Home Forums Movies SAG Awards 2022 Film Predictions (Part 2)

SAG Awards 2022 Film Predictions (Part 2)

CREATE A NEW TOPIC
CREATE A NEW POLL
Viewing 15 posts - 91 through 105 (of 310 total)
Created
7 months ago
Last Reply
6 months ago
309
replies
27351
views
80
users
Maria
22
Joe Langer
15
kamila
14
  • Profile picture
    FreemanGriffin
    Joined:
    Feb 19th, 2012
    Topics:
    Posts:
    #1204787807

    Most years SAG gets 16 or 17 of the acting nominees that go on to Oscar nomiantions – this year only TWELVE! One of the lowest ever (maybe 2001 was lower? Not certain).

    All 5 of their Best Actor lineup, but only 3 for Actress, and only 2 each for Supporting Actor and Supporting Actress!

    Penelope Cruz and Kristen Stewart instead of Lady Gaga and Jennifer Hudson (I was wrong about a voting bloc getting Hudson in).

    Jessie Buckley! Judi Dench! and Aunjanue Ellis instead of Caitriona Balfe, Cate Blanchett and Ruth Negga.

    Ciarian Hinds!, Jesse Plemons and J.K. Simmons instead of Ben Affleck and the atrocious Bradley Cooper and Jared Leto!

    Truly surprising!

    The acting branch loved House of Gucci but the other branches didn’t care for it apparently! 4 of the 5 Ensemble casts have BP nominations.

    Profile picture
    FreemanGriffin
    Joined:
    Feb 19th, 2012
    Topics:
    Posts:
    #1204791122

    Wish list post-Oscar nominations for SAG winners:

    Ensemble Cast: BELFAST

    Actor: BENEDICT CUMBERBATCH for The Power of the Dog

    Actress: OLIVIA COLMAN for The Lost Daughter

    Supporting Actor: KODI SMIT-McPHEE for The Power of the Dog

    Supporting Actress: ARIANA DeBOSE for West Side Story

    Profile picture
    JV
    Joined:
    Dec 31st, 2019
    Topics:
    Posts:
    #1204795295

    This guild really doesn’t mean anything this year. I could totally see them awarding House of Gucci in one of the categories since they liked it so much. I won’t predict it though.

    Ensemble: Don’t Look Up
    Alt: Belfast

    Actor: Will Smith
    Alt: Andrew Garfield

    Actress: Jessica Chastain
    Alt: Nicole Kidman

    Supporting Actor: Troy Kotsur
    Alt: Kodi Smit McPhee

    Supporting Actress: Ariana DeBose
    Alt: Caitriona Balfe

    Troy Kotsur here could be a Denzel Washington/Casey Affleck situation. I don’t think Kotsur has enough international support to beat Smit McPhee, especially with The Power of the Dog overperforming with the acting branch.

    Profile picture
    Setia Yasmine Khalil
    Joined:
    Jan 14th, 2022
    Topics:
    Posts:
    #1204795381

    was it the lowest overlap since its creation or not only 12 made it god ??
    only 2/5 of the supporting actually made it

    Profile picture
    FreemanGriffin
    Joined:
    Feb 19th, 2012
    Topics:
    Posts:
    #1204795949

    February 27th needs to hurry up and happen!

    imo SAG will tell us who the real frontrunner is for Best Actress, and will help us to know if DeBose and Smit-McPhee are in a strong position to win in their categories.

    If Cumberbatch surprises and wins here, or anyone other than Smith, then that will be extremely revealing.

    I really want Belfast to win the Ensemble award. I would only really be unhappy if King Richard were to win there. Honestly any of the five can win but come on, SAG, give it to Belfast!

    Profile picture
    Owl-Always-watching
    Joined:
    Dec 13th, 2017
    Topics:
    Posts:
    #1204796017

    Only category that I’m curious about is Best cast. Bc it could go to any of them.

    Profile picture
    FreemanGriffin
    Joined:
    Feb 19th, 2012
    Topics:
    Posts:
    #1204796228

    12 out of 20 is the new record low – 1994, 1996 and 2015 all had 13 out of 20.

    2006 had 19 out of 20 – Leonardo DiCaprio for The Departed in Supporting Actor was the only nominee at SAG that didn’t go on to get an Oscar nomination that year.

    The average is actually 15 out of 20.

