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Very Early 2022 Oscar Predictions (Part 12)

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    George Ehret
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    #1204299514

    The thing about WSS is, what was the last remake of a movie that originally did really well at the Oscars that also managed to be sucessful? We all saw what happened with Rebecca last year, couldn’t even get a Costume nod. You could say A Star is Born, but none of the previous versions were that awarded (1937 only won Story, 1954 wasn’t even a BP and infamously lost Actress and Song, and 1976 was a critical flop that only won Song). WSS is THE most awarded musical in Oscar history and the comparison between the original and Spielberg’s version will not only be inevitable; if the movie fails even a little bit to live up its predecessor it’ll be buried by “Why was this necessary?” comments. Honestly, I think Annette is the only musical with a shot at above-the-line categories this year.

    Little Women I guess? That got like three nominations and won Screenplay, so that’s not really saving all that much. I mean, I admittedly don’t have that much confidence in it myself, I think it’ll go the way of The Irishman and will probably be Mank at best, but with a locked 10 and ranking scale, you just need 4-5 tech nominations to get into Picture

    FYC
    Best Picture: The Worst Person in the World
    Best Director: Jane Campion
    Best Actor: Benedict Cumberbatch
    Best Actress: Renate Reinsve
    Best Supporting Actor: Benedict Wong
    Best Supporting Actress: Kirsten Dunst
    Best Adapted Screenplay: The Power of the Dog
    Best Original Screenplay: The Worst Person in the World

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    ReddWhite
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    #1204299526

    Little Women I guess? That got like three nominations and won Screenplay, so that’s not really saving all that much. I mean, I admittedly don’t have that much confidence in it myself, I think it’ll go the way of The Irishman and will probably be Mank at best, but with a locked 10 and ranking scale, you just need 4-5 tech nominations to get into Picture

    Wow, that one is actually similar to ASIB, one of the versions (1933) was a BP nominee and won Screenplay, another is now a classic but wasn’t a hit with the Academy when it should have an easy win in Actress and Costume (1994) and one was not that well received and only won a tech award (1949, won Production Design).

    Emmys FYC: Jean Smart.

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    Elsa Korr
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    #1204299530

    I don’t think that script gave her that much to do. Maybe that changed in the final cut of the film (I heard it screened last week), but I don’t even have her in my top 10 until proven otherwise

    Its Meryl Streep, they nominated her for Into the Woods. Obviously she has a shot for this.

    FYC-Nightmare Alley in All Categories (Best Picture, Guillermo Del Toro for Best Director, Bradley Cooper for Best Actor, Cate Blanchett for Best Actress, Rooney Mara for Best Supporting Actress, Richard Jenkins for Best Supporting Actor)

    FYC-Last Night in Soho (Edgar Wright for Best Director, Thomasin McKenzie for Best Actress, Anya Taylor Joy for Best Supporting Actress, Edgar Wright and Krysty Wilson Cairns for Best Original Screenplay)

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    SN
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    #1204299580

    The thing about WSS is, what was the last remake of a movie that originally did really well at the Oscars that also managed to be sucessful?

    True Grit

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    crabbie
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    #1204299602

    It doesn’t matter how small Meryl’s role is in Don’t Look Up, her last nomination was 3 years ago. I’m sure the Academy is willing to welcome her back and it helps Adam McKay is good at getting his actors nominations.

    Michelle Williams Oscar campaign manager.

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    George Ehret
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    #1204299631

    Its Meryl Streep, they nominated her for Into the Woods. Obviously she has a shot for this.

    At least she sang in Into the Woods

    It doesn’t matter how small Meryl’s role is in Don’t Look Up, her last nomination was 3 years ago. I’m sure the Academy is willing to welcome her back and it helps Adam McKay is good at getting his actors nominations.

    I know that revisions happen, but even then Don’t Look Up doesn’t seem like an Academy-friendly movie. Part of the appeal with McKay’s Oscar films was that they were based on real people and events. There’s something appealing about a bold, wacky retelling of the stock market crash and Dick Cheney (Vice had apparently three nominatable performances, Big Short only had Bale, and it wasn’t one he could win for). DLU is completely fictional and nobody’s playing a real person. That makes me a little skeptical

    FYC
    Best Picture: The Worst Person in the World
    Best Director: Jane Campion
    Best Actor: Benedict Cumberbatch
    Best Actress: Renate Reinsve
    Best Supporting Actor: Benedict Wong
    Best Supporting Actress: Kirsten Dunst
    Best Adapted Screenplay: The Power of the Dog
    Best Original Screenplay: The Worst Person in the World

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    crabbie
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    #1204299650

    Part of the appeal with McKay’s Oscar films was that they were based on real people and events.

