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Very Early 2022 Oscar Predictions (Part 12)

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    JV
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    Dec 31st, 2019
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    #1204299501

    We have only one lock: Meryl Streep is 100% getting nominated for Don’t Look Up. She’s literally playing a female version of Donald Trump.

    Those white rich people from the Academy will have an orgasm watching this.

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    ReddWhite
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    #1204299510

    The thing about WSS is, what was the last remake of a movie that originally did really well at the Oscars that also managed to be sucessful? We all saw what happened with Rebecca last year, couldn’t even get a Costume nod. You could say A Star is Born, but none of the previous versions were that awarded (1937 only won Story, 1954 wasn’t even a BP and infamously lost Actress and Song, and 1976 was a critical flop that only won Song). WSS is THE most awarded musical in Oscar history and the comparison between the original and Spielberg’s version will not only be inevitable; if the movie fails even a little bit to live up its predecessor it’ll be buried by “Why was this necessary?” comments. Honestly, I think Annette is the only musical with a shot at above-the-line categories this year.

    Emmys FYC: Jean Smart.

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    George Ehret
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    #1204299512

    We have only one lock: Meryl Streep is 100% getting nominated for Don’t Look Up. She’s literally playing a female version of Donald Trump.

    I don’t think that script gave her that much to do. Maybe that changed in the final cut of the film (I heard it screened last week), but I don’t even have her in my top 10 until proven otherwise

    FYC
    Best Picture: The Worst Person in the World
    Best Director: Jane Campion
    Best Actor: Benedict Cumberbatch
    Best Actress: Renate Reinsve
    Best Supporting Actor: Benedict Wong
    Best Supporting Actress: Kirsten Dunst
    Best Adapted Screenplay: The Power of the Dog
    Best Original Screenplay: The Worst Person in the World

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    George Ehret
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    #1204299514

    The thing about WSS is, what was the last remake of a movie that originally did really well at the Oscars that also managed to be sucessful? We all saw what happened with Rebecca last year, couldn’t even get a Costume nod. You could say A Star is Born, but none of the previous versions were that awarded (1937 only won Story, 1954 wasn’t even a BP and infamously lost Actress and Song, and 1976 was a critical flop that only won Song). WSS is THE most awarded musical in Oscar history and the comparison between the original and Spielberg’s version will not only be inevitable; if the movie fails even a little bit to live up its predecessor it’ll be buried by “Why was this necessary?” comments. Honestly, I think Annette is the only musical with a shot at above-the-line categories this year.

    Little Women I guess? That got like three nominations and won Screenplay, so that’s not really saving all that much. I mean, I admittedly don’t have that much confidence in it myself, I think it’ll go the way of The Irishman and will probably be Mank at best, but with a locked 10 and ranking scale, you just need 4-5 tech nominations to get into Picture

    FYC
    Best Picture: The Worst Person in the World
    Best Director: Jane Campion
    Best Actor: Benedict Cumberbatch
    Best Actress: Renate Reinsve
    Best Supporting Actor: Benedict Wong
    Best Supporting Actress: Kirsten Dunst
    Best Adapted Screenplay: The Power of the Dog
    Best Original Screenplay: The Worst Person in the World

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    ReddWhite
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    #1204299526

    Little Women I guess? That got like three nominations and won Screenplay, so that’s not really saving all that much. I mean, I admittedly don’t have that much confidence in it myself, I think it’ll go the way of The Irishman and will probably be Mank at best, but with a locked 10 and ranking scale, you just need 4-5 tech nominations to get into Picture

    Wow, that one is actually similar to ASIB, one of the versions (1933) was a BP nominee and won Screenplay, another is now a classic but wasn’t a hit with the Academy when it should have an easy win in Actress and Costume (1994) and one was not that well received and only won a tech award (1949, won Production Design).

    Emmys FYC: Jean Smart.

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    Elsa Korr
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    #1204299530

    I don’t think that script gave her that much to do. Maybe that changed in the final cut of the film (I heard it screened last week), but I don’t even have her in my top 10 until proven otherwise

    Its Meryl Streep, they nominated her for Into the Woods. Obviously she has a shot for this.

    FYC-Nightmare Alley in All Categories (Best Picture, Guillermo Del Toro for Best Director, Bradley Cooper for Best Actor, Cate Blanchett for Best Actress, Rooney Mara for Best Supporting Actress, Richard Jenkins for Best Supporting Actor)

    FYC-Last Night in Soho (Edgar Wright for Best Director, Thomasin McKenzie for Best Actress, Anya Taylor Joy for Best Supporting Actress, Edgar Wright and Krysty Wilson Cairns for Best Original Screenplay)

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    SN
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    #1204299580

    The thing about WSS is, what was the last remake of a movie that originally did really well at the Oscars that also managed to be sucessful?

    True Grit

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    crabbie
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    #1204299602

    It doesn’t matter how small Meryl’s role is in Don’t Look Up, her last nomination was 3 years ago. I’m sure the Academy is willing to welcome her back and it helps Adam McKay is good at getting his actors nominations.

    Michelle Williams Oscar campaign manager.

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    George Ehret
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    #1204299631

    Its Meryl Streep, they nominated her for Into the Woods. Obviously she has a shot for this.

    At least she sang in Into the Woods

    It doesn’t matter how small Meryl’s role is in Don’t Look Up, her last nomination was 3 years ago. I’m sure the Academy is willing to welcome her back and it helps Adam McKay is good at getting his actors nominations.

    I know that revisions happen, but even then Don’t Look Up doesn’t seem like an Academy-friendly movie. Part of the appeal with McKay’s Oscar films was that they were based on real people and events. There’s something appealing about a bold, wacky retelling of the stock market crash and Dick Cheney (Vice had apparently three nominatable performances, Big Short only had Bale, and it wasn’t one he could win for). DLU is completely fictional and nobody’s playing a real person. That makes me a little skeptical

    FYC
    Best Picture: The Worst Person in the World
    Best Director: Jane Campion
    Best Actor: Benedict Cumberbatch
    Best Actress: Renate Reinsve
    Best Supporting Actor: Benedict Wong
    Best Supporting Actress: Kirsten Dunst
    Best Adapted Screenplay: The Power of the Dog
    Best Original Screenplay: The Worst Person in the World

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    crabbie
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    #1204299650

    Part of the appeal with McKay’s Oscar films was that they were based on real people and events.

    I agree with this statement and think Don’t Look Up will not reach the max nominations it can hit. Im quite skeptical of Jlaw and Leo both getting in. That being said Meryl benefits from being a living legend and the Supporting Actress category is home to veteran actress nods for lackluster films. (Bates in Richard Jewell, Close in Hillbilly Elegy). Most likely her underperformances in nominations for films like The Laundromat and Let Them All Talk came from extremely competitive Lead Actress races but the Supporting Actress race is much more fluid and welcoming to veterans in nominations.

    Michelle Williams Oscar campaign manager.

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    wolfali
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    #1204299660

    Most likely her underperformances in nominations for films like The Laundromat and Let Them All Talk came from extremely competitive Lead Actress races

    She didn’t underperform for the former only because of competition…

    FYC: Together in all categories (Actress – Sharon Horgan, Actor – James McAvoy, Original Screenplay), Shiva Baby (Adapted Screenplay, Score), CODA (in all categories esp. S. Actor – Troy Kotsur), Zola (S. Actress – Riley Keough), Together Together (Original Screenplay), The Sparks Brothers (Documentary Feature), Summer of Soul (Documentary Feature)

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    Lil Tony
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    Sep 17th, 2018
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    #1204299662

    Its Meryl Streep, they nominated her for Into the Woods. Obviously she has a shot for this.

    Streep was the best in the line up with Into The Woods.

    Laga Gaga's BIGGEST FAN

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    RIDLEY SCOTT
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    Dec 12th, 2020
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    #1204299664

    ITH is DOA. Even the Latin world hated it. And Middle America didn’t care about it

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    George Ehret
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    #1204299680

    I agree with this statement and think Don’t Look Up will not reach the max nominations it can hit. Im quite skeptical of Jlaw and Leo both getting in. That being said Meryl benefits from being a living legend and the Supporting Actress category is home to veteran actress nods for lackluster films. (Bates in Richard Jewell, Close in Hillbilly Elegy). Most likely her underperformances in nominations for films like The Laundromat and Let Them All Talk came from extremely competitive Lead Actress races but the Supporting Actress race is much more fluid and welcoming to veterans in nominations.

    The category is kinda stacked enough as is tbh, my top 10 is making me tear my damn hair out lmao

    FYC
    Best Picture: The Worst Person in the World
    Best Director: Jane Campion
    Best Actor: Benedict Cumberbatch
    Best Actress: Renate Reinsve
    Best Supporting Actor: Benedict Wong
    Best Supporting Actress: Kirsten Dunst
    Best Adapted Screenplay: The Power of the Dog
    Best Original Screenplay: The Worst Person in the World

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    dee mura
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    Sep 12th, 2018
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    #1204299686

    Reading the online reaction for “In the Heights” and considering the numbers, yeah, Warner Bros. won’t push this film for Oscar consideration unless there’s a huge drought of studio contenders (and even then unlikely). Beyond the talk of “box office flop” now it has the motto of colorblind and deep racism from Afro-Latinos and black people and even going for reactions for white Latinos in Miami (Cubans and Colombians) or California (Mexicans), you can see they aren’t interested in the film (or even worse calls). The studio did make a huge mistake not studying the diversity and clear differences about the Latino communities in USA (race, social class, even religion and culture). Well, the fans are hoping to have legs and a good wom to save the film, but cases like “The Greatest Showman” were helped for a broader support to middle America and being released at Christmas season. Don’t be surprised if ITH disappears quickly in few weeks and became another failure for the Latino audience.

    John m Chu has this problem with colorism. He probably doesn’t have that intention but Crazy Rich Asians treated non East Asian characters poorly. They’re either the scary guards or maids.

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