    There was only 1 out 5 nominated for Supporting Actress for 2001 but Jennifer Connelly, the eventual Oscar winner, was nominated in their Best Actress category that year.

    Having 2 out 5 in both supporting categories this year is unprecedented.

    Profile picture
    Joe Langer
    Joined:
    Dec 5th, 2021
    Topics:
    Posts:
    #1204797484

    Received the West Side Story screener today. Today! Too late.

    Member of the Screen Actors Guild. Inducted in 1999.

    Profile picture
    Joined:
    Jan 1st, 1970
    Topics:
    Posts:
    #1204797689
    This post was found to be inappropriate by the moderators and has been removed.
    Profile picture
    Joined:
    Jan 1st, 1970
    Topics:
    Posts:
    #1204797712
    This post was found to be inappropriate by the moderators and has been removed.
    Profile picture
    Rachel615
    Joined:
    Sep 20th, 2018
    Topics:
    Posts:
    #1204797809

    I think the simple fact is that due to (1) the changing nature of AMPAS membership and (2) the SAG/AFTRA merger, SAG nominations and winners are of significantly less predictive value for Oscar prognostication purposes than they were prior to 2016.  As Scott Feinberg explained in a THR article yesterday, “in recent years, SAG merged with AFTRA (the American Federation of Television and Radio Artists), resulting in an influx of everyone from TV meteorologists to radio talk-show hosts; more recently, the guild began admitting TikTokers, too. Furthermore, the Academy has made a concerted effort to become a more international organization, with members abroad accounting for 12 percent in 2015 but 25 percent today. In other words, the people who pick the SAG Award noms — or almost any of the noms from precursor awards…  and the Oscar noms are no longer very similar.” (Emphasis added.)  A number of people have commented that due to the jury system, the BAFTA awards are less important in determining Oscar winners than they used to be.  The same is true about the SAG awards.

    Profile picture
    Stefania
    Joined:
    Feb 22nd, 2021
    Topics:
    Posts:
    #1204797907

    Yes, among this year’s Oscar nominees there are people from Japan, Norway, Denmark, France, Italy, Mexico, India, Chile, Spain, Afghanistan etc, plus all the English-speaking countries like Ireland and Australia. The shorts particularly are very international. I don’t know if all new nominees automatically become members, but it’s quite impressive.

    Profile picture
    Setia Yasmine Khalil
    Joined:
    Jan 14th, 2022
    Topics:
    Posts:
    #1204797911

    jessie buckley , ciaran hinds , penelope cruz were all pushed by the international members mainly the european bloc

    Profile picture
    Setia Yasmine Khalil
    Joined:
    Jan 14th, 2022
    Topics:
    Posts:
    #1204797917

    Yes, among this year’s Oscar nominees there are people from Japan, Norway, Denmark, France, Italy, Mexico, India, Chile, Spain, Afghanistan etc, plus all the English-speaking countries like Ireland and Australia. The shorts particularly are very international. I don’t know if all new nominees automatically become members, but it’s quite impressive.

    the actors who becomes new nominees get invited last year they invited Maria bakalova , Leslie Odom Jr , Vanessa Kirby , Steven Yeun , youn yuh-jung , andra day and Paul raci
    Riz ahmed and amanda seyfried were already members

    Profile picture
    Mankishta
    Joined:
    Feb 12th, 2022
    Topics:
    Posts:
    #1204798110

    How possible is it actually for Cumberbatch to win (eventually at the Oscars that is)? His performance is clearly very SAG unfriendly if the ballots are anything to go by (although Kodi seems to be doing fine) but in the chance that Smith actually loses SAG, anyone think it only stands to benefit Cumberbatch even if Garfield wins SAG?

    As it turns into a Cumberbatch vs Garfield race and Cumberbatch has BP + BAFTA vs Garfield’s no BP nomination + SAG only?

    Edit: This is OBVIOUSLY under the assumption that Cumberbatch actually wins BAFTA. If Smith or Leo or someone wins BAFTA the conversation is null.
     

    Why are you reporting this post? (optional):
    Not now
Viewing 15 posts - 91 through 105 (of 310 total)

The topic ‘SAG Awards 2022 Film Predictions (Part 2)’ is closed to new replies.

Similar Topics
Screami... - Aug 12, 2022
Movies
Jacob "... - Aug 10, 2022
Movies
tommy - Aug 6, 2022
Movies