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The Power Of The Dog – JC, BC, KD

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    crabbie
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    #1204527102

    Just added to AFI Festival line up

    Venice, TIFF, Telluride, NYFF, LFF, AFI.

    What other film has achieved this festival run in the past?

    Michelle Williams Oscar campaign manager.

    FYC:
    Picture: The Power of the Dog, Spencer
    Director: Jane Campion, Pablo Larraín
    Actor: Benedict Cumberbatch
    Actress: Kristen Stewart
    Supporting Actress: Kirsten Dunst, Anya Taylor-Joy, Rebecca Ferguson
    Supporting Actor: Kodi Smit-McPhee
    Best Original Screenplay: Spencer
    Best Adapted Screenplay: The Power of the Dog
    Best Cinematography: The Power of the Dog, Spencer, Last Night in Soho

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    kaziz
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    #1204527143

    Anybody familiar with Sixth Place Oscar Polls on Twitter? All the pundits follow it, it’s basically a monthly poll of who will win and funnily enough, as of last night Dunst had a huge lead over Balfe and then…….Outlander stans who haven’t seen it descended on it? Bizarre. Dornan is winning supporting actor lol. It’s so funny when stans descend because Affleck literally got to this poll (for The Tender Bar!) by being quote-RT’ed by Bennifer stans!

    Bizarre. Anywhere here it is. https://twitter.com/OscarPolls/status/1448370145823318019?t=BGnZGlDtPK6dDI_fddhODA&s=19

    FYC:
    Picture: The Power of the Dog, Passing, The Lost Daughter
    Director: Jane Campion, Rebecca Hall
    Actor: Benedict Cumberbatch
    Actress: Tessa Thompson, Olivia Colman
    Supporting Actress: Kirsten Dunst, Ruth Negga, Dakota Johnson, Jessie Buckley
    Supporting Actor: Kodi Smit-McPhee, Jesse Plemons, Andre Holland, Troy Kotsur, Richard Jenkins, Reed Birney

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    OscarWatcher1971
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    #1204527796

    I wouldn’t worry about those polls. TPOTD not even in the top 4 for BP after winning the poll in August. Stewart Stans got Spencer  into the top 4, when it will be lucky to even get nominated !

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    kaziz
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    I wouldn’t worry about those polls. TPOTD not even in the top 4 for BP after winning the poll in August. Stewart Stans got Spencer into the top 4, when it will be lucky to even get nominated !

    Eh. Still.

    FYC:
    Picture: The Power of the Dog, Passing, The Lost Daughter
    Director: Jane Campion, Rebecca Hall
    Actor: Benedict Cumberbatch
    Actress: Tessa Thompson, Olivia Colman
    Supporting Actress: Kirsten Dunst, Ruth Negga, Dakota Johnson, Jessie Buckley
    Supporting Actor: Kodi Smit-McPhee, Jesse Plemons, Andre Holland, Troy Kotsur, Richard Jenkins, Reed Birney

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    OscarWatcher1971
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    #1204528740

    Jane Campion to receive Director’s Tribute at the Gotham Awards. She’s coming for the gold statue, man.

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    kaziz
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    Jane Campion to receive Director’s Tribute at the Gotham Awards. She’s coming for the gold statue, man.

    Yeah… Silver Lion, Lumiere, now this. It’s all pointing to a sweep.

    Also: does this mean TPOTD is eligible for the Gothams? Or maybe they’re giving her a Tribute partly because it’s not?

    FYC:
    Picture: The Power of the Dog, Passing, The Lost Daughter
    Director: Jane Campion, Rebecca Hall
    Actor: Benedict Cumberbatch
    Actress: Tessa Thompson, Olivia Colman
    Supporting Actress: Kirsten Dunst, Ruth Negga, Dakota Johnson, Jessie Buckley
    Supporting Actor: Kodi Smit-McPhee, Jesse Plemons, Andre Holland, Troy Kotsur, Richard Jenkins, Reed Birney

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    Viridiana
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    Dec 27th, 2019
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    #1204528769
  • Also: does this mean TPOTD is eligible for the Gothams? Or maybe they’re giving her a Tribute partly because it’s not?

