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SAG Awards 2022 Film Predictions (Part 2)

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    alittle03
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    Sep 16th, 2020
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    #1204819043

    Y’all know I’m a Kodi warrior but I have a gut feeling that Troy is about to win SAG..

    Same here. I’m purely lying on intuition here because a Troy win just feels so SAG-esque and I think they would want to give a win to a deaf actor (not to say he wouldn’t be deserving of his own merit because he definitely is). But this is so difficult 😭😭😭

    • FYC: Everything Everywhere All at Once in any and every single category, especially Best Picture, Michelle Yeoh in Actress, Stephanie Hsu in Supporting Actress, The Daniels in Director/Screenplay, Paul Rogers in Editing, and Son Lux in Score.

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    Dr. Manhattan
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    Dec 7th, 2015
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    #1204819070

    Posting this for the people predicting Dunst and Kotsur upsets.

    SAG/Globe splits this century

    Supporting Actor
    Mahershala Ali & Aaron Taylor-Johnson: 2017 (Taylor-Johnson was not nominated for SAG)
    Idris Elba & Sylvester Stallone: 2016 (Stallone was not nominated for SAG)
    Tommy Lee Jones & Christoph Waltz: 2012 (Waltz was not nominated for SAG)
    Paul Giamatti & George Clooney: 2005
    Morgan Freeman & Clive Owen: 2004 (Owen was not nominated for SAG)
    Christopher Walken & Chris Cooper: 2003 (Walken was not nominated for the globe)
    Ian McKellen & Jim Broadbent: 2002 (McKellen was not nominated for the globe)
    Benicio del Toro & Albert Finney: 2001 (del Toro was not nominated for SAG)
    Tom Cruise & Michael Caine: 2000

    Supporting Actress
    Jodie Foster & Yuh-jung Youn: 2021 (Youn was not nominated for the globe and Foster was not nominated for SAG)
    Regina King & Emily Blunt: 2019 (Blunt was not nominated for the globe and King was not nominated for SAG)
    Kate Winslet & Alicia Vikander: 2016 (Vikander was nominated for the globe but for a different role)
    Jennifer Lawrence & Lupita Nyong’o: 2014
    Cate Blanchett & Ruby Dee: 2008 (Dee was not nominated for the globes)
    Natalie Portman & Cate Blanchett: 2005(Portman was not nominated for SAG)
    Meryl Streep & Catherine Zeta-Jones: 2003 (Zeta-Jones went lead for the globes, so not sure this qualifies as a split)
    Jennifer Connelly & Helen Mirren: 2002 (Connelly was not nominated for SAG)
    Kate Hudson & Judi Dench: 2000

    In other words, whenever splits happen it’s because one of the winners wasn’t nominated for the other award. This does not apply to Dunst or Kotsur. Both categories only have 2 cases of true splits (2.5 depending on whether or not you count Winslet and Vikander). It also seems to be a lot less common now than it was at the start of the century.

    Great observations! All I want to add is that, in 2001, Benicio del Toro did get a SAG nomination. It’s just that he was considered Lead at SAG and he wound up winning the SAG Award for Best Leading Actor. So, technically, that isn’t really a split since del Toro won both the Golden Globe and SAG Award, just in different categories. Similarly, in 2002, Jennifer Connelly also got a SAG nomination but for Lead. Unlike del Toro, though, Connelly lost the SAG Award for Best Leading Actress to Halle Berry (who won the Oscar too).

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    Manav
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    Dec 21st, 2019
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    #1204819072

    I always feel CODA as a movie is a bit underseen than DLU,Belfast, House Of Gucci and King Richard, that’s the biggest hesitation I have towards it.

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    Derrick Eoghan Oisín O'Callaghan
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    Dec 5th, 2021
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    #1204819094

    Imagine if Jennifer Hudson wins…

    That would be interesting………….

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    Taytay129
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    Oct 12th, 2021
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    #1204819098

    honestly I think this will be a very predictable and straightforward bunch of acting winners with Smith, Kidman, Debose and Kotsur taking it home.

    I just hope to god we get at least one exiting win to shake things up like maybe having a Garfield win or a chastain win or hell even a Dunst win but yeah idk those look highly unlikely.

    when it comes to ensemble I have no idea except that it’s between coda, don’t look up and Belfast.

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    Cosmia
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    Oct 19th, 2021
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    #1204819109

    My stance continues to be that the obvious winners will win at SAG, but that won’t effect the Oscars in any real way.

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    PeytonKawai for Dame Kate Winslet
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    Dec 1st, 2016
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    #1204819111

    I hope Gaga will win SAG and will continue unpredictable Best Actress race

    TED LASSO & THE WHITE LOTUS in EVERY CATEGORIES!

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    OscarWatcher1971
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    Sep 24th, 2021
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    #1204819113

    How is Kotsur winning obvious & predictable? He’s won virtually nothing all season. He might win, but it would be an upset.

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    crabbie
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    Feb 26th, 2021
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    #1204819119

    I really wonder if the Being The Ricardos ensemble snub is indicative of Kidman’s vulnerability at SAG since there was no reason for the cast to miss ensemble there. Or maybe it’s just overthinking. There’s also the fact that Being the Ricardos isn’t really well liked by the general public seeing how it has a 60% audience (all audience) score on Rotten Tomatoes compared to Gaga and Chastain’s films. Anyways I’m going with Gaga for now since she’s in the most widely seen film with an ensemble nomination and I think the surrounding discussion around her snub might be the impetus for SAG voters to rally behind her. Not confident in this prediction at all, but my predictions are too safe for the might of the unpredictable influencers and tiktokers.

    Ensemble: CODA

    Best Actor: Will Smith

    Best Actress: Lady Gaga

    Best Supporting Actor: Kodi Smit-McPhee

    Best Supporting Actress: Ariana DeBose
     

    Michelle (Yeoh, Williams) Oscar campaign manager.

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    Manav
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    Dec 21st, 2019
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    #1204819121

    I know this table arrangement is just for “trial” and not the real one but this was too hilarious for me to not post here.

    (With all due respect to Lady Gaga whose perfomance in House Of Gucci was incredible)

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