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SAG Awards 2022 Film Predictions (Part 2)

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    wolfali
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    #1204818758

    Imagine if it goes 0/2 after all the overpredicting

    It’s what I’m predicting.

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    Anna Delvey
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    Jan 12th, 2021
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    #1204818766

    Imagine if it goes 0/2 after all the overpredicting

    Pls, this pic. And it would be hilarious if it happened. The fumes it would produce, whew.

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    Maria
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    Oct 22nd, 2021
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    #1204818768

    Some would be still delulu and think that kotsur would be Hopkins 😂😂 even though the father is much stronger than coda

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    Lucas
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    Jun 24th, 2020
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    #1204818807

    I really wish Gaga wins tomorrow, not only because it would potentially stop a Kidman win, but also because it would be nice to see her win something after the snub.

    But I really don’t see how, of all places, Kidman loses SAG :/

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    crabbie
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    Feb 26th, 2021
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    #1204818821

    Lowkey feel like someone will upset Kidman at SAG. She is the obvious choice, but a bit too obvious. Gaga is her strongest challenger in my opinion. But who knows BTR has overperformed at the guilds. I just want chaos in the Best Actress category.

    Michelle (Yeoh, Williams) Oscar campaign manager.

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    alittle03
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    Sep 16th, 2020
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    #1204818838

    Right, I feel like Kidman a solid pick if you have to name someone the favorite to win here, but I would not at all be surprised to see Gaga get up to accept the award tomorrow anyway.

    • FYC: Everything Everywhere All at Once in any and every single category, especially Best Picture, Michelle Yeoh in Actress, Stephanie Hsu in Supporting Actress, The Daniels in Director/Screenplay, Paul Rogers in Editing, and Son Lux in Score.

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    almanzarlamarcarlile
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    #1204818844

    Sticking with Kodi. CODA does not feel strong enough to go 2/2 and I am predicting it to win ensemble.

    I also remember switching away from Kodi last minute at the globes which I obviously now regret. Not making the same mistake here.

    Final predictions
    Ensemble: CODA (Belfast)
    Actress: Nicole Kidman (Jessica Chastain)
    Actor: Will Smith (Andrew Garfield)
    Supporting Actress: Ariana DeBose (Kirsten Dunst)
    Supporting Actor: Kodi Smit-McPhee (Troy Kotsur)

    Quinta Brunson 1st and 2nd emmy campaign manager
    Bill Hader 4th, 5th and 6th emmy campaign manager
    Jeremy Strong 2nd emmy campaign manager
    Zendaya 2nd and 3rd emmy campaign manager

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    Babylonian
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    #1204818846

    I’d love a Gaga win at SAG. It’d be interesting to see an even more chaotic year in Best Actress, and that’ll mean SAG and BAFTA won’t be useful in predicting the Oscars whatsoever which makes it even more exciting. But if Kidman loses at SAG playing Lucille Ball then I think she’s done, and Colman will surge with KStew, Chastain and Cruz having a renewed shot.

    FYC:

    Everything Everywhere All At Once in every eligible category

    Hold My Hand - Lady Gaga for Best Original Song

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    Babylonian
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    Aug 16th, 2021
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    #1204818850

    I’ve had Kodi at SAG for awhile, and I don’t predicted CODA to win anything. It’s just not strong enough as an award season vehicle, and wasn’t as populist as Black Panther or Hidden Figures.

    FYC:

    Everything Everywhere All At Once in every eligible category

    Hold My Hand - Lady Gaga for Best Original Song

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    The Northman
    Joined:
    Nov 10th, 2021
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    #1204818886

    If DLU wins Ensemble, Ariana Grande will be officially a SAG Winner ?

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    almanzarlamarcarlile
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    #1204818907

    Posting this for the people predicting Dunst and Kotsur upsets.

    SAG/Globe splits this century

    Supporting Actor
    Mahershala Ali & Aaron Taylor-Johnson: 2017 (Taylor-Johnson was not nominated for SAG)
    Idris Elba & Sylvester Stallone: 2016 (Stallone was not nominated for SAG)
    Tommy Lee Jones & Christoph Waltz: 2012 (Waltz was not nominated for SAG)
    Paul Giamatti & George Clooney: 2005
    Morgan Freeman & Clive Owen: 2004 (Owen was not nominated for SAG)
    Christopher Walken & Chris Cooper: 2003 (Walken was not nominated for the globe)
    Ian McKellen & Jim Broadbent: 2002 (McKellen was not nominated for the globe)
    Benicio del Toro & Albert Finney: 2001 (del Toro was not nominated for SAG)
    Tom Cruise & Michael Caine: 2000

    Supporting Actress
    Jodie Foster & Yuh-jung Youn: 2021 (Youn was not nominated for the globe and Foster was not nominated for SAG)
    Regina King & Emily Blunt: 2019 (Blunt was not nominated for the globe and King was not nominated for SAG)
    Kate Winslet & Alicia Vikander: 2016 (Vikander was nominated for the globe but for a different role)
    Jennifer Lawrence & Lupita Nyong’o: 2014
    Cate Blanchett & Ruby Dee: 2008 (Dee was not nominated for the globes)
    Natalie Portman & Cate Blanchett: 2005(Portman was not nominated for SAG)
    Meryl Streep & Catherine Zeta-Jones: 2003 (Zeta-Jones went lead for the globes, so not sure this qualifies as a split)
    Jennifer Connelly & Helen Mirren: 2002 (Connelly was not nominated for SAG)
    Kate Hudson & Judi Dench: 2000

    In other words, whenever splits happen it’s because one of the winners wasn’t nominated for the other award. This does not apply to Dunst or Kotsur. Both categories only have 2 cases of true splits (2.5 depending on whether or not you count Winslet and Vikander). It also seems to be a lot less common now than it was at the start of the century.

    Quinta Brunson 1st and 2nd emmy campaign manager
    Bill Hader 4th, 5th and 6th emmy campaign manager
    Jeremy Strong 2nd emmy campaign manager
    Zendaya 2nd and 3rd emmy campaign manager

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    methaddiction
    Joined:
    Aug 1st, 2017
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    #1204818962

    Y’all know I’m a Kodi warrior but I have a gut feeling that Troy is about to win SAG.. 

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    Babylonian
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    Aug 16th, 2021
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    #1204818985

    The GAG OF IT ALL when Jennifer Hudson takes the SAG.

    FYC:

    Everything Everywhere All At Once in every eligible category

    Hold My Hand - Lady Gaga for Best Original Song

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    Babylonian
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    Aug 16th, 2021
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    #1204819005

    Gaga coming for that SAG. Queen of keeping the race interesting.

    FYC:

    Everything Everywhere All At Once in every eligible category

    Hold My Hand - Lady Gaga for Best Original Song

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    Monet Tejada
    Joined:
    Sep 27th, 2011
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    #1204819041

    Imagine if Jennifer Hudson wins…

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