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2022 BAFTA Film Awards

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    wolfali
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    #1204628662

    Post BIFA predictions.

    (in order of nomination likelihood not win)

    Film

    1. The Power of the Dog
    2. Licorice Pizza
    3. West Side Story
    4. Belfast
    5. The Lost Daughter

    6. Spencer
    7. Dune
    8. Don’t Look Up
    9. Being the Ricardos
    10. The French Dispatch

    British Film

    Membership voted upon films:

    1. The Power of the Dog
    2. Belfast
    3. Spencer
    4. No Time to Die
    5. The Last Duel

    Juried films:

    6. After Love
    7. Ali and Ava
    8. Passing
    9. The Souvenir : Part II
    10. Boiling Point

    Next in Line: Last Night in Soho, The Nest, Cyrano, Censor, The Electrical Life of Louis Wain, Benediction, Mrs Harris Goes to Paris, The Sparks Brothers, Ron’s Gone Wrong, Sweetheart

    Director

    1. Jane Campion, The Power of the Dog
    2. Joanna Hogg, The Souvenir : Part II
    3. Clio Barnard, After Love
    4. Pedro Almodovar, Parallel Mothers
    5. Ryusuke Hamaguchi, Drive My Car
    6. Joachim Trier, The Worst Person in the World

    7. Julia Ducournau, Titane
    8. Rebecca Hall, Passing
    9. Maggie Gyllenhaal, The Lost Daughter
    10. Paul Thomas Anderson, Licorice Pizza

    Actor

    1. Benedict Cumberbatch, The Power of the Dog
    2. Adeel Akhtar, Ali & Ava
    3. Will Smith, King Richard
    4. Denzel Washington, The Tragedy of Macbeth
    5. Stephen Graham, Boiling Point
    6. Jude Hill, Belfast

    7. Andrew Garfield, Tick, Tick…BOOM!
    8. Dev Patel, The Green Knight
    9. Daniel Craig, No Time to Die
    10. Joaquin Phoenix, C’mon C’mon

    Actress

    1. Joanna Scanlan, After Love
    2. Kristen Stewart, Spencer
    3. Tessa Thompson, Passing
    4. Claire Rushbrook, Ali & Ava
    5. Penelope Cruz, Parallel Mothers
    6. Olivia Colman, The Lost Daughter

    7. Nicole Kidman, Being the Ricardos
    8. Rachel Zegler, West Side Story
    9. Jodie Comer, The Last Duel
    10. Carrie Coon, The Nest

    S. Actor

    1. Kodi Smit-McPhee, The Power of the Dog
    2. Ciaran Hinds, Belfast
    3. Richard Ayoade, The Souvenir : Part II
    4. Talid Ariss, After Love
    5. Ray Panthaki, Boiling Point
    6. Troy Kotsur, CODA

    7. Colman Domingo, Zola
    8. Orion Lee, First Cow
    9. Corey Hawkins, The Tragedy of Macbeth
    10. Jeffrey Wright, The French Dispatch

    S. Actress

    1. Ruth Negga, Passing
    2. Vinette Robinson, Boiling Point
    3. Kirsten Dunst, The Power of the Dog
    4. Aunjanue Ellis, King Richard
    5. Ariana DeBose, West Side Story
    6. Diana Rigg, Last Night in Soho

    7. Caitriona Balfe, Belfast
    8. Jessie Buckley, The Lost Daughter
    9. Marlee Matlin, CODA
    10. Rita Moreno, West Side Story 

    Adapted Screenplay

    1. Jane Campion for The Power of the Dog
    2. Maggie Gyllenhaal for The Lost Daughter
    3. Tony Kushner for West Side Story
    4. Ben Affleck, Matt Damon and Nicole Holofcener for The Last Duel
    5. Cary Joji Fukunaga, Neal Purvis, Robert Wade and Phoebe Waller-Bridge for No Time to Die

    6. Eric Roth, Jon Spaihts and Denis Villeneuve for Dune
    7. Sian Heder for CODA
    8. Rebecca Hall for Passing
    9. Ryusuke Hamaguchi for Drive My Car
    10. Steven Levinson for Tick, Tick…BOOM!