    I recall Todd Haynes got the same award and Carol still was nominated for Best Feature, Best Actress and Best Screenplay. So it does not have to mean its ineligible.
    That said, there is an “US citizen” or “US-based person” rule that could make it ineligible.

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OscarWatcher1971
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#1204528811

It’s ineligible according to the US criterion.

Films must be American, except as noted.
Except for the Best International Feature and the Best Documentary category, all feature films must be directed, and/or produced (credited “producer” or “produced by”) and/or written by individuals who are U.S. citizens or permanently U.S.-based. A minimum of two different individuals across these roles are required. If the film’s director is American as defined and fulfills at least two of these roles, this is sufficient for eligibility.

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OscarWatcher1971
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#1204529307

Budget is also reportedly over $35m so would be ineligible even if American rule didn’t make it ineligible

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OscarWatcher1971
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#1204530823

Clayton Davis confirms Dunst in supporting, points out history making possibility for women: Campion first ever double Director nominee, equal most awarded (3) and Wegner (second cinematographer, could be first winner).

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crabbie
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#1204532521

We are getting another trailer this week after the film has completed its LFF run. Maybe on Wednesday or Thursday?

Umm anyways…

Trailer next week maybe. A trailer should be in the works after its festival run and I’d rather the trailer be released sooner than later. Hopefully by Monday or Wednesday.

Michelle Williams Oscar campaign manager.

FYC:
Picture: The Power of the Dog, Spencer
Director: Jane Campion, Pablo Larraín
Actor: Benedict Cumberbatch
Actress: Kristen Stewart
Supporting Actress: Kirsten Dunst, Anya Taylor-Joy, Rebecca Ferguson
Supporting Actor: Kodi Smit-McPhee
Best Original Screenplay: Spencer
Best Adapted Screenplay: The Power of the Dog
Best Cinematography: The Power of the Dog, Spencer, Last Night in Soho

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OscarWatcher1971
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#1204533728

I thought the teaser was perfect. Can’t wait for the trailer.

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OscarWatcher1971
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#1204534667

Kaziz, you’ll be pleased to know Dunst won that Oscar poll on Twitter in the end.

The guy needs to check his algorithms though. TPOTD is set to win 6 Oscars according to his October polls: Director, Actor, Supporting Actress, Adapted Screenplay, Score (go Johnny) and Cinematography (go Ari) but didn’t make the final 4 for Best Picture. Seriously weird.

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kaziz
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#1204535472

Haha, yeah I saw. That’s pretty darn cool.

But yeah the algorithm is weird because the way TPOTD got eliminated is because it was beat by Belfast by the slimmest of margins in round 2. Why on earth would you put those 2 together in round 2?

Then ofc you have the stans. Kodi Smit-McPhee and Jesse Plemons get eliminated immediately because A, they’re always in the same round, B, Affleck is always in the same round as them & Bennifer stan accounts vote for Ben Affleck en masse.

Still: I gotta say……..Director, Actor, Supporting Actress, Adapted Screenplay, Score, Cinematography, but NOT BP is totally possible if Belfast really is winning. I don’t know which is the toughest fight: BP, Actor & Cinematography? Or ALL of them?

FYC:
Picture: The Power of the Dog, Passing, The Lost Daughter
Director: Jane Campion, Rebecca Hall
Actor: Benedict Cumberbatch
Actress: Tessa Thompson, Olivia Colman
Supporting Actress: Kirsten Dunst, Ruth Negga, Dakota Johnson, Jessie Buckley
Supporting Actor: Kodi Smit-McPhee, Jesse Plemons, Andre Holland, Troy Kotsur, Richard Jenkins, Reed Birney

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OscarWatcher1971
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Sep 24th, 2021
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#1204535493

Listing alphabetically is silly without a system to bring the highest scoring forward; nevermind, I’d take the 6 Oscars!!

Picture is the toughest fight I think with the Netflix bias the biggest obstacle.

Belfast doesn’t feel all that strong- black & white film set in Ireland v a western set in the US & Campion is stronger than Bragnagh for director- and can be beaten with a great campaign I reckon, and Netflix has the money & the smarts. They want their first BP, they didn’t invest over $35m just to run a Jane Campion film.

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