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January 20, 2016 at 11:38 am #211834
22ND ANNUAL SCREEN ACTORS GUILD AWARDS
Saturday, January 30, at 8:00 ET on TNT & TBS
LIFE ACHIEVEMENT AWARD:
Presented to Carol Burnett by Tina Fey and Amy Poehler
O’Shea Jackson, Jr.
Kristen WiigJanuary 20, 2016 at 11:38 am #211836
Post presenter names in this thread as they are announced.January 25, 2016 at 10:01 am #211837
Amy Poehler and Tina Fey to present Carol Burnett her award. I am looking forward to this presentation even more now.Riley (the normal one, not the one who won the predictions contest)ParticipantJanuary 25, 2016 at 10:40 am #211838
Last year, the Oscars nominated seventeen of the twenty performances
nominated for Screen Actors Guild Awards and they nominated all five of SAG’s
Best Ensemble nominees for Best Picture.
This overlap is standard because of the shared voters between the groups,
so SAG has a reputation as the ultimate Oscar precursor. SAG has forecast as many as nineteen
Oscar-nominated performances, but this year predicted only thirteen for the first
time in nineteen years—since the third SAG Awards. The nature of the discrepancies is
unprecedented in recent history; SAG must be seriously re-evaluated as a
reliable Oscar prognosticator. Similarly,
only two Best Ensembles became Best Picture nominees this year, a new low in
the seven years in which there have been eight to ten Best Picture nominees.
Oscar-nominated performances that were snubbed by SAG have historically
fit three templates:
First, SAG does not duly consider late releases because SAG votes a
month earlier than the Oscars. Bradley
Cooper (American Sniper, 2014) and eventual winner Christoph Waltz (Django
Unchained, 2012) were burned at SAG by Christmas openings. Late momentum this season explains the Oscar nominations
for Jennifer Lawrence (Joy), Sylvester Stallone (Creed) and Jennifer Jason
Leigh (The Hateful Eight).
Next, SAG nominations are
decided by committees instead of the entire membership. This ensures that voters screen a variety of
films, leveling the field for standout acting in films that lack buzz. At the Oscars, it seems that some lead acting
contenders have such buzz that viewing their films becomes a top priority, so their
supporting players enjoy heightened exposure over standout work in smaller films. This season, Best Actor frontrunner Leonardo
DiCaprio (The Revenant, also a late release) has pulled in supporting actor Tom Hardy at the last
minute. Sally Hawkins (Blue Jasmine,
2013) and Jacki Weaver (Silver Linings Playbook, 2012) respectively rode the
coattails of Best Actress winners Cate Blanchett and Jennifer Lawrence.
Finally, the Oscars and SAG have different balloting systems. SAG tallies the names that are cited most;
Oscar ballots are preferential and favor pockets of passionate support. Foreign-language and divisive arthouse films prevail
over crowd-pleasers more often at the Oscars than SAG. Examples include Marion Cotillard (Two Days,
One Night) and Joaquin Phoenix (The Master, 2012). Charlotte Rampling (45 Years, also a late release) joins the group
this year; her critically-acclaimed work had such limited exposure that she was
snubbed by BAFTA on her home turf.
In the seven years of the modern Oscar era (in which the Best Picture field
is expanded), these three explanations have accounted for twenty-six of the
twenty-nine discrepancies between SAG and the Oscars, with Quvenzhané Wallis (Beasts of the Southern Wild) being ineligible. The two outliers are this year’s Best Actor
nominee Matt Damon (The Martian) and Best Supporting Actor nominee Mark Ruffalo
It is unthinkable that contenders of this calibre could have scored
Oscar nominations without SAG nominations first. These men are proven SAG favorites and star
in Best Picture frontrunners. Like
seventeen of the twenty SAG nominees this year, their films opened in October
or November. The Martian grossed $600
million worldwide; Spotlight was nominated by SAG for best ensemble—these films
were extremely visible. Nominations at
SAG actually should have been easier than at the Oscars because of SAG’s bias
toward early and widely-seen contenders.
Copying or tweaking the SAG nominations was a wise Oscar prediction
strategy previously, but it would be foolish in light of the Pandora’s box
opened by Matt Damon and Mark Ruffalo. Next
year’s SAG nominations must be taken with an extra grain of salt to account for
randomness.January 25, 2016 at 5:07 pm #211839
The fact that SAG Ensemble only matched BP 2/5 almost seems like a fluke. Did SAG voters just name check DiCaprio without actually seeing The Revenant? Hard to believe BONN got in but not that. Straight Outta Compton was also pretty close I’d wager to BP. I think this mismatch is probably most likely due to this being the first time in a while that Oscar and other voters have really spread out their love (17 films nominated in major categories, quite a few more nommed in major categories at other precursors).
The thing that really throws this all for a loop though (and Riley you’re so right about this) is The Martian. A film that seemed destined for a SAG ensemble nod, and of course a performance that they should have eaten up, both snubbed without good reason.
The Ruffalo SAG snub is eye-raising as well, though maybe it has more to do with BONN overperforming there (but then how do you explain Tremblay? Maybe it goes back to the spreading the wealth idea, there were about 10 supporting actors who could all have realistically made it into the Oscar line up.).
So yeah, I do think we should be more careful about using SAG. But on the whole I have wonder if this year is sort of an outlier.January 26, 2016 at 10:03 am #211840
New presenters announced…
Jacob TremblayJanuary 26, 2016 at 10:04 am #211841
And Jacob TremblayJanuary 27, 2016 at 9:44 am #211842
More presenters added…
O’Shea Jackson, Jr.
Kristen WiigJanuary 27, 2016 at 10:54 am #211843
Does anyone know who’s this year’s Social media ambassador?
It’s great that they ask all types of actors in SAG community to present these awards, and not only big stars.
Eliminating people like McAdams, Elba, Mitchell etc since they will only present the segments from their own movies; we still have 7 more ”award presenters” to get. Hope the trend will continue, and we will see more lesser-known names on the list. It will be so interesting to see Larson&Tremblay presenting an award. Wonder how they can pull that off.
Their presenters, their clips, their intros, their simplicity. SAG Awards are definitely the best award show for award junkies. It’s a shame that their winners are always turn out to be the complete opposite of best.January 27, 2016 at 3:16 pm #211844
I am so glad that Sarandon and Wiig are going to be there. I’d really like to see either one give an acceptance speech, but Queen Latifah is far and away the favorite in their category, so watch her win and not be there.
I am also very happy to see that Hawkins, Jackson, and Mitchell will be there, likely to introduce the Straight Outta Compton ensemble nomination. It looks like Elba from Beasts of No Nation and Spotlight will be well represented, so I am really curious who from the well-known ensembles of The Big Short and Trumbo will actually show up for their introductions. I still remember the year that only Dev Patel was there from The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel and how sad that looked.January 27, 2016 at 5:02 pm #211845
Folks, any idea if these will be streamed live online Saturday evening?January 28, 2016 at 10:14 pm #211846
Adding more presenters…
Patricia Arquette, Abraham Attah, Jason Bateman, Bryan Cranston, Taye Diggs, Jon Hamm, Keegan Michael Key, Diane Lane, Julia Louis Dreyfus, Helen Mirren, Pedro Pascal, Jeremy Renner and J.K. SimmonsJanuary 29, 2016 at 5:32 am #211847
No Sly Stallone presenting?January 29, 2016 at 6:22 am #211848
Yes to more unknown presenters!
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