    Original Screenplay

    1. Paul Thomas Anderson for Licorice Pizza
    2. Kenneth Branagh for Belfast
    3. Adam McKay for Don’t Look Up
    4. Pedro Almodovar for Parallel Mothers
    5. Mike Mills for C’mon C’mon

    6. Aaron Sorkin for Being the Ricardos
    7. Steven Knight for Spencer
    8. Joachim Trier and Eskil Vogt for The Worst Person in the World
    9. Sean Baker for Red Rocket
    10. Zach Baylin for King Richard

    FYC:

    "The Good Fight" and "The Other Two" in all categories.

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    wolfali
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    #1204629049

    FYC:

    "The Good Fight" and "The Other Two" in all categories.

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    Richie Rich
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    Aug 6th, 2021
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    #1204630974

    Best Film
    1. The Power of the Dog
    2. West Side Story
    3. Belfast
    4. Dune
    5. Don’t Look Up

    Best Direction
    1. Jane Campion – The Power of the Dog
    2. Steven Spielberg – West Side Story
    3. Kenneth Branagh – Belfast
    4. Denis Villenueve – Dune
    5. Adam McKay – Don’t Look Up

    Best Actor
    1. Benedict Cumberbatch – Power of the Dog
    2. Peter Dinklage – Cyrano
    3. Leonardo DiCaprio – Don’t Look Up
    4. Javier Bardem – Being the Ricardos
    5. Bradley Cooper – Nightmare Alley

    Wildcards:
    Denzel Washington – Tragedy of Macbeth
    Andrew Garfield – Tick, Tick, Boom!

    Best Actress
    1. Kristen Stewart – Spencer
    2. Jessica Chastain – Eyes of Tammy Faye
    3. Penelope Cruz – Parallel Mothers
    4. Nicole Kidman – Being the Ricardos
    5. Olivia Colman – The Lost Daughter

    Best Supporting Actor
    1. Kodi Smit-McPhee – Power of the Dog
    2. Bradley Cooper – Licorice Pizza
    3. Ciarán Hinds – Belfast
    4. Richard Jenkins – The Humans
    5. Al Pacino / Jared Leto – House of Gucci

    Wildcards:
    Mark Rylance – Don’t Look Up
    David Alvarez – West Side Story

    Best Supporting Actress
    1. Catriona Balfe – Belfast
    2. Ariana DeBose – West Side Story
    3. Kirsten Dunst – Power of the Dog
    4. Aunjanue Ellis – King Richard
    5. Meryl Streep – Don’t Look Up

    Wildcards:
    Cate Blanchett – Nightmare Alley
    Jayne Houdyshell – The Humans

    Best Original Screenplay
    1. Don’t Look Up – Adam McKay
    2. Belfast – Kenneth Branagh
    3. Licorice Pizza – Paul Thomas Anderson
    4. Being the Ricardos – Aaron Sorkin
    5. Parallel Mothers – Pedro Almodovar

    Best Adapted Screenplay
    1. The Power of the Dog – Jane Campion
    2. The Humans – Stephen Karam
    3. Nightmare Alley – Guillermo del Toro and Kim Morgan
    4. Cyrano – Erica Schmidt
    5. The Lost Daughter – Maggie Gyllenhaal

    Wildcards:
    West Side Story – Tony Kushner
    The Tragedy of Macbeth – Joel Coen

    Best Original Music
    1. The Power of the Dog – Jonny Greenwood
    2. Spencer – Jonny Greenwood
    3. Nightmare Alley – Nathan Johnson
    4. Dune – Hans Zimmer
    5. Belfast – Van Morrison

    Wildcards:
    Don’t Look Up – Nicholas Britell, Ariana Grande and Kid Cudi
    Cyrano – Aaron Dessner and Bryce Dessner

    Best Cinematography
    1. The Power of the Dog – Ari Wagner
    2. Dune – Greig Fraser
    3. Belfast – Haris Zambarloukos
    4. West Side Story – Janusz Kaminski
    5. Nightmare Alley – Dan Laustsen

    Best Editing
    1. Dune
    2. Don’t Look Up
    3. Belfast
    4. West Side Story
    5. Nightmare Alley

    Best Production Design
    1. Dune
    2. Nightmare Alley
    3. Belfast
    4. West Side Story
    5. Cyrano

    Best Costume Design
    1. Dune
    2. Spencer
    3. Belfast
    4. West Side Story
    5. Nightmare Alley

