SAG Awards 2022 Film Predictions (Part 2)

[wolfali Joined: Sep 4th, 2018 Topics: 228 Posts: 34444 View Predictions]

#1204818758

lorelei_lor wrote:

Imagine if it goes 0/2 after all the overpredicting

It’s what I’m predicting.

[Anna Delvey Joined: Jan 12th, 2021 Topics: 0 Posts: 339 View Predictions]

#1204818766

lorelei_lor wrote:

Imagine if it goes 0/2 after all the overpredicting

Pls, this pic. And it would be hilarious if it happened. The fumes it would produce, whew.

[Maria Joined: Oct 22nd, 2021 Topics: 0 Posts: 205 View Predictions]

#1204818768

Some would be still delulu and think that kotsur would be Hopkins 😂😂 even though the father is much stronger than coda

[Lucas Joined: Jun 24th, 2020 Topics: 2 Posts: 1737 View Predictions]

#1204818807

I really wish Gaga wins tomorrow, not only because it would potentially stop a Kidman win, but also because it would be nice to see her win something after the snub.

But I really don’t see how, of all places, Kidman loses SAG :/

[crabbie Joined: Feb 26th, 2021 Topics: 1 Posts: 4283 View Predictions]

#1204818821

Lowkey feel like someone will upset Kidman at SAG. She is the obvious choice, but a bit too obvious. Gaga is her strongest challenger in my opinion. But who knows BTR has overperformed at the guilds. I just want chaos in the Best Actress category.

Michelle (Yeoh, Williams) Oscar campaign manager.

[alittle03 Joined: Sep 16th, 2020 Topics: 5 Posts: 1898 View Predictions]

#1204818838

Right, I feel like Kidman a solid pick if you have to name someone the favorite to win here, but I would not at all be surprised to see Gaga get up to accept the award tomorrow anyway.

• FYC: Everything Everywhere All at Once in any and every single category, especially Best Picture, Michelle Yeoh in Actress, Stephanie Hsu in Supporting Actress, The Daniels in Director/Screenplay, Paul Rogers in Editing, and Son Lux in Score.

[almanzarlamarcarlile Joined: Jul 27th, 2020 Topics: 18 Posts: 4189 View Predictions]

#1204818844

Sticking with Kodi. CODA does not feel strong enough to go 2/2 and I am predicting it to win ensemble.

I also remember switching away from Kodi last minute at the globes which I obviously now regret. Not making the same mistake here.

Final predictions
Ensemble: CODA (Belfast)
Actress: Nicole Kidman (Jessica Chastain)
Actor: Will Smith (Andrew Garfield)
Supporting Actress: Ariana DeBose (Kirsten Dunst)
Supporting Actor: Kodi Smit-McPhee (Troy Kotsur)

Quinta Brunson 1st and 2nd emmy campaign manager
Bill Hader 4th, 5th and 6th emmy campaign manager
Jeremy Strong 2nd emmy campaign manager
Zendaya 2nd and 3rd emmy campaign manager

[Babylonian Joined: Aug 16th, 2021 Topics: 6 Posts: 3298 View Predictions]

#1204818846

I’d love a Gaga win at SAG. It’d be interesting to see an even more chaotic year in Best Actress, and that’ll mean SAG and BAFTA won’t be useful in predicting the Oscars whatsoever which makes it even more exciting. But if Kidman loses at SAG playing Lucille Ball then I think she’s done, and Colman will surge with KStew, Chastain and Cruz having a renewed shot.

FYC:

Everything Everywhere All At Once in every eligible category

Hold My Hand - Lady Gaga for Best Original Song

[Babylonian Joined: Aug 16th, 2021 Topics: 6 Posts: 3298 View Predictions]

#1204818850

I’ve had Kodi at SAG for awhile, and I don’t predicted CODA to win anything. It’s just not strong enough as an award season vehicle, and wasn’t as populist as Black Panther or Hidden Figures.

FYC:

Everything Everywhere All At Once in every eligible category

Hold My Hand - Lady Gaga for Best Original Song

[The Northman Joined: Nov 10th, 2021 Topics: 3 Posts: 1630 View Predictions]

#1204818886

If DLU wins Ensemble, Ariana Grande will be officially a SAG Winner ?

[almanzarlamarcarlile Joined: Jul 27th, 2020 Topics: 18 Posts: 4189 View Predictions]

#1204818907

Posting this for the people predicting Dunst and Kotsur upsets.

SAG/Globe splits this century

Supporting Actor
Mahershala Ali & Aaron Taylor-Johnson: 2017 (Taylor-Johnson was not nominated for SAG)
Idris Elba & Sylvester Stallone: 2016 (Stallone was not nominated for SAG)
Tommy Lee Jones & Christoph Waltz: 2012 (Waltz was not nominated for SAG)
Paul Giamatti & George Clooney: 2005
Morgan Freeman & Clive Owen: 2004 (Owen was not nominated for SAG)
Christopher Walken & Chris Cooper: 2003 (Walken was not nominated for the globe)
Ian McKellen & Jim Broadbent: 2002 (McKellen was not nominated for the globe)
Benicio del Toro & Albert Finney: 2001 (del Toro was not nominated for SAG)
Tom Cruise & Michael Caine: 2000

Supporting Actress
Jodie Foster & Yuh-jung Youn: 2021 (Youn was not nominated for the globe and Foster was not nominated for SAG)
Regina King & Emily Blunt: 2019 (Blunt was not nominated for the globe and King was not nominated for SAG)
Kate Winslet & Alicia Vikander: 2016 (Vikander was nominated for the globe but for a different role)
Jennifer Lawrence & Lupita Nyong’o: 2014
Cate Blanchett & Ruby Dee: 2008 (Dee was not nominated for the globes)
Natalie Portman & Cate Blanchett: 2005(Portman was not nominated for SAG)
Meryl Streep & Catherine Zeta-Jones: 2003 (Zeta-Jones went lead for the globes, so not sure this qualifies as a split)
Jennifer Connelly & Helen Mirren: 2002 (Connelly was not nominated for SAG)
Kate Hudson & Judi Dench: 2000

In other words, whenever splits happen it’s because one of the winners wasn’t nominated for the other award. This does not apply to Dunst or Kotsur. Both categories only have 2 cases of true splits (2.5 depending on whether or not you count Winslet and Vikander). It also seems to be a lot less common now than it was at the start of the century.

Quinta Brunson 1st and 2nd emmy campaign manager
Bill Hader 4th, 5th and 6th emmy campaign manager
Jeremy Strong 2nd emmy campaign manager
Zendaya 2nd and 3rd emmy campaign manager

[methaddiction Joined: Aug 1st, 2017 Topics: 3 Posts: 4720 View Predictions]

#1204818962

Y’all know I’m a Kodi warrior but I have a gut feeling that Troy is about to win SAG.. 

[Babylonian Joined: Aug 16th, 2021 Topics: 6 Posts: 3298 View Predictions]

#1204818985

The GAG OF IT ALL when Jennifer Hudson takes the SAG.

FYC:

Everything Everywhere All At Once in every eligible category

Hold My Hand - Lady Gaga for Best Original Song

[Babylonian Joined: Aug 16th, 2021 Topics: 6 Posts: 3298 View Predictions]

#1204819005

Gaga coming for that SAG. Queen of keeping the race interesting.

FYC:

Everything Everywhere All At Once in every eligible category

Hold My Hand - Lady Gaga for Best Original Song

[Monet Tejada Joined: Sep 27th, 2011 Topics: 2 Posts: 4272 View Predictions]

#1204819041

Imagine if Jennifer Hudson wins…