2021 BAFTA Predictions

[TrumpBiden Joined: Dec 22nd, 2020 Topics: 2 Posts: 45 View Predictions]

#1203990879

Lol, unlike last year, the BAFTA’s can’t ignore people of color for their acting categories. I do expect Minari to be snubbed, because now that they’ll nominate some blacks, they’ll completely ignore Asians.

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[wolfali Joined: Sep 4th, 2018 Topics: 262 Posts: 18412 View Predictions]

#1203995695

So I’ve done many shortlist predictions but here are my first predictions of what will be on the long-list.

Film

– Another Round
– The Father
– Judas and the Black Messiah
– Malcolm and Marie
– Mank
– Minari
– Mogul Mowgli
– Nomadland
– One Night in Miami
– Promising Young Woman
– Rocks
– Saint Maud
– Soul
– Sound of Metal
– The Trial of the Chicago 7

Director

– Radha Blank
– Autumn de Wilde
– Emerald Fennell
– David Fincher
– Sarah Gavron
– Rose Glass
– Eliza Hittman
– Lee Isaac Chung
– Charlie Kaufman
– Regina King
– Shaka King
– Spike Lee
– Phyllida Lloyd
– Darius Marder
– Kevin MacDonald
– Shannon Murphy
– Aaron Sorkin
– Baseem Tariq
– Florian Zeller
– Chloe Zhao

Actor

– Riz Ahmed
– Kingsley Ben-Adir
– Chadwick Boseman
– George Clooney
– John David Washington
– Colin Firth
– Anthony Hopkins
– Cosmo Jarvis
– Delroy Lindo
– Madds Mikkelsen
– Gary Oldman
– Tahar Rahim
– Lakeith Stanfield
– Toby Wallace
– Steven Yeun

Actress

– Bukky Bakray
– Jessie Buckley
– Morfydd Clark
– Viola Davis
– Sally Hawkins
– Sophia Loren
– Vanessa Kirby
– Frances McDormand
– Wunmi Mosaku
– Elisabeth Moss
– Carey Mulligan
– Rosamund Pike
– Eliza Scanlen
– Kate Winslet
– Zendaya

Spoilers: Beanie Feldstein, Tina Fey, Julia Garner

S. Actor

– Yahya Abdul-Mateen II
– Sacha Baron Cohen
– Chadwick Boseman
– Bo Burnham
– Daniel Kaluuya
– Barry Keoghan
– Ben Mendelsohn
– Josh O’Connor
– Leslie Odom-Jr.
– Paul Raci
– Eddie Redmayne
– Mark Rylance
– Alan S. Kim
– David Strathairn
– Stanley Tucci

Spoilers: D’Angelou Ossei Kssiedu, Thomas Bo Larsen, Frank Langella, Ally Khan

S. Actress

– Kosar Ali
– Maria Bakalova
– Ellen Burstyn
– Priyanka Chopra
– Olivia Cooke
– Toni Colette
– Olivia Colman
– Essie Davis
– Jennifer Ehle
– Dominique Fishback
– Jodie Foster
– Miranda Hart
– Amanda Seyfried
– Swankie
– Yuh Jung-Youn

British Film

– Ammonite
– Billie
– Calm with Horses
– Emma.
– Eternal Beauty
– The Father
– Herself
– His House
– Host
– I Care A Lot
– Luxor
– The Mauritanian
– Monsoon
– Misbehaviour
– Mogul Mowgli
– Possessor
– Promising Young Woman
– Rocks
– Saint Maud
– Supernova

Spoiler: The Dig, How to Build a Girl, To Olivia, Pixie

FYC OSCARS : PROMISING YOUNG WOMAN IN ALL CATEGORIES (ESP. ACTRESS – Carey Mulligan AND ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY — EMERALD FENNELL), VANESSA KIRBY FOR "PIECES OF A WOMAN", ESSIE DAVIS FOR "BABYTEETH"

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[wolfali Joined: Sep 4th, 2018 Topics: 262 Posts: 18412 View Predictions]

#1203996785

Carey Mulligan came on Graham Norton to promote Promising Young Woman today (looks like she’s challenging Vanessa for that British bloc support!) so I feel safe in saying that it’s coming out on PVOD here to make eligibility.

And good because I need people in my non film social circles to see this masterpiece.

FYC OSCARS : PROMISING YOUNG WOMAN IN ALL CATEGORIES (ESP. ACTRESS – Carey Mulligan AND ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY — EMERALD FENNELL), VANESSA KIRBY FOR "PIECES OF A WOMAN", ESSIE DAVIS FOR "BABYTEETH"

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[wolfali Joined: Sep 4th, 2018 Topics: 262 Posts: 18412 View Predictions]

#1204000242

There was a member of BAFTA who compared Promising Young Woman to Parasite and I think (at BAFTA) it could pull a similar set of wins to Parasite by winning Screenplay and British Film (like Parasite won Foreign Film). And maybe also Actress (which Parasite obviously didn’t do).

FYC OSCARS : PROMISING YOUNG WOMAN IN ALL CATEGORIES (ESP. ACTRESS – Carey Mulligan AND ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY — EMERALD FENNELL), VANESSA KIRBY FOR "PIECES OF A WOMAN", ESSIE DAVIS FOR "BABYTEETH"

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[Rachel615 Joined: Sep 20th, 2018 Topics: 0 Posts: 95 View Predictions]

#1204000255

FYI.  This morning, BAFTA extended its eligibility period for the 2021 Film Awards.

Due to the continuing impact of COVID-19, U.K. cinema closures and the limited availability of cinema screens, entered titles scheduled to release before the eligibility cut-off of April 9 will be automatically eligible if they release within the 2021 calendar year without the need for an appeal.  A theatrical release is not required for the 2021 awards.

See https://variety.com/2021/film/global/bafta-awards-eligibility-extended-1234891261/

Good news for Promising Young Woman’s chances.

 

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[wolfali Joined: Sep 4th, 2018 Topics: 262 Posts: 18412 View Predictions]

#1204000261

Yeah I think <i>Promising Young Woman</i>, Sound of Metal, <i>Another</i> Round, Nomadland and The Father are all easily going to PVOD.

It’s a shame they won’t be on the big screen. <i>Promising Young Woman </i>and The Father are excellent films to see on the big screen and Nomadland is a cinematic masterpiece (I’m sure both apply to Another Round and Sound of Metal too).

FYC OSCARS : PROMISING YOUNG WOMAN IN ALL CATEGORIES (ESP. ACTRESS – Carey Mulligan AND ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY — EMERALD FENNELL), VANESSA KIRBY FOR "PIECES OF A WOMAN", ESSIE DAVIS FOR "BABYTEETH"

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[Eddy Q Joined: Oct 13th, 2012 Topics: 23 Posts: 4678 View Predictions]

#1204000274

wolfali wrote:

Yeah I think <i>Promising Young Woman</i>, Sound of Metal, <i>Another</i> Round, Nomadland and The Father are all easily going to PVOD.

Perhaps, but if I understand correctly studios can hold a film’s release until any time in 2021 as long as they submit for this season (with screeners etc.). Nomadland in particular I expect to stick to its theatrical release plan unless it becomes clear that won’t be possible for even the very end of awards season; and even then, there is still the option to withhold it.

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[wolfali Joined: Sep 4th, 2018 Topics: 262 Posts: 18412 View Predictions]

#1204000317

Eddy Q wrote:

Perhaps, but if I understand correctly studios can hold a film’s release until any time in 2021 as long as they submit for this season (with screeners etc.). Nomadland in particular I expect to stick to its theatrical release plan unless it becomes clear that won’t be possible for even the very end of awards season; and even then, there is still the option to withhold it.

Admittedly I skimmed through the article and missed that completely. Yeah I expect The Father and Nomadland will probably go for cinema releases when they reopen here.

I will be surprised if Promising Young Woman and Sound of Metal still go for theatrical releases at this point. The creatives involved have been going around promoting their films for a “release date soon” and it would be bit of a waste to promote things to people in January/February and then release your film in July. Then again I can’t complain because I’d rather see Sound of Metal on the big screen when it’s safer than on the small screen. The Mauritanian is probably going to Amazon (STX have an agreement with Amazon in the UK hence why I Care A Lot is going there and Hustlers was added on there so soon).

I’ve noticed some films have gone to Curzon Home Cinema to make BAFTA eligibility before having a strike at box office gold later in the year like James Norton’s new film. I expect Ammonite will probably go there.

Does this make <i>Everybody’s Talking About Jamie </i>suddenly eligible because screeners were sent to BAFTA and it was submitted?

BAFTA eligibility is going to get even more confusing than it already is this year. Several films eligible for the Oscars this year will be eligible for the BAFTAs in 2022 like <i>The Nest </i>and First Cow, several films eligible for the BAFTAs in 2021 will be eligible for the Oscars in 2022 like To Olivia and we’ll be getting films like The Father and Nomadland (and potentially even Promising Young Woman and <i>Sound of Metal </i>if they go the route of that James Norton film and go on Amazon or Netflix for a month before going to movie theatres) in cinemas as summer films!

FYC OSCARS : PROMISING YOUNG WOMAN IN ALL CATEGORIES (ESP. ACTRESS – Carey Mulligan AND ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY — EMERALD FENNELL), VANESSA KIRBY FOR "PIECES OF A WOMAN", ESSIE DAVIS FOR "BABYTEETH"

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[AMG Joined: Sep 20th, 2012 Topics: 168 Posts: 4323 View Predictions]

#1204000975

Longlist predictions

Rationale behind this is to (generally) go for any BIG British names regardless of the film itself. They always miss out on a couple Oscar hitters – traditionally ones that star non-whites.

BEST FILM
Ammonite
Another Round
Da 5 Bloods
The Father
Herself
Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
Mank
News of the World
Nomadland
One Night In Miami
Promising Young Woman
Rocks
Soul
Tenet
Trial of the Chicago 7

BEST DIRECTOR
Francis Lee – Ammonite
Thomas Vinterberg – Another Round
Spike Lee – Da 5 Bloods
Autumn de Wilde – Emma
Florian Zeller – The Father
Phyllida Lloyd – Herself
George C Wolfe – Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
David Fincher – Mank
Philippa Lowthorpe – Misbehaviour
Paul Greengrass – News of the World
Chloe Zhao – Nomadland
Sofia Coppola – On The Rocks
Regina King – One Night In Miami
Emerald Fennell – Promising Young Woman
Sarah Gavron – Rocks
Rose Glass – Saint Maud
Jessica Swale – Summerland
Christopher Nolan – Tenet
Garrett Bradley – Time
Aaron Sorkin – Trial of the Chicago 7

BEST LEADING ACTRESS
Amy Adams – Hillbilly Elegy
Gemma Arterton – Summerland
Bukky Bakray – Rocks
Jessie Buckley – I’m Thinking of Ending Things
Viola Davis – Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
Claire Dunne – Herself
Sally Hawkins – Eternal Beauty
Vanessa Kirby – Pieces of a Woman
Keira Knightley – Misbehaviour
Sophia Loren – The Life Ahead
Frances McDormand – Nomadland
Carey Mulligan – Promising Young Woman
Anya Taylor Joy – Emma
Kate Winslet – Ammonite
Alfre Woodard – Clemency

BEST LEADING ACTOR
Riz Ahmed – Sound of Metal
Kingsley Ben Adir – One Night In Miami
Chadwick Boseman – Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
Colin Firth – Supernova
Levan Gelbakhiani – And Then We Danced
Henry Golding – Monsoon
Eli Goree – One Night In Miami
Tom Hanks – News of the World
Max Harwood – Everybody’s Talking About Jamie
Anthony Hopkins – The Father
Delroy Lindo – Da 5 Bloods
Mads Mikkelsen – Another Round
Gary Oldman – Mank
Tahar Rahim – The Mauritanian
John David Washington – Tenet

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Kosar Ali – Rocks
Jessie Buckley – Misbehaviour
Ellen Burstyn – Pieces of A Woman
Glenn Close – Hillbilly Elegy
Toni Colette – I’m Thinking of Ending Things
Olivia Colman – The Father
Olivia Cooke – Sound of Metal
Judi Dench – Blithe Spirit
Jodie Foster – The Mauritanian
Miranda Hart – Emma
Gemma Jones – Ammonite
Lesley Manville – Misbehaviour
Saoirse Ronan – Ammonite
Kirsten Scott Thomas – Rebecca
Amanda Seyfried – Mank

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Sacha Baron Cohen – Trial of the Chicago 7
Chadwick Boseman – Da 5 Bloods
Benedict Cumberbatch – The Mauritanian
Charles Dance – Mank
Richard E Grant – Everybody’s Talking About Jamie
D’angelou Osei Kissiedu – Rocks
Frank Langella – Trial of the Chicago 7
Bill Murray – On The Rocks
Bill Nighy – Emma
Josh O’Connor – Emma
Paul Raci – Sound of Metal
Eddie Redmayne – Trial of the Chicago 7
Mark Rylance – Trial of the Chicago 7
David Thewlis – I’m Thinking of Ending Things
Stanley Tucci – Supernova

BEST BRITISH FILM
Ammonite
County Lines
Emma
Everybody’s Talking About Jamie
The Father
Herself
His House
Misbehaviour
Monsoon
One Man & His Shoes
Promising Young Woman
Rocks
Saint Maud
Summerland
Supernova

Check out more of my thoughts on Twitter (@AMG_Review) and Instagram (amg_reviews)

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[AMG Joined: Sep 20th, 2012 Topics: 168 Posts: 4323 View Predictions]

#1204001865

He can only be long listed once under current rules.

All updated.

Check out more of my thoughts on Twitter (@AMG_Review) and Instagram (amg_reviews)

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[Gabarnes43 Joined: Jan 6th, 2018 Topics: 53 Posts: 2266 View Predictions]

#1204007091

Seems we’ve not got a predictions centre (I still don’t know why). Can we have one when the longlist comes out next week?

FYC OSCARS

PROMISING YOUNG WOMAN in all categories (inc. CAREY MULLIGAN & Emerald Fennell in Screenplay)

THE FATHER in all categories (inc. Best Picture, ANTHONY HOPKINS, Olivia Colman & Adapted Screenplay)

Lo Si (Diane Warren) for Original Song

Chloe Zhao for Director

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[Chris Beachum Joined: May 22nd, 2011 Topics: 929 Posts: 4601 View Predictions]

#1204007118

We will have a BAFTA predictions event after nominations are announced. We don’t offer one before then.

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[Gabarnes43 Joined: Jan 6th, 2018 Topics: 53 Posts: 2266 View Predictions]

#1204007128

Chris Beachum wrote:

We will have a BAFTA predictions event after nominations are announced. We don’t offer one before then.

I know this is normally the case, possibly as they tend to nominate several unknown british stars who won’t be in the prediction centre. But seems there’s only 15 possibilities in each category, it makes sense to have one this year

FYC OSCARS

PROMISING YOUNG WOMAN in all categories (inc. CAREY MULLIGAN & Emerald Fennell in Screenplay)

THE FATHER in all categories (inc. Best Picture, ANTHONY HOPKINS, Olivia Colman & Adapted Screenplay)

Lo Si (Diane Warren) for Original Song

Chloe Zhao for Director

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[wolfali Joined: Sep 4th, 2018 Topics: 262 Posts: 18412 View Predictions]

#1204007655

Fellow UK cinema enthusiasts and viewers! Glasgow Film Festival will be screening The Mauritanian, Minari and Black Bear virtually! All you have to do is rent the film and it will be available from the date specified on the website.

https://glasgowfilm.org/glasgow-film-festival/whats-on/all

FYC OSCARS : PROMISING YOUNG WOMAN IN ALL CATEGORIES (ESP. ACTRESS – Carey Mulligan AND ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY — EMERALD FENNELL), VANESSA KIRBY FOR "PIECES OF A WOMAN", ESSIE DAVIS FOR "BABYTEETH"

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[wolfali Joined: Sep 4th, 2018 Topics: 262 Posts: 18412 View Predictions]

#1204007741

The way BAFTA essentially changed its rules for the acting categories so Margot Robbie wouldn’t get nominated so many times but she’s still getting nominated as a producer on Promising Young Woman.

FYC OSCARS : PROMISING YOUNG WOMAN IN ALL CATEGORIES (ESP. ACTRESS – Carey Mulligan AND ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY — EMERALD FENNELL), VANESSA KIRBY FOR "PIECES OF A WOMAN", ESSIE DAVIS FOR "BABYTEETH"

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