    I agree with this statement and think Don’t Look Up will not reach the max nominations it can hit. Im quite skeptical of Jlaw and Leo both getting in. That being said Meryl benefits from being a living legend and the Supporting Actress category is home to veteran actress nods for lackluster films. (Bates in Richard Jewell, Close in Hillbilly Elegy). Most likely her underperformances in nominations for films like The Laundromat and Let Them All Talk came from extremely competitive Lead Actress races but the Supporting Actress race is much more fluid and welcoming to veterans in nominations.

    Michelle Williams Oscar campaign manager.

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    wolfali
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    #1204299660

    Most likely her underperformances in nominations for films like The Laundromat and Let Them All Talk came from extremely competitive Lead Actress races

    She didn’t underperform for the former only because of competition…

    Oscars FYC:
    "Shiva Baby" – in all categories especially Picture, Adapted Screenplay, Score
    "Together" – in all categories especially Actress (Sharon Horgan), Actor (James McAvoy), Original Screenplay
    "CODA" – in all categories especially Supporting Actor (Troy Kotsur)
    "Everybody's Talking About Jamie" – Supporting Actor (Richard E. Grant), Supporting Actress (Sarah Lancashire)
    "I'm Your Man" – International Feature
    "Summer of Soul" – Documentary Feature

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    Lil Tony
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    Sep 17th, 2018
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    #1204299662

    Its Meryl Streep, they nominated her for Into the Woods. Obviously she has a shot for this.

    Streep was the best in the line up with Into The Woods.

    Laga Gaga's BIGGEST FAN

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    RIDLEY SCOTT
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    Dec 12th, 2020
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    #1204299664

    ITH is DOA. Even the Latin world hated it. And Middle America didn’t care about it

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    George Ehret
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    #1204299680

    I agree with this statement and think Don’t Look Up will not reach the max nominations it can hit. Im quite skeptical of Jlaw and Leo both getting in. That being said Meryl benefits from being a living legend and the Supporting Actress category is home to veteran actress nods for lackluster films. (Bates in Richard Jewell, Close in Hillbilly Elegy). Most likely her underperformances in nominations for films like The Laundromat and Let Them All Talk came from extremely competitive Lead Actress races but the Supporting Actress race is much more fluid and welcoming to veterans in nominations.

    The category is kinda stacked enough as is tbh, my top 10 is making me tear my damn hair out lmao

    FYC
    Best Picture: The Worst Person in the World
    Best Director: Jane Campion
    Best Actor: Benedict Cumberbatch
    Best Actress: Renate Reinsve
    Best Supporting Actor: Benedict Wong
    Best Supporting Actress: Kirsten Dunst
    Best Adapted Screenplay: The Power of the Dog
    Best Original Screenplay: The Worst Person in the World

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    dee mura
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    Sep 12th, 2018
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    #1204299686

    Reading the online reaction for “In the Heights” and considering the numbers, yeah, Warner Bros. won’t push this film for Oscar consideration unless there’s a huge drought of studio contenders (and even then unlikely). Beyond the talk of “box office flop” now it has the motto of colorblind and deep racism from Afro-Latinos and black people and even going for reactions for white Latinos in Miami (Cubans and Colombians) or California (Mexicans), you can see they aren’t interested in the film (or even worse calls). The studio did make a huge mistake not studying the diversity and clear differences about the Latino communities in USA (race, social class, even religion and culture). Well, the fans are hoping to have legs and a good wom to save the film, but cases like “The Greatest Showman” were helped for a broader support to middle America and being released at Christmas season. Don’t be surprised if ITH disappears quickly in few weeks and became another failure for the Latino audience.

    John m Chu has this problem with colorism. He probably doesn’t have that intention but Crazy Rich Asians treated non East Asian characters poorly. They’re either the scary guards or maids.

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    roger88
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    Sep 20th, 2012
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    #1204299688

    John m Chu has this problem with colorism. He probably doesn’t have that intention but Crazy Rich Asians treated non East Asian characters poorly. They’re either the scary guards or maids.

