The 2020 GG/CC/SAG Snub

[David Joined: Aug 18th, 2018 Topics: 4 Posts: 694 View Predictions]

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Bassett wrote:

One of the Ammonite girls, whoever goes furthest

They aren’t getting that far with no buzz. I see them getting in at Bafta and missing everywhere else.

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[Joined: Jan 1st, 1970 Topics: 10 Posts: 1592 View Predictions]

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[Nameizmann Joined: Jan 16th, 2020 Topics: 29 Posts: 505 View Predictions]

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Close, Bakalova AND Zengel.

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[wolfali Joined: Sep 4th, 2018 Topics: 219 Posts: 33612 View Predictions]

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One of Bakalova, Zengel and Close will miss out for a nominee from a BP nominee if they don’t get in at BAFTA (although I think Zengel will be in a BP nominee) or they will miss out for Jodie Foster/Ellen Burstyn.

And I hate to say it because I loved the performance so much but maybe even Kirby might be the snub of this year. Although she’s been doing quite well so far and I think she’s solidly fourth right now so I am hopeful.

FYC:

"The Good Fight", "The Other Two" and "Station Eleven" in all categories, Sarah Lancashire ("Julia"), William Jackson Harper ("Love Life") and Luke Kirby ("The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel")

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[maxinho Joined: Jan 28th, 2019 Topics: 2 Posts: 730 View Predictions]

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I think Zengel is happening at the oscars, but Bakalova won’t, that performance is worthy of a guest comedy actress emmy nomination, but not for the oscars.

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[braydenfitzsimmons Joined: May 3rd, 2015 Topics: 89 Posts: 7691 View Predictions]

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David wrote:

They aren’t getting that far with no buzz. I see them getting in at Bafta and missing everywhere else.

Three months later and it would take an act of god for them to get BAFTA

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[braydenfitzsimmons Joined: May 3rd, 2015 Topics: 89 Posts: 7691 View Predictions]

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wrote:

I would also say Jared Leto but I doubt the Critics Choice will nominate him.

They have 17 slots per category and want to predict the Oscars, you know they will

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[JackO Joined: Jun 2nd, 2011 Topics: 3 Posts: 1051 View Predictions]

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Pretty confident in Kirby and Leto

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[SN Joined: Dec 7th, 2014 Topics: 4 Posts: 3535 View Predictions]

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I wouldn’t say Leto would be this snub because he’ll have only the Globe and SAG. BFCA will probably snub him tomorrow.

It could be Zengel but she’s a newcomer kid in a not so loved film. It’s VERY rare to see kids being nominated, so the fact she’s probably marking all precursors means she has a lot of passion.

It could be Bakalova but she’s a newcomer in an comedic performance, so she also has a lot of passion for marking the precursors. Her win in the London Critics means she’s more likely to get a BAFTA nom now.

I think either Zengel or Bakalova will miss. There’s just no way both will get in.

Lastly, as I mentioned before, it could be Kirby. Her movie has luckwarm reviews and she’s the only thing about it that has good chances.

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[ricardo505 Joined: Jun 14th, 2015 Topics: 1 Posts: 588 View Predictions]

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SN wrote:

It could be Zengel but she’s a newcomer kid in a not so loved film. It’s VERY rare to see kids being nominated, so the fact she’s probably marking all precursors means she has a lot of passion.

It’s rare, however I think the Academy is the most friendly group when it’s about nominating kids.

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[Butz Joined: Oct 15th, 2020 Topics: 0 Posts: 1287 View Predictions]

#1204030091

Bakalova would almost be too obvious. However, if she gets in at BAFTA, I’d say she’s in and I have underestimated the passion for her. But right now I can see her absolutely being JLoed.

Letterboxd: Ray_In_Bruges

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[Joined: Jan 1st, 1970 Topics: 10 Posts: 1592 View Predictions]

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[wolfali Joined: Sep 4th, 2018 Topics: 219 Posts: 33612 View Predictions]

#1204032500

wrote:

Ahmed/Boseman/Hopkins/Oldman Davis/Kirby/McDormand/Mulligan Baron Cohen/Kaluuya/Odom Bakalova/Close/Colman Who’s it gonna be?

One or more of Bakalova, Kirby, Close or Oldman. Although I am leaning towards Bakalova and Oldman more. Bakalova may be hurt by her film being a non factor anywhere else and supporting categories having a bias towards nominating performance from BP contenders. Oldman may be hurt by actors not reacting strongly to Mank and Kirby may be hurt by her being the only thing keeping her film in the Oscars conversation (same with Close).

I do think there will be some who will vote for Close no matter what and both the European tendencies of her film and the strong passion and acclaim for her performance will help Kirby (even though the parallels with Timothee Chalamet for Beautiful Boy are alarming). But if Burstyn misses BAFTA and Close loses the Globe I think both could be in a more precarious position.

FYC:

"The Good Fight", "The Other Two" and "Station Eleven" in all categories, Sarah Lancashire ("Julia"), William Jackson Harper ("Love Life") and Luke Kirby ("The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel")

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[Joined: Jan 1st, 1970 Topics: 10 Posts: 1592 View Predictions]

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