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2021 BAFTA Predictions

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    John Berchmans
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    Jan 22nd, 2018
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    #1204020646

    Minari is truly underperforming though. Unlike Judas, it has no excuse for missing all of these early nominations: it’s been out for over a year. I think CC will embrace it, but it absolutely needs to do well at the guilds to have any chance at Oscar recognition.

    John's Best of 2020

    Best Picture: Soul
    Best Direction: The Midnight Sky
    Best Actor: Chadwick Boseman
    Best Actress: Viola Davis
    Best Supporting Actor: Delroy Lindo
    Best Supporting Actress: Amanda Seyfried
    Best Screenplay: Soul

    John's Best of 2021

    Best Picture: Nomadland
    Best Direction: Nomadland
    Best Actor: Lakeith Stanfield
    Best Actress: Frances McDormand
    Best Supporting Actor: Daniel Kaluuya
    Best Supporting Actress: Youn Yuh-Jung
    Best Screenplay: Judas and the Black Messiah

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    John Berchmans
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    Jan 22nd, 2018
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    #1204020712

    Also, I love how there’s only 6 films on their Animated Feature longlist. 2020 was truly an abominable year for animated films.

    John's Best of 2020

    Best Picture: Soul
    Best Direction: The Midnight Sky
    Best Actor: Chadwick Boseman
    Best Actress: Viola Davis
    Best Supporting Actor: Delroy Lindo
    Best Supporting Actress: Amanda Seyfried
    Best Screenplay: Soul

    John's Best of 2021

    Best Picture: Nomadland
    Best Direction: Nomadland
    Best Actor: Lakeith Stanfield
    Best Actress: Frances McDormand
    Best Supporting Actor: Daniel Kaluuya
    Best Supporting Actress: Youn Yuh-Jung
    Best Screenplay: Judas and the Black Messiah

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    braydenfitzsimmons
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    May 3rd, 2015
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    #1204024502

    With 6 nominees, I can actually see Bo Burnham nominated for supporting actor.

    BAFTA really said

    StarsAreBlind

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    abelfenty
    Joined:
    Jul 14th, 2018
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    #1204024614

    Post-longlist predictions.

    BEST FILM
    The Father
    Mank
    Nomadland
    Promising Young Woman
    The Trial of the Chicago 7

    DIRECTOR
    Emerald Fennell, Promising Young Woman
    David Fincher, Mank
    Sarah Gavron, Rocks
    Aaron Sorkin, The Trial of the Chicago 7
    Florian Zeller, The Father
    Chloé Zhao, Nomadland

    ACTRESS
    Bukky Bakray, Rocks
    Morfydd Clark, Saint Maud
    Viola Davis, Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
    Vanessa Kirby, Pieces of a Woman
    Frances McDormand, Nomadland
    Carey Mulligan, Promising Young Woman

    ACTOR
    Riz Ahmed, Sound of Metal
    Chadwick Boseman, Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
    Anthony Hopkins, The Father
    Mads Mikkelsen, Another Round
    Gary Oldman, Mank
    Tahar Rahim, The Mauritanian

    SUPPORTING ACTRESS
    Maria Bakalova, Borat Subsequent Moviefilm
    Glenn Close, Hillbilly Elegy
    Olivia Colman, The Father
    Jodie Foster, The Mauritanian
    Amanda Seyfried, Mank
    Yuh-Jung Youn, Minari

    SUPPORTING ACTOR
    Sacha Baron Cohen, The Trial of the Chicago 7
    Daniel Kaluuya, Judas and the Black Messiah
    Barry Keoghan, Calm With Horses
    Leslie Odom Jr., One Night In Miami
    Eddie Redmayne, The Trial of the Chicago 7
    Stanley Tucci, Supernova

    ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
    Mank
    Promising Young Woman
    Rocks
    Soul
    The Trial of the Chicago 7

    ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
    The Father
    Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
    News of the World
    Nomadland
    One Night in Miami

    CASTING
    Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
    Mank
    One Night In Miami
    Rocks
    The Trial of the Chicago 7

    CINEMATOGRAPHY
    Judas and the Black Messiah
    Mank
    News of the World
    Nomadland
    Tenet

    COSTUME DESIGN
    Emma
    Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
    Mank
    News of the World
    The United States vs. Billie Holiday

    EDITING
    The Father
    Mank
    Nomadland
    Tenet
    The Trial of the Chicago 7

    MAKEUP & HAIR
    Emma
    Hillbilly Elegy
    Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
    Mank
    Pinocchio

    SCORE
    Mank
    The Midnight Sky
    News of the World
    Soul
    Tenet

    PRODUCTION DESIGN
    Emma
    The Father
    Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
    Mank
    News of the World

    VISUAL EFFECTS
    Greyhound
    The Invisible Man
    The Midnight Sky
    Tenet
    Wonder Woman 1984