    It doesn’t help the casting directors are whiter than milk lol.

    And then, Melissa Barrera (who played Vanessa) answer is the most tone deaf of this controversy. Next week will be brutal for the box office after this backlash. If the core audience (Latino audience) hated you, your film is hopeless…

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    TheDreamingHead
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    Jan 8th, 2019
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    #1204299712

    I agree with this statement and think Don’t Look Up will not reach the max nominations it can hit. Im quite skeptical of Jlaw and Leo both getting in. That being said Meryl benefits from being a living legend and the Supporting Actress category is home to veteran actress nods for lackluster films. (Bates in Richard Jewell, Close in Hillbilly Elegy). Most likely her underperformances in nominations for films like The Laundromat and Let Them All Talk came from extremely competitive Lead Actress races but the Supporting Actress race is much more fluid and welcoming to veterans in nominations.

    Close not only has her name, but her never-winning-an-Oscar sentiment and being deemed as the front runner in her category for a whole year. The weak year also benefits her a lot. Can’t say the same about Meryl or this normal year…

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    con_man1226
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    Nov 15th, 2016
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    #1204299726

    BEST PICTURE

     

    CODA

    Don’t Look Up

    Dune

    Eternals

    The French Dispatch

    House Of Gucci

    In The Heights

    Mass

    Nightmare Alley

    Soggy Bottom

     

    BEST DIRECTOR

     

    Paul Thomas Anderson – Soggy Bottom

    John M. Chu – In The Heights

    Adam McKay – Don’t Look Up

    Ridley Scott – House Of Gucci

    Chloe Zhao – Eternals

     

    BEST ACTOR

     

    Leonardo DiCaprio – Don’t Look Up

    Adam Driver – House Of Gucci

    Jason Isaacs – Mass

    Anthony Ramos – In The Heights

    Denzel Washington – The Tragedy Of Macbeth

     

    BEST ACTRESS

     

    Ana de Armas – Blonde

    Lady Gaga – House Of Gucci

    Jennifer Hudson – Respect

    Jennifer Lawrence – Don’t Look Up

    Amanda Seyfried – A Mouthful Of Air

     

    BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

     

    Bradley Cooper – Soggy Bottom

    Idris Elba – The Harder They Fall

    Oscar Isaac – Dune

    Al Pacino – House Of Gucci

    Jesse Plemons – The Power Of The Dog

     

    BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

     

    Ann Dowd – Mass

    Marlee Matlin – CODA

    Olga Merediz – In The Heights

    Julianne Moore – Dear Evan Hansen

    Meryl Streep – Don’t Look Up

     

    BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

     

    Don’t Look Up

    The French Dispatch

    Mass

    Nine Days

    Soggy Bottom

     

    BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

     

    Dune

    Eternals

    House Of Gucci

    In The Heights

    Nightmare Alley

     

    BEST FILM EDITING

     

    Don’t Look Up

    Eternals

    House Of Gucci

    In The Heights

    Soggy Bottom

     

    BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

     

    Dune

    Eternals

    The French Dispatch

    In The Heights

    The Tragedy Of Macbeth

     

    BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN

     

    Cyrano

    Dune

    Eternals

    The French Dispatch

    Nightmare Alley

     

    BEST COSTUME DESIGN

     

    Cruella

    Cyrano

    Eternals

    The French Dispatch

    House Of Gucci

     

    BEST MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING

     

    Blonde

    Dune

    The French Dispatch

    House Of Gucci

    Old

     

    BEST VISUAL EFFECTS

     

    Dune

    Eternals

    The Matrix 4

    Nine Days

    Shang Chi And The Legend Of The Ten Rings

     

    BEST ORIGINAL SCORE

     

    Don’t Look Up

    Dune

    Eternals

    Nightmare Alley

    The Power Of The Dog

     

    BEST ORIGINAL SONG

     

    “???” – Dear Evan Hansen

    “???” – Encanto

    “Home All Summer” – In The Heights

    “No Time To Die” – No Time To Die

    “???” – Top Gun: Maverick

     

    BEST SOUND

     

    Don’t Look Up

    Dune

    Eternals

    In The Heights

    A Quiet Place: Part II

     

    BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

     

    Encanto

    Flee

    Luca

    The Mitchells vs The Machines

    Raya And The Last Dragon

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