    Cyrano
    The Eyes of Tammy Faye
    The Power of the Dog

    Best Makeup and Hair
    1. Dune
    2. The Eyes of Tammy Faye
    3. Belfast
    4. West Side Story
    5. Being the Ricardos

    Cyrano
    Don’t Look Up
    The Power of the Dog

    Best Sound
    1. West Side Story
    2. Dune
    3. Belfast
    4. The Power of the Dog
    5. A Quiet Place II
    Don’t Look Up

    Best Special Visual Effects
    1. Dune
    2. Don’t Look Up
    3. Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings
    4. Spider-Man: No Way Home
    5. Eternals

    Best British Film
    1. The Power of the Dog
    2. Belfast
    3. Spencer
    4. Cyrano
    5. No Time To Die

    Rising Star Award
    1. Gemma Chan
    2. Rachel Zegler

    3. Jodie Comer

    4. Alana Haim
    5. Thomasin McKenzie

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    lorelei lor
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    #1204631002

    Best Film 1. The Power of the Dog 2. West Side Story 3. Belfast 4. Dune 5. Don’t Look Up Best Direction 1. Jane Campion – The Power of the Dog 2. Steven Spielberg – West Side Story 3. Kenneth Branagh – Belfast 4. Denis Villenueve – Dune 5. Adam McKay – Don’t Look Up Best Actor 1. Benedict Cumberbatch – Power of the Dog 2. Peter Dinklage – Cyrano 3. Leonardo DiCaprio – Don’t Look Up 4. Javier Bardem – Being the Ricardos 5. Bradley Cooper – Nightmare Alley Wildcards: Denzel Washington – Tragedy of Macbeth Andrew Garfield – Tick, Tick, Boom! Best Actress 1. Kristen Stewart – Spencer 2. Jessica Chastain – Eyes of Tammy Faye 3. Penelope Cruz – Parallel Mothers 4. Nicole Kidman – Being the Ricardos 5. Olivia Colman – The Lost Daughter Best Supporting Actor 1. Kodi Smit-McPhee – Power of the Dog 2. Bradley Cooper – Licorice Pizza 3. Ciarán Hinds – Belfast 4. Richard Jenkins – The Humans 5. Al Pacino / Jared Leto – House of Gucci Wildcards: Mark Rylance – Don’t Look Up David Alvarez – West Side Story Best Supporting Actress 1. Catriona Balfe – Belfast 2. Ariana DeBose – West Side Story 3. Kirsten Dunst – Power of the Dog 4. Aunjanue Ellis – King Richard 5

    These are the Baftas not the Oscars. They have a jury for Director and the acting categories. They won’t look like this for sure based on what happened last season.

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    wolfali
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    #1204634247

    Olivia Colman seeing the reviews for Being the Ricardos:

    FYC:

    "The Good Fight" and "The Other Two" in all categories.

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    estrelas
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    #1204634300

    Is Drive My Car eligible for this years BAFTAs? I think Hamaguchi has a very strong chance of getting in for Director with a jury. Could also see the writers branch nominating it, since Adapted Screenplay is a landfill.

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    wolfali
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    #1204634312

    Is Drive My Car eligible for this years BAFTAs?

    Yep! It’s playing in UK cinemas right now.

    FYC:

    "The Good Fight" and "The Other Two" in all categories.

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    wolfali
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    #1204634487

    Last year Andra Day and Minari missed on the long-list in spite of both getting in at the Oscars.

    Which Oscar contending performances and films do you guys think are vulnerable to making the long-list here?

    FYC:

    "The Good Fight" and "The Other Two" in all categories.

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    estrelas
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    #1204634565

    Last year Andra Day and Minari missed on the long-list in spite of both getting in at the Oscars.

    Which Oscar contending performances and films do you guys think are vulnerable to making the long-list here?

    I think the biggest BP contender that could miss is probably King Richard, since it tanked at the BO in the UK and I don’t think it’s a movie that will appeal that much to the British Academy. Spencer, The Tragedy of Macbeth, Being the Ricardos, House of Gucci, Passing, Cmon Cmon, etc, are all vulnerable imo. I think out of those, Spencer is easily the strongest to make the longlist. I think it’s safe, but we never know.

    Acting wise, I think Jennifer Hudson, Jessica Chastain, Ann Dowd, Rita Moreno, to name a few, could all miss the longlist and still make the Oscar lineup. The latter is tricky, cause she’s getting very good reviews, but Ariana is getting all the attention from the critics groups and Supporting Actress is a bloodbath. With the competition from also British indies and only 12 slots for the actual membership, I could see Moreno easily miss, since I don’t think the juries would use one of the remaining 3 slots on her. I think people like Dowd and Plimpton, could benefit from the jury saving three people for the longlist.
    Supporting Actor and Actor are such a mess, outside a few names, that I honestly don’t know.

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    m_butterfly
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    #1204634909

    Last year Andra Day and Minari missed on the long-list in spite of both getting in at the Oscars. Which Oscar contending performances and films do you guys think are vulnerable to making the long-list here?

    Of the current Gold Derby top 10 I’d say: King Richard maybe, Nightmare Alley, Don’t Look Up and Being the Ricardos. It’s gonna be interesting to see how West Side Story does. I don’t see Gaga or Chastain making it either. Also does the jury pick films too or just performances? I’m not sure if Dune could make it to picture.

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    wolfali
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    #1204634990

    Of the current Gold Derby top 10 I’d say: King Richard maybe, Nightmare Alley, Don’t Look Up and Being the Ricardos. It’s gonna be interesting to see how West Side Story does. I don’t see Gaga or Chastain making it either. Also does the jury pick films too or just performances? I’m not sure if Dune could make it to picture.

    The long-list in each category is decided by the individual branches of BAFTA. Everyone votes on best film and British film, the writers branch votes on writing etc. The actors branch do vote for the acting long-list but three of the fifteen slots in each acting category are reserved for “jury picks”.

    When it comes to the actual nominations voting everyone votes for Best Film and each branch aside from the directors branch and the actors branch votes for the nominees. However the acting categories have a hybrid system this time round. The two performances with the most votes in the long-listing stage from the actors branch will make into each acting category whilst the remaining four slots are decided by juries.

    I hope that makes sense! If you have any more queries please feel free to post them.

    FYC:

    "The Good Fight" and "The Other Two" in all categories.

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    Aimerarrow
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    Feb 11th, 2021
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    #1204635074

    The long-list in each category is decided by the individual branches of BAFTA. Everyone votes on best film and British film, the writers branch votes on writing etc. The actors branch do vote for the acting long-list but three of the fifteen slots in each acting category are reserved for “jury picks”. When it comes to the actual nominations voting everyone votes for Best Film and each branch aside from the directors branch and the actors branch votes for the nominees. However the acting categories have a hybrid system this time round. The two performances with the most votes in the long-listing stage from the actors branch will make into each acting category whilst the remaining four slots are decided by juries. I hope that makes sense! If you have any more queries please feel free to post them.

    The hybrid thing with the two performances with the most votes – that’s new for 2022 right? I don’t remember them doing that this year.

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    wolfali
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    #1204635083

    The hybrid thing with the two performances with the most votes – that’s new for 2022 right? I don’t remember them doing that this year.

    Yep.

    FYC:

    "The Good Fight" and "The Other Two" in all categories.

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    m_butterfly
    Joined:
    Feb 3rd, 2021
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    #1204635316

    The long-list in each category is decided by the individual branches of BAFTA. Everyone votes on best film and British film, the writers branch votes on writing etc. The actors branch do vote for the acting long-list but three of the fifteen slots in each acting category are reserved for “jury picks”. When it comes to the actual nominations voting everyone votes for Best Film and each branch aside from the directors branch and the actors branch votes for the nominees. However the acting categories have a hybrid system this time round. The two performances with the most votes in the long-listing stage from the actors branch will make into each acting category whilst the remaining four slots are decided by juries. I hope that makes sense! If you have any more queries please feel free to post them.

    Thanks! I knew they had changed it from last year but I wasn’t sure exactly why. I guess that will help narrow down the eventual winners for us lol.

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    wolfali
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    #1204635335

    Thanks! I knew they had changed it from last year but I wasn’t sure exactly why. I guess that will help narrow down the eventual winners for us lol.

    It definitely will but something I also wonder is if it may complicate things a bit. I can see a world where we end up with a supporting actress lineup that includes Kirsten Dunst, Aunjanue Ellis and Ariana DeBose and it’s hard to tell which one of them is a jury pick and which two are membership picks.

    FYC:

    "The Good Fight" and "The Other Two" in all categories.

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