best Actor: Chadwick Boseman
    Best Actress: Viola Davis
    Best Supporting Actor: Delroy Lindo
    Best Supporting Actress: Amanda Seyfried
    Best Screenplay: Soul

    John's Best of 2021

    Best Picture: Nomadland
    Best Direction: Nomadland
    Best Actor: Lakeith Stanfield
    Best Actress: Frances McDormand
    Best Supporting Actor: Daniel Kaluuya
    Best Supporting Actress: Youn Yuh-Jung
    Best Screenplay: Judas and the Black Messiah

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