    SOUND
    Mank
    The Midnight Sky
    Saint Maud
    Sound of Metal
    Tenet

    ANIMATED
    Onward
    Soul
    Wolfwalkers

    BRITISH FILM
    The Dig
    Emma
    The Father
    His House
    The Mauritanian
    Mogul Mowgli
    Promising Young Woman
    Rocks
    Saint Maud
    Supernova

    BRITISH DEBUT
    Calm with Horses
    His House
    Mogul Mowgli
    Rocks
    Saint Maud

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    Alessandro Palumbo
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    Dec 8th, 2016
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    #1204024663

    With 6 nominated for best actress here I would say

    McDormand

    Mulligan

    Davis

    Kirby

    Winslet

    Loren

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    Lucas
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    Jun 24th, 2020
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    #1204024682

    I watched Saint Maud yesterday. The hype is real. Morfydd Clark was brilliant! Not sure if BAFTA has a bias against edgy films, but I hope she gets nominated

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    Thatcher, Prime Minister of GoldDerby
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    Jan 3rd, 2018
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    #1204024699

    Darlings, Religious Clark deserves a nomination for Saint Maud… hopefully she gets it. She’s amazing.

    As a famous singer said, "ain't nobody gonna Thatcher, Thatcher, Thatcher!"

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    Anirudh Arun
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    Sep 28th, 2019
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    #1204024725

    I really think Morfydd has a big chance to get nominated. Fingers crossed!

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    OneAndOnly
    Joined:
    Mar 21st, 2017
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    #1204026732

    We can predict BAFTA now!

    (I think Olivia Colman is missing)

    Have a great day if you see this!

    FYC:
    The Great
    Everything Everywhere All At Once
    Severance
    The Batman

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    forwardswill
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    Apr 9th, 2013
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    #1204026752

    Huge thanks to Chris and the team for delivering this

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    wolfali
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    Sep 4th, 2018
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    #1204026798

    My predictions centre predictions are a mess and not anything like my actual predictions because in actress, actor and supporting actress there are so many viable Jessie Buckleys that can happen this year (including Buckley herself!)

    One thing people should keep an eye out for is coattails to lead performances (especially female lead) in supporting actor. Kenneth Branagh, Jim Broadbent, Alfred Molina, Michael Sheen are examples of this happening in the past under the jury system. At the moment I’d bet on Bo Burnham making the cut. <i>Promising Young Woman </i>is a film we definitely know BAFTA is going crazy for and Mulligan is probably winning actress here. However it could easily be David Strathairn who coattails to McDormand or one of Rylance or Redmayne who coattail to Baron Cohen. Cumberbatch Coattails don’t necessarily only have to happen in supporting actor so watch out for Ellen Burstyn, Dominique Fishback

    In Actress there is definitely going to be a surprise BAFTA pick in there who goes nowhere else during this awards season and if you aren’t predicting that to happen you’re absolutely deluding yourselves. People on here underestimate the willingness of BAFTA members to deviate and award British performers and/or performers from British films in normal years when there isn’t a pandemic going on. Jessie Buckley, Viola Davis, Annette Bening and Maggie Smith to list a few. I think in this particular year where there is a bigger emphasis on racial diversity within BAFTA and a bigger divide between the films AMPAS members get to see and those BAFTA members get to see to expect two random British picks in the Actress category and don’t be surprised to see two in each acting category. Bukky Bakray and Morfydd Clark have gotten the most attention, their films have performed best on the long-list so they probably got in due to the plurality vote rather than due to being jury picks and both of their films will be top 4 in British Film so I have them in at the moment but do not underestimate BAFTA winner Wunmi Mosaku or last year’s nominee Jessie Buckley either. I can see a world where they chose these two ladies and award Clark and Bakray with rising star nominations instead. Don’t be surprised if Alfre Woodard or one of Winslet or Loren’s names are called either and we see a big snub in the Actress category from one of the top 4 (although not Kirby or Mulligan because I feel like they’re the safest in this category). The only two I feel confident in ruling out are Adams and Zendaya. Would love to see one of Garner or Blank happen but I won’t hold my breath.

    Each category will have at least one person of colour nominated so there is no reason for why Yuh-jung Youn would miss when her film has been performing so well. Supporting Actress is a weird one though.

    Actor seems to have four locks in the form of Ahmed, Boseman, Hopkins and Rahim (I anticipate both him and Foster get in here considering the strong British pedigree of their film and how well it’s done here on the long-list in random tech categories too). Oldman is probably safe too. I would love for Lindo to happen here but I think the last slot is between him, Gourav (whose film has done quite well here), Mikkelsen (whose film also has done well here) and Fiennes (whose film is being seen at the right time and has also done well here).

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    Gabarnes43
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    Jan 6th, 2018
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    #1204026819

    Thanks for this

    I believe you might have missed Olivia Colman

    EMMYS FYC

    The White Lotus in all categories

    Landscapers, Olivia Colman & David Thewlis

    Ted Lasso in all Categories

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    Chris Beachum
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    May 22nd, 2011
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    #1204026846

    I did overlook Olivia Colman but she is now added. It takes about an hour or two for it to clear through the cache system and show up in